Sunday, November 26, 2017

NXN Girls Qualifiers

Here is the entire NXN Girls field, as well as their ratings from their regional races. I also included approximate 3200m equivalents, since I realize that there are plenty out there who probably won't recognize how good any given rating is. Additionally, I totaled up team scores (without breaking ties) to see roughly where teams are at. If I have time (which I doubt, but maybe by the end of the week) I might try to go back and look at state meets to get a better estimate on a more "average" race for everyone (I like to base my projections on 3+ races at least when possible, because one race can be good/bad and we wouldn't really know without a deeper look into it just how good/bad it was).

Also, a final note - again, I don't know who accepted their invites to NXN or not, so the below individuals is based on who were the first ones eligible to accept their spots to NXN; some California athletes will likely opt for FLN over NXN for various reasons, but most will probably be at NXN since they already qualified.

(Nov. 29 EDIT: added team scoring ranges in brackets to show what would happen if a team ran +/- 1.0% faster/slower than projected, which is a simple representation of the extreme of an "average" race compared to NXR)


Estimated Team Scores from NXR:
  1.  73.0 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 144.3 ~ (10:31) - NY Champion [ 48 - 116 ]
  2. 183.0 - Wayzata MN - 135.9 ~ (10:45) - HL Champion [ 132 - 232 ]
  3. 187.0 - Naperville North IL - 135.2 ~ (10:47) - MW Champion [141 - 243 ]
  4. 189.0 - Bozeman MT - 137.2 ~ (10:43) - NW Champion [ 147 - 236 ]
  5. 209.5 - Battle Mountain CO - 133.0 ~ (10:50) - SW Champion [ 161 - 276 ]
  6. 227.0 - Mountain Vista CO - 132.8 ~ (10:51) - SW Runner-up [ 191 - 275 ]
  7. 229.0 - Southlake Carroll TX - 131.6 ~ (10:53) - SO Champion [ 177 - 299 ]
  8. 230.0 - Great Oak CA - 132.7 ~ (10:51) - CA Champion [184 - 276 ]
  9. 244.5 - Keller TX - 131.7 ~ (10:53) - SO Runner-up [193 - 298 ]
  10. 251.0 - Jesuit OR - 130.5 ~ (10:55) - NW Runner-up [209 - 311 ]
  11. 264.5 - Broomfield CO - 129.8 ~ (10:56) - **SW third place [212 - 321 ]
  12. 266.5 - Yorkville IL - 129.8 ~ (10:56) - MW Runner-up [210 - 323 ]
  13. 279.5 - Edina MN - 129.0 ~ (10:58) - HL Runner-up [ 229 - 345 ]
  14. 280.0 - Buchanan CA - 130.1 ~ (10:56) - CA Runner-up [244 - 334 ]
  15. 339.5 - Liverpool NY - 125.6 ~ (11:04) - NY Runner-up [ 284 - 383 ]
  16. 358.0 - Claremont CA - 124.0 ~ (11:07) - **CA third place [ 293 - 416 ]
  17. 392.0 - DuPont Manual KY - 121.6 ~ (11:11) - SE Runner-up [347 - 440 ]
  18. 418.5 - Blacksburg VA - 119.6 ~ (11:14) - **SE third place [364 - 474 ]
  19. 430.0 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 119.6 ~ (11:14) - SE Champion [ 371 - 484 ]
  20. 474.0 - Hunterdon NJ - 115.4 ~ (11:22) - NE Champion [ 428 - 526 ]
  21. 493.5 - Saratoga Springs NY - 114.6 ~ (11:23) - **NY third place [ 441 - 550 ]
  22. 571.0 - Kingsway NJ - 109.2 ~ (11:33) - NE Runner-up [ 520 - 629 ]


Complete Girls Field (team scorers in bold):
  1. 173.6 - Katelyn Tuohy, 10 - Individual Qualifier NY - 9:38
  2. 164.8 - Claudia Lane, 11 - Individual Qualifier CA - 9:54
  3. 159.8 - Camila Noe, 12 - Bozeman MT - 10:03
  4. 159.1 - London Culbreath, 10 - Individual Qualifier SO - 10:04
  5. 155.7 - Tierney Wolfram, 9 - Individual Qualifier HL - 10:10
  6. 154.8 - Haley Herberg, 12 - Individual Qualifier CA - 10:12
  7. 154.6 - Carrie Fish, 12 - Individual Qualifier SO - 10:12
  8. 154.3 - Lexy Halladay, 10 - Individual Qualifier NW - 10:13
  9. 153.5 - Brooke Rauber, 9 - Individual Qualifier NY - 10:14
  10. 153.3 - Emily Covert, 11 - Individual Qualifier HL - 10:14
  11. 152.8 - Quinn Owen, 12 - Individual Qualifier SO - 10:15
  12. 152.4 - Sydney Thorvaldson, 9 - Individual Qualifier NW - 10:16
  13. 152.1 - Katelynne Hart, 10 - Individual Qualifier MW - 10:17
  14. 151.9 - Mackenzie Marler, 11 - Individual Qualifier NW - 10:17
  15. 150.8 - Amanda Mayoral, 12 - Individual Qualifier SW - 10:19
  16. 150.5 - Ashlyn Hillyard, 11 - Individual Qualifier SO - 10:19
  17. 150.5 - Allison Wilson, 11 - Individual Qualifier SO - 10:19
  18. 150.3 - Emma Wilson, 11 - Individual Qualifier MW - 10:20
  19. 150.1 - Anna Fenske, 9 - Individual Qualifier HL - 10:20
  20. 149.6 - Gracie Sprankle, 11 - Individual Qualifier MW - 10:21
  21. 149.6 - Maya Smith, 12 - Individual Qualifier SW - 10:21
  22. 149.5 - Mariah Castillo, 12 - Individual Qualifier CA - 10:21
  23. 149.4 - Samantha Schadler, 11 - Individual Qualifier SW - 10:21
  24. 149.3 - Anna Shults, 11 - Individual Qualifier SW - 10:22
  25. 149.3 - Sadie Sargent, 12 - Individual Qualifier SW - 10:22
  26. 149.2 - Claire Walters, 10 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 10:22
  27. 149.2 - Lauren Ping, 7 - Individual Qualifier HL - 10:22
  28. 149.1 - Corie Smith, 10 - Buchanan CA - 10:22
  29. 149.1 - Jenna Fitzsimmons, 10 - Mountain Vista CO - 10:22
  30. 148.3 - Sophie Ryan, 12 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 10:23
  31. 148.2 - Aubrey Frentheway, 12 - Individual Qualifier NW - 10:24
  32. 148.1 - Meagen Lowe, 11 - Buchanan CA - 10:24
  33. 148.0 - Yukino Parle, 12 - Individual Qualifier NW - 10:24
  34. 147.0 - Lydia Olivere, 12 - Individual Qualifier SE - 10:26
  35. 146.9 - Phoebe White, 10 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 10:26
  36. 146.9 - Taylor Ewert, 10 - Individual Qualifier MW - 10:26
  37. 146.7 - Emily Kompelien, 12 - Edina MN - 10:26
  38. 146.7 - Emma Atkinson, 10 - Wayzata MN - 10:26
  39. 146.7 - Julia Robitaille, 11 - Individual Qualifier NE - 10:26
  40. 146.6 - Sarah Schmitt, 12 - Naperville North IL - 10:26
  41. 146.0 - Morgan Gigandet, 12 - Individual Qualifier MW - 10:27
  42. 145.9 - Caroline Sassan, 10 - Wayzata MN - 10:28
  43. 145.4 - Elena Denner, 12 - Individual Qualifier CA - 10:28
  44. 145.1 - Sasha Neglia, 10 - Individual Qualifier SE - 10:29
  45. 145.0 - Rebecca Walters, 12 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 10:29
  46. 144.1 - Kaitlyn Lacy, 12 - Individual Qualifier SE - 10:31
  47. 144.0 - Isabel Van Camp, 11 - Keller TX - 10:31
  48. 143.9 - Fatima Cortes, 11 - Great Oak CA - 10:31
  49. 143.8 - Kaitlynn Wolfe, 10 - Blacksburg VA - 10:31
  50. 143.8 - Lauren Peurifoy, 11 - Individual Qualifier CA - 10:31
  51. 143.6 - Maggie Donahue, 11 - Individual Qualifier NE - 10:32
  52. 143.2 - Katie Dammer, 12 - Individual Qualifier NE - 10:32
  53. 142.9 - Lauren Peterson, 11 - Individual Qualifier HL - 10:33
  54. 142.6 - Tori Gaitan, 10 - Great Oak CA - 10:33
  55. 142.3 - Alena Sapienza-Wright, 12 - DuPont Manual KY - 10:34
  56. 141.8 - Alex Morris, 11 - Naperville North IL - 10:35
  57. 141.8 - Ryann Helmers, 12 - Individual Qualifier SE - 10:35
  58. 141.7 - Jenna Schulz, 10 - Liverpool NY - 10:35
  59. 140.4 - Elizabeth Constien, 12 - Battle Mountain CO - 10:37
  60. 139.8 - Abbey Santoro, 12 - Keller TX - 10:38
  61. 139.6 - Kelsey Gripekoven, 10 - Jesuit OR - 10:39
  62. 139.6 - Alexis Kebbe, 10 - Jesuit OR - 10:39
  63. 139.5 - Hannah Reale, 12 - Individual Qualifier NY - 10:39
  64. 139.0 - Monica Hebner, 12 - Individual Qualifier NE - 10:40
  65. 138.4 - Cate Tracht, 12 - Southlake Carroll TX - 10:41
  66. 138.2 - Hannah Ricci, 12 - Naperville North IL - 10:41
  67. 138.1 - Nikki Merrill, 11 - Individual Qualifier NE - 10:41
  68. 137.9 - Sarah Osullivan, 10 - Mountain Vista CO - 10:42
  69. 137.9 - Emily Eberhart, 11 - Yorkville IL - 10:42
  70. 137.8 - Kathleen Simms, 12 - DuPont Manual KY - 10:42
  71. 137.7 - Madison Neuner, 11 - Liverpool NY - 10:42
  72. 137.6 - Lizzy Harding, 11 - Battle Mountain CO - 10:42
  73. 137.6 - Caroline Eck, 11 - Mountain Vista CO - 10:42
  74. 137.5 - Calli Parlier, 12 - Individual Qualifier SE - 10:43
  75. 137.4 - Madison Mooney, 12 - Broomfield CO - 10:43
  76. 136.4 - Julia Black, 12 - Keller TX - 10:44
  77. 136.1 - Alex Moore, 10 - Bozeman MT - 10:45
  78. 136.1 - Sarah Mccabe, 12 - Southlake Carroll TX - 10:45
  79. 135.9 - Sandra Pflughoft, 12 - Great Oak CA - 10:45
  80. 135.1 - Maray Hennelly, 10 - Individual Qualifier NY - 10:47
  81. 135.0 - Naomi Harding, 11 - Battle Mountain CO - 10:47
  82. 134.1 - Sofia Santamaria, 11 - Southlake Carroll TX - 10:49
  83. 134.1 - Chloe Gonzalez, 10 - Hunterdon NJ - 10:49
  84. 134.0 - Elizabeth Rinck, 11 - Jesuit OR - 10:49
  85. 133.4 - Helena Kleronomos, 9 - Yorkville IL - 10:50
  86. 133.2 - Terra Trom, 10 - Bozeman MT - 10:50
  87. 133.0 - Ivy Gonzales, 12 - Broomfield CO - 10:50
  88. 132.9 - Sydney Nowicki, 9 - Individual Qualifier NY - 10:51
  89. 132.4 - Katelyn Mitchem, 12 - Broomfield CO - 10:52
  90. 132.4 - Rhynn Paulsen, 10 - Wayzata MN - 10:52
  91. 132.2 - Alyssa Edwards, 12 - Yorkville IL - 10:52
  92. 131.9 - Palmer Madsen, 12 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 10:52
  93. 131.6 - Phoebe Jacques, 12 - Bozeman MT - 10:53
  94. 130.8 - Makenna Schumacher, 11 - Jesuit OR - 10:54
  95. 130.6 - Lauren Mccollor, 9 - Wayzata MN - 10:55
  96. 130.4 - Sydney Hwang, 11 - Claremont CA - 10:55
  97. 130.3 - Sloan Walter, 11 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 10:55
  98. 129.0 - Madison Reed, 10 - Mountain Vista CO - 10:58
  99. 128.4 - Kelsey Chmiel, 11 - Saratoga Springs NY - 10:59
  100. 128.1 - Tess Rounds, 12 - Claremont CA - 10:59
  101. 127.5 - Katherine Berube, 12 - Edina MN - 11:00
  102. 127.2 - Alex Raichart, 12 - Battle Mountain CO - 11:01
  103. 126.9 - Sydney Swanker, 10 - Broomfield CO - 11:01
  104. 126.6 - Maria Rickman, 11 - Edina MN - 11:02
  105. 126.4 - Audrey Dang, 10 - Great Oak CA - 11:02
  106. 125.9 - Angie Riera, 11 - Southlake Carroll TX - 11:03
  107. 125.3 - Ailene Edwards, 11 - Blacksburg VA - 11:04
  108. 125.1 - Laina Hall, 12 - Bozeman MT - 11:05
  109. 125.1 - Emily Nugent, 11 - Hunterdon NJ - 11:05
  110. 125.0 - Grace Johnson, 10 - Battle Mountain CO - 11:05
  111. 124.9 - Claire Hill, 11 - Naperville North IL - 11:05
  112. 124.6 - Amanda Dolberg, 10 - Buchanan CA - 11:05
  113. 124.5 - Megan Driscoll, 11 - Naperville North IL - 11:06
  114. 124.1 - Brooke Young, 12 - Wayzata MN - 11:06
  115. 123.9 - Emelia Arnone, 9 - Wayzata MN - 11:07
  116. 123.7 - Kate Reppeto, 10 - Southlake Carroll TX - 11:07
  117. 123.6 - Macy Iyer, 8 - Edina MN - 11:07
  118. 123.1 - Audrey Mendrys, 9 - Naperville North IL - 11:08
  119. 122.9 - Alexis Mullarkey, 12 - Kingsway NJ - 11:08
  120. 122.9 - Natalie Kurz, 12 - Liverpool NY - 11:08
  121. 122.7 - Sara Klemm, 9 - Yorkville IL - 11:09
  122. 122.7 - Hailey Simmons, 9 - Yorkville IL - 11:09
  123. 122.6 - Carley Vetter, 12 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:09
  124. 122.2 - Azalea Segura-Mora, 10 - Claremont CA - 11:10
  125. 121.6 - Lucy Wagner, 12 - Bozeman MT - 11:11
  126. 121.1 - Kalinda Reynolds, 11 - Claremont CA - 11:12
  127. 120.8 - Lauren Esparza, 12 - Southlake Carroll TX - 11:12
  128. 120.7 - Alina Rovnak, 12 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 11:12
  129. 120.6 - Morgan Richter, 10 - Edina MN - 11:12
  130. 120.4 - Sophia Link, 11 - Blacksburg VA - 11:13
  131. 120.4 - Cambria Clark, 11 - Keller TX - 11:13
  132. 119.5 - Laura Thompson, 12 - Broomfield CO - 11:14
  133. 119.0 - Madeline Lawler, 11 - Edina MN - 11:15
  134. 118.2 - Caroline Mullahy, 9 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 11:17
  135. 118.1 - Clare Hernandez, 12 - Buchanan CA - 11:17
  136. 118.0 - Angela Gushue, 9 - Claremont CA - 11:17
  137. 118.0 - Alyssa Cantrell, 12 - Claremont CA - 11:17
  138. 118.0 - Makenna Pallozzi, 10 - Keller TX - 11:17
  139. 117.0 - Megan Bamford, 12 - Battle Mountain CO - 11:19
  140. 116.5 - Grace Kaercher, 9 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 11:20
  141. 116.4 - Elena Dimarcello, 11 - Hunterdon NJ - 11:20
  142. 116.3 - Myecia Bright, 10 - DuPont Manual KY - 11:20
  143. 116.2 - Julianne Logan, 12 - Edina MN - 11:20
  144. 115.8 - Emily Mitchem, 12 - Broomfield CO - 11:21
  145. 115.5 - Katharine Priu, 11 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 11:22
  146. 115.4 - Sydney Carlson, 9 - Liverpool NY - 11:22
  147. 114.9 - Carmen Rottinghaus, 12 - Wayzata MN - 11:23
  148. 114.8 - Vanessa Kort, 12 - Broomfield CO - 11:23
  149. 114.7 - Arianna Griffiths, 10 - Great Oak CA - 11:23
  150. 113.7 - Bridget Boyle, 11 - Bozeman MT - 11:25
  151. 113.3 - Marissa Bishop, 12 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 11:25
  152. 113.0 - Nicole Greyer, 11 - Yorkville IL - 11:26
  153. 112.8 - Sydney White, 12 - Keller TX - 11:26
  154. 111.4 - Brogan Murray, 11 - Battle Mountain CO - 11:29
  155. 110.8 - Keellyn Cummings, 12 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:30
  156. 110.8 - Kylie Anicic, 12 - Kingsway NJ - 11:30
  157. 110.7 - Brianna Lucas, 11 - Great Oak CA - 11:30
  158. 110.6 - Sydney Fox, 12 - Buchanan CA - 11:30
  159. 110.6 - Rebecca Walton, 12 - Mountain Vista CO - 11:30
  160. 110.5 - Maggie Gamboa, 9 - Naperville North IL - 11:30
  161. 110.3 - Rosie Petrella, 10 - Liverpool NY - 11:31
  162. 108.3 - Keely Mccormick, 12 - Jesuit OR - 11:34
  163. 107.9 - Taylor Boggess, 10 - DuPont Manual KY - 11:35
  164. 107.7 - Greta Anderson, 11 - Jesuit OR - 11:35
  165. 107.5 - Mckinley Wheeler, 7 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:36
  166. 107.3 - Katie Nili, 12 - Buchanan CA - 11:36
  167. 106.0 - Hannah Brown, 12 - Mountain Vista CO - 11:38
  168. 105.6 - Lauren Krott, 11 - Kingsway NJ - 11:39
  169. 105.1 - Madeline Hebert, 11 - Keller TX - 11:40
  170. 104.9 - Cristina Canal, 12 - Southlake Carroll TX - 11:40
  171. 104.6 - Emily Fitch, 11 - Blacksburg VA - 11:41
  172. 104.6 - Sarah Ayala, 11 - Claremont CA - 11:41
  173. 104.6 - Allie Pierontoni, 10 - Kingsway NJ - 11:41
  174. 104.1 - Simonne Guenette, 12 - Blacksburg VA - 11:42
  175. 103.9 - Alex Villalba, 12 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 11:42
  176. 103.8 - Sheridan Wheeler, 7 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:42
  177. 103.7 - Abigail Bohn, 9 - DuPont Manual KY - 11:42
  178. 103.5 - Devin Ito, 10 - Great Oak CA - 11:43
  179. 103.2 - Angela Kearsley, 11 - Hunterdon NJ - 11:43
  180. 102.6 - Shantell Hafner, 9 - Mountain Vista CO - 11:44
  181. 101.9 - Ashlynne Burke, 9 - Kingsway NJ - 11:46
  182. 101.8 - Alyssa Destasio, 12 - Buchanan CA - 11:46
  183. 100.3 - Molly Mcgowan, 11 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 11:48
  184.  99.0 - Julia Lattimer, 11 - Blacksburg VA - 11:51
  185.  98.5 - Hallie Devore, 11 - Jesuit OR - 11:52
  186.  98.5 - Ciara Knott, 11 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:52
  187.  98.1 - Samantha Kehler, 10 - Hunterdon NJ - 11:52
  188.  97.7 - Samantha Vetter, 12 - Saratoga Springs NY - 11:53
  189.  96.9 - Mady Klebenow, 10 - Yorkville IL - 11:55
  190.  95.6 - Brenna Talamo, 11 - Hunterdon NJ - 11:57
  191.  93.4 - Eliza Stowe, 12 - Blacksburg VA - 12:01
  192.  92.7 - Sydney Watts, 9 - Kingsway NJ - 12:02
  193.  90.2 - Windsor Ardner, 11 - Liverpool NY - 12:06
  194.  90.2 - Courtney Farishian, 9 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 12:06
  195.  86.2 - Kennedy Duncan, 12 - DuPont Manual KY - 12:14
  196.  85.3 - Alexandra Carlson, 9 - Hunterdon NJ - 12:15
  197.  85.2 - Caleigh Kupniewski, 9 - Kingsway NJ - 12:15
  198.  77.9 - Kati Hoerig, 10 - DuPont Manual KY - 12:28
  199.  70.1 - Isabella Brancato, 10 - Liverpool NY - 12:42
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1 comment:

  1. AnonymousNovember 13, 2018 at 6:18 PM

    Watchout. I've always loved your analysis. Sad to see nothing from 2018. :(
    Hope you're doing well.

    ReplyDelete

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