tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post8409307446276526071..comments2021-04-12T10:17:47.549-07:00Comments on Watchout Cross Country Rankings: Top 25 Performances @ WA Qualifier meetsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-16285517123848486712015-11-05T02:26:40.255-08:002015-11-05T02:26:40.255-08:00Using these numbers, Eastlake would only beat Cama...Using these numbers, Eastlake would only beat Camas 188-199. That seems appropriately close to me, especially since we are talking about comparing what they ran last weekend and not what we think they can/will do.<br /><br />I use ratios (multipliers rather than +/- X seconds). The course comparisons for the 4A boys meets:<br /><br />14:45 @ 2014 State XC ~ 14:44 CBBN ~ 15:04 Eastern Regional ~ 15:18 Northwest Regional ~ 15:50 Southwest Regionalwatchouthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02838975063853852963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-62798267525285007922015-11-04T21:56:30.876-08:002015-11-04T21:56:30.876-08:00*camas not Canada (autocorrect lol)*camas not Canada (autocorrect lol)RunThisWorldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05052554199618750383noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-23470624227242113012015-11-04T21:53:26.834-08:002015-11-04T21:53:26.834-08:00Just curious Rob, what time adjustment did you use...Just curious Rob, what time adjustment did you use for the SE 4A Boys (for instance you used ~ 21 seconds for Eastern Regional 4A boys)? <br /><br />Also do you really feel that Issaquah/Eastlake/University are that much better than Canada and Bellarmine Prep?RunThisWorldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05052554199618750383noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-13458094292320884742015-11-03T03:03:23.673-08:002015-11-03T03:03:23.673-08:00Yes, I think this is a down year compared to the l...Yes, I think this is a down year compared to the last few (which have been outstanding). However, I don't think it will be quite as bad as this would suggest. Several of those who I think will run better than they did at the qualifying meet would include Southwest Regional athletes, who I think are better compared to their competition than they showed last weekend. I think the Boys 4A race, individually, will be closer to what we saw back in 2010 (sans the gap from Bierig to Gardner and the field, unless Yearian runs away with it) ... around the usual 20-25 under 16:00, with #15 probably somewhere around 15:50-15:55.watchouthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02838975063853852963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-57716663239181678752015-11-03T02:37:34.604-08:002015-11-03T02:37:34.604-08:001a. Because the performances weren't among the...1a. Because the performances weren't among the top 25...<br />1b. Yes, I adjusted for the 3A/4A Boys races (the last two races) separately from the 3A/4A Girls races (third and fourth to last races) as well as the 2A races (among the first four races of the day).<br />1c. Short answer: I would be surprised if no one from the 4A Southwest placed in the top 11, particularly an athlete like Yearian who has been running well over the last year. However, this is based on what everyone ran at their regional meets, where they didn’t look as dominant as the top athletes from other regions (particularly if you consider how weak the Southwest is every year compared to the rest of the state, although that wasn’t even factored in – this is only based off of what has happened this season).<br />2. No, I was not at the Westside Classic meet. Judging by the times, I would hazard a guess that the course was pretty messy at the start of the day, and went well downhill after that (3A/4A boys seemed to be about 30 seconds slower than the 2A races in the morning).watchouthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02838975063853852963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-65512121204488517102015-11-02T20:30:03.630-08:002015-11-02T20:30:03.630-08:00Also, do you anticipate the 4A boys individual tim...Also, do you anticipate the 4A boys individual times to be slower this year than past years? Even with you setting the times to the equivalent of the '14 meet timed you have the 11th 4A ranked boy (Kennan <br />Schrag) at 15:52 yet the past 4 years a 15:52 would've placed 20, 19, 22, and 20th respectively. So something seems off, either the runners are slower this year or your equivalents are too slow?RunThisWorldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05052554199618750383noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-28415886966818581622015-11-02T20:14:04.073-08:002015-11-02T20:14:04.073-08:00Two questions:
1. Why did no 4A District 3/4 boy m...Two questions:<br />1. Why did no 4A District 3/4 boy made your top 25 (11 4A. boys from the other regional races made the list)? Obviously the Westside Classic Zat American Lake was sloppy/slow and 4A boys raced last but didn't you handicap that? I would be surprised if nobody from that region placed in top 11? Wouldn't you be? <br />2. Did you attend the Westside Classic? If so how bad was it? Was the course trashed to an extent that may jeopardize being allowed back? Times were so slow I imagine more of a pig farm than a nice golf course. RunThisWorldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05052554199618750383noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-64247579086849097462015-11-02T18:33:28.845-08:002015-11-02T18:33:28.845-08:00Because Western Washington weather and the 4A Boys...Because Western Washington weather and the 4A Boys were the last of 8 races on the day, when the course was in the worst condition.watchouthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02838975063853852963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-80803155953028262162015-11-02T17:53:05.250-08:002015-11-02T17:53:05.250-08:00Any idea why the 4A Boys times were so slow at Wes...Any idea why the 4A Boys times were so slow at Westside Classic?xccoachhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14414911052564559556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-73220142457218302952015-11-02T14:29:31.212-08:002015-11-02T14:29:31.212-08:00Only one athlete from 2A made the top 25 cut on bo...Only one athlete from 2A made the top 25 cut on both sides.<br /><br />Cooper comes in at #29, Chacon at #42 (Silas Griffith is the next 2A athlete at #50). On the girls side, it is MUCH more 3A/4A centric. The second 2A girl is #58 (Elyria Kabasenche of Pullman), with Tumwater's Lauren Ericks close behind at #61.watchouthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02838975063853852963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-675840884075304933.post-51723492835363725092015-11-02T14:14:32.200-08:002015-11-02T14:14:32.200-08:00No love for 2A at WCD? Cooper & Chacon were ba...No love for 2A at WCD? Cooper & Chacon were battlingAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com