Monday, August 3, 2015

Pre-Season OR 6A Boys Rankings

A few coaches asked if I could do these years ago, but I never got around to it (regional & national rankings were keeping me plenty busy to look this deep), but I finally have the time to set aside and hopefully do a decent enough job on these.

Here's a look at my Oregon Rankings. I'll include the Top 10 for the 6A and Top 5 for both the 4A and 5A classifications, as well as a look at the top 15 overall in the state, and include the top 15 individuals in all three classifications as well as the Top 25 overall. Unlike Washington, I won’t be denoting which team is in which district (because I can’t do that off the top of my head for Oregon teams). Instead, I will specify where they finished at State XC last year (if they qualified).

 

First up is the 6A Boys!

 

6A Top 10 Teams:

1.       Jesuit (#10 in 2014 with 261 points)

2.       Central Catholic (#1 in 2014 with 54 points)

3.       South Eugene (#3 in 2014 with 133 points)

4.       Lincoln (#6 in 2014 with 195 points)

5.       Grant (#7 in 2014 with 204 points)

6.       Lakeridge (#12 in 2014 with 274 points)

7.       Wilson (#9 in 2014 with 243 points)

8.       Sunset (#2 in 2014 with 117 points)

9.       Sheldon (#5 in 2014 with 186 points)

10.   West Linn (#4 in 2014 with 161 points)

 

6A Top 15 Individuals:

1.       Roman Ollar, West Linn

2.       Grayson Ollar, West Linn

3.       Jackson Mestler, Sheldon

4.       Ahmed Muhumed, West Salem

5.       Joshua Schumacher, Jesuit

6.       Zack Lavier, Central Catholic

7.       Murimi Nyamu, Forest Grove

8.       Angel Salazar, Century

9.       Mason Wegener, South Eugene

10.   Hassan Ibrahim, David Douglas

11.   Luis Torres, Aloha

12.   Michael McCausland, Central Catholic

13.   Mark French, Tualatin

14.   Jacob Shelton, Sheldon

15.   Steven Cranston, Canby

Sunday, August 2, 2015

Oregon XC Program Rankings

Taking a quick break from the stream of State specific pre-season rankings for a minute, let’s look back at the program history for the state of Oregon!

I did this a bit differently than in I have the past, as I limited the max score to 330 for any team and used a 22-team merge rather than the 15 or so teams I used to do for Oregon. Otherwise, same process as before:

As a reminder, here is the method I use:

1.       Merge ALL results from the state meet (all classes)

2.       Remove all individual athletes

3.       Order athletes by time, breaking ties by place and (if necessary) classification (as in general, smaller classes have less competition which usually leads to slower times).

4.       Score the massive merge

5.       Re-score using only the top 30 teams (from the mass merge)

6.       Re-score using only the top 22 teams (from the 30-team merge)

7.       Sum points for all years (2006-2014), plus add 330 for each time a school didn’t finish in the top 22, then divide by 9 (the # of years included in the review, which I started at the first season of the current classification structure)

 

Top 15 Oregon Boys XC Programs:

 

1.       Central Catholic (100.22) – 6A Mt. Hood Conference #1

2.       Crater (169.78) – 5A Midwestern League #1

3.       Jesuit (173.11) – 6A Metro League #1

4.       Summit (212.89) – 5A Intermountain Conference #1

5.       Hermiston (243.89) – 5A Columbia River Conference #1

6.       South Eugene (246.22) – 6A Southwestern Conference #1

7.       North Medford (280.22) – 6A Southwestern Conference #2

8.       Siuslaw (281.33) – 4A Far West League #1

9.       West Linn (288.00) – 6A Three Rivers League #1

10.   Sheldon (297.67) – 6A Southwestern Conference #3

11.   Reynolds (299.67) – 6A Mt. Hood Conference #2

12.   Lincoln (301.44) – 6A Portland Interscholastic League #1

13.   Cleveland (305.11) – 6A Portland Interscholastic League #2

14.   Mountain View (305.22) – 5A Intermountain Conference #2

15.   Ashland (310.33) – 5A Midwestern League #2

 

 

Top 15 Oregon Girls XC Programs:

 

1.       Jesuit (99.33) – 6A Metro League #1

2.       Summit (142.67) – 5A Intermountain Conference #1

3.       St. Mary’s Academy (172.44) – 6A Three Rivers League #1

4.       South Eugene (172.67) – 6A Southwest Conference #1

5.       Sunset (220.22) – 6A Metro League #2

6.       Crater (227.89) – 5A Midwestern League #1

7.       Grant (283.56) – 6A Portland Interscholastic League #1

8.       Crescent Valley (284.56) – 5A Mid-Willamette League #1

9.       Tualatin (291.67) – 6A Three Rivers League #2

10.   Mountain View (295.22) – 5A Intermountain Conference #2

11.   Siuslaw (304.89) – 4A Far West League #1

12.   Corvallis (305.89) – 5A Mid-Willamette League #2

13.   Molalla (311.44) – 4A Tri-Valley Conference #1

14.   Hermiston (313.78) – 5A Columbia River Conference #1

15.   Pendleton (314.22) – 5A Columbia River Conference #2

 

 

 

Top 15 OVERALL Programs (Boys & Girls Combined, only including programs that have had at least one team make the top 22 in any given year):

 

1.       Jesuit (136.22; 173.11/99.33)

2.       Summit (177.78; 212.89/142.67)

3.       Crater (198.83; 169.78/227.89)

4.       South Eugene (209.44; 246.22/172.67)

5.       Sunset (267.17; 314.11/220.22)

6.       Hermiston (278.83; 243.89/313.78)

7.       Siuslaw (293.11; 281.33/304.89)

8.       Mountain View (300.22; 305.22/295.22)

9.       Grant (300.67; 317.78/283.56)

10.   Crescent Valley (307.28; 330.00/284.56)

11.   West Linn (309.00; 288.00/330.00)

12.   Lincoln (309.67; 301.44/317.89)

13.   Tualatin (310.83; 330.00/291.67)

14.   Ashland (312.67; 310.33/315.00)

15.   Sheldon (313.50; 297.67/329.33)

 

Note: scores for the combined programs are listed as (overall; boys/girls)