Alaska State XC guesstimate

No more State Qualifier ratings, as Montana and Wyoming have all inclusive state meets. Wyoming does have actual regional races prior to the state meet, but with so few teams I didn't think it was really worth a look into before moving on to different topics. However, here is my GUESS at Alaska's top returners. Hard to gauge this since not many Alaskans ran in the lower 48 last year, so this is based off of what the few runners who were at George Fox OR Invitational (200.0 = 14:42.18) ran. Those 14 runners pointed towards a 14:51.35 rating for the Alaskan state meet, but keep in mind this is VERY questionable. As an added bonus, I listed any Alaska Top-10 track marks to better gauge their level.


Top 10 Results (non-seniors in bold):

Boys =

1. 181.0 - Ty Jordan, 12 - Chugiak - 15:47.7 - 4A Boys #1 (51.17/1:55.16/4:15.78)
2. 179.7 - Gus Schumacher, 10 - Service - 15:51.8 - 4A Boys #2
3. 173.8 - Finn Walker, 11 - West Anchorage - 16:09.3 - 4A Boys #3 (4:27.60/9:44.13)
4. 173.7 - Hunter Kratz, 11 - Seward - 16:09.5 - 3A Boys #2 (2:00.11/4:30.15/9:48.72)
5. 169.9 - Jacob Moos, 10 - Galena - 16:20.7 - 3A Boys #3 (4:26.57/9:40.40)
6. 169.0 - Michael Parnell, 12 - Kodiak - 16:23.4 - 4A Boys #4 (1:58.03/4:21.29/9:45.28)
7. 168.5 - Keith Osowski, 11 - Kodiak - 16:25.0 - 4A Boys #5 (4:30.85/9:36.99)
8. 167.4 - Derek Steele, 12 - South Anchorage - 16:28.3 - 4A Boys #6 (1:58.15/4:21.25/9:40.29)
9. 165.8 - Quincy Fuller, 12 - Wasilla - 16:33.1 - 4A Boys #7
10. 165.4 - Aaron Swedberg, 12 - Soldotna - 16:34.1 - 4A Boys #8 (1:58.70)

Girls =

1. 117.0 - Molly Gellert, 10 - West Anchorage - 18:58 - 4A Girls #1
2. 115.0 - Briahna Gerlach, 11 - Glennallen - 19:04 - 3A Girls #1 (2:22.83/5:00.65/11:06.61)
3. 115.0 - Riana Boonstra, 10 - Kenai Central - 19:04 - 4A Girls #2
4. 111.3 - Morgan Lash, 12 - South Anchorage - 19:15 - 4A Girls #3 (2:18.02/5:03.60/10:56.64)
5. 106.2 - Naomi Welling, 12 - Thunder Mountain - 19:30 - 4A Girls #4 (2:17.95, 38-05.75 TJ, 5-01 HJ, 17-00 LJ, 15.11 100mH, Pentathlon: 3821)
6. 104.5 - Jaycie Calvert, 9 - Kenai Central - 19:35 - 4A Girls #5
7. 103.9 - Ithaca Bergholtz, 10 - Kenai Central - 19:37 - 4A Girls #6 (11:48.02)
8. 103.5 - Elizabeth Balsan, 12 - Anchorage Christian - 19:38 - 3A Girls #2 (2:19.68/5:01.49/11:10.67)
9. 102.8 - Megan Pitzman, 11 - Homer - 19:40 - 3A Girls #3
10. 100.5 - Jill Bowker, 10 - Colony - 19:47 - 4A Girls #7

I would do the same for Hawai'i, though I don't know what meet I would use. Iolani seems like the best bet, but that is mid-season and I try to keep comparison meets within 2-3 weeks as much as possible.