Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Idaho 5A/4A State Projections

Here are the Idaho State Meet Projections based on state qualifying meets. Not every team/athlete ran all-out at their state qualifying meet, so this will not give as good of a representation of the state meet as I would have liked… but it does give a general idea. So take this projection with a grain of salt, knowing that teams like Rocky Mountain (boys and girls), among others, are probably going to outperform this if their earlier results are any indication. I eliminated the runners that haven’t qualified to the best of my knowledge… let me know if I got the allocations incorrect.

 

Times are set, as best as possible, to represent the state meet course.

 

Idaho 5A Boys Teams –

1.       71 - Capital - 16:54.38

2.       78 - Rocky Mountain - 16:53.73

3.       94 - Boise - 17:02.06

4.       139 - Centennial - 17:17.97

5.       147 - Meridian - 17:19.15

6.       155 - Lake City - 17:20.32

7.       160 - Highland - P - 17:24.02

8.       163 - Coeur D'Alene - 17:26.90

9.       166 - Idaho Falls - 17:25.01

10.   223 - Skyline - 17:44.97

 

Idaho 5A Boys Top 30 Individuals –

1.       16:16.45 - Dwain Stucker - 10 - Meridian - 177.1

2.       16:19.92 - Justin Ross - 12 - Rocky Mountain - 175.9

3.       16:27.86 - David Steele - 12 - Capital - 173.3

4.       16:32.14 - Andrew Rafla - 11 - Timberline - 171.9

5.       16:33.10 - Jake Finney - 10 - Lake City - 171.6

6.       16:33.50 - Kyler Little - 10 - Lake City - 171.4

7.       16:37.84 - Thomas Rigby - 12 - Boise - 170.0

8.       16:48.43 - Jacob Davis - 9 - Capital - 166.5

9.       16:50.16 - Austin Murphy - 12 - Meridian - 165.9

10.   16:50.27 - Scott Sullivan - 11 - Centennial - 165.9

11.   16:50.98 - Brennen Keen - 12 - Timberline - 165.6

12.   16:51.40 - Michael Dunton - 12 - Coeur D'Alene - 165.5

13.   16:52.30 - Matt Sewall - 10 - Boise - 165.2

14.   16:54.58 - Andrew Follett - 12 - Idaho Falls - 164.5

15.   16:54.85 - Drew Schultz - 10 - Capital - 164.4

16.   16:54.85 - Reuben Mulhern - 12 - Borah - 164.4

17.   16:56.27 - Gabe Harm - 12 - Eagle - 163.9

18.   16:57.09 - David Covert - 12 - Rocky Mountain - 163.6

19.   16:57.39 - Jared Capell - 11 - Mountain View (ID) - 163.5

20.   16:57.50 - Riley Estes - 10 - Coeur D'Alene - 163.5

21.   16:59.52 - Kaden Clay - 12 - Highland - P - 162.8

22.   17:00.25 - Nate Quist - 12 - Rocky Mountain - 162.6

23.   17:00.96 - John Jamboretz - 12 - Boise - 162.3

24.   17:01.06 - Jackson Turner - 12 - Capital - 162.3

25.   17:01.26 - Michael Slagowski - 9 - Rocky Mountain - 162.2

26.   17:03.10 - Nick Moore - 12 - Meridian - 161.6

27.   17:03.48 - D'Artagnan Kilgore - 10 - Highland - P - 161.5

28.   17:03.50 - Sam Powell - 11 - Borah - 161.5

29.   17:05.54 - Micah Drew - 12 - Centennial - 160.8

30.   17:09.31 - Eli Jensen - 9 - Boise - 159.6

 

Idaho 5A Girls Teams –

1.       35 - Coeur D'Alene - 19:11.64

2.       91 - Vallivue - 19:45.96

3.       101 - Boise - 19:50.01

4.       107 - Timberline - 19:54.92

5.       114 - Rocky Mountain - 19:55.29

6.       128 - Mountain View (ID) - 20:09.34

7.       135 - Highland - P - 20:15.33

8.       169 - Idaho Falls - 20:32.72

9.       195 - Hillcrest - 20:48.32

10.   280 - Post Falls - 21:53.36

 

Idaho 5A Girls Top 30 Individuals –

1.       18:49.22 - Emily Hamlin - 10 - Boise - 126.5

2.       18:55.70 - Emily Callahan - 9 - Coeur D'Alene - 124.4

3.       18:56.80 - Punky Duran - 12 - Coeur D'Alene - 124.0

4.       18:57.60 - Kara Story - 10 - Coeur D'Alene - 123.8

5.       18:59.30 - Mikayla Malaspina - 10 - Vallivue - 123.2

6.       19:07.95 - Presli Hutchison - 11 - Highland - P - 120.3

7.       19:08.16 - Dana Snell - 12 - Rocky Mountain - 120.3

8.       19:09.90 - Josie Brown - 10 - Coeur D'Alene - 119.7

9.       19:11.42 - Lila Klopfenstein - 12 - Meridian - 119.2

10.   19:16.51 - Cheryn Trapp - 12 - Vallivue - 117.5

11.   19:18.24 - Paige Dilmore - 11 - Rocky Mountain - 116.9

12.   19:21.70 - Sara Christianson - 9 - Borah - 115.8

13.   19:22.93 - Louisa Serpe - 12 - Timberline - 115.4

14.   19:24.05 - Lillian Ball - 12 - Timberline - 115.0

15.   19:25.98 - Brooke Rawlins - 12 - Eagle - 114.4

16.   19:26.90 - Sienna White - 10 - Boise - 114.1

17.   19:39.73 - Megan Dupree - 10 - Eagle - 109.8

18.   19:43.90 - Sam Mckinnon - 11 - Mountain View (ID) - 108.5

19.   19:45.49 - Niquelle Lewis - 10 - Idaho Falls - 107.9

20.   19:50.42 - McKayla Tiffany - 10 - Vallivue - 106.3

21.   19:50.43 - diseanna Kilgore - 11 - Highland - P - 106.3

22.   19:55.62 - Emily Coleman - 12 - Centennial - 104.6

23.   19:58.20 - Krista Story - 10 - Coeur D'Alene - 103.7

24.   20:01.22 - Natalie Cullum - 10 - Timberline - 102.7

25.   20:04.26 - Sara Powell - 11 - Hillcrest - 101.7

26.   20:05.19 - Jessica Horrocks - 12 - Centennial - 101.4

27.   20:08.04 - Sydney Harris - 10 - Boise - 100.5

28.   20:09.20 - Alexis Wilks - 12 - Highland - P - 100.1

29.   20:09.77 - Olivia Konecni - 9 - Capital - 99.9

30.   20:10.99 - Allison Ellingson - 10 - Mountain View (ID) - 99.5

 

Idaho 4A Boys Teams –

1.       60 - Pocatello - 16:36.14

2.       111 - Burley - 17:13.88

3.       122 - Bishop Kelly - 17:15.25

4.       124 - Kuna - 17:10.99

5.       150 - Preston - 17:21.92

6.       166 - Columbia - 17:29.27

7.       190 - Twin Falls - 17:36.46

8.       198 - Wood River - 17:34.94

9.       201 - Bonneville - 17:40.82

10.   219 - Middleton - 17:46.23

11.   239 - Rigby - 17:52.08

12.   258 - Nampa - 17:58.48

13.   308 - Moscow - 18:14.84

14.   363 - Lakeland - 18:33.72

 

Idaho 4A Boys Top 25 Individuals –

1.       15:49.14 - Elijah Armstrong - 10 - Pocatello - 186.1

2.       16:13.45 - Haydin Herndon - 11 - Pocatello - 178.1

3.       16:13.45 - Driztin Herndon - 11 - Pocatello - 178.1

4.       16:15.10 - Sam Levora - 11 - Sandpoint - 177.5

5.       16:27.56 - Chase England - 12 - Wood River - 173.4

6.       16:31.71 - Michael Cunningham - 12 - Kuna - 172.0

7.       16:34.27 - Andrew Burgess - 12 - Kuna - 171.2

8.       16:34.72 - Ryden Crowther - 12 - Preston - 171.0

9.       16:40.98 - Daniel Elia - 10 - Bishop Kelly - 169.0

10.   16:46.00 - Alberto De Los Reyes - 11 - Caldwell - 167.3

11.   16:49.90 - Matthew Schenk - 11 - Twin Falls - 166.0

12.   16:54.68 - Austin Fred - 10 - Middleton - 164.4

13.   16:56.56 - Jackson Knopp - 12 - Burley - 163.8

14.   16:57.50 - Eric Storey - 11 - Moscow - 163.5

15.   16:59.91 - Tom Parry - 11 - Bishop Kelly - 162.7

16.   17:00.20 - Erik Barfuss - 10 - Columbia - 162.6

17.   17:03.69 - Jeremy Stark - 11 - Twin Falls - 161.4

18.   17:04.46 - Kyle Baldwin - 12 - Bonneville - 161.2

19.   17:05.53 - Levi Watson - 11 - Columbia - 160.8

20.   17:05.63 - Ketchum Wilt - 12 - Wood River - 160.8

21.   17:07.30 - Caleb Day - 10 - Kuna - 160.2

22.   17:13.02 - Joe Grover - 10 - Bishop Kelly - 158.4

23.   17:13.09 - Ethan Judd - 12 - Burley - 158.3

24.   17:13.36 - Tyler Klingler - 12 - Bonneville - 158.2

25.   17:15.24 - Cameron Dietrich - 12 - Preston - 157.6

 

Idaho 4A Girls Teams –

1.       68 - Preston - 20:26.48

2.       117 - Bishop Kelly - 20:56.29

3.       119 - Middleton - 20:51.84

4.       120 - Century - 20:56.06

5.       146 - Skyview - 21:12.84

6.       151 - Jerome - 21:09.65

7.       164 - Columbia - 21:14.65

8.       211 - Moscow - 21:47.20

9.       220 - Bonneville - 21:50.56

10.   239 - Twin Falls - 21:58.32

11.   258 - Sandpoint - 22:05.26

12.   278 - Rigby - 22:18.82

13.   310 - Emmett - 22:30.96

14.   311 - Wood River - 22:33.09

 

Idaho 4A Girls Top 25 Individuals –

1.       18:56.53 - Rachel McGovern - 9 - Pocatello - 124.1

2.       19:35.96 - Jasmine Nesbitt - 12 - Jerome - 111.1

3.       19:42.12 - Hannah McInturff - 12 - Century - 109.0

4.       19:44.68 - Lina Schell - 10 - Middleton - 108.2

5.       19:47.18 - Caitlin Elgan - 11 - Preston - 107.4

6.       19:54.05 - Kelsea Donahue - 12 - Columbia - 105.1

7.       19:57.50 - Chandra Smith - 11 - Emmett - 104.0

8.       20:01.84 - Erika Schell - 10 - Middleton - 102.5

9.       20:03.42 - Jocelyn Barber - 11 - Skyview - 102.0

10.   20:06.48 - Anna Kreslins - 10 - Bishop Kelly - 101.0

11.   20:12.51 - Whitney Groll - 12 - Preston - 99.0

12.   20:12.98 - Amanda Deason - 11 - Columbia - 98.8

13.   20:18.09 - Rachel Cannon - 10 - Blackfoot - 97.1

14.   20:27.40 - Mikhaela Woodward - 10 - Sandpoint - 94.1

15.   20:27.70 - Lindsey Rayborn - 11 - Century - 94.0

16.   20:28.71 - Kylee Wakley - 12 - Preston - 93.6

17.   20:35.66 - Tamika Russell - 10 - Caldwell - 91.3

18.   20:35.86 - Mikayla Homer - 9 - Columbia - 91.3

19.   20:38.84 - Tori Pinnock - 9 - Rigby - 90.3

20.   20:39.86 - Aunika Crowther - 9 - Preston - 89.9

21.   20:44.34 - Dani Aravich - 11 - Bishop Kelly - 88.5

22.   20:52.90 - Rachel Bayly - 9 - Moscow - 85.6

23.   20:56.75 - Kayla Green - 11 - Jerome - 84.4

24.   20:56.96 - Sadie Heindel - 11 - Middleton - 84.3

25.   20:57.55 - Natalie Little - 9 - Bishop Kelly - 84.1

 

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