Sunday, November 6, 2016

Northwest Rankings - Boys Teams (Pre NXR)

As some have asked for, here are my post-state rankings. For simplicity's sake, I only included the mainland states (sorry, Alaska and Hawai'i), and only included the State Meet and State Qualifier races. I took each athlete's best from those meets, and included ALL teams that were at any of those meets. Ended up being 517 boys teams and 459 girls teams. A note, if a team didn't qualify for their state qualifying meet (e.g. any WA 3A MCC/GSL team outside of North Central and Kamiakin), they aren't included, although I don't think any of those teams would have made the cut here anyways.

The process: I scored all the teams, and then the top 150 of those teams, and then the top 100 teams, top 70 teams, top 50 teams, top 35 teams, and finally top 25 teams to come up with these rankings. I will include the scores and average ratings for the 25 team comparison, and list the next 25 teams in the order they were ranked.

Please note that West Anchorage AK would certainly make the Top-25 cut, and Iolani HI boys might make the Top 50 as well. Don't think any other Hawai'i team, and probably no other Alaska team, would be up there.

Also, you will see below that the ratings are a little different than you would expect. This is because these rankings are using a more finalized version of the ratings for the State and State Qualifier races. Differences in relevant previously posted ratings vs. these are: ID State Meet = 15:22.40, WY State Meet = 15:10.73, Oregon 6A-2 = 14:25.30, Oregon 6A-3 = 14:39.64, Oregon 6A-4 = 14:40.53, Oregon 6A-5 = 14:38.26, Idaho 5A-1 = 14:47.97, and Idaho 4A-3 = 14:35.45.

Disclaimer: As usual, I think Montana is a little undervalued here, although not too significantly ... and please keep in mind, these rankings are ONLY considering what the athletes ran at State or their State Qualifier races, and if I were ranking teams based on their best races the order would be different - likely, the Top 5 would have been North Central, Bozeman, Skyline, Crater, Bellarmine Prep.

Without further ado, the Pre-NXR Northwest Boys Team Rankings:

State Champions are in bold, State Non-Qualifiers in italics.

  1. 132 - Skyline ID - 179.8 = Idaho 4A State Champion
  2. 184 - Crater OR - 176.4 = Oregon 5A State Champion
  3. 224 - Bozeman MT - 175.4 = Montana 2A State Champion
  4. 230 - Bellarmine Prep WA - 173.4 = Washington 4A State Champion
  5. 237 - North Central WA - 173.2 = Washington 3A State Champion
  6. 239 - Central Catholic OR - 173.4 = Oregon 6A State Champion
  7. 257 - Summit OR - 172.8 = Oregon 5A State Runner-up
  8. 283 - Central Valley WA - 171.4 = Washington 4A State Runner-up
  9. 317 - Sunset OR - 170.8 = Oregon 6A State Runner-up
  10. 321 - Laramie WY - 171.6 = Wyoming 4A State Champion
  11. 324 - Borah ID - 171.4 = Idaho 5A State Runner-up
  12. 324 - Eisenhower WA - 170.7 = Washington 4A State Third place
  13. 331 - Joel Ferris WA - 170.0 = Washington 4A State Fourth place
  14. 370 - Star Valley WY - 168.9 = Wyoming 3A State Champion
  15. 373 - Henry Jackson WA - 169.4 = Washington 4A State Eighth place
  16. 393 - Camas WA - 169.5 = Washington 4A State Fifth place
  17. 394 - Kelly Walsh WY - 167.1 = Wyoming 4A State Runner-up
  18. 394 - Jesuit OR - 168.1 = Oregon 6A State Third place
  19. 394 - Kamiakin WA - 167.2 = Washington 3A State Third place
  20. 397 - Rocky Mountain ID - 166.8 = Idaho 5A State Champion
  21. 399 - Glacier Peak WA - 167.0 = Washington 4A State sixth place
  22. 400 - Lewis & Clark WA - 166.5 = Washington 4A Eastern Regional #3
  23. 412 - Tahoma WA - 167.1 = Washington 4A State Seventh place
  24. 413 - Mountain View ID - 167.2 = Idaho 5A State Third place
  25. 434 - Sugar-Salem ID - 165.3 = Idaho 3A State Champion

    Best of the Rest:
  26. Franklin OR = Oregon 6A State Fifth place
  27. Madison ID = Idaho 5A State Fourth place
  28. South Eugene OR = Oregon 6A State Fourth place
  29. Jackson Hole WY = Wyoming 4A State Third place
  30. Lewiston ID = Idaho 5A State Fifth place
  31. Wilson OR = Oregon 6A State Sixth place
  32. Interlake WA = Washington 3A State Runner-up
  33. Lake Stevens WA = Washington 4A District I #3
  34. Lincoln OR = Oregon 6A State Fifth place
  35. Issaquah WA = Washington 4A State Ninth place
  36. Eagle ID = Idaho 5A State Sixth place
  37. Skyline WA = Washington 4A State Tenth place
  38. Edmonds-Woodway WA = Washington 3A State Fourth place
  39. Ballard WA = Washington 3A State Fifth place
  40. Timberline (Boise) ID = Idaho 5A State Seventh place
  41. Snohomish WA = Washington 3A State Seventh place
  42. Bishop Kelly ID = Idaho 4A State Runner-up
  43. Sehome WA = Washington 2A State Champion
  44. Richland WA = Washington 4A Eastern Regional #4
  45. Billings Senior MT = Montana 2A State Runner-up
  46. Gig Harbor WA = Washington 3A State Sixth place
  47. Arlington WA = Washington 3A State Eighth place
  48. Mount Si WA = Washington 4A District II #3
  49. Boise ID = Idaho 5A State Eighth place
  50. Gonzaga Prep WA = Washington 4A Eastern Regional #5


Observation: I feel like these ratings as a whole are lower than they should be. A quick analysis of the Washington State boys race suggests it should be rated about 9-10 seconds slower than it is (and it is rated roughly equal to last year). I'm not sold that this is a problem with the Washington ratings as much as all of my ratings being a bit low this year, meaning that I'm fine with the state-to-state and race-to-race comparisons but more concerned with the described quality of the entire fields. That's an issue I will work on tackling over the coming weeks.

3 comments:

  1. I have been looking for the registered teams and which race they will be running. I haven't found it yet. Have you seen that? And where?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No. They are usually posted early Wednesday afternoon, if I remember right, but I started checking for them last night. Haven't seen anything yet.

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  2. Boys Championship Heat Line Up.

    Apollos XC

    Axemen Running Club

    Bellarmine XC

    Billings XC

    Bozeman XC

    Brave Souls Track Club

    Camas Express

    CDP

    Central Oregon Track Club

    Crusader Harriers

    Griak XC

    Hillsdale Harriers

    Interlake High School

    Lions XC

    Loyal Sons of Ireland

    North Spokane XC Club

    SE PDX RACERS

    Stark Street Athletics Club

    svxc

    Tahoma

    The Hungry Krew

    The Peak

    Yakima Harriers

    ReplyDelete