Thursday, November 19, 2015

Nov. 14 Weekend Review

Using the adjustments posted on the All-Time Regional posts, it might be interesting to see how the competition is stacking up.

Here are the Top 10 Individuals, and a note on the teams.

Top Ten Boys Individuals:

15:06.0 - Jaret Carpenter - Wayzata MN
15:07.9 - Brody Smith - Cody WY
15:09.8 - Jonathan Davis - Oakwood IL
15:10.2 - Micah Mather - Highland Park MN
15:11.3 - Benjamin Veatch - Carmel IN
15:12.5 - Seth Hirsch - Millard West NE
15:13.1 - Jack Yearian - Bellarmine Prep WA
15:16.4 - Andy Monroe - Crater OR
15:18.5 - Isaac Harding - Rockford MI
15:18.7 - Jack Aho - Grayslake Central IL


Top Ten Girls Individuals:

17:09.5 - Judy Pendergast - Naperville North IL
17:12.0 - Annie Hill - Glacier MT
17:12.8 - Stephanie Jenks - Unattached IA
17:14.8 - Christina Aragon - Billings Senior MT
17:23.7 - Cailie Logue - Girard KS
17:23.9 - Ella Donaghu - Grant OR
17:28.9 - Grace Ping - Cotter MN
17:29.3 - Bethany Hasz - Jefferson - Alexandria MN
17:29.3 - Emma Benner - Forest Lake MN
17:34.1 - Tiahna Vladic - Billings Senior MT



Boys Team Notes:

Hopkins MN looked very strong, clearly the best of last weekend. I know Sandburg is highly ranked, but I haven't looked to see if it was an off race for them or if Hopkins is simply better.

The Northwest #3 and #4 teams, unfortunately, look like the weakest of the Top 4 finishers. Wayzata MN looked a bit stronger than Lyons Township, but but looked solid and are probably going to be in the conversation for an At-Large bid (I would think).


Girls Team Notes:

None of the teams really separated themselves at the top. In fact, in a smaller field, the fourth place team from the Midwest (Carmel IN) looks like the best of the bunch (scoring the 12 teams against eachother, they come out on top over Willmar MN 129-137 with Edina next with 138)... but that's the way it goes sometimes. Pretty much all the teams are bunched together, aside from HL#4 Wayzata and NW#4 Jesuit. HL#3 St. Thomas Aquinas is probably not sitting in very good position, not because they aren't good enough (they are among that bunch), but because the scoring at their regional just had them so far behind. Kind of like some of the Southwest boys teams a few years ago. It's going to be interesting to see who comes out with the At-Large bids on the girls side, though I'm guessing that the #3 teams from NY and SW will get in ahead of any of these teams.

NXN Midwest Individuals History

Continuing our look at the Fastest Regional Times:

Top 20 Times in NXN Midwest Regional History.

I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).

I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.



Boys:

14:53.1 - Lukas Verzbicas - IL - 2010
14:54.3 - Chris Derrick - IL - 2007
14:59.9 - Jonathan Davis - IL - 2015
15:01.3 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2015
15:01.9 - Jesse Reiser - IL - 2014
15:03.1 - Ryan Robinson - MI - 2014
15:05.2 - Jack Driggs - IL - 2010
15:05.9 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2014
15:06.2 - Zach Wills - OH - 2010
15:06.2 - Matt Pereira - IL - 2014
15:07.1 - Zach Wills - OH - 2009
15:07.5 - Chris Walden - IN - 2010
15:08.5 - Isaac Harding - MI - 2015
15:08.7 - Jack Aho - IL - 2015
15:09.1 - Charlie Kern - IL - 2015
15:09.5 - Ryan Clevenger - IL - 2014
15:11.3 - Sean Torpy - IL - 2015
15:12.3 - Kevin Havel - IL - 2007
15:13.0 - Zack Snider - IN - 2014
15:13.4 - Zach Dale - IL - 2014



Girls:

17:00.6 - Judy Pendergast - IL - 2015
17:28.2 - Anna West - MO - 2015
17:28.6 - Sarah Leinheiser - IN - 2015
17:28.8 - Sarah Kettel - MI - 2014
17:29.1 - Madison Troy - MI - 2015
17:30.6 - Audrey Belf - MI - 2014
17:31.3 - Anna Sophia Keller - IL - 2014
17:33.5 - Alex Buck - IN - 2015
17:34.3 - Hannah Neczypor - OH - 2009
17:35.5 - Madeline Chambers - OH - 2009
17:38.1 - Ashley Erba - IN - 2012
17:38.1 - Rachel Bonner - MI - 2014
17:38.8 - Lindsey Payne - IL - 2015
17:39.7 - Dominique Clairmonte - OH - 2014
17:45.3 - Jocelyn Long - IL - 2015
17:45.7 - Kayla Beattie - IL - 2010
17:46.6 - Madeline Perez - IL - 2012
17:48.8 - Sophia Racette - MO - 2014
17:48.9 - Morgan Gigandet - OH - 2015
17:49.9 - Brooke Wilson - IL - 2015




Regional Comparison Notes:

12 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:04.4 and their National times being an average of 1.04% faster than the #11 scoring runner.

9 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:36.7 and their National times being an average of 1.30% faster than the #11 scoring runner.


Adjustment: Boys = 15:13.9, Girls = 17:50.6 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)

NXN Heartland Individuals History

Continuing our look at the Fastest Regional Times:

Top 20 Times in NXN Heartland Regional History.

I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).

I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.



Boys:

14:58.8 - Jaret Carpenter - MN - 2015
15:03.0 - Micah Mather - MN - 2015
15:05.3 - Seth Hirsch - NE - 2015
15:05.4 - Olin Hacker - WI - 2014
15:07.5 - Will Lauer - SD - 2014
15:08.9 - Addison DeHaven - SD - 2013
15:11.6 - Obsa Ali - MN - 2013
15:12.5 - Joe Klecker - MN - 2014
15:13.8 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2013
15:14.2 - Finn Gessner - WI - 2015
15:14.7 - Chandler Austin - IA - 2013
15:14.7 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2014
15:16.1 - Jake Leingang - ND - 2012
15:16.1 - Ryan Nameth - WI - 2014
15:16.8 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2010
15:17.8 - Nick Wareham - MN - 2014
15:18.2 - Connor Olson - MN - 2014
15:18.6 - Albert Meier - IA - 2013
15:19.6 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2011
15:20.5 - Sam Clausnitzer - ND - 2015




Girls:

17:01.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2015
17:06.0 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2014
17:12.1 - Cailie Logue - KS - 2015
17:12.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2014
17:17.2 - Grace Ping - MN - 2015
17:17.5 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2013
17:17.6 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2015
17:17.6 - Emma Benner - MN - 2015
17:17.9 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2014
17:19.1 - Katie Flood - IA - 2009
17:21.5 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2013
17:21.8 - Ashlie Decker - IA - 2009
17:28.4 - Molly Born - KS - 2015
17:30.0 - Mattie Shirley-Fair - ND - 2015
17:33.6 - Maria Hauger - MN - 2012
17:35.2 - Katie Flood - IA - 2007
17:35.4 - Allison Woodward - WI - 2010
17:35.4 - Annie Frisbie - MN - 2014
17:36.7 - Anna Fenske - MN - 2015
17:38.0 - Anna French - MN - 2014





Regional Comparison Notes:

15 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:14.2 and their National times being an average of 0.28% faster than the #11 scoring runner.

12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:24.5 and their National times being an average of 2.20% faster than the #11 scoring runner.


Adjustment: Boys = 15:16.7, Girls = 17:48.0 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)

NXN Northwest Individuals History

Here is a little bit of a treat for you guys:

Top 20 Times in NXN Northwest Regional History.

I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).

I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.



Boys:

15:19.4 - Tanner Anderson - WA - 2013
15:23.6 - Brody Smith - WY - 2015
15:24.1 - Elijah Armstrong - ID - 2013
15:27.0 - Jeff Howard - WA - 2008
15:27.2 - Barak Watson - ID - 2008
15:28.8 - Jack Yearian - WA - 2015
15:29.6 - Ben Johnston - WA - 2009
15:30.1 - Joe Hardy - WA - 2012
15:31.3 - Kevin Rosaaen - WA - 2008
15:31.5 - Jonathan Lafler - WA - 2007
15:32.2 - Andrew Rafla - ID - 2013
15:32.2 - Andy Monroe - OR - 2015
15:33.1 - Andrew Kimpel - WA - 2008
15:33.4 - Adam Peterman - MT - 2012
15:34.1 - Kenji Bierig - WA - 2010
15:34.4 - Cody Helbling - ID - 2008
15:35.0 - Kai Wilmot - WA - 2013
15:35.9 - Vince Hamilton - WA - 2010
15:36.8 - Ahmed Muhumed - OR - 2015
15:36.9 - Anthony Armstrong - WA - 2011


Girls:

17:27.1 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2013
17:29.3 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2012
17:31.1 - Annie Hill - MT - 2015
17:33.9 - Christina Aragon - MT - 2015
17:34.0 - Katie Knight - WA - 2010
17:36.0 - Makena Morley - MT - 2013
17:40.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2012
17:42.9 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2012
17:43.2 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2015
17:44.2 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2010
17:45.9 - Paige Gilchrist - MT - 2012
17:49.0 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2011
17:52.1 - AnnaMarie Maag - OR - 2010
17:53.6 - Tiahna Vladic - MT - 2015
17:57.4 - Emily Nist - ID - 2009
17:58.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2011
17:58.3 - Kristen Garcia - WA - 2015
17:58.6 - Alyssa Andrews - WA - 2008
17:59.1 - Sara Tsai - OR - 2012
17:59.7 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2013



Regional Comparison Notes:

11 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:30.9 and their National times being an average of 0.96% faster than the #11 scoring runner.

12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:46.1 and their National times being an average of 3.08% faster than the #11 scoring runner.


Adjustment: Boys = 15:39.9, Girls = 18:19.9 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

NXN-NW Girls Ratings

An interesting day last Saturday in Boise at the NXN Northwest Regional.

As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!

The girls team battle was looking to be pretty close between the top six teams. Would it be the undefeated (against NW teams) Bozeman MT squad, the reigning champions from Camas WA, the Sunset OR team led by a fantastic freshman, the Jesuit OR squad led by a trio of freshmen, the Billings Senior MT squad led by an incredible duo, or Summit OR? Unlike the guys side, it turned out those teams remained the top, although they were joined by a Mountain View ID squad the rebounded well from a disappointing third at their state meet. In the end, Bozeman MT came away with their second NXN Northwest title in three years while Sunset OR hung on for second despite their usual #4 still seemingly recovering from a concussion a month ago.

Annie Hill of Montana spread the field out early on as she raced away with it from the start. As it ended up, three Montana standouts ended up in the top four with Oregon's Ella Donaghu the only one able to break them up. Interestingly, the fifth place finisher is a runner who has decided to go the club route rather than compete for her high school (something that a few other athletes on her Whatcom Tesseract club does as well). For those who weren't sure who she was, Kristen Garcia was the Washington 2A Runner-up finisher last year for Sedro-Woolley, and I had no idea what she was up to since. Apparently, she has been racing quite well in Open races, including a fifth place finish in the Open 6k division at the PNTF Championships on November 1 against quite a few relatively recent College graduates and Club NW mainstays who are all very talented.

Anyways, on to the ratings:

(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:18.7)


Top 25 Individuals -

1 - Annie Hill - 17:31.1 - Glacier MT - 156.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Ella Donaghu - 17:43.2 - Grant OR - 152.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Kristen Garcia - 17:58.3 - Sedro-Woolley WA - 147.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
12 - Rachel Morrin - 18:37.4 - Madison ID - 135.1
13 - Pia Richards - 18:39.9 - Eastlake WA - 134.3
14 - Sami Corman - 18:40.1 - Issaquah WA - 134.2
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
16 - Katherine Ruck - 18:46.7 - Moscow ID - 132.1
17 - Kaitlin Wride - 18:47.9 - Flathead MT - 131.7
18 - Mackenzie Marler - 18:48.0 - Cheyenne East WY - 131.7
19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
20 - Kenna Clawson - 18:51.3 - Issaquah WA - 130.6
21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
22 - Bailee Parker - 18:58.7 - West Yellowstone MT - 128.2
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
24 - Libby Michael - 19:02.4 - Deer Park WA - 127.0
25 - Celie Mans - 19:03.4 - Siuslaw OR - 126.6



Top Teams -


9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
60 - Laina Hall - 19:46.5 - Bozeman MT - 112.6
63 - Phoebe Jacques - 19:48.1 - Bozeman MT - 112.0
104 - Zoe Eberspecher - 20:23.7 - Bozeman MT - 100.4
132 - Elsa Sven - 20:59.7 - Bozeman MT - 88.6

6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
30 - Nicole Griffiths - 19:07.8 - Sunset OR - 125.2
40 - Isabel Huelskamp - 19:25.8 - Sunset OR - 119.3
94 - Kelly Makin - 20:10.1 - Sunset OR - 104.8
138 - Elizabeth Thompson - 21:11.5 - Sunset OR - 84.8

7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
87 - Emma Stevenson - 20:06.2 - Summit OR - 106.1
100 - Kelsey Washenberger - 20:15.7 - Summit OR - 103.0
116 - Autumn Layden - 20:39.8 - Summit OR - 95.1
126 - Liv Downing - 20:55.7 - Summit OR - 90.0

21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
34 - Keely Mccormick - 19:18.3 - Jesuit OR - 121.8
49 - Hallie Devore - 19:37.3 - Jesuit OR - 115.6
55 - Kim Sanders - 19:45.6 - Jesuit OR - 112.8
80 - Makenna Schumacher - 19:59.3 - Jesuit OR - 108.4
99 - Aimee Piercy - 20:15.3 - Jesuit OR - 103.1
118 - Greta Anderson - 20:43.5 - Jesuit OR - 93.9

2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4
75 - Jade Hallgrimson - 19:56.5 - Billings Senior MT - 109.3
78 - Courtney Hutton - 19:57.4 - Billings Senior MT - 109.0
85 - Elena Borges - 20:04.9 - Billings Senior MT - 106.5
96 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson - 20:11.9 - Billings Senior MT - 104.3
129 - Jessica Raty - 20:57.1 - Billings Senior MT - 89.5

19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
32 - Rachel Blair - 19:09.9 - Camas WA - 124.5
61 - Emily Wilson - 19:47.7 - Camas WA - 112.2
74 - Ellie Postma - 19:56.3 - Camas WA - 109.4
83 - Maddie Woodson - 20:00.8 - Camas WA - 107.9
86 - Kaylee Merritt - 20:06.0 - Camas WA - 106.2
117 - Madison Child - 20:41.6 - Camas WA - 94.6

44 - Makenna Shuler - 19:29.3 - Mountain View ID - 118.2
45 - Breanna Stauter - 19:32.1 - Mountain View ID - 117.3
48 - Reagan Badger - 19:36.7 - Mountain View ID - 115.8
56 - Adelynn Rosin - 19:46.1 - Mountain View ID - 112.7
76 - Camryn Pritchard - 19:56.5 - Mountain View ID - 109.3
130 - Kenzie Porter - 20:58.1 - Mountain View ID - 89.2
155 - Abby Packer - 21:51.2 - Mountain View ID - 71.8

27 - Ella Degrandpre - 19:03.6 - Hellgate MT - 126.6
51 - Wren Cilimburg - 19:40.4 - Hellgate MT - 114.5
58 - Ellee Becker - 19:46.2 - Hellgate MT - 112.6
69 - Miranda Foster - 19:52.3 - Hellgate MT - 110.7
84 - Allie Monahan - 20:01.9 - Hellgate MT - 107.5
135 - Keilan Sayer - 21:04.4 - Hellgate MT - 87.1

NXN-NW Boys Ratings

An interesting day last Saturday in Boise at the NXN Northwest Regional.

As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!

Several of the top projected teams didn't necessarily fare so well. Crater's #1 ended up as their #4 but their #2 had a HUGE day to finish third overall, North Central's strong #2 at state was a bit further back as their #3, Tahoma's team was sick and their top athletes struggled... but Summit OR and Bozeman MT came out as the top two teams in the region even if they weren't perfect either.

The highlight for me (watching the race) was the showdown with Brody Smith and Jack Yearian, as both went after it and put on a great show. And I just have to say again, huge day for Andy Monroe from Crater - going from third place in Oregon 5A and consistently #2 on his team to third place in the entire Northwest. Awesome!

(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:23.7)


Top 25 Individuals -

1 - Brody Smith - 15:23.6 - Cody WY - 200.0 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Jack Yearian - 15:28.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA - 198.3 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Andy Monroe - 15:32.2 - Crater OR - 197.2 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Ahmed Muhumed - 15:36.8 - West Salem OR - 195.7 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Chris Henry - 15:37.5 - Laramie WY - 195.5 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Justin Janke - 15:44.7 - North Central WA - 193.2
7 - Phillip Fishburn - 15:44.9 - Kamiakin WA - 193.1
8 - Kaeo Kruse - 15:45.8 - Kamehameha HI - 192.8
9 - Aidan Reed - 15:49.3 - Helena MT - 191.7
10 - Alex Martin - 15:53.6 - Summit OR - 190.3
11 - Nathan Pixler - 15:55.3 - Eastlake WA - 189.7
12 - Riley Collins - 15:56.5 - Bozeman MT - 189.3
13 - Ryan Gregory - 15:58.6 - Gig Harbor WA - 188.7
14 - Michael Martin - 15:59.6 - South Eugene OR - 188.3
15 - Chase Equall - 16:02.5 - Bozeman MT - 187.4
16 - Erik Holm - 16:06.7 - Joel Ferris WA - 186.0
17 - Nathan Beamer - 16:07.7 - Arlington WA - 185.7
18 - Henry Hayes - 16:08.0 - Garfield WA - 185.6
19 - Noah Horsburgh - 16:08.2 - Mountain View ID - 185.5
20 - Amir Ado - 16:09.2 - Joel Ferris WA - 185.2
21 - Kennan Schrag - 16:09.4 - Issaquah WA - 185.2
22 - Caleb Hoffmann - 16:13.3 - Bend OR - 183.9
23 - Luis Torres - 16:13.6 - Aloha OR - 183.8
24 - Dylan Holland - 16:14.7 - Anacortes WA - 183.4
25 - Peder Rickbeil - 16:15.8 - Billings Senior MT - 183.1



Top Teams -


10 - Alex Martin - 15:53.6 - Summit OR - 190.3
33 - Thomas Schoderbek - 16:20.9 - Summit OR - 181.4
39 - Ben Wasserman - 16:25.8 - Summit OR - 179.8
52 - Eric Fykerud - 16:36.8 - Summit OR - 176.3
56 - Scott Kincaid - 16:39.1 - Summit OR - 175.5
94 - Jett Ballantyne - 16:59.8 - Summit OR - 168.8
172 - Niklas Sjogren - 17:56.8 - Summit OR - 150.3

12 - Riley Collins - 15:56.5 - Bozeman MT - 189.3
15 - Chase Equall - 16:02.5 - Bozeman MT - 187.4
41 - Caleb Allen - 16:26.4 - Bozeman MT - 179.6
46 - Orrin Clark - 16:30.9 - Bozeman MT - 178.2
86 - Duncan Hamilton - 16:55.9 - Bozeman MT - 170.1
146 - Dylan Humberger - 17:24.9 - Bozeman MT - 160.6
182 - Seth Vinger - 18:14.1 - Bozeman MT - 144.7

6 - Justin Janke - 15:44.7 - North Central WA - 193.2
37 - Jacob Christner - 16:25.1 - North Central WA - 180.1
42 - Sam Sjoberg - 16:27.2 - North Central WA - 179.4
77 - Markus Taylor - 16:49.8 - North Central WA - 172.0
78 - Gabriel Meek - 16:52.3 - North Central WA - 171.2
109 - Ryan Frostad - 17:09.6 - North Central WA - 165.6
123 - Mica Jones - 17:12.8 - North Central WA - 164.6

3 - Andy Monroe - 15:32.2 - Crater OR - 197.2
29 - Derek Tripp - 16:17.0 - Crater OR - 182.7
59 - Erik Olsen - 16:39.8 - Crater OR - 175.3
69 - Walter Vail - 16:43.4 - Crater OR - 174.1
105 - Tanner Shipley - 17:07.1 - Crater OR - 166.4
145 - Jantz Tostentson - 17:24.7 - Crater OR - 160.7
167 - Griff Hokanson - 17:47.0 - Crater OR - 153.5

19 - Noah Horsburgh - 16:08.2 - Mountain View ID - 185.5
35 - Charles Paul - 16:23.1 - Mountain View ID - 180.7
67 - Adrian Jones - 16:42.3 - Mountain View ID - 174.5
79 - Conner Oswald - 16:53.0 - Mountain View ID - 171.0
96 - Ryan Mckinnon - 17:00.3 - Mountain View ID - 168.6
106 - Brandon Walker - 17:08.0 - Mountain View ID - 166.1
137 - Joe Petty - 17:21.8 - Mountain View ID - 161.6

30 - Peter Kirgis - 16:18.0 - Hellgate MT - 182.4
47 - Isaac Schmidt - 16:31.8 - Hellgate MT - 177.9
80 - Preston Novak - 16:53.4 - Hellgate MT - 170.9
81 - Morris Wecker - 16:53.5 - Hellgate MT - 170.8
89 - Danny Provo - 16:56.7 - Hellgate MT - 169.8
152 - Jack Puckett - 17:29.0 - Hellgate MT - 159.3
179 - Kyle Gottman - 18:07.8 - Hellgate MT - 146.7

Monday, November 9, 2015

Pre-NXR Northwest Girls Team Rankings

Here are my pre-regional Northwest Top 25 Girls rankings:

 1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-2 Metro Champion
 2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-2 Metro Runner-up
 3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
 4. Camas WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
 5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion
 6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
 7. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
 8. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
 9. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place, 5A District III Champion
12. Lewis & Clark WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
15. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-4 Intermountain Runner-up
16. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
17. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
18. Kamiak WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional fourth place
19. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Glacier Peak WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A District I Champion
21. Edmonds-Woodway WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A District I Runner-up
22. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place, 5A District V Champion
23. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion, 4A District V Champion
24. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place, 5A District III sixth place
25. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District II Champion

Honorable Mention: Bellevue WA, Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Holy Names Academy WA, Liberty-Issaquah WA, Lincoln OR, Mead WA, Mountlake Terrace WA, Olympia WA, Sandpoint ID, Skyline WA, Tahoma WA, Tualatin OR, Union WA


Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Jackson Hole should still be Top 20-25, while Cheyenne Central and Campbell County might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.

Pre-NXR Northwest Boys Team Rankings

Here are my pre-regional Northwest Top 25 Boys rankings:

 1. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
 2. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
 3. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-3 Midwestern Champion
 4. North Central WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A Eastern Regional Champion
 5. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-3 Mt. Hood Champion
 6. Bellarmine Prep WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Southwest Regional third place
 7. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A District VI Champion
 8. Joel Ferris WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Eastern Regional third place
 9. Sehome WA - Washington 2A State Champion, 2A District I Champion
10. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Runner-up
11. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
12. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Arlington WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District I Champion
14. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
15. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III Champion
16. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
17. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-2 Metro Champion
18. Interlake WA - Washington 3A State fourth place, 3A District II Champion
19. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A State fifth place, 3A Southwest Regional Champion
20. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
21. Camas WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Southwest Regional Runner-up
22. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State sixth place, 3A District II third place
23. University WA - Washington 4A State seventh place, 4A Eastern Regional Champion
24. Lake Stevens WA - Washington 4A State eighth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
25. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion

Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Eastlake WA, Hellgate MT, Marist OR, Mead WA, Pocatello ID, Sheldon OR, Sunset OR, West Linn OR

Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Laramie should still be Top 10, and Star Valley might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.

Washington State Meet Girls Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Washington State meet!

The big question: can Camas come out on top next week and return to NXN Nationals for a chance at a Top 10 finish? Those Oregon teams (and Bozeman, and perhaps other Idaho/Montana teams) are not going to be easy to beat. Could be a competitive regional!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49


Girls Top 45 Overall:

17:53.50 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 137.7
17:56.10 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 136.9
18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:06.60 - Alexis Redfield - 12 - Zillah - 133.3
18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:09.70 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 132.3
18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:15.30 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 130.4
18:15.80 - Erin Mullins - 11 - Cascade (Leavenworth) - 130.2
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
18:19.60 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 128.9
18:19.90 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 128.8
18:23.00 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 127.8
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
18:28.90 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 125.8
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
18:31.70 - Annika Reiss - 9 - Bellingham - 124.8
18:32.30 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 124.6
18:32.30 - Kaili Keefe - 12 - West Valley (Yakima) - 124.6
18:33.50 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 124.2
18:34.30 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 124.0
18:36.70 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 123.2
18:37.20 - Isa Meyers - 10 - Northwest - 123.0
18:37.60 - Erica Simison - 10 - Eisenhower - 122.9
18:40.30 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 121.9
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:40.80 - Malia Pivec - 11 - Lynnwood - 121.8
18:42.90 - Amy Jo Murphy - 12 - Nooksack Valley - 121.1
18:43.10 - Brooke Manson - 10 - Eastlake - 121.0
18:43.80 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 120.8
18:44.80 - Claire Dingus - 10 - University - 120.4
18:45.40 - Kearan Nelson - 11 - Central Valley - 120.2
18:46.40 - Mikayla Pivec - 12 - Lynnwood - 119.9
18:47.30 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 119.6
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
18:53.80 - McKinzi Teeples - 9 - Kamiakin - 117.4
18:56.60 - Emma Sjolund - 10 - Sumner - 116.4
18:56.70 - Jamie Smith - 12 - Ballard - 116.4
18:56.80 - Camila David-Smith - 11 - Interlake - 116.4
18:56.90 - Katherine Walter - 12 - Mountlake Terrace - 116.3


18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
19:07.10 - Maddie Woodson - 12 - Camas - 112.9
19:38.40 - Kaylee Merritt - 10 - Camas - 102.3
19:48.30 - Ellie Postma - 10 - Camas - 99.0
20:04.20 - Madison Child - 10 - Camas - 93.6

18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
19:31.10 - Abby Goff - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 104.8
19:43.70 - Emily Armstrong - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 100.6
20:27.50 - Allegra VanderWilde - 12 - Lewis and Clark - 85.8
20:33.50 - Madeline Pincock - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 83.7
20:34.00 - Emily Phillip - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 83.6

18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
20:10.20 - Julene McDonald - 10 - Mt Si - 91.6
20:16.60 - Chloe Cosgrove - 10 - Mt Si - 89.4
21:40.70 - Ellie Bruce - 11 - Mt Si - 61.1
21:51.00 - Lexi Winter - 10 - Mt Si - 57.6

18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
19:37.80 - Sydney Boland - 11 - Edmonds-Woodway - 102.5
19:56.60 - Susan Kim - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 96.2
20:05.00 - Stephanie Wroblewski - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 93.4
20:51.30 - Kaitlynn Rust - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 77.7
21:10.00 - Megan Kelly - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 71.4

18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
19:11.30 - Brooke Wallace - 9 - Glacier Peak - 111.5
19:17.00 - Natalie Church - 11 - Glacier Peak - 109.6
19:38.30 - Erin Boyle - 11 - Glacier Peak - 102.4
20:19.30 - Elena Willems - 10 - Glacier Peak - 88.5
20:44.20 - Katie Gaffney - 11 - Glacier Peak - 80.1
21:15.80 - Maiti Hunter - 12 - Glacier Peak - 69.5

18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
19:32.70 - Katie Riley - 9 - Issaquah - 104.3
19:42.70 - Andie Kolasinski - 10 - Issaquah - 100.9
20:32.90 - Emma Jordan - 9 - Issaquah - 83.9
20:41.40 - Lauren Haas - 10 - Issaquah - 81.1
21:38.00 - Mackenzie Crandall - 10 - Issaquah - 62.0

Washington State Meet Boys Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Washington State meet!

Looks like the Washington teams showed up better than expected this weekend. Great to see!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49


Boys Top 45 Overall:

15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:18.80 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 189.9
15:20.20 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 189.5
15:22.50 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 188.7
15:25.00 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 187.9
15:25.90 - Graeme Schroeder - 12 - Tahoma - 187.5
15:28.80 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 186.6
15:29.20 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 186.4
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:32.10 - Tibebu Proctor - 11 - Northwest - 185.5
15:32.30 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 185.4
15:33.80 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 184.9
15:36.20 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 184.1
15:36.50 - Ryan Gregory - 12 - Gig Harbor - 184.0
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
15:38.00 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 183.5
15:38.80 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 183.2
15:39.20 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 183.1
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:39.50 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 183.0
15:40.50 - Keegan Fitzpatrick - 12 - Tahoma - 182.6
15:40.90 - Riley Moore - 9 - Richland - 182.5
15:41.10 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 182.4
15:41.30 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 182.4
15:41.40 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 182.3
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:44.10 - Andrew Cooper - 12 - Liberty (Issaquah) - 181.4
15:44.10 - Silas Griffith - 11 - Ridgefield - 181.4
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
15:44.30 - Owen Buck - 12 - Ballard - 181.3
15:44.40 - Tamire Proctor - 10 - Northwest - 181.3
15:44.60 - Kenneth Rooks - 10 - College Place - 181.2
15:45.40 - Joe Waskom - 9 - Mt Si - 181.0
15:45.80 - Marques Chacon - 12 - Evergreen (Seattle) - 180.8
15:45.90 - Turlan Morlan - 10 - Gonzaga Prep - 180.8
15:46.00 - Luke Beauchamp - 12 - Interlake - 180.8
15:46.10 - Tom Mikkelson - 12 - Juanita - 180.7
15:46.10 - Dawson Besst - 10 - Tahoma - 180.7
15:46.80 - Ryan Cox - 12 - Bainbridge - 180.5
15:48.80 - Travis Crumpler - 12 - Kamiakin - 179.8
15:49.10 - Jonah Franco - 10 - Kamiakin - 179.7


15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:57.70 - Jacob Christner - 11 - North Central - 176.8
16:10.10 - Gabriel Meek - 12 - North Central - 172.6
16:21.00 - Markus Taylor - 10 - North Central - 169.0
16:24.30 - Mica Jones - 12 - North Central - 167.8
16:33.20 - Ryan Frostad - 11 - North Central - 164.8

15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:57.80 - Luke Ostrander - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 176.8
16:07.70 - Spencer Fischer - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 173.4
16:19.30 - Deven Patel - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 169.5
16:30.40 - Ben Sherman - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 165.8
16:53.90 - Will James - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 157.9

15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:56.80 - Miguel Vargas - 12 - Eisenhower - 177.1
16:17.90 - Angel Cuevas-Verduzco - 10 - Eisenhower - 170.0
16:25.40 - Alfonso Cuevas - 9 - Eisenhower - 167.5
16:46.90 - Moise Cook - 10 - Eisenhower - 160.2
16:56.70 - Rogelio Mares - 10 - Eisenhower - 156.9

15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
16:02.60 - Todd Bloom - 10 - Joel Ferris - 175.2
16:20.30 - Kellen Bulger - 12 - Joel Ferris - 169.2
16:24.60 - Gerard Gaimari - 12 - Joel Ferris - 167.7
16:31.70 - Andrew Potyk - 12 - Joel Ferris - 165.3
16:34.20 - Wilson Ladd - 10 - Joel Ferris - 164.5

15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
16:17.20 - Bryce Johnson - 11 - Sehome - 170.2
16:21.10 - Sam Gillman - 12 - Sehome - 168.9
16:25.40 - Logan Franey - 11 - Sehome - 167.5
16:52.00 - Jackson Slesk - 11 - Sehome - 158.5
16:59.30 - Kyler Cruz - 11 - Sehome - 156.0