Here are the 3A Washington State Projections, which are based on best results from ALL INVITATIONALS and LEAGUE/DISTRICT/REGIONAL MEETS. Times are set to Sun Willows standard.
Boys Top 50 Individuals –
1. 14:41.28 - Joe Hardy - 11 - Seattle Prep - 202.3
2. 14:43.93 - Taylor (Kai) Wilmot - 11 - North Central - 201.4
3. 15:05.33 - John Dressel - 10 - Mt Spokane - 194.1
4. 15:09.67 - Tanner Anderson - 10 - North Central - 192.7
5. 15:22.35 - Keith Williams - 12 - North Central - 188.4
6. 15:22.83 - Andrew Foerder - 11 - Nathan Hale - 188.2
7. 15:32.52 - Nicholas Hauger - 11 - Shadle Park - 185.0
8. 15:42.29 - Spike Sievert - 12 - Bellevue - 181.7
9. 15:43.19 - Max Leach - 11 - Nathan Hale - 181.4
10. 15:43.38 - Oliver Reed - 11 - North Central - 181.3
11. 15:43.40 - Keenan Piper - 12 - Seattle Prep - 181.3
12. 15:44.97 - Austin Oser - 12 - Kamiakin - 180.8
13. 15:45.38 - Austen Frostad - 12 - North Central - 180.6
14. 15:50.00 - Ahmed Ibrahim - 11 - Kamiakin - 179.1
15. 15:50.39 - Nik Taylor - 12 - North Central - 178.9
16. 15:51.10 - Sam Giner - 12 - Interlake - 178.7
17. 15:54.53 - Keegan McCormick - 11 - Kamiakin - 177.5
18. 15:55.40 - Isaac Kitzan - 12 - North Central - 177.2
19. 15:56.66 - Garrett Kraal - 11 - Kamiakin - 176.8
20. 15:57.47 - Connor Jungkuntz - 12 - Ferndale - 176.5
21. 15:59.35 - Kees von Michalofski - 11 - Mt Spokane - 175.9
22. 16:01.42 - Jack Pearce - 11 - Mountlake Terrace - 175.2
23. 16:01.58 - Henry Morris - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 175.1
24. 16:01.89 - Stuart Smith - 10 - Nathan Hale - 175.0
25. 16:03.55 - Gareth Jones - 12 - O'Dea - 174.5
26. 16:04.28 - Patrick McDermott - 10 - Ingraham - 174.2
27. 16:05.24 - Carter Osborne - 12 - Shorecrest - 173.9
28. 16:06.98 - Austin Blankenship - 10 - Columbia River - 173.3
29. 16:07.39 - Abebe Ferede - 11 - Nathan Hale - 173.2
30. 16:07.69 - Cody Williamson - 11 - Shelton - 173.1
31. 16:07.92 - Jacob Vandenberg - 11 - Mt Spokane - 173.0
32. 16:09.45 - Jeevan Philip - 12 - Hanford - 172.5
33. 16:11.96 - Kirby McDermott - 10 - Ingraham - 171.6
34. 16:12.87 - Christian Rodriguez - 12 - Kamiakin - 171.3
35. 16:13.36 - Andrew Snyder - 10 - Kamiakin - 171.2
36. 16:13.57 - Keenan Leary - 11 - Seattle Prep - 171.1
37. 16:14.08 - Kevin Hogan - 12 - Seattle Prep - 170.9
38. 16:14.78 - Kyle Pratt - 11 - Bellevue - 170.7
39. 16:14.84 - Cameron Glade - 10 - Kamiakin - 170.7
40. 16:15.20 - Nick Dorsett - 12 - Kennedy Catholic - 170.5
41. 16:15.74 - Natan Lee-Engel - 12 - Nathan Hale - 170.4
42. 16:15.76 - Nick Mounier - 11 - Kelso - 170.3
43. 16:16.95 - Stephen Nelson - 11 - Lakes - 169.9
44. 16:18.19 - Austin Middleton - 12 - Mt Spokane - 169.5
45. 16:18.36 - Jay Taves - 12 - Interlake - 169.5
46. 16:18.53 - Logan Jungkuntz - 12 - Ferndale - 169.4
47. 16:23.74 - Santos Zaid - 12 - Juanita - 167.7
48. 16:24.40 - Hiron Redman - 12 - Liberty-Issaquah - 167.4
49. 16:25.56 - Aaron Bowe - 11 - Liberty-Issaquah - 167.0
50. 16:25.75 - Nicholas McMillan - 11 - Columbia River - 167.0
Boys Teams –
1. 32 - North Central - 15:20.94
2. 81 - Kamiakin - 15:55.81
3. 87 - Nathan Hale - 15:54.21
4. 107 - Seattle Prep - 15:52.66
5. 117 - Mt Spokane - 15:59.93
6. 183 - Bellevue - 16:25.51
7. 220 - Bishop Blanchet - 16:37.72
8. 249 - Bainbridge - 16:42.58
9. 264 - Columbia River - 16:45.82
10. 328 - Oak Harbor - 17:00.59
11. 329 - Glacier Peak - 16:59.44
12. 337 - Lakes - 17:02.54
13. 346 - Shorewood - 17:04.87
14. 363 - Shelton - 17:11.64
15. 375 - Enumclaw - 17:11.82
16. 399 - North Thurston - 17:21.25
Girls Top 50 Individuals –
1. 16:50.38 - Amy-Eloise Neale - 12 - Glacier Peak - 158.7
2. 17:15.60 - Katie Knight - 12 - North Central - 150.1
3. 17:46.52 - Katie Bianchini - 12 - Glacier Peak - 139.7
4. 18:19.76 - Nicole Goecke - 11 - Prairie - 128.5
5. 18:20.86 - Megan Beauchene - 11 - Kamiakin - 128.1
6. 18:26.59 - Andrea Masterson - 10 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 126.2
7. 18:27.91 - Haley Suarez - 12 - Meadowdale - 125.7
8. 18:41.38 - Michelle Fletcher - 12 - Kamiakin - 121.2
9. 18:44.12 - Megan Chucka - 12 - Liberty-Issaquah - 120.2
10. 18:47.80 - Rebecca Delacruz-Gunderson - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 119.0
11. 18:49.35 - McKenzi Bravo - 11 - Peninsula - 118.5
12. 18:51.98 - Emily Kump - 10 - Southridge - 117.6
13. 18:56.66 - Makenna Endebrock - 9 - Mt Spokane - 116.0
14. 19:00.02 - Mikayla Ingram - 11 - Glacier Peak - 114.9
15. 19:02.94 - Moira O'Connor Lenth - 12 - Holy Names Academy - 113.9
16. 19:05.97 - Rachael Lefstad - 12 - Marysville Getchell - 112.8
17. 19:12.39 - Megan Davis - 11 - Glacier Peak - 110.7
18. 19:12.59 - Lindsay Tompkins - 12 - Prairie - 110.6
19. 19:14.18 - Christina Wicker - 12 - Oak Harbor - 110.1
20. 19:15.06 - Gigi Vujovich - 10 - Shorecrest - 109.8
21. 19:17.77 - Lily Engelbrekt - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 108.9
22. 19:20.49 - Julia Ellings - 12 - Bellevue - 107.9
23. 19:23.40 - Allie Wood - 12 - Liberty-Issaquah - 107.0
24. 19:23.56 - Hallie Whitley - 11 - North Thurston - 106.9
25. 19:23.80 - Leslie Olsen - 12 - Southridge - 106.8
26. 19:24.42 - Antoinette Tansley - 10 - Interlake - 106.6
27. 19:24.69 - Alida Scalzo - 11 - Mercer Island - 106.5
28. 19:24.71 - Katie Lynch - 12 - Peninsula - 106.5
29. 19:24.96 - Jamie Ferris - 10 - Prairie - 106.4
30. 19:26.91 - Alexis Manns - 10 - Juanita - 105.8
31. 19:27.89 - Paloma Farkas - 9 - Nathan Hale - 105.4
32. 19:28.33 - Bailey Scott - 11 - Mt Si - 105.3
33. 19:29.72 - Sarah Manning - 10 - Peninsula - 104.8
34. 19:30.00 - Katherine Dittmann - 10 - Glacier Peak - 104.7
35. 19:31.64 - Nikita Waghani - 11 - Interlake - 104.2
36. 19:31.85 - Sarah Bliesner - 10 - Liberty-Issaquah - 104.1
37. 19:32.50 - Alexa Bauman - 9 - Mercer Island - 103.9
38. 19:34.74 - Nadia Lucas - 12 - Interlake - 103.1
39. 19:35.02 - Samantha Northrop - 11 - Glacier Peak - 103.0
40. 19:35.82 - Jonalynn Horn - 10 - Oak Harbor - 102.8
41. 19:37.82 - Alexandra Laiblin - 11 - Oak Harbor - 102.1
42. 19:39.29 - Signe Lindquist - 11 - Bainbridge - 101.6
43. 19:39.38 - Katherine Penner - 9 - Bellevue - 101.6
44. 19:41.62 - Amy Pfaff - 12 - Hanford - 100.8
45. 19:42.24 - Ashlie Standow - 12 - University - 100.6
46. 19:45.89 - Ella Schroth - 9 - Mountlake Terrace - 99.4
47. 19:46.15 - Kelsey Jerome - 11 - University - 99.3
48. 19:47.25 - Emily Moon - 10 - Kamiakin - 98.9
49. 19:47.63 - Hannah Calvert - 12 - Enumclaw - 98.8
50. 19:47.96 - Gabi Gomez-Wint - 10 - Shadle Park - 98.7
Girls Teams –
1. 48 - Glacier Peak - 18:27.86
2. 136 - Liberty-Issaquah - 19:34.09
3. 149 - Prairie - 19:32.97
4. 160 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 19:34.97
5. 163 - Kamiakin - 19:32.84
6. 175 - Peninsula - 19:46.23
7. 198 - Mt Spokane - 19:54.55
8. 202 - Interlake - 19:59.02
9. 214 - Bishop Blanchet - 20:03.66
10. 214 - Mercer Island - 20:02.09
11. 251 - University - 20:13.72
12. 255 - Oak Harbor - 20:11.12
13. 264 - Enumclaw - 20:17.48
14. 285 - Stanwood - 20:24.35
15. 382 - Bonney Lake - 21:02.09
16. 420 - Columbia River - 21:04.10
This is the guy from last night. Your team projections are similar to mine; point totals are generally within 10pts, and finish order is consistent except I have flip-flopped Prairie and Lakeside in the Girls race, and Mt Spokane and Seattle Prep n the Boy's race. My projections were based strictly on the times run for the State qualifying meets.
ReplyDeleteDo you personally feel that Neale will beat Knight? How sure are you?
ReplyDeleteNot sure at all, that race could go either way. Both are undefeated and both have beaten eachother before... Knight is the defending champion, but Neale has been running better marks so far this year (though when you're winning, you're doing everything you need to do... so it's not like Knight is at a disadvantage, it's just that she hasn't had to run that fast yet)
DeleteI'm thinking it could be quite a bit like last year -- go out fast, then start running faster and faster till someone drops off. Who will it be this year? Guess we'll find out on Saturday!
I've watched Katie run recently, and you are right, she hasnt really been pushed. I think that its going to be way closer than the tiimes run so far would imply.
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