Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Oregon 6A State Meet Projections

Important Note: These projections are ONLY based on the League Championship results. Not all teams went all-out, and not all individuals went all-out, meaning those teams/athletes should do better than these projections would indicate. Predicting results based off of one single performance is rarely a good idea, but with only one level of state qualifying and without every team lining up for a mid-October invite, there isn't really a better way to do these. So, take them with a big grain of salt.

Included below are the projected team scores, Top 50 Individuals, as well as their League rating and Lane CC (Oregon State XC) '15 equivalent times.


Boys Teams:

  1.  95 - Central Catholic - 16:28.95
  2. 125 - Jesuit - 16:33.21
  3. 126 - South Eugene - 16:37.42
  4. 142 - Sunset - 16:32.99
  5. 168 - Lincoln - 16:46.69
  6. 180 - Wilson - 16:46.59
  7. 194 - Franklin - 16:52.19
  8. 218 - Forest Grove - 16:54.36
  9. 219 - Sheldon - 16:57.65
  10. 247 - West Salem - 16:55.25
  11. 268 - Grants Pass - 17:09.54
  12. 316 - Lakeridge - 17:18.95
  13. 319 - Aloha - 17:21.15
  14. 323 - West Linn - 17:21.19
  15. 325 - Tigard - 17:20.24
  16. 328 - McMinnville - 17:13.19
  17. 374 - Reynolds - 17:28.43
  18. 465 - Barlow - 17:44.39



Boys Top 50 Individuals:

  1. 188.0 - 15:33.12 - Ahmed Muhumed, 12 - West Salem
  2. 187.0 - 15:35.91 - Andy Muha, 12 - Sunset
  3. 185.1 - 15:41.58 - Zane Fodge, 10 - McMinnville
  4. 181.9 - 15:51.35 - Joshua Schumacher, 11 - Jesuit
  5. 178.8 - 16:00.59 - Adam Klein, 11 - Tualatin
  6. 176.5 - 16:07.39 - Alex Slenning, 11 - Wilson
  7. 175.9 - 16:09.33 - Caleb Seely, 12 - Wilson
  8. 174.8 - 16:12.40 - Michael McCausland, 12 - Central Catholic
  9. 174.7 - 16:12.87 - Jakob Tew, 12 - Sunset
  10. 173.9 - 16:15.18 - Spencer Tsai, 12 - South Eugene
  11. 173.8 - 16:15.38 - MacKenzie Norman, 11 - Forest Grove
  12. 173.1 - 16:17.49 - Vincent Huynh-Watkins, 12 - South Eugene
  13. 172.1 - 16:20.60 - Jesse Shaneyfelt, 12 - Sheldon
  14. 172.1 - 16:20.69 - Will Sheaffer, 10 - Jesuit
  15. 171.8 - 16:21.41 - Quincy Norman, 9 - Forest Grove
  16. 171.6 - 16:22.13 - Shad Galloway, 12 - Sunset
  17. 170.8 - 16:24.51 - Dominic Arce, 12 - Lincoln
  18. 169.6 - 16:27.98 - Cameron Thompson, 11 - Central Catholic
  19. 169.2 - 16:29.10 - Will Eaton, 11 - Franklin
  20. 168.3 - 16:31.95 - Carson Cohn, 12 - Lincoln
  21. 168.3 - 16:32.05 - Henry Mong, 12 - Franklin
  22. 167.9 - 16:33.14 - Riley Stewart, 12 - Forest Grove
  23. 167.7 - 16:33.85 - Gavin Macpherson, 12 - Central Catholic
  24. 167.3 - 16:34.86 - Eric Brecht, 11 - Central Catholic
  25. 167.3 - 16:34.96 - Fabian Elizondo Jr, 11 - West Salem
  26. 167.2 - 16:35.32 - Spencer Hutchinson, 12 - Lincoln
  27. 167.1 - 16:35.67 - Matthew McCausland, 12 - Central Catholic
  28. 166.6 - 16:37.05 - Lammi Kalil, 11 - Roosevelt
  29. 166.4 - 16:37.58 - Jacob Allmaras, 10 - North Medford
  30. 166.1 - 16:38.50 - Logan Phillips, 12 - Jesuit
  31. 165.1 - 16:41.64 - Andrew Payton, 9 - Tualatin
  32. 164.9 - 16:42.20 - Jenner Higgins, 12 - Sheldon
  33. 163.8 - 16:45.41 - Keaton Holt, 12 - Grant
  34. 163.4 - 16:46.53 - Nathan Willins, 11 - Westview
  35. 163.4 - 16:46.71 - Quinton Read, 12 - Newberg
  36. 163.4 - 16:46.72 - Nathan Burton, 11 - Grants Pass
  37. 163.2 - 16:47.05 - Alex Harbert, 12 - Lakeridge
  38. 163.2 - 16:47.12 - Ian Twyman, 10 - South Eugene
  39. 163.1 - 16:47.63 - BJ Sauter, 11 - South Eugene
  40. 162.9 - 16:47.98 - Alan Wild, 12 - Beaverton
  41. 162.4 - 16:49.48 - Simon Walsh, 11 - Franklin
  42. 162.4 - 16:49.63 - Cole Thomas, 10 - Canby
  43. 162.3 - 16:49.94 - Barrett Titus, 12 - Grants Pass
  44. 162.1 - 16:50.54 - Cole Grieb, 10 - Tigard
  45. 161.7 - 16:51.61 - Tristan Oakes, 11 - Canby
  46. 161.6 - 16:51.93 - Davis Robbins, 11 - Franklin
  47. 161.5 - 16:52.13 - Elius Graff, 12 - Wilson
  48. 160.8 - 16:54.31 - Neal Cranston, 12 - Canby
  49. 160.8 - 16:54.47 - Brady Lance, 12 - Central Catholic
  50. 160.6 - 16:54.86 - Grayson Mazziotti, 11 - Sheldon



Girls Teams:

  1.  48 - Jesuit - 18:49.15
  2.  86 - Sunset - 18:48.82
  3. 116 - St Mary's Academy - 19:23.08
  4. 139 - Sheldon - 19:34.58
  5. 195 - Lincoln - 19:59.48
  6. 226 - Sprague - 19:57.92
  7. 232 - Tualatin - 20:01.09
  8. 242 - Forest Grove - 20:08.92
  9. 243 - Wilson - 20:11.26
  10. 262 - West Linn - 20:15.30
  11. 290 - Westview - 20:23.76
  12. 294 - South Eugene - 20:20.46
  13. 314 - South Medford - 20:28.88
  14. 334 - Central Catholic - 20:30.74
  15. 347 - Franklin - 20:46.99
  16. 372 - Oregon City - 20:46.76
  17. 377 - Clackamas - 20:52.68
  18. 402 - McMinnville - 20:49.76



Girls Top 50 Individuals:

  1. 146.1 - 17:38.21 - Ember Stratton, 10 - Sunset
  2. 135.3 - 18:10.74 - Lara Rix, 12 - St Mary's Academy
  3. 135.0 - 18:11.57 - Lucy Huelskamp, 9 - Sunset
  4. 134.3 - 18:13.53 - Kelly Makin, 11 - Sunset
  5. 131.7 - 18:21.50 - Olivia Johnson, 12 - Barlow
  6. 131.6 - 18:21.66 - Alexis Kebbe, 9 - Jesuit
  7. 126.9 - 18:35.64 - Ginger Murnieks, 10 - Sprague
  8. 125.5 - 18:39.93 - Melissa Berry, 11 - Sheldon
  9. 125.0 - 18:41.53 - Makenna Schumacher, 10 - Jesuit
  10. 121.3 - 18:52.60 - Kaylee Mitchell, 11 - Sprague
  11. 120.7 - 18:54.29 - Keely McCormick, 11 - Jesuit
  12. 120.2 - 18:55.68 - Kate Intile, 12 - Tualatin
  13. 118.3 - 19:01.40 - Taylor Chiotti, 11 - Southridge
  14. 117.7 - 19:03.35 - Kelsey Gripekoven, 9 - Jesuit
  15. 117.2 - 19:04.90 - Greta Anderson, 10 - Jesuit
  16. 114.6 - 19:12.48 - Caramia Mestler, 11 - Sheldon
  17. 113.8 - 19:14.99 - Elizabeth Rinck, 10 - Jesuit
  18. 112.6 - 19:18.62 - Rowan Halsey, 11 - St Mary's Academy
  19. 111.7 - 19:21.34 - Kyla Becker, 10 - Lincoln
  20. 111.1 - 19:23.11 - Sarah Lyell, 10 - St Mary's Academy
  21. 110.0 - 19:26.39 - Anna Chau, 10 - South Salem
  22. 109.9 - 19:26.52 - Chloe Jensen, 12 - Jesuit
  23. 108.9 - 19:29.65 - Madison Elmore, 9 - South Eugene
  24. 108.8 - 19:29.74 - Madison Willhoft, 11 - North Salem
  25. 108.2 - 19:31.52 - Sarah Hanson, 10 - Tualatin
  26. 107.7 - 19:33.27 - Hannah Aguirre, 10 - Forest Grove
  27. 107.6 - 19:33.44 - Casey Novak, 11 - Newberg
  28. 107.1 - 19:34.86 - Dulcie Jones, 12 - Lake Oswego
  29. 106.1 - 19:38.09 - Claire Ebert, 11 - North Medford
  30. 106.0 - 19:38.26 - Francesca Ierulli, 10 - Wilson
  31. 106.0 - 19:38.33 - Elise Abbott, 10 - Sprague
  32. 104.8 - 19:41.91 - Ahdra Klingler, 10 - Grants Pass
  33. 104.7 - 19:42.25 - Grace David, 11 - Lake Oswego
  34. 104.7 - 19:42.27 - Jolien DeBoutte, 11 - Sunset
  35. 104.4 - 19:43.01 - Kaylin Sheley, 10 - Sheldon
  36. 103.4 - 19:46.12 - Brooklyn James, 11 - Clackamas
  37. 103.2 - 19:46.60 - Katy Burkhartzmeyer, 10 - West Linn
  38. 103.0 - 19:47.31 - Ava Jablonski, 10 - St Mary's Academy
  39. 102.6 - 19:48.34 - Victoria Boechler, 12 - South Eugene
  40. 102.6 - 19:48.55 - Amara Christensen, 9 - Central Catholic
  41. 102.5 - 19:48.64 - Lydia Scott, 12 - South Medford
  42. 101.6 - 19:51.30 - Hannah Berdahl, 11 - Forest Grove
  43. 101.4 - 19:52.10 - Johanna Briscoe, 12 - West Linn
  44. 100.7 - 19:54.05 - Elizabeth Khoury, 10 - Forest Grove
  45. 100.2 - 19:55.57 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 12 - Sheldon
  46.  99.2 - 19:58.44 - Kendall Accetta, 10 - Lincoln
  47.  99.0 - 19:59.17 - Kaitlyn Kruse, 9 - Reynolds
  48.  98.7 - 20:00.07 - Grace Heizer, 11 - Wilson
  49.  98.5 - 20:00.78 - Alexa Hayes, 11 - Clackamas
  50.  98.4 - 20:00.88 - Eleanor Tetreault, 12 - Franklin
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