Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Washington 3A State Meet Projections

Important note: These projections are ONLY based on the State Qualifying Meet and League Championship results. Not all teams went all-out, and not all individuals went all-out, in either of their meets meaning those teams/athletes should do better than these projections would indicate. Also, there are four leagues in the state that didn't have separate League and State Qualifying meets (4A GSL, 4A KingCo, 4A CBBN and 2A CWAC). Teams and athletes from those leagues might be slightly disadvantaged in the projections if they didn't run well at their state qualifying meet.

Included below are the projected team scores, Top 50 Individuals, as well as their best league/district/regional rating and Sun Willows '15 equivalent times.


Boys Teams:
  1.  48 - North Central - 16:07.19
  2.  97 - Kamiakin - 16:20.94
  3. 148 - Interlake - 16:32.98
  4. 179 - Arlington - 16:39.06
  5. 198 - Snohomish - 16:44.37
  6. 199 - Gig Harbor - 16:43.84
  7. 208 - Ballard - 16:44.17
  8. 209 - Garfield - 16:43.01
  9. 212 - Redmond - 16:48.35
  10. 218 - Edmonds-Woodway - 16:44.03
  11. 248 - Bishop Blanchet - 16:53.73
  12. 287 - Everett - 17:04.65
  13. 290 - Woodrow Wilson - 17:03.23
  14. 301 - Lakes - 17:07.21
  15. 333 - Mountain View - 17:13.91
  16. 359 - Bonney Lake - 17:17.96


Boys Top 50 Individuals
  1. 176.8 - 15:53.42 - Jacob Christner, 12 - North Central
  2. 176.8 - 15:53.42 - Hayden Dressel, 12 - Mt Spokane
  3. 176.6 - 15:54.04 - James Mwaura, 11 - Lincoln
  4. 176.3 - 15:54.83 - Matthew Park, 12 - Edmonds-Woodway
  5. 176.1 - 15:55.42 - Jonah Franco, 11 - Kamiakin
  6. 175.4 - 15:57.57 - Bradley Peloquin, 10 - Gig Harbor
  7. 175.1 - 15:58.51 - William Laird, 12 - Garfield
  8. 174.7 - 15:59.51 - Johan Correa, 10 - Kennewick
  9. 172.8 - 16:05.13 - Casey Bennett, 11 - Woodrow Wilson
  10. 172.7 - 16:05.41 - Ryan Child, 10 - Kamiakin
  11. 172.3 - 16:06.63 - Henry Milodragovich, 12 - Garfield
  12. 171.8 - 16:08.30 - Ash Ruff, 12 - North Central
  13. 171.4 - 16:09.31 - Matthew Roberts, 11 - Interlake
  14. 171.3 - 16:09.80 - Hank Knight, 12 - North Central
  15. 170.7 - 16:11.50 - Dante Paszkeicz, 11 - Interlake
  16. 170.5 - 16:12.00 - Mohamed Ahmed, 11 - North Central
  17. 170.4 - 16:12.41 - Markus Taylor, 11 - North Central
  18. 170.2 - 16:13.00 - Jonny Maier, 12 - Ballard
  19. 169.9 - 16:13.69 - Cameron Sanders, 12 - Meadowdale
  20. 169.9 - 16:13.80 - James Konugres, 12 - Ballard
  21. 169.8 - 16:14.17 - Parker Stachler, 11 - Woodrow Wilson
  22. 169.8 - 16:14.18 - Kevin Mullin, 12 - Arlington
  23. 169.4 - 16:15.22 - Sam McCloughan, 12 - Edmonds-Woodway
  24. 169.3 - 16:15.46 - Aaron Leavens, 12 - Snohomish
  25. 169.2 - 16:15.93 - Diego Berho, 10 - Roosevelt
  26. 169.1 - 16:16.30 - Leo Donlea, 12 - Ingraham
  27. 168.4 - 16:18.33 - Connor Rauch, 12 - Bishop Blanchet
  28. 166.3 - 16:24.40 - Antonio Garcilazo, 12 - Southridge
  29. 166.3 - 16:24.49 - Javon Arnone, 11 - Franklin
  30. 165.6 - 16:26.40 - Porter Grigg, 10 - Kamiakin
  31. 165.6 - 16:26.59 - Ian Van de Kamp, 12 - Bellevue
  32. 165.2 - 16:27.53 - Isaac Mohn, 11 - O'Dea
  33. 165.1 - 16:28.08 - Kyler Lee, 12 - Kamiakin
  34. 164.5 - 16:29.58 - Ben Miller, 12 - North Central
  35. 164.5 - 16:29.78 - Epheson Giday, 11 - Franklin
  36. 164.4 - 16:30.08 - Tommy Johnson, 12 - North Thurston
  37. 164.3 - 16:30.30 - Jordan Erickson, 11 - Everett
  38. 164.3 - 16:30.40 - Keanu Daos, 11 - Southridge
  39. 164.1 - 16:30.94 - Dawson Andrews, 11 - Arlington
  40. 163.7 - 16:32.04 - Surafel Muche, 11 - Nathan Hale
  41. 163.6 - 16:32.50 - Devan Kirk, 12 - Shorewood
  42. 163.2 - 16:33.48 - Adrian Goodwin, 12 - Juanita
  43. 163.1 - 16:33.98 - Jack Bylund, 12 - Roosevelt
  44. 162.2 - 16:36.38 - Ryan Frostad, 12 - North Central
  45. 162.1 - 16:36.75 - Brian Morton, 9 - Lakes
  46. 161.8 - 16:37.78 - Tom Secheyron, 10 - Interlake
  47. 161.7 - 16:38.08 - Blake Landry, 10 - Arlington
  48. 161.4 - 16:38.83 - Liam Anderson, 11 - Snohomish
  49. 161.3 - 16:39.28 - Kyle Nickum, 11 - Redmond
  50. 161.1 - 16:39.64 - Andrew Hogan, 11 - O'Dea


Girls Teams:
  1.  48 - Holy Names Academy - 18:58.83
  2. 105 - Edmonds-Woodway - 19:12.39
  3. 146 - Ballard - 19:47.54
  4. 167 - Redmond - 19:51.56
  5. 174 - Shorecrest - 19:50.01
  6. 181 - Bishop Blanchet - 19:55.44
  7. 187 - Lake Washington - 19:56.05
  8. 205 - Peninsula - 20:00.53
  9. 212 - Bainbridge - 20:04.42
  10. 228 - Ingraham - 20:07.78
  11. 238 - Central Kitsap - 20:03.80
  12. 283 - Snohomish - 20:19.51
  13. 285 - Stadium - 20:27.15
  14. 302 - Shorewood - 20:23.73
  15. 312 - Capital - 20:33.98
  16. 367 - Bethel - 20:50.65


Girls Top 50 Individuals:
  1. 142.0 - 17:36.22 - Jordan Oakes, 12 - Holy Names Academy
  2. 131.6 - 18:06.87 - Sophia Cantine, 12 - Lakeside (Seattle)
  3. 130.3 - 18:10.69 - Yukino Parle, 11 - Edmonds-Woodway
  4. 129.7 - 18:12.36 - Malia Pivec, 12 - Lynnwood
  5. 128.1 - 18:17.18 - Camila David-Smith, 12 - Interlake
  6. 127.4 - 18:19.07 - Savanna Craig, 12 - Mountain View
  7. 126.1 - 18:22.88 - Erinn Hill, 9 - North Central
  8. 119.9 - 18:41.36 - Mia Hill, 9 - North Central
  9. 119.2 - 18:43.36 - Jane Barr, 12 - Roosevelt
  10. 118.1 - 18:46.48 - Olivia Meader-Yetter, 10 - Edmonds-Woodway
  11. 115.9 - 18:53.15 - Erin Ripple, 12 - Holy Names Academy
  12. 115.4 - 18:54.44 - Sydney Boland, 12 - Edmonds-Woodway
  13. 114.9 - 18:56.04 - Emily Phelps, 10 - Fort Vancouver
  14. 113.3 - 19:00.84 - Lily Hayes, 11 - Garfield
  15. 113.2 - 19:01.04 - Stephanie Wroblewski, 10 - Edmonds-Woodway
  16. 112.8 - 19:02.29 - Kate Jendrezak, 9 - Eastside Catholic
  17. 111.5 - 19:06.02 - Lillian Visser, 10 - Shorecrest
  18. 111.3 - 19:06.64 - Aishanee Wijeratna, 11 - Interlake
  19. 110.3 - 19:09.64 - Molly Fischer, 11 - Central Kitsap
  20. 110.0 - 19:10.54 - Ella Conway, 11 - Stanwood
  21. 109.2 - 19:12.73 - Margaret Baker, 10 - Mercer Island
  22. 108.8 - 19:13.93 - Claire Cocales, 11 - Lake Washington
  23. 108.2 - 19:15.93 - Anne Maher, 12 - Bishop Blanchet
  24. 107.9 - 19:16.70 - Lauren Block, 10 - Shorecrest
  25. 105.3 - 19:24.32 - Anastasia Konugres, 10 - Ballard
  26. 105.0 - 19:25.40 - Lucy Klebeck, 10 - Holy Names Academy
  27. 104.9 - 19:25.62 - Kayla Lee, 11 - Mercer Island
  28. 104.6 - 19:26.29 - Shawnee Konrad, 12 - Mt Spokane
  29. 103.9 - 19:28.60 - Gabi Frank, 12 - Holy Names Academy
  30. 103.6 - 19:29.30 - Ashlyn Ramos, 11 - Eastside Catholic
  31. 103.4 - 19:29.87 - Danielle Freshwaters, 11 - Stadium
  32. 103.1 - 19:30.80 - Emma Velling, 9 - Holy Names Academy
  33. 101.9 - 19:34.29 - Rachel McAmis, 11 - Woodrow Wilson
  34. 101.6 - 19:35.31 - Lydia Montgomery, 10 - Ingraham
  35. 101.5 - 19:35.70 - Samantha Smith, 10 - Ballard
  36. 101.4 - 19:35.81 - Anya Hirschfeld, 10 - Ingraham
  37. 100.8 - 19:37.61 - Emma Flood, 11 - Bishop Blanchet
  38. 100.7 - 19:37.91 - Claire Engler, 12 - Redmond
  39.  99.9 - 19:40.20 - Belle Brandenfels, 9 - Lake Washington
  40.  99.9 - 19:40.28 - Geraldin Correa, 9 - Kennewick
  41.  99.8 - 19:40.47 - Bella Torres, 12 - Capital
  42.  99.6 - 19:41.26 - Ashley Fahey, 11 - Peninsula
  43.  99.4 - 19:41.75 - Rianna Comery, 12 - Bethel
  44.  99.3 - 19:42.14 - Heather Schronce, 12 - Central Kitsap
  45.  98.6 - 19:44.10 - Veronica Redpath, 11 - Ballard
  46.  98.4 - 19:44.60 - Annika Van Vlack, 10 - Stadium
  47.  98.1 - 19:45.50 - Audrey Weaver, 12 - Bainbridge
  48.  97.7 - 19:46.70 - Sierra Baker, 12 - Redmond
  49.  97.7 - 19:46.76 - Sadie Lucero, 9 - Peninsula
  50.  97.1 - 19:48.50 - Emma Bury, 11 - Redmond

2 comments:

  1. It seems ridiculous that these are the ratings that these kids run at state qualifiers. Only 8 runners under 16:00 and nobody under 15:53? Why even run state qualifiers lol. Hoping that State proves more interesting, as I expect it to.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Oh, I'm sure State will be MUCH faster. Probably take about 15:10-15:15 to win, and probably about twice as many under 16.

      Delete