Now that the biggest weekend in the Northwest season is in the books (Bob Firman, Mountain West and Nike Portland all on the same weekend and among the bigger/better meets of the season), it is probably a good time to start taking a look at how teams might compare to one another. I'll keep this post very simple, as I haven't finished looking at how all the meets compare yet - might update this post at some point, I don't know. However, I will at least post this much to get the rough conversation started.
What teams were the fastest at the major NW meets this weekend?
Here are the ROUGH estimates I have so far for the meets:
14:24.31 Mountain West MT
14:44.46 Nike Portland OR
15:09.44 Bob Firman ID
14:20ish? Meriwether OR
14:45ish? Bellevue WA
15:45ish? Roy Griak MN (out of region, but important for NW girls w/ Mountain View ID)
which would give the following breakdown (NW teams in bold, team averages adjusted to Bob Firman as the standard) -
Tier 1.0: Davis UT (15:51.12 @ Bob Firman ID)
Tier 2.0: Ogden UT (16:08.00 @ Bob Firman ID), Timpanogos UT (16:08.35 // 15:41.76 @ Nike Portland OR), Springville UT (16:09.20 @ Bob Firman ID), North Central WA (16:09.38 @ Bob Firman ID)
Tier 2.5: Crater OR (16:17.34 @ Bob Firman ID), Bozeman MT (16:19.05 // 15:30.46 @ Mountain West MT), Skyline ID (16:21.70 @ Bob Firman ID), Wayzata MN (16:25.54 // 17:04.08 @ Roy Griak MN)
Tier 3.0: Bellarmine Prep WA (16:28.44 @ Bob Firman ID), Eisenhower WA (16:28.61 // 16:02.04 @ Bellevue WA), Borah ID (16:29.72 @ Bob Firman ID), Tahoma WA (16:30.33 // 16:03.72 @ Bellevue WA), Orem UT (16:30.66 @ Bob Firman ID), Pine View UT (16:31.02 @ Bob Firman ID), Skyridge UT (16:32.24 @ Bob Firman ID), Spanish Fork UT (16:33.88 @ Bob Firman ID), Madera South CA (16:34.32 @ Bob Firman ID), Claremont CA (16:34.81 // 17:13.71 @ Roy Griak MN), Millard West NE (16:35.06 // 17:13.97 @ Roy Griak MN)
Tier 3.5: Eleanor Roosevelt CA (16:38.68 // 16:11.24 @ Nike Portland OR), Riverton UT (16:38.70 @ Bob Firman ID), Lewiston ID (16:40.48 @ Bob Firman ID), Stansbury UT (16:41.76 @ Bob Firman ID), Lewis & Clark WA (16:42.67 // 15:52.92 @ Mountain West MT), Mira Costa CA (16:43.45 // 16:15.89 @ Nike Portland OR), Henry Jackson WA (16:44.74 // 16:17.14 @ Nike Portland OR), Central Catholic OR (16:44.81 // 15:50.19 @ Meriwether OR), Weber UT (16:46.70 @ Bob Firman ID), Glacier Peak WA (16:47.29 // 16:20.22 @ Bellevue WA), Summit OR (16:47.35 // 16:19.68 @ Nike Portland OR), Camas WA (16:47.58 // 16:19.91 @ Nike Portland OR), Sugar-Salem ID (16:47.82 @ Bob Firman ID), Rocky Mountain ID (16:48.06 @ Bob Firman ID), South Eugene OR (16:48.73 // 16:21.02 @ Nike Portland OR)
Notes:
"Tier 1.0" are teams that could probably be US Top-5 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 2.0" are teams that could probably be US Top-15 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 2.5" are teams that could probably be US Top-35 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 3.0" are teams that could probably be US Top-50 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 3.5" are teams that could probably be NW Top-10 with good races at NXN-NW (if they don't have an excessive spread)
note that just because a team made the cut for a higher tier doesn't mean they are a better team - team average is just one measure, and one race on one day does not define how good a team is this season.
Also, for what it's worth... if I were to come up with a NW Top-5 rankings, I would probably have something along the lines of:
1. North Central WA = Won Tracy Walters WA; Second at Bob Firman ID
2. Bozeman MT = Won Bozeman MT; Won Great Falls MT; Won Mountain West MT
3. Crater OR = Won Crusader OR; fifth at Bob Firman ID
4. Skyline ID = Third at Cardinal Classic ID (s/h); Won Tiger/Grizz ID; sixth at Bob Firman ID
5. Bellarmine Prep WA = Won Bellarmine WA (s/h); seventh at Bob Firman ID
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