Now that the biggest weekend in the Northwest season is in the books (Bob Firman, Mountain West and Nike Portland all on the same weekend and among the bigger/better meets of the season), it is probably a good time to start taking a look at how teams might compare to one another. I'll keep this post very simple, as I haven't finished looking at how all the meets compare yet - might update this post at some point, I don't know. However, I will at least post this much to get the rough conversation started.
What teams were the fastest at the major NW meets this weekend?
Here are the ROUGH estimates I have so far for the meets:
14:24.31 Mountain West MT
14:44.46 Nike Portland OR
15:09.44 Bob Firman ID
14:20ish? Meriwether OR
14:45ish? Bellevue WA
15:45ish? Roy Griak MN (out of region, but important for NW girls w/ Mountain View ID)
which would give the following breakdown (NW teams in bold, team averages adjusted to Bob Firman as the standard) -
Tier 1.5: Jackson Hole WY (18:50.48 @ Bob Firman ID), American Fork UT (18:53.32 @ Bob Firman ID)
Tier 2.0: Jesuit OR (18:58.00 @ Bob Firman ID), Davis UT (18:58.02 @ Bob Firman ID), Bozeman MT (18:59.43 // 18:02.88 @ Mountain West MT), Edina MN (19:04.55 // 19:49.30 @ Roy Griak MN)
Tier 2.5: Mountain View ID (19:13.05 // 19:58.14 @ Roy Griak MN), Skyline UT (19:16.20 @ Bob Firman ID), Naperville North IL (19:16.69 // 20:05.04 @ Roy Griak MN)
Tier 3.0: Skyridge UT (19:27.02 @ Bob Firman ID), Sunset OR (19:28.12 // 18:56.04 @ Nike Portland OR), Claremont CA (19:29.36 // 20:15.08 @ Roy Griak MN), Eagle ID (19:29.98 @ Bob Firman ID), Springville UT (19:31.62 @ Bob Firman ID), Pine View UT (19:32.70 @ Bob Firman ID)
Tier 3.5: Billings Senior MT (19:34.85 // 18:36.55 @ Mountain West MT), Timpanogos UT (19:36.62 // 19:04.30 @ Nike Portland OR), Boise ID (19:41.82 @ Bob Firman ID), Johnston IA (19:43.29 // 20:29.56 @ Roy Griak MN), Wayzata MN (19:45.56 // 20:31.92 @ Roy Griak MN), Glacier Peak WA (19:46.71 // 19:14.82 @ Bellevue WA), Weber UT (19:46.80 @ Bob Firman ID), Riverton UT (19:48.54 @ Bob Firman ID), Minneapolis Washburn (19:49.39 // 20:35.90 @ Roy Griak MN), Summit OR (19:49.47 // 19:16.80 @ Nike Portland OR), Madison ID (19:50.52 @ Bob Firman ID), Missoula Hellgate MT (19:50.68 // 18:51.60 @ Mountain West MT), Sheldon OR (19:51.02 // 19:18.31 @ Nike Portland OR), Sioux Falls Lincoln SD (19:51.34 // 20:37.92 @ Roy Griak MN)
Notes:
"Tier 1.5" are teams that could probably be US Top-10 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 2.0" are teams that could probably be US Top-15 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 2.5" are teams that could probably be US Top-35 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 3.0" are teams that could probably be US Top-50 (if they don't have an excessive spread)
"Tier 3.5" are teams that could probably be NW Top-10 with good races at NXN-NW (if they don't have an excessive spread)
note that just because a team made the cut for a higher tier doesn't mean they are a better team - team average is just one measure, and one race on one day does not define how good a team is this season.
Also, for what it's worth... if I were to come up with a NW Top-5 rankings, I would probably have something along the lines of:
1. Jesuit OR = Won Bill Chapman OR; Won Bob Firman ID
2. Bozeman MT = Won Bozeman MT; Won Great Falls MT; Won Mountain West MT
3. Mountain View ID = Won Jimmy Driscoll ID (s/h); Won Tiger/Grizz ID; Second at Roy Griak MN
4. Jackson Hole WY = Won Bear Trap WY (s/h); Second BYU UT; Won Liberty Bell CO; Fourth Bob Firman ID
5. Lewis & Clark WA = Won Highlander WA
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