Saturday, November 9, 2019

Washington State Power Merge

Here's the power merge for the Washington State Championship. Initial estimated rating: 200.0 = 14:55

Lots of great team performances today, especiall the North Central girls - absolutely crushing it and looking ready to challenge Summit for the NW and possibly National title!

Top-22 Boys Teams:
  1.  78 - Camas - 78:00.6 - 4A Champion
  2.  95 - Kamiakin - 78:18.5 - 3A Champion
  3. 139 - Bishop Blanchet - 78:59.5 - 3A Runner-up
  4. 159 - Tahoma - 79:15.4 - 4A Runner-up
  5. 191 - Lewis and Clark - 79:02.8 - 4A Third Place
  6. 198 - North Central - 79:40.1 - 3A Third Place
  7. 203 - Central Valley - 79:37.2 - 4A Fourth Place
  8. 269 - Henry Jackson - 80:42.4 - 4A Fifth Place
  9. 272 - Olympia - 80:47.0 - 4A Sixth Place
  10. 284 - Arlington - 81:02.9 - 3A Fourth Place
  11. 325 - Mt Si - 81:21.5 - 4A Seventh Place
  12. 344 - Steilacoom - 81:39.4 - 2A Runner-up
  13. 345 - Curtis - 81:42.2 - 4A Eighth Place
  14. 369 - West Valley (Yakima) - 81:58.2 - 4A Ninth Place
  15. 384 - Newport (Bellevue) - 82:01.0 - 4A Tenth Place
  16. 384 - Interlake - 82:05.5 - 3A Fifth Place
  17. 396 - Eisenhower - 82:13.8 - 4A #11
  18. 397 - Sehome - 82:15.4 - 2A Champion
  19. 429 - Stadium - 82:48.6 - 3A Sixth Place
  20. 432 - Sumner - 82:30.7 - 4A #12
  21. 435 - Ellensburg - 82:32.8 - 2A Third Place
  22. 438 - Puyallup - 82:48.6 - 4A #13

Boys Top-60 Individuals:
  1. 197.2 - 15:03.3 - Wil Smith, 12 - Lewis and Clark
  2. 195.0 - 15:09.9 - Jacob Easton, 12 - University
  3. 194.4 - 15:11.7 - Tyler Hunter, 12 - Central Valley
  4. 192.3 - 15:18.0 - Evan Jenkins, 10 - Camas
  5. 192.3 - 15:18.1 - Isaac Teeples, 10 - Kamiakin
  6. 191.2 - 15:21.2 - Jonas Bears, 12 - Gonzaga Prep
  7. 190.7 - 15:22.7 - Sam Geiger, 11 - Camas
  8. 190.4 - 15:23.5 - Cooper Laird, 12 - Inglemoor
  9. 190.4 - 15:23.6 - Eliason Kabasenche, 12 - Pullman
  10. 190.4 - 15:23.6 - Jonas Price, 12 - Eisenhower
  11. 190.2 - 15:24.2 - Shea Mattson, 12 - Selah
  12. 190.1 - 15:24.4 - Ethan Martin, 12 - Tahoma
  13. 189.9 - 15:25.1 - Patrick North, 12 - Lewis and Clark
  14. 189.8 - 15:25.5 - Kai Gundlach, 12 - Bishop Blanchet
  15. 189.0 - 15:27.7 - Stanford Smith, 12 - Kamiakin
  16. 189.0 - 15:27.9 - Jarred Barnes, 12 - Eastmont
  17. 188.7 - 15:28.7 - Ethan Coleman, 10 - Olympia
  18. 188.6 - 15:29.1 - Isaac Morris, 12 - North Central
  19. 188.1 - 15:30.6 - Caleb Lloyd, 12 - Mead
  20. 188.0 - 15:30.9 - Bryce Cerkowniak, 11 - Yelm
  21. 187.9 - 15:31.2 - Brenden Charbeneau, 11 - Henry Jackson
  22. 187.2 - 15:33.3 - Nathan Carter, 12 - North Central
  23. 185.9 - 15:37.1 - Brian Martinez, 12 - Tahoma
  24. 185.6 - 15:37.9 - Luc Utheza, 12 - Camas
  25. 185.3 - 15:38.9 - Rafe Holz, 12 - Sedro-Woolley
  26. 185.2 - 15:39.1 - Paul Talens, 11 - Mt Si
  27. 185.1 - 15:39.6 - William Schneider, 9 - Bishop Blanchet
  28. 184.5 - 15:41.2 - Danny Maxwell, 12 - Lewis and Clark
  29. 184.3 - 15:41.8 - Bas Holland, 12 - Cheney
  30. 184.3 - 15:41.9 - Nicky DiMartino, 12 - Bishop Blanchet
  31. 184.2 - 15:42.0 - Cayan Dibble, 12 - Bonney Lake
  32. 184.0 - 15:42.6 - Daniel Lee, 11 - Rogers (Spokane)
  33. 183.0 - 15:45.6 - Sawyer Dagan, 11 - Steilacoom
  34. 182.8 - 15:46.4 - Sean Westerhout, 11 - Bainbridge
  35. 182.6 - 15:47.0 - Cameron McCann, 11 - Bethel
  36. 182.5 - 15:47.2 - Austin Gappa, 12 - Mt Si
  37. 182.4 - 15:47.5 - Andrew Holladay, 12 - Kamiakin
  38. 182.0 - 15:48.6 - Lukas Brown, 12 - Mt Spokane
  39. 182.0 - 15:48.8 - Cooper Quigley, 10 - Selah
  40. 181.8 - 15:49.2 - Spencer Twyman, 12 - Camas
  41. 181.7 - 15:49.6 - Elijah Lopez, 12 - Glacier Peak
  42. 181.6 - 15:49.8 - Hale Behan, 10 - Sammamish
  43. 181.5 - 15:50.1 - Cooper Arons, 12 - Redmond
  44. 181.4 - 15:50.5 - Micah Murphy, 12 - Lynnwood
  45. 181.4 - 15:50.5 - Aaron VanValkenburg, 12 - Curtis
  46. 181.4 - 15:50.6 - Adam Briejer, 12 - Charles Wright Academy
  47. 181.4 - 15:50.6 - Caleb Kartchner, 11 - Central Valley
  48. 181.3 - 15:50.9 - Andrew Larson, 12 - Kamiakin
  49. 181.2 - 15:51.1 - Alex Wright, 11 - Central Valley
  50. 181.2 - 15:51.2 - Fred Liu, 12 - Lakeside (Seattle)
  51. 180.9 - 15:52.1 - AJ Paulson, 12 - Mead
  52. 180.9 - 15:52.1 - Sam Anderson, 12 - Gonzaga Prep
  53. 180.9 - 15:52.1 - Brayden Packard, 11 - West Valley (Yakima)
  54. 180.6 - 15:52.8 - Austin Weese, 12 - Camas
  55. 180.3 - 15:53.9 - Cannon Angotti, 12 - Walla Walla
  56. 180.1 - 15:54.3 - Jax Weide, 12 - Kamiakin
  57. 180.0 - 15:54.7 - Samir Amin, 11 - North Thurston
  58. 179.8 - 15:55.2 - Kolby Green, 12 - West Valley (Spokane)
  59. 179.8 - 15:55.2 - Grayson Wilcott, 10 - Kamiakin
  60. 179.7 - 15:55.5 - Patrick Adkisson, 12 - Ellensburg

Top-22 Girls Teams:
  1.  21 - North Central - 89:36.1 - 3A Champion
  2. 145 - Redmond - 94:36.4 - 4A Champion
  3. 177 - Camas - 95:08.8 - 4A Runner-up
  4. 183 - Tahoma - 95:24.9 - 4A Third Place
  5. 213 - Holy Names Academy - 95:54.8 - 3A Runner-up
  6. 229 - Eastlake - 96:09.2 - 4A Fourth Place
  7. 253 - Lewis and Clark - 96:34.0 - 4A Fifth Place
  8. 266 - Glacier Peak - 96:47.5 - 4A Sixth Place
  9. 281 - Bellarmine Prep - 97:08.5 - 4A Seventh Place
  10. 293 - Ellensburg - 97:10.1 - 2A Champion
  11. 299 - Richland - 97:24.7 - 4A Eighth Place
  12. 339 - Bishop Blanchet - 98:13.8 - 3A Third Place
  13. 364 - Central Kitsap - 98:44.2 - 3A Fourth Place
  14. 364 - Lake Stevens - 98:55.5 - 4A Ninth Place
  15. 365 - Edmonds-Woodway - 98:38.7 - 3A Sixth Place
  16. 383 - Bellingham - 98:55.2 - 2A Runner-up
  17. 383 - Lakeside (Nine Mile) - 99:39.0 - 1A Runner-up
  18. 397 - Marysville Getchell - 100:29.1 - 3A Eighth Place
  19. 401 - Sehome - 99:23.8 - 2A Third Place
  20. 404 - West Valley (Spokane) - 99:29.9 - 2A Fourth Place
  21. 405 - Kennewick - 99:25.4 - 3A Seventh Place
  22. 419 - Arlington - 99:48.6 - 3A Fifth Place

Top-60 Girls Individuals:
  1. 149.3 - 17:26.2 - Julia David Smith, 11 - Issaquah
  2. 149.1 - 17:26.8 - Allie Janke, 11 - North Central
  3. 144.8 - 17:39.6 - Alaina Stone, 12 - Colville
  4. 144.1 - 17:41.7 - Erinn Hill, 12 - North Central
  5. 141.1 - 17:50.8 - Amelu Ruff, 12 - North Central
  6. 138.8 - 17:57.5 - Gabby Martin, 10 - Life Christian Academy
  7. 137.8 - 18:00.6 - Kate Simmons, 12 - Eastside Catholic
  8. 134.9 - 18:09.3 - Geraldin Correa, 12 - Kennewick
  9. 134.0 - 18:11.9 - Marie Taylor, 12 - North Central
  10. 133.5 - 18:13.3 - Katherine Forsberg, 12 - Bellevue
  11. 132.5 - 18:16.4 - Leah Holmgren, 12 - Ellensburg
  12. 131.7 - 18:18.7 - Livi Lackland Henry, 12 - Bellingham
  13. 130.6 - 18:22.1 - Natalie Ruzauskas, 10 - Richland
  14. 130.5 - 18:22.2 - Roz Slichko, 11 - Emerald Ridge
  15. 130.3 - 18:23.0 - Ellie Gard, 12 - Edmonds-Woodway
  16. 129.9 - 18:24.0 - Naomi Smith, 12 - King's
  17. 129.6 - 18:24.9 - Mia Hill, 12 - North Central
  18. 129.0 - 18:26.7 - Aviry Stratton, 12 - Glacier Peak
  19. 129.0 - 18:26.8 - Allyson Peterson, 11 - Hockinson
  20. 128.1 - 18:29.4 - Samantha Williams, 10 - Skyview
  21. 127.8 - 18:30.4 - Jasmin Muneton, 11 - Auburn Riverside
  22. 127.2 - 18:32.1 - Aayiana Fuller, 12 - University
  23. 126.7 - 18:33.8 - Meri Dunford, 12 - Prairie
  24. 126.3 - 18:34.9 - Alexis Palmer, 12 - Glacier Peak
  25. 126.3 - 18:35.0 - Maya Nichols, 11 - Central Kitsap
  26. 125.7 - 18:36.6 - Lili Hargreaves, 11 - Redmond
  27. 125.7 - 18:36.8 - Ellie Baxter, 11 - Snohomish
  28. 125.5 - 18:37.2 - Chloe Connolly, 11 - Redmond
  29. 125.4 - 18:37.6 - Kerstin Ly, 12 - Bothell
  30. 125.2 - 18:38.1 - Halle Jenkins, 12 - Camas
  31. 125.1 - 18:38.5 - Olivia Freeman, 11 - Bishop Blanchet
  32. 125.0 - 18:38.7 - Kate Laurent, 10 - Ellensburg
  33. 124.8 - 18:39.3 - Emily Van Valkenburg, 10 - Eastlake
  34. 124.2 - 18:41.2 - Lauren Larson, 11 - Port Angeles
  35. 124.0 - 18:41.8 - Ila Davis, 12 - Lewis and Clark
  36. 123.0 - 18:44.7 - Emma Arceo, 10 - Kamiak
  37. 122.6 - 18:45.8 - Lily O'Donoghue-McDonald, 10 - Seattle Prep
  38. 122.5 - 18:46.1 - Riley Pyeatt, 10 - Sequim
  39. 122.4 - 18:46.4 - Ella Borsheim, 10 - Bellarmine Prep
  40. 121.4 - 18:49.4 - Theresa Barnhart, 10 - Tahoma
  41. 121.3 - 18:49.7 - Jasmine Nguyen, 11 - Marysville Getchell
  42. 121.2 - 18:50.0 - Sophia Dahl, 9 - Redmond
  43. 121.1 - 18:50.5 - Lara Carrion, 10 - Seton Catholic
  44. 120.6 - 18:51.9 - Sarah Mirkin, 11 - Holy Names Academy
  45. 120.4 - 18:52.6 - Ashley Reeck, 10 - Lake Stevens
  46. 120.4 - 18:52.6 - Emily Wells, 11 - Emerald Ridge
  47. 120.1 - 18:53.5 - Belle Brandenfels, 12 - Lake Washington
  48. 119.9 - 18:53.9 - Hannelore Schreder Peters, 11 - Garfield
  49. 119.4 - 18:55.4 - Zephyr Tao, 12 - Redmond
  50. 119.4 - 18:55.6 - Nicole DeHerrera, 12 - Selah
  51. 119.1 - 18:56.5 - MaryAlice Mitchell, 10 - Washington
  52. 119.1 - 18:56.5 - Sonja Blycker, 10 - Cedarcrest
  53. 118.9 - 18:56.8 - Faith Martinez, 10 - Tahoma
  54. 118.9 - 18:56.9 - Jemma Willcox, 10 - Edmonds-Woodway
  55. 118.9 - 18:57.0 - Olivia Bailon, 12 - Tumwater
  56. 118.9 - 18:57.0 - Evelyn Buetow, 9 - Sehome
  57. 118.8 - 18:57.2 - Josephine Stevenson, 9 - Bellarmine Prep
  58. 118.8 - 18:57.2 - Bridget Boly, 12 - Bellarmine Prep
  59. 118.7 - 18:57.4 - Nell O'hara, 10 - Woodinville
  60. 118.7 - 18:57.6 - Stephanie Martz, 12 - Lindbergh

(note: teams/individuals in bold meet the expected NXR Championship 'standard' of an approximate 170/114 team average or 180/125 individual rating, as I have been highlighting previously)
Posted by at
Labels:

7 comments:

  1. AnonymousNovember 12, 2019 at 2:07 PM

    Do you have a list of the all-time top boys TEAM times from Sun Willows since it's been a 5k? Better yet, do you have a list adjusted by speed ratings? That would be awesome to look at, and I believe you posted one or the other several years ago. Boys individuals would be great too! Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. watchoutNovember 12, 2019 at 4:03 PM

      I do have an All-Time list. I'll be posting an updated version soon. I don't have one adjusted by speed ratings, though, so keep in mind when looking at the lists:

      2005-2007? (might have been 2006-2007, don't remember exactly) the course was long so times were slower

      2015-2017? (might have been 2016-2017, don't remember exactly) the course was faster due to sufficiently rounding out turns and a few other changes

      But otherwise, it's run fairly similar ever since the move to 5k (1997) despite a couple small changes in layout every few years. Most of the discrepancies beyond those years are due to weather and quality of the field.

      Delete
  2. AnonymousNovember 12, 2019 at 2:15 PM

    Also, how did the course times compare to 2018 and 2017? Times seemed to be more like 2017 than 2018. But the course was exactly like 2018 (much tougher, with more hills). Weather was better than last year, but not much better. Do you think better times were due to conditions, or faster athletes?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. watchoutNovember 12, 2019 at 4:05 PM

      Short answer: Faster than 2018, slower than 2017. Pretty much right on par with 2008-2014. And yes, a combination of both. :)

      Delete
    2. watchoutNovember 12, 2019 at 5:26 PM

      For a more precise answer, here is a scatter plot of the times (adjusted for level of competition, all races included w/ a modifier to include boys alongside girls): https://imgur.com/a/rjkh1k3

      The orange dots/line is the 2018 times, blue is 2019 and silver is 2017. Based on the top 5/7 of the race when taking out the weaker teams (which left 65 teams from 2019, 58 teams from 2018 and 55 teams from 2017), using the trendline that best fits this group (mostly the #2-5 scorers on teams and individuals within that range), the 2018 course was running about 15 seconds slower than the 2019 course, about 22 seconds slower than the 2017 course. The 2019 course was about 7-8 seconds slower than the 2017 course.

      Delete
    3. AnonymousNovember 12, 2019 at 5:36 PM

      This is fascinating! Are you able to do this for all the years going back to 1997 (or at least 2006) and post it?

      Delete
    4. watchoutNovember 12, 2019 at 9:03 PM

      Maybe if I find the time over the winter I'll see about taking a stab at that.

      Delete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)