Top Girls Teams/Individuals from NXR Meets

Here's a fun little look in case I don't get around to posting a proper NXN Projection this year. Every year, when looking through the regional races, I rate all of the races and throw them into a large field and parse it down until I get the top few teams so that I can gauge how well potential At-Large teams (and sometimes teams that might have finished fifth or sixth in a really strong region) might fare against the AQ teams already in the field. To that end, here is the scoring I had from NXR results ONLY for the 18 AQ teams + the top 7 non-AQ teams. Again, this does NOT represent who I think was necessarily the most deserving At-Large teams this year, but rather how everyone compared at the NXR meets specifically.

Included are the merged scores, the team time average from their meet, the associated ratings for that average time, the region they competed in and the place they got at the meet. Teams in bold are in the NXN field, teams underlined were eligible for At-Large consideration, and teams in italics were teams that were not eligible for At-Large consideration (were outside the top 4 at their regional meet).

Girls Teams:

1. 126 - Summit OR - 18:01.40 - 143.5 - NW #1
2. 209 - Saratoga Springs NY - 18:56.76 - 136.1 - NY #2
3. 210 - North Central WA - 18:13.22 - 139.6 - NW #2
4. 215 - Lone Peak UT - 17:58.33 - 136.5 - SW #1
5. 227 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 18:45.20 - 139.7 - NY #1
6. 234 - Jesuit OR - 18:26.44 - 135.2 - NW #3
7. 265 - Valor Christian CO - 18:06.13 - 133.9 - SW #2
8. 277 - Loudoun Valley VA - 18:10.82 - 133.5 - SE #1
9. 286 - Niwot CO - 18:12.07 - 131.9 - SW #3
10. 294 - Lincoln OR - 18:26.34 - 135.3 - NW #4
11. 315 - Buchanan CA - 17:56.92 - 132.9 - CA #1
12. 323 - Beavercreek OH - 18:20.52 - 132.3 - MW #2
13. 326 - Great Oak CA - 18:06.54 - 129.6 - CA #2
14. 348 - Cherry Creek CO - 18:13.08 - 131.6 - SW #4
15. 350 - Muskego WI - 18:13.20 - 129.9 - HL #2
16. 352 - Edina MN - 18:16.52 - 128.7 - HL #1
17. 367 - Pine Crest FL - 18:29.50 - 127.3 - SE #2
18. 368 - Sage Creek CA - 18:11.72 - 127.8 - CA #4
19. 373 - Newbury Park CA - 18:10.38 - 128.3 - CA #3
20. 395 - Naperville (North) IL - 18:33.34 - 128.1 - MW #1
21. 412 - Prosper TX - 18:53.37 - 128.0 - SO #1
22. 431 - Wayzata MN - 18:23.98 - 126.2 - HL #3
23. 441 - North Hunterdon NJ - 19:27.40 - 126.2 - NE #1
24. 453 - Southlake Carroll TX - 19:02.84 - 124.9 - SO #2
25. 641 - Ridgewood NJ - 19:59.78 - 115.8 - NE #2

(note: all of the teams in the final NXN field are listed above; this is a VERY strong year where I feel like any of the 7 potential At-Large teams listed above would have easily made it in any other year, with the top 3 at-large teams potentially being the best At-Large teams ever invited. To go along with an incredible individual field, this year looks like it'll be the best field ever on the girls side and probably boys as well!)

Also, it should be noted that obviously if you take out the 3 teams that didn't make the field, the scores would change as would the order of teams, but in general the groupings would remain intact which is as accurate as you can realistically expect to be in any projection.

Additionally, here are the top individuals from the NXR races; individuals in bold qualified for nationals, individuals underlined and in italics did NOT qualify and did not receive At-Large invites (to my knowledge). 45 of the Top 50 made it into the field, with the top performances not advancing being from #23, #32, #43, #49 and #50.

Girls Top-50 Individuals:

1. 171.3 - Katelyn Tuohy - Lady Raiders XC - NY #1
2. 166.8 - Sydney Thorvaldson - Unattached - NW #1
3. 164.7 - Claire Walters - Manlius XC - NY #2
4. 162.8 - Zofia Dudek - Purple Track Club (MI)  - MW #1
5. 162.6 - Katelynne Hart - West Glenbard (IL)  - MW #2
6. 161.8 - Fiona Max - Storm over Bend - NW #2
7. 161.1 - Kate Peters - Red Bird Running Club - NW #3
8. 160.4 - Allie Janke - North Spokane - NW #4
9. 157.3 - DOROSTKAR, Carlie - Canyon Crest Academy-SDS - CA #1
10. 156.5 - Sasha NEGLIA - Dobyns-Bennett XC - SE #1
11. 156.4 - Taylor Ewert - Creek Strong (OH)  - MW #3
12. 156.0 - Athena YOUNG - Morgantown XC - SE #2
13. 155.4 - Tatum David - Unattached - MW #4
14. 154.9 - Riley Stewart - Colorado Bruins - SW #1
15. 154.2 - Charlotte Bednar - UNA-NJ-Bednar - NE #1
16. 153.7 - Jenna Schulz - LPXC - NY #3
17. 152.3 - SMITH, Corie - Buchanan-CS - CA #2
18. 152.3 - Erin Strzelecki - Unattached - MW #5
19. 151.1 - Mattalyn Geddes - Unat-Geddes-Mattalyn - NW #5
20. 150.8 - Annalyssa Crain - Unattached - MW #6
21. 150.5 - Chloe Foerster - STUMPTOWN XC CLUB - NW #6
22. 149.9 - Brynn Brown - SOUTHSIDE RC - SO #1
23. 149.9 - Zoe Duffus - Unattached - MW #7
24. 149.8 - Eliza Arrington - Lone Peak XC - SW #2
25. 149.8 - Samantha Blair - UNA CO - SW #3
26. 149.7 - Colleen Stegmann - Reedy RC - SO #2
27. 149.7 - Carlee Hansen - UNA UT - SW #4
28. 149.5 - Hannah Kaercher - Manlius XC - NY #4
29. 149.2 - Cameron McConnell - Cougar XC - SW #5
30. 149.1 - Chloe Gonzalez - Hunterdon Lions Track Club - NE #2
31. 148.8 - Lauren Ping - Thunder Running Club - SW #6
32. 148.3 - Ava Parekh - Unattached - MW #8
33. 148.2 - Meghan Ford - Buffalo City Running Club - HL #1
34. 148.0 - Julia David Smith - Fly Eagles Fly - NW #7
35. 147.8 - KLOS, Alexandra - Vista Del Lago-SJS - CA #3
36. 147.7 - MCCLAIN, Harper - St Helena-NCS - CA #4
37. 147.4 - Eva Jess - Franklin RC - SO #3
38. 147.2 - Teaghan Knox - Storm over Bend - NW #8
39. 147.0 - Sage Brooks - HKXC - NW #9
40. 146.8 - CHAMBERLAIN, Riley - Del Oro-SJS - CA #5
41. 146.5 - Kylie Hartnett - Helena Novas - NW #10
42. 146.1 - Jenna Mulhern - West Chester XC Club - NE #3
43. 146.1 - Lucy Huelskamp - Apollos Cross Country - NW #11
44. 145.9 - Lea HATCHER - Morgantown XC - SE #3
45. 145.8 - Ava GORDON - The Jungle TC - SE #4
46. 145.6 - Brooke Rauber - Black Knights - NY #5
47. 145.5 - Kate Sperka - Muskego XC Club - HL #2
48. 145.3 - Marie Hostetler - Unattached - HL #3
49. 145.3 - Karina James - Unattached - MW #9
50. 145.3 - Brooke Stromsland - Unattached - MW #10