Showing posts with label Southeast XC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Southeast XC. Show all posts

Friday, July 10, 2020

NXN History - Top Programs and Regions

I haven't updated this one in a few years, so I think it's about time to take another look at it.

Scores of the top programs are adjusted averages, where I capped the points at 380 and include any non-qualifying team as scoring 380 points. This is roughly the average score of the #18 team (375 for boys and 392 for girls) and is a way to compare teams that don't qualify as often (e.g. good programs from strong regions), but still favor teams that consistently qualify and place well.

note: I'm also referring to Top-8 instead of Top-10 or Top-Half (11) in this post because that is the point of the greatest scoring differential which makes it the cleanest and most consistent cut-off between teams that are competitive with the Podium Teams and teams that aren't. I also considered using Top-18 instead of Top-15 for the third point of consideration because there are 18 AQ teams every year, but I ended up sticking with Top-15 because it is closer to 330 points (which in a field of 22 teams is generally around the point where teams are still competitive with the top half of the field) and because it gives a clearer definition of regions that aren't struggling to be competitive with the field as a whole -- only having 4 teams per year not make the cut isn't as meaningful when pointing to differences between most of the regions, which are fairly dominated by 2-3 regions on either side which does make it similar to the Podium comparison but not as completely a "These teams are competitive with the majority of the national field" comparison.

Top-10 Boys Programs from 2007-2019: (# Trips, Podium finishes, Top-8 and Top-15 finishes)
  1. 255.15 American Fork UT (9 trips: 3/9/9)
  2. 268.69 North Central WA (8 trips: 3/8/8)
  3. 269.54 Fayetteville-Manlius NY (12 trips: 3/5/8)
  4. 270.85 Christian Brothers Academy NJ (10 trips: 2/6/7)
  5. 294.69 Great Oak CA (5 trips: 3/5/5)
  6. 309.15 The Woodlands TX (10 trips: 1/5/6)
  7. 311.62 Arcadia CA (5 trips: 2/3/4)
  8. 318.08 Dana Hills CA (8 trips: 1/4/5)
  9. 318.69 York IL (7 trips: 1/2/7)
  10. 319.15 Davis UT (6 trips: 1/3/5)
honorable mention: Southlake Carroll TX, Wayzata MN, Loudoun Valley VA also average under 330

Top-10 Girls Programs from 2007-2019: (# Trips, Podium finishes, Top-8 and Top-15 finishes)
  1. 89.00 Fayetteville-Manlius NY (13 trips: 11/13/13)
  2. 214.92 Saratoga Springs NY (12 trips: 5/9/12)
  3. 288.38 Great Oak CA (9 trips: 3/6/8)
  4. 288.38 Carmel IN (7 trips: 2/7/7)
  5. 292.46 Fort Collins CO (7 trips: 1/7/7)
  6. 299.46 Saugus CA (7 trips: 3/4/6)
  7. 306.46 Naperville North IL (8 trips: 2/3/8)
  8. 312.46 Wayzata MN (5 trips: 2/5/5)
  9. 323.85 Tatnall DE (6 trips: 2/4/5)
  10. 336.85 Jesuit OR (7 trips: 0/1/7)
honorable mention: Southlake Carroll TX, Davis CA, Bozeman MT, Summit OR, Davis UT also average under 350

Average Region Score - Boys Auto-Qualifiers: (and # Podium/Top-8/Top-15 finishes for ALL teams)
  1. 215.58 Southwest (9 Podium Teams, 23 Top-8 and 32 Top-15 out of 35)
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  2. 251.46 California (7 Podium Teams, 17 Top-8 and 29 Top-15 out of 42)
  3. 262.42 Midwest (4 Podium Teams, 13 Top-8 and 30 Top-15 out of 35)
  4. 272.96 Northwest (6 Podium Teams, 13 Top-8 and 20 Top-15 out of 29)
  5. 280.73 Northeast (2 Podium Teams, 13 Top-8 and 19 Top-15 out of 31)
  6. 286.31 New York (3 Podium Teams, 8 Top-8 and 20 Top-15 out of 28)
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  7. 325.77 South (3 Podium Teams, 9 Top-8 and 17 Top-15 out of 31)
  8. 328.35 Southeast (4 Podium Teams, 5 Top-8 and 14 Top-15 out of 27)
  9. 335.46 Heartland (1 Podium Team, 3 Top-8 and 14 Top-15 out of 28)
There has developed 3 mostly distinct tiers of regions on the boys side; the Southwest teams almost always finish in the Top-15 and almost 2/3 finish in the Top-8 which means that as a region the SW clearly stands out above the rest; about 2/3 of the teams from the second tier finish in the Top-15 and a healthy amount finish in the Top-8; the teams in the third tier only finish in the Top-15 about half of the time and although the South is about as good at finishing in the Top-8 as the second tier regions a lot more of their teams are finishing pretty far back.

Average Region Score - Girls Auto-Qualifiers: (and # Podium/Top-8/Top-15 finishes for ALL teams)
  1. 150.00 New York (16 Podium Teams, 28 Top-8 and 38 Top-15 out of 39)
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  2. 251.69 California (8 Podium Teams, 14 Top-8 and 29 Top-15 out of 37)
  3. 254.19 Southwest (4 Podium Teams, 20 Top-8 and 30 Top-15 out of 34)
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  4. 274.19 Midwest (4 Podium Teams, 13 Top-8 and 24 Top-15 out of 32)
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  5. 313.04 Northwest (2 Podium Teams, 7 Top-8 and 22 Top-15 out of 30)
  6. 320.63 Heartland (2 Podium Teams, 6 Top-8 and 16 Top-15 out of 27)
  7. 332.54 Southeast (2 Podium Teams, 7 Top-8 and 16 Top-15 out of 30)
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  8. 376.58 Northeast (0 Podium Teams, 5 Top-8 and 11 Top-15 out of 29)
  9. 382.72 South (1 Podium Team, 4 Top-8 and 9 Top-15 out of 28)
There has developed 4 somewhat murky tiers of regions on the girls side; the New York teams almost always finish in the Top-15, almost 3/4 of their teams finish in the Top-8 and almost half finish on the podium and it's pretty rare that the top NY team doesn't end up the national champion; the second tier regions (CA and SW) have more than 2/3 of their teams finish in the Top-15 and more than 1/3 of their teams finish in the Top-8; the Midwest is between tiers (similar rate of podium finishes as the SW but almost half that of their Top-8 finishes and not nearly as strong in Top-15 finishes, and similar Top-8 finishes as California but only half of their podium finishes), and same with the Northwest in terms of Top-15 finishes but without the podium or even Top-8 finishes which puts the NW in the third tier. The third tier teams have more than half of their teams finish in the Top-15 and about a quarter finish in the Top-8; the fourth tier (Northeast and South) only have about 1/3 of their teams finish in the Top-15 and the Northeast and South combine to have more than half of the #19-22 finishes (13 for the Northeast and 14 for the South, with the only other region that has more than 5 such teams is the Southeast with 9).

Average Region Score - Boys Top-2 Finishers: (and # of At-Large bids received)
  1. 208.88 Southwest (9 At-Large Invites)
  2. 231.58 California (16 At-Large Invites)
  3. 246.88 Midwest (9 At-Large Invites)
  4. 270.73 Northwest (3 At-Large Invites)
  5. 280.73 Northeast (5 At-Large Invites)
  6. 284.00 New York (2 At-Large Invites)
  7. 318.58 South (5 At-Large Invites)
  8. 328.35 Southeast (1 At-Large Invite)
  9. 335.46 Heartland (2 At-Large Invites)

Average Region Score - Girls Top-2 Finishers: (and # of At-Large bids received)
  1. 149.19 New York (13 At-Large Invites)
  2. 240.96 California (11 At-Large Invites)
  3. 242.62 Southwest (8 At-Large Invites)
  4. 267.73 Midwest (6 At-Large Invites)
  5. 306.19 Northwest (4 At-Large Invites)
  6. 320.63 Heartland (0 At-Large Invites)
  7. 323.88 Southeast (4 At-Large Invites)
  8. 369.12 Northeast (3 At-Large Invites)
  9. 380.00 South (3 At-Large Invites)

Additionally, here's a comparison of the % of teams invited that have finished in the Top-3/8/15 (can be derived from the AQ Regional Ranking list):

Boys Regions:
  1. Southwest (25.7%, 65.7%, 91.4%)
  2. Midwest (11.4%, 37.1%, 85.7%)
  3. New York (10.7%, 28.6%, 71.4%)
  4. Northwest (20.7%, 44.8%, 69.0%)
  5. California (16.7%, 40.5%, 69.0%)
  6. Northeast (06.5%, 41.9%, 61.3%)
  7. South (09.7%, 29.0%, 54.8%)
  8. Southeast (14.8%, 18.5%, 51.9%)
  9. Heartland (03.6%, 10.7%, 50.0%)

Girls Regions:
  1. New York (41.0%, 71.8%, 97.4%)
  2. Southwest (11.8%, 58.8%, 88.2%)
  3. California (21.6%, 37.8%, 78.4%)
  4. Midwest (12.5%, 40.6%, 75.0%)
  5. Northwest (06.7%, 23.3%, 73.3%)
  6. Heartland (07.4%, 22.2%, 59.3%)
  7. Southeast (06.7%, 23.3%, 53.3%)
  8. Northeast (00.0%, 17.2%, 37.9%)
  9. South (03.6%, 14.3%, 32.1%)

And, finally, one last comparison: the % of teams from each region (same as above) but only 2013+ for girls and 2012+ for boys, because that's about the time that the depth of the national field become close to what it is today (possibly more on that in a later post).

Boys Regions: (AQ Average, Top-2 Average, # Teams: Podium, Top-8, Top-15)
  1. Southwest (210.31, 199.44, 24 teams: 6, 15, 22 or 25.0%, 62.5% and 91.7%)
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  2. California (241.31, 221.06, 24 teams: 6, 12, 18 or 25.0%, 50.0% and 75.0%)
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  3. Midwest (276.31, 260.81, 21 teams: 0, 7, 16 or 0%, 33.3% and 76.2%)
  4. Southeast (269.88, 269.88, 17 teams: 4, 5, 14 or 23.5%, 29.4% and 82.4%)
  5. New York (285.06, 281.31, 18 teams: 2, 6, 13 or 11.1%, 33.3% and 72.2%)
  6. Northwest (286.19, 282.56, 19 teams: 4, 7, 10 or 21.1%, 36.8% and 52.6%)
  7. Northeast (290.94, 290.94, 17 teams: 1, 7, 10 or 5.9%, 41.2% and 58.8%)
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  8. Heartland (339.31, 339.31, 18 teams: 1, 2, 9 or 5.6%, 11.1% and 50.0%)
  9. South (371.75, 360.06, 18 teams: 0, 3, 8 or 0%, 16.7% and 44.4%)
On the boys side, aside from the Southwest, there isn't really any strong difference between the regions as a whole ... California's front-end talent is still very strong with many podium and Top-8 finishes but not compared to the SW in terms of Top-8 and Top-15 kind of puts the region between the SW and the next tier of teams; a separation in Tier 2 between the SE/MW/NY and NE/NW in terms of Top-15 finishes but not Top-3 (where SE and NW both have as many as the other regions in that tier and below combined) or Top-8 (where they are all very similar); the Heartland and South are still comparatively struggling, though, even though the back end of Tier 2 is close to them in terms of Top-15 finishes.

Girls Regions: (AQ Average, Top-2 Average, # Teams: Podium, Top-8, Top-15)
  1. New York (184.36, 184.36, 18 teams: 6, 10, 17 or 33.3%, 55.6% and 94.4%)
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  2. California (227.93, 221.86, 19 teams: 5, 10, 17 or 26.3%, 52.6% and 89.5%)
  3. Southwest (255.43, 233.93, 21 teams: 3, 13, 18 or 14.3%, 61.9% and 85.7%)
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  4. Midwest (257.71, 250.29, 18 teams: 3, 7, 15 or 16.7%, 38.9% and 83.3%)
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  5. Northwest (297.57, 284.86, 18 teams: 2, 6, 13 or 11.1%, 33.3% and 72.2%)
  6. Heartland (293.20, 293.20, 15 teams: 2, 5, 10 or 13.3%, 33.3% and 66.7%)
    ----------------------------------------------
  7. Northeast (370.86, 364.00, 16 teams: 0, 2, 4 or 0%, 12.5% and 25.0%)
  8. Southeast (375.29, 371.93, 15 teams: 0, 1, 5 or 0%, 6.7% and 33.3%)
  9. South (375.69, 373.00, 14 teams: 0, 2, 6 or 0%, 14.3% and 42.9%)

... as you can see, the disparity even on the girls side is nowhere near where it has been overall, particularly when looking beyond average score and looking at the distribution of podium Top-8/15 finishes. The Southwest has overtaken New York in terms of getting Top-8 finishes on the girls side, and California has essentially matched New York as well (although NY or more specifically Fayetteville-Manlius, obviously, is still at the top when it comes to Championships and Podium finishes -- this is more about NY #2/3/4 teams no longer being podium or even top-8 teams every single year: in the last 7 years aside from FM, NY has sent 11 girls teams and ended up with 3 Top-8 finishes including Saratoga's win last year compared to 6 finishes outside the top half of the field ... which is much different from 2007-2012 when there were 3-4 NY girls teams in the top half of the field every single year, or the 2004-2006 pre-Regional years when there may have been as many capable of doing so aside from maybe 2005). The Heartland and Northwest are also essentially on par with the Midwest now in terms of podium and Top-8 finishes (though the Heartland has done so with only 1 At-Large team vs. 4 each from the MW and NW, and the HL still a bit further back in terms of depth as evidenced by total Top-15 finishes). Meanwhile, the Southeast and South have nearly traded places. A clear grouping of regions though with Tier 1 being New York, California and the Southwest; Tier 2 being Midwest, Northeast and Heartland; Tier 3 being South, Southeast and Northeast.

(also, another way to look at it: on average, the SW has 2 teams among the top 8 in both the boys and girls races, CA has 1.5 in both as does the NY girls, while the NY boys and MW/NW boys and girls average 1 per year as does the NE boys, the HL and South on both sides average 0.5 per year as does the SE boys, while the Southeast girls average 0 ... which has some implications for potential At-Large teams: Southeast girls will typically need to show during the season just how great they are by beating teams from other regions, while #3/4 teams from the SW on both sides will have an easier time qualifying if they merely finish close to the #2 team at NXR -- IF it appears to be an "average" year for the SW and SE AQ teams in this example, because every year is different and it could be that the top SE girls look much stronger than usual and so finishing close to them will still put a team in strong consideration, or the SW teams much weaker than usual which lessens the value of finishing close to them without much else of a resume).

In general, the nation as a whole has been much stronger and MUCH more balanced from 2013-2019 on the girls side and 2012-2019 on the boys side... aside from the Fayetteville-Manlius girls and the Southwest boys continuing to more or less dominate the rest.

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Girls NXN Nationals Results/Ratings

Best girls individual field ever led to what might have been the best race ever? I thought the 2013 NXN race between Alexa Efraimson, Elise Cranny and Sarah Baxter battle was incredible and be hard to overtake, but with the tight finish today I think this one was even better. Katelynn Tuohy found her match in Sydney Thorvaldson and Taylor Ewert, but held on despite late charges as all three finished within less than a second. I don't know if that is the biggest story, or if the Saratoga Springs NY girls huge performance should take the cake today. Saratoga won their first team title since the very first NTN/NXN race in 2004, and did so by a good margin against a tremendous field.

As the girls race ran second today, the course was chewed up and notably more muddy than in the boys race as rain continued to come down.

Ratings estimate: 200.0 = 15:46

(edit: added estimated equivalent 3200m times for better comparison)

Girls Teams:
  1. 78 - KINETIC - 92:30.1 - NXR New York Runner-up - 148.0
  2. 160 - CENTRAL OREGON - 94:09.2 - NXR Northwest Champion - 141.7
  3. 171 - NIWOT - 94:30.9 - NXR Southwest Third Place - 140.3
  4. 188 - LONE PEAK - 95:10.2 - NXR Southwest Champion - 137.8
  5. 201 - CLOVIS - 94:56.4 - California D1 Champion - 138.7
  6. 204 - NORTH SPOKANE - 95:28.9 - NXR Northwest Runner-up - 136.6
  7. 206 - MANLIUS - 94:37.9 - NXR New York Champion - 139.9
  8. 242 - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 96:10.1 - NXR Southwest Runner-up - 134.0
  9. 266 - TEMECULA - 96:39.2 - California D1 Runner-up - 132.2
  10. 310 - PURCELLVILLE - 97:16.4 - NXR Southeast Champion - 129.8
  11. 320 - PORTLAND - 97:26.4 - NXR Northwest Third Place - 129.2
  12. 323 - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 97:06.7 - NXR Midwest Champion - 130.4
  13. 327 - BEAVERCREEK - 96:57.7 - NXR Midwest Runner-up - 131.0
  14. 333 - EDINA - 97:25.3 - NXR Heartland Champion - 129.3
  15. 353 - FT. LAUDERDALE - 98:12.1 - NXR Southeast Runner-up - 126.3
  16. 354 - MUSKEGO - 97:58.0 - NXR Heartland Runner-up - 127.2
  17. 358 - NEWBURY PARK - 97:58.2 - California D2 Champion - 127.2
  18. 359 - FOREST PARK - 97:25.0 - NXR Northwest Fourth Place - 129.3
  19. 384 - HUNTERDON - 98:34.7 - NXR Northeast Champion - 124.9
  20. 390 - RIDGEWOOD - 98:19.8 - NXR Northeast Runner-up - 125.8
  21. 426 - CARROLL - 98:58.4 - NXR South Runner-up - 123.4
  22. 483 - PROSPER - 99:58.0 - NXR South Champion - 119.6

Girls Individuals:
  1. 170.7 - 17:18.4 - KATELYN TUOHY - NEW YORK - 9:52
  2. 170.5 - 17:19.1 - TAYLOR EWERT - BEAVERCREEK - 9:53
  3. 170.4 - 17:19.4 - SYDNEY THORVALDSON - NORTHWEST - 9:53
  4. 167.5 - 17:28.4 - CLAIRE WALTERS - MANLIUS - 9:58
  5. 165.1 - 17:35.9 - MARLEE STARLIPER - NORTHEAST - 10:02
  6. 165.0 - 17:36.4 - CARLIE DOROSTKAR - CALIFORNIA - 10:03
  7. 164.3 - 17:38.6 - BROOKE RAUBER - NEW YORK - 10:04
  8. 163.7 - 17:40.5 - CHARLOTTE BEDNAR - NORTHEAST - 10:05
  9. 162.7 - 17:43.7 - KATE PETERS - FOREST PARK - 10:07
  10. 160.6 - 17:50.2 - FIFI MAX - CENTRAL OREGON - 10:11
  11. 160.3 - 17:51.3 - ERIN STRZELECKI - MIDWEST - 10:11
  12. 158.7 - 17:56.2 - CORIE SMITH - CLOVIS - 10:14
  13. 158.6 - 17:56.5 - JENNA SCHULZ - NEW YORK - 10:14
  14. 158.0 - 17:58.3 - ELLA KURTO - KINETIC - 10:15
  15. 157.9 - 17:58.7 - SAMREE DISHON - NIWOT - 10:15
  16. 157.9 - 17:58.8 - ANNALYSSA CRAIN - MIDWEST - 10:15
  17. 157.0 - 18:01.5 - TATUM DAVID - MIDWEST - 10:17
  18. 156.7 - 18:02.4 - JULIA DAVID-SMITH - NORTHWEST - 10:17
  19. 156.7 - 18:02.6 - SARAH CONNELLY - NEW YORK - 10:18
  20. 156.1 - 18:04.4 - KELSEY HARRINGTON - SOUTHEAST - 10:19
  21. 155.3 - 18:07.0 - MEGHAN FORD - HEARTLAND - 10:20
  22. 155.0 - 18:07.9 - MATTIE GEDDES - NORTHWEST - 10:21
  23. 154.7 - 18:08.8 - BRYNN BROWN - SOUTH - 10:21
  24. 154.6 - 18:09.1 - SASHA NEGLIA - SOUTHEAST - 10:21
  25. 152.1 - 18:16.9 - SAMANTHA BLAIR - SOUTHWEST - 10:26
  26. 152.1 - 18:17.2 - ELIZA ARRINGTON - LONE PEAK - 10:26
  27. 151.9 - 18:17.8 - LAUREN PING - SOUTHWEST - 10:26
  28. 151.8 - 18:18.1 - ALEX KLOS - CALIFORNIA - 10:26
  29. 151.3 - 18:19.5 - ANA WEAVER - HEARTLAND - 10:27
  30. 150.2 - 18:23.0 - KORA MALECEK - HEARTLAND - 10:29
  31. 149.8 - 18:24.2 - RILEY STEWART - SOUTHWEST - 10:30
  32. 149.7 - 18:24.6 - LEA HATCHER - SOUTHEAST - 10:30
  33. 149.6 - 18:24.9 - SAVANNAH SCRIVEN - CALIFORNIA - 10:30
  34. 149.5 - 18:25.2 - MARIE HOSTETLER - HEARTLAND - 10:30
  35. 149.2 - 18:26.1 - McKINLEY WHEELER - KINETIC - 10:31
  36. 149.0 - 18:26.8 - MAGGIE GAMBOA - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 10:31
  37. 148.6 - 18:28.0 - COLLEEN STEGMANN - SOUTH - 10:32
  38. 148.6 - 18:28.0 - MACKENZIE HART - KINETIC - 10:32
  39. 148.6 - 18:28.2 - SHERIDAN WHEELER - KINETIC - 10:32
  40. 147.2 - 18:32.6 - AVERY CLOVER - SOUTH - 10:35
  41. 147.1 - 18:32.9 - ZOE DUFFUS - MIDWEST - 10:35
  42. 146.4 - 18:34.9 - TEAGHAN KNOX - CENTRAL OREGON - 10:36
  43. 146.3 - 18:35.2 - JENNA MULHERN - NORTHEAST - 10:36
  44. 145.9 - 18:36.6 - CHLOE GONZALEZ - HUNTERDON - 10:37
  45. 144.3 - 18:41.7 - MEG MADISON - NORTHEAST - 10:40
  46. 144.0 - 18:42.7 - TSION YARED - FT. LAUDERDALE - 10:40
  47. 143.7 - 18:43.4 - LANIE SZUCH - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 10:41
  48. 143.5 - 18:44.2 - ATHENA YOUNG - SOUTHEAST - 10:41
  49. 143.4 - 18:44.4 - ERINN HILL - NORTH SPOKANE - 10:41
  50. 143.1 - 18:45.3 - KATELYNNE HART - MIDWEST - 10:42
  51. 143.1 - 18:45.4 - ANNA FENSKE - HEARTLAND - 10:42
  52. 142.6 - 18:47.0 - PHOEBE WHITE - MANLIUS - 10:43
  53. 142.1 - 18:48.5 - REAGAN GARDNER - LONE PEAK - 10:44
  54. 142.1 - 18:48.7 - SYDNEY SUNDGREN - CLOVIS - 10:44
  55. 142.1 - 18:48.7 - TAYLOR WHITFIELD - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 10:44
  56. 141.9 - 18:49.1 - EVA JESS - SOUTH - 10:44
  57. 141.8 - 18:49.5 - KELLI GAFFNEY - TEMECULA - 10:44
  58. 141.7 - 18:49.7 - AVA GORDON - PURCELLVILLE - 10:44
  59. 141.5 - 18:50.6 - SAVANNAH ROARK - BEAVERCREEK - 10:45
  60. 141.1 - 18:51.6 - LUCCA FULKERSON - NIWOT - 10:46
  61. 141.1 - 18:51.7 - TAYLOR JAMES - NIWOT - 10:46
  62. 141.1 - 18:51.8 - KYLIE HARTNETT - NORTHWEST - 10:46
  63. 140.9 - 18:52.5 - ALLIE JANKE - NORTH SPOKANE - 10:46
  64. 140.7 - 18:52.9 - REESE FAHYS - NORTHEAST - 10:46
  65. 140.7 - 18:53.1 - HARPER MCCLAIN - CALIFORNIA - 10:46
  66. 140.1 - 18:55.0 - HANNAH KAERCHER - MANLIUS - 10:48
  67. 140.0 - 18:55.1 - MARIE TAYLOR - NORTH SPOKANE - 10:48
  68. 139.9 - 18:55.4 - AMELU RUFF - NORTH SPOKANE - 10:48
  69. 139.7 - 18:56.2 - CAMRYN WENNERSTEN - RIDGEWOOD - 10:48
  70. 139.4 - 18:57.0 - RILEY CHAMBERLAIN - CALIFORNIA - 10:49
  71. 139.1 - 18:58.0 - CHLOE FOERSTER - PORTLAND - 10:49
  72. 138.8 - 18:58.9 - JASPER FIEVET - CENTRAL OREGON - 10:50
  73. 138.8 - 18:59.1 - JODIE PIERCE - BEAVERCREEK - 10:50
  74. 138.4 - 19:00.2 - KATE SPERKA - MUSKEGO - 10:50
  75. 138.2 - 19:00.8 - HANNAH MINIUTTI - SOUTHEAST - 10:51
  76. 138.0 - 19:01.5 - MARY VELNER - EDINA - 10:51
  77. 137.8 - 19:02.0 - HALEIGH MORALES - NEW YORK - 10:52
  78. 137.4 - 19:03.4 - GRACE HUTCHISON - CLOVIS - 10:52
  79. 137.1 - 19:04.2 - MAGGIE WAGNER - EDINA - 10:53
  80. 136.7 - 19:05.7 - CAMERON MCCONNELL - SOUTHWEST - 10:54
  81. 135.7 - 19:08.9 - AUBRIE NEX - TEMECULA - 10:55
  82. 135.5 - 19:09.5 - EMILY BUSH - KINETIC - 10:56
  83. 135.3 - 19:10.1 - AUBREY O'CONNELL - PROSPER - 10:56
  84. 135.2 - 19:10.2 - HAILEY GOLMON - NEWBURY PARK - 10:56
  85. 134.9 - 19:11.2 - SAM MCDONNELL - NEWBURY PARK - 10:57
  86. 134.9 - 19:11.3 - KRIANNE MCBRIDE - SOUTH - 10:57
  87. 134.6 - 19:12.2 - CAROLINE MENDYK - CLOVIS - 10:57
  88. 134.5 - 19:12.5 - CARLEE HANSEN - SOUTHWEST - 10:58
  89. 134.0 - 19:14.2 - ELIZA MASON - LONE PEAK - 10:58
  90. 133.5 - 19:15.6 - BARRETT JUSTEMA - CENTRAL OREGON - 10:59
  91. 133.4 - 19:16.0 - BROOKE WILSON - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 10:59
  92. 133.2 - 19:16.6 - MAYA BELEZNAY - FT. LAUDERDALE - 11:00
  93. 132.5 - 19:18.7 - BRITTANY HELM - MUSKEGO - 11:01
  94. 132.1 - 19:20.0 - KENZIE MELDRUM - LONE PEAK - 11:02
  95. 132.1 - 19:20.1 - RICKY FETTEROLF - PURCELLVILLE - 11:02
  96. 132.1 - 19:20.2 - EVA KLINGBEIL - NIWOT - 11:02
  97. 131.8 - 19:21.1 - MIA KANE - FOREST PARK - 11:02
  98. 131.2 - 19:23.0 - ELISE ABBE - PURCELLVILLE - 11:03
  99. 131.2 - 19:23.1 - SAGE BROOKS - NORTHWEST - 11:04
  100. 130.6 - 19:24.8 - MAGDALYN HOFFMAN - HUNTERDON - 11:05
  101. 130.5 - 19:25.0 - MOLLY GRANT - PORTLAND - 11:05
  102. 130.2 - 19:26.1 - AISHLING FABIAN - TEMECULA - 11:05
  103. 130.1 - 19:26.3 - DEBBIE LUCCHETTI - MANLIUS - 11:05
  104. 129.9 - 19:27.1 - ALEXIS KEBBE - PORTLAND - 11:06
  105. 129.9 - 19:27.1 - HEIDI NIELSON - SOUTH - 11:06
  106. 129.6 - 19:27.9 - RACHEL HELM - MUSKEGO - 11:06
  107. 129.4 - 19:28.7 - AMELIA PHILOFSKY - NIWOT - 11:07
  108. 129.3 - 19:28.9 - JOELLE MCDONALD - NIWOT - 11:07
  109. 129.2 - 19:29.2 - JENNA HOLLAND - CARROLL - 11:07
  110. 129.1 - 19:29.6 - MAGGIE WILLIAMS - CENTRAL OREGON - 11:07
  111. 129.0 - 19:29.8 - MAGGIE BENNETT - PORTLAND - 11:07
  112. 128.9 - 19:30.2 - LUCY JENKS - NORTHEAST - 11:08
  113. 128.9 - 19:30.3 - MONET WINGER - LONE PEAK - 11:08
  114. 128.8 - 19:30.4 - EMILY FAULHABER - FT. LAUDERDALE - 11:08
  115. 128.6 - 19:31.1 - LAUREN COSSACK - EDINA - 11:08
  116. 128.2 - 19:32.4 - KAITLYNN WOLFE - SOUTHEAST - 11:09
  117. 128.2 - 19:32.5 - FIONA HAWKINS - NEWBURY PARK - 11:09
  118. 128.1 - 19:32.6 - AUDREY MENDRYS - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:09
  119. 127.3 - 19:35.3 - KATHERINE MCELANEY - CARROLL - 11:11
  120. 127.2 - 19:35.7 - OLIVIA SHATTUCK - RIDGEWOOD - 11:11
  121. 126.9 - 19:36.6 - AUDREY DANG - TEMECULA - 11:11
  122. 126.6 - 19:37.4 - SADIE GONZALES - PROSPER - 11:12
  123. 126.4 - 19:38.1 - ARIANNA GRIFITHS - TEMECULA - 11:12
  124. 126.0 - 19:39.3 - ISABELLA PROSCENO - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 11:13
  125. 125.6 - 19:40.7 - CAMPBELL PETERSEN - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:14
  126. 125.6 - 19:40.7 - MOLLY MORTON - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:14
  127. 125.4 - 19:41.2 - SCARLET FETTEROLF - PURCELLVILLE - 11:14
  128. 125.3 - 19:41.7 - KAYLIE COX - CARROLL - 11:14
  129. 125.3 - 19:41.7 - ANNAMARIE TRETOLA - RIDGEWOOD - 11:14
  130. 124.9 - 19:42.7 - ASHLEY JONES - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 11:15
  131. 124.7 - 19:43.4 - CATHERINE MONGAN - KINETIC - 11:15
  132. 124.6 - 19:43.9 - ISABEL HOMSI - FOREST PARK - 11:15
  133. 124.4 - 19:44.5 - ADDISON SCHMIDT - HUNTERDON - 11:16
  134. 124.3 - 19:44.7 - MAHDERE YARED - FT. LAUDERDALE - 11:16
  135. 124.0 - 19:45.6 - MACY IYER - EDINA - 11:16
  136. 123.9 - 19:45.9 - KATE DONALDSON - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:17
  137. 122.1 - 19:51.8 - RILEY CASH - FOREST PARK - 11:20
  138. 121.7 - 19:52.8 - MADDIE SHULTS - NIWOT - 11:21
  139. 121.4 - 19:53.8 - STELLA SKOVBORG - CENTRAL OREGON - 11:21
  140. 121.2 - 19:54.6 - TATUM FOREMAN - CARROLL - 11:22
  141. 121.0 - 19:55.0 - SOPHIE GOLOBITSH - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:22
  142. 120.8 - 19:55.6 - CLAIRE HAMLET - RIDGEWOOD - 11:22
  143. 120.8 - 19:55.9 - MIA JAUREGUI - CLOVIS - 11:22
  144. 120.1 - 19:57.8 - McKAYLA FELTON - MUSKEGO - 11:23
  145. 120.0 - 19:58.2 - ALEX CARLSON - HUNTERDON - 11:24
  146. 119.7 - 19:59.1 - ARCHANA MOHANDAS - NEWBURY PARK - 11:24
  147. 119.6 - 19:59.6 - MORGAN HUTCHISON - CLOVIS - 11:24
  148. 119.1 - 20:01.2 - GRACE KAERCHER - MANLIUS - 11:25
  149. 119.0 - 20:01.5 - MIA HILL - NORTH SPOKANE - 11:25
  150. 118.9 - 20:01.7 - DIVINE TORZA - TEMECULA - 11:26
  151. 118.7 - 20:02.4 - ALLY TALLEY - PURCELLVILLE - 11:26
  152. 118.5 - 20:02.9 - MORGAN RICHTER - EDINA - 11:26
  153. 118.0 - 20:04.6 - TORI GAITAN - TEMECULA - 11:27
  154. 117.8 - 20:05.2 - AILISH HAWKINS - NEWBURY PARK - 11:28
  155. 117.8 - 20:05.2 - HANNAH ROUND - NEWBURY PARK - 11:28
  156. 117.4 - 20:06.5 - NAYA WRENN - PORTLAND - 11:28
  157. 117.0 - 20:07.8 - KATIE BYBEE - LONE PEAK - 11:29
  158. 116.7 - 20:08.8 - GRETCHEN SLATTUM - NEWBURY PARK - 11:30
  159. 116.6 - 20:09.0 - KYRA HOLLAND - PURCELLVILLE - 11:30
  160. 116.4 - 20:09.7 - AMY MOREFIELD - SOUTH - 11:30
  161. 116.1 - 20:10.6 - LILY WILLIAMS - RIDGEWOOD - 11:31
  162. 116.1 - 20:10.6 - ANYA BELISLE - KINETIC - 11:31
  163. 115.2 - 20:13.4 - SARA JOCHIMS - MUSKEGO - 11:32
  164. 115.1 - 20:13.6 - CLAIRE WAGNER - EDINA - 11:32
  165. 114.9 - 20:14.5 - CLAIRE COONEY - PORTLAND - 11:33
  166. 114.7 - 20:15.0 - LUCY WESTLAKE - NORTH NAPERVILLE - 11:33
  167. 114.2 - 20:16.6 - SARAH POLICANO - RIDGEWOOD - 11:34
  168. 114.1 - 20:16.9 - KIRSTIN TOWLE - PROSPER - 11:34
  169. 113.9 - 20:17.6 - ABIGAIL MCILVAIN - CARROLL - 11:35
  170. 113.6 - 20:18.6 - KENDALL HOBBS - BEAVERCREEK - 11:35
  171. 113.2 - 20:19.6 - REESE DRAGOVICH - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 11:36
  172. 111.8 - 20:24.1 - EMILEY KERN - PROSPER - 11:38
  173. 111.4 - 20:25.4 - NOELLE JUNIG - MUSKEGO - 11:39
  174. 111.1 - 20:26.4 - ANI OXBOROUGH - MUSKEGO - 11:40
  175. 110.1 - 20:29.5 - ALEXIS SVOBODA - PROSPER - 11:41
  176. 109.6 - 20:31.2 - KAYLEE ELLIOTT - CLOVIS - 11:42
  177. 108.8 - 20:33.6 - AMELIA AMACK - MANLIUS - 11:44
  178. 106.0 - 20:42.5 - GRACE WILLIAMSON - CARROLL - 11:49
  179. 105.3 - 20:44.5 - SOPHIE SMITH - FOREST PARK - 11:50
  180. 104.9 - 20:45.8 - NATALIE JACK - PORTLAND - 11:51
  181. 104.3 - 20:47.7 - MADDY DUGGLEBY - MANLIUS - 11:52
  182. 103.4 - 20:50.6 - SOPHIA REICH - HUNTERDON - 11:54
  183. 103.2 - 20:51.4 - TSU-QUIN-DA-RO ENYART - FOREST PARK - 11:54
  184. 101.9 - 20:55.3 - ALICE ROBERTS - PURCELLVILLE - 11:56
  185. 101.6 - 20:56.4 - KATE PARSONS - PROSPER - 11:57
  186. 101.2 - 20:57.7 - SIERRA STOCKER - FT. LAUDERDALE - 11:58
  187. 100.9 - 20:58.4 - ELLIE COOK - FOREST PARK - 11:58
  188. 100.6 - 20:59.4 - BRI TEEGARDEN - HIGHLANDS RANCH - 11:59
  189. 99.9 - 21:01.5 - KENDALL CARTER - NORTH SPOKANE - 12:00
  190. 98.9 - 21:04.8 - IZZY MAX - CENTRAL OREGON - 12:02
  191. 98.6 - 21:05.9 - ALEXA KARMIS - CARROLL - 12:02
  192. 97.7 - 21:08.5 - SADIE SCHREINER - EDINA - 12:04
  193. 96.4 - 21:12.7 - MADISON LEE - NORTH SPOKANE - 12:06
  194. 92.5 - 21:25.0 - TATUM CASTILLO - PROSPER - 12:13
  195. 91.5 - 21:28.2 - ALYSSA PANELLA - HUNTERDON - 12:15
  196. 90.8 - 21:30.3 - GRACE DAILEY - BEAVERCREEK - 12:16
  197. 75.2 - 22:19.5 - SAMI KEHLER - HUNTERDON - 12:44
  198. 69.2 - 22:38.3 - LORRIE AXELROD - FT. LAUDERDALE - 12:55
  199. 68.2 - 22:41.5 - AMANDA SCHWARTZ - FT. LAUDERDALE - 12:57
  200. 66.0 - 22:48.6 - LUCIA RABOLLI - RIDGEWOOD - 13:01
  201. 64.7 - 22:52.8 - MEGAN NOWE - BEAVERCREEK - 13:03

Boys NXN Nationals Results/Ratings

Newbury Park CA's Nico Young led from the gun in a VERY impressive showing today, and also led his team to victory! Also, the boys team race was just as outstanding as expected with all three pre-race favorites finishing on the podium and only 14 points separating them! Also a strong race by St. Charles East IL to bounce back from their off race at NXR. Pretty muddy conditions today as it was raining a fair amount overnight and this morning in Portland.

Ratings estimate: 200.0 = 15:24

(edit: added estimated equivalent 3200m times for better comparison; also, had to adjust the results because original results had the #2-4 finishers in the incorrect order, though the times were correct ... let me know if you see any other errors)

Boys Teams:
  1. 128 - NEWBURY PARK - 78:47.3 - California D2 Champion - 193.0
  2. 132 - TEMECULA - 79:43.6 - California D1 Champion - 189.4
  3. 142 - DRAPER - 79:46.2 - NXR Southwest Champion - 189.2
  4. 163 - ST CHARLES - 79:57.6 - NXR Midwest Third Place - 188.5
  5. 213 - CROZET - 80:46.8 - NXR Southeast Runner-up - 185.3
  6. 226 - RHODE ISLAND - 80:44.2 - NXR Northeast Champion - 185.4
  7. 236 - LITTLETON - 80:29.1 - NXR Southwest Third Place - 186.4
  8. 247 - DANA POINT - 81:10.7 - California D2 Runner-up - 183.7
  9. 253 - WHEATON SOUTH - 81:06.1 - NXR Midwest Champion - 184.0
  10. 255 - PURCELLVILLE - 80:58.7 - NXR Southeast Champion - 184.5
  11. 274 - MANLIUS - 81:05.5 - NXR New York Champion - 184.1
  12. 275 - ELMHURST - 81:33.6 - NXR Midwest Runner-up - 182.2
  13. 284 - DENVER - 81:34.7 - NXR Southwest Runner-up - 182.2
  14. 285 - CARROLL - 81:27.7 - NXR South Champion - 182.6
  15. 316 - THE WOODLANDS - 81:40.9 - NXR South Runner-up - 181.8
  16. 327 - LINCROFT - 82:01.4 - NXR Northeast Runner-up - 180.4
  17. 386 - PORTLAND - 82:36.7 - NXR Northwest Runner-up - 178.1
  18. 407 - BURNT HILLS - 82:49.2 - NXR New York Runner-up - 177.3
  19. 415 - MOUNDS VIEW - 82:58.4 - NXR Heartland Champion - 176.7
  20. 434 - WEST KENNEWICK - 83:04.3 - NXR Northwest Champion - 176.3
  21. 491 - STEVENS POINT - 83:46.7 - NXR Heartland Runner-up - 173.6
  22. 581 - EASTWOOD - 84:34.0 - NXR South Third Place - 170.5

Boys Individuals:
  1. 210.3 - 14:52.3 - NICO YOUNG - NEWBURY PARK - 8:41
  2. 205.8 - 15:06.1 - JOSH METHNER - MIDWEST - 8:49
  3. 205.1 - 15:08.3 - CALEB BROWN - MIDWEST - 8:50
  4. 204.9 - 15:08.8 - MATT STRANGIO - CALIFORNIA - 8:51
  5. 204.9 - 15:09.0 - CONNOR OHLSON - LITTLETON - 8:51
  6. 204.7 - 15:09.6 - EJ HOLLAND - NORTHWEST - 8:51
  7. 204.5 - 15:10.1 - COLE SPROUT - SOUTHWEST - 8:51
  8. 203.9 - 15:12.0 - LIAM MURPHY - NORTHEAST - 8:53
  9. 203.4 - 15:13.4 - CARSON BELNAP - SOUTHWEST - 8:53
  10. 202.6 - 15:15.9 - WIL SMITH - NORTHWEST - 8:55
  11. 202.1 - 15:17.4 - NATHAN GREEN - NORTHWEST - 8:56
  12. 202.0 - 15:17.8 - ANTHONY MONTE - SOUTH - 8:56
  13. 201.5 - 15:19.5 - TRISTIAN MERCHANT - NORTHWEST - 8:57
  14. 201.3 - 15:20.0 - DYLAN SCHUBERT - SOUTHWEST - 8:57
  15. 201.3 - 15:20.1 - RYAN SCHOPPE - SOUTH - 8:57
  16. 200.9 - 15:21.1 - SAM LAWLER - NEW YORK - 8:58
  17. 200.3 - 15:23.1 - JACK SPAMER - MIDWEST - 8:59
  18. 198.3 - 15:29.1 - JACE ASCHBRENNER - NEWBURY PARK - 9:03
  19. 198.1 - 15:29.8 - BOB LIKING - ST CHARLES - 9:03
  20. 197.8 - 15:30.8 - CRUZ CULPEPPER - SOUTHWEST - 9:04
  21. 197.1 - 15:32.9 - ANTHONY GROVER - CALIFORNIA - 9:05
  22. 197.1 - 15:33.0 - CARLOS SHULTZ - PURCELLVILLE - 9:05
  23. 196.9 - 15:33.7 - ISAIAH GALINDO - CALIFORNIA - 9:05
  24. 196.5 - 15:34.8 - KEVIN ANTCZAK - NORTHEAST - 9:06
  25. 195.9 - 15:36.6 - MICHAEL MIRELES - CALIFORNIA - 9:07
  26. 195.8 - 15:37.0 - JUDSON GREER - SOUTH - 9:07
  27. 195.8 - 15:37.0 - BILLY HAUENSTEIN - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:07
  28. 195.7 - 15:37.3 - GRAHAM BLANKS - SOUTHEAST - 9:07
  29. 195.6 - 15:37.7 - JACKSON BRADDOCK - NORTHEAST - 9:08
  30. 195.4 - 15:38.2 - SAMUEL OTIS - MANLIUS - 9:08
  31. 195.3 - 15:38.4 - NICK SCHELLER - HEARTLAND - 9:08
  32. 195.0 - 15:39.3 - SPENCER CARDINAL - THE WOODLANDS - 9:09
  33. 194.7 - 15:40.2 - EVAN BISHOP - MIDWEST - 9:09
  34. 194.6 - 15:40.7 - LISANDRO BERRY-GAVIRIA - NORTHEAST - 9:09
  35. 194.5 - 15:41.0 - JACK MCLOUGHLIN - RHODE ISLAND - 9:10
  36. 194.3 - 15:41.6 - ABRAHAM AVILA-MARTINEZ - SOUTH - 9:10
  37. 194.2 - 15:41.9 - COLTON KEMPNEY - NEW YORK - 9:10
  38. 194.2 - 15:42.0 - EASTON ALLRED - DRAPER - 9:10
  39. 193.7 - 15:43.4 - BRENDAN FAVAZZA - MIDWEST - 9:11
  40. 193.3 - 15:44.5 - ISAAC TEEPLES - WEST KENNEWICK - 9:12
  41. 193.0 - 15:45.5 - JOE HAWKES - CROZET - 9:12
  42. 193.0 - 15:45.6 - PEYTON GEEHRER - MANLIUS - 9:12
  43. 192.9 - 15:45.8 - CARRICK DENKER - DANA POINT - 9:12
  44. 192.8 - 15:46.2 - JACK JENNINGS - NORTHEAST - 9:13
  45. 192.6 - 15:46.7 - MARK BOYLE - DRAPER - 9:13
  46. 192.3 - 15:47.6 - YASIN SADO - SOUTHWEST - 9:13
  47. 191.8 - 15:49.4 - SULLY SHELTON - SOUTHEAST - 9:14
  48. 191.4 - 15:50.5 - MICHAEL HANCOCK - MIDWEST - 9:15
  49. 191.4 - 15:50.6 - COLIN HILL - ELMHURST - 9:15
  50. 191.3 - 15:50.8 - EVAN REYNOLDS - NORTHEAST - 9:15
  51. 191.2 - 15:51.0 - JACK ELIASON - CROZET - 9:15
  52. 191.1 - 15:51.3 - AIDAN PALMER - NORTHWEST - 9:16
  53. 190.9 - 15:51.9 - COLIN SAHLMAN - NEWBURY PARK - 9:16
  54. 190.9 - 15:52.0 - GABE ABBES - TEMECULA - 9:16
  55. 190.9 - 15:52.0 - JACOB WHITE - LITTLETON - 9:16
  56. 190.8 - 15:52.2 - RYAN ALLISON - BURNT HILLS - 9:16
  57. 190.3 - 15:53.8 - MICAH WILSON - ST CHARLES - 9:17
  58. 190.1 - 15:54.4 - ETHAN HAMMER - THE WOODLANDS - 9:17
  59. 190.0 - 15:54.8 - ARIC REZA - TEMECULA - 9:18
  60. 189.8 - 15:55.3 - MAX DIMUCCIO - RHODE ISLAND - 9:18
  61. 189.7 - 15:55.6 - TIM MCELANEY - CARROLL - 9:18
  62. 189.6 - 15:56.0 - JOHN WORTHY GARCIA - TEMECULA - 9:18
  63. 188.9 - 15:58.3 - LEANDRO CANDRAY - TEMECULA - 9:20
  64. 188.6 - 15:59.0 - TROY HILL - LINCROFT - 9:20
  65. 188.6 - 15:59.1 - WILL CHAFFIN - NORTHEAST - 9:20
  66. 188.5 - 15:59.4 - MHALICKI BRONSON - MIDWEST - 9:20
  67. 188.4 - 15:59.6 - KELLEN HASLE - PURCELLVILLE - 9:20
  68. 188.3 - 15:59.9 - HENRY FARRINGTON - NORTHEAST - 9:21
  69. 188.1 - 16:00.6 - SETH ROUSE - DENVER - 9:21
  70. 187.9 - 16:01.3 - ALEX HARBERTSON - DRAPER - 9:21
  71. 187.7 - 16:01.9 - NATHANIEL LANNEN - CARROLL - 9:22
  72. 187.5 - 16:02.5 - MATEO JOSEPH - TEMECULA - 9:22
  73. 187.3 - 16:03.1 - GEOFF HOWLES - MANLIUS - 9:22
  74. 187.3 - 16:03.2 - AIDAN KING - ST CHARLES - 9:23
  75. 187.2 - 16:03.3 - JUSTIN WILSON - SOUTHEAST - 9:23
  76. 187.0 - 16:04.1 - KEVIN CARLSON - PURCELLVILLE - 9:23
  77. 186.9 - 16:04.2 - CHASE LEACH - RHODE ISLAND - 9:23
  78. 186.8 - 16:04.6 - JOSHUA STONE - NEW YORK - 9:23
  79. 186.7 - 16:04.9 - AJ ROWLAND - DRAPER - 9:24
  80. 186.6 - 16:05.3 - GITCH HAYES - NEW YORK - 9:24
  81. 185.9 - 16:07.4 - BRANDON PIZANO - DANA POINT - 9:25
  82. 185.7 - 16:08.1 - ANTONIO FLORCRUZ - CARROLL - 9:25
  83. 185.5 - 16:08.8 - IAN HARRISON - SOUTHEAST - 9:26
  84. 185.3 - 16:09.3 - STUART TERRILL - CROZET - 9:26
  85. 185.2 - 16:09.5 - DAVID ZELLER - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:26
  86. 185.1 - 16:09.8 - RYAN KINNANE - HEARTLAND - 9:26
  87. 185.1 - 16:09.9 - OLIVER PALEEN - HEARTLAND - 9:26
  88. 184.9 - 16:10.5 - SHAW POWELL - LINCROFT - 9:27
  89. 184.8 - 16:10.9 - HARRISON WITT - DENVER - 9:27
  90. 184.6 - 16:11.3 - CALEB JOHNSON - DRAPER - 9:27
  91. 184.0 - 16:13.2 - JAI DAWSON - DANA POINT - 9:28
  92. 183.8 - 16:13.8 - DANIEL KLYSH - ELMHURST - 9:29
  93. 183.6 - 16:14.5 - LUKE SCHILDMEYER - ST CHARLES - 9:29
  94. 183.5 - 16:14.7 - JACOB KLUCKHOHN - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:29
  95. 183.1 - 16:16.2 - NICK GOLDSTEIN - NEWBURY PARK - 9:30
  96. 183.0 - 16:16.3 - ZACK LOOMIS - ST CHARLES - 9:30
  97. 183.0 - 16:16.4 - RYAN SCHUMACHER - PORTLAND - 9:30
  98. 182.9 - 16:16.7 - PETER FOGARTY - NEW YORK - 9:30
  99. 182.8 - 16:17.0 - ALEC NELSON - MOUNDS VIEW - 9:31
  100. 182.5 - 16:17.8 - DANIEL APPLEFORD - NEWBURY PARK - 9:31
  101. 182.4 - 16:18.3 - BEN MORRIN - LITTLETON - 9:31
  102. 182.2 - 16:18.8 - JACK BENNETT - PORTLAND - 9:32
  103. 182.1 - 16:19.0 - DAVIS HELMERICH - DENVER - 9:32
  104. 181.9 - 16:19.6 - SEAN STUCK - SOUTHEAST - 9:32
  105. 181.7 - 16:20.4 - ALEX MAXWELL - RHODE ISLAND - 9:33
  106. 181.3 - 16:21.5 - FINN SOKOLOWSKI - MOUNDS VIEW - 9:33
  107. 180.8 - 16:23.0 - JAKE BOURGET - STEVENS POINT - 9:34
  108. 180.6 - 16:23.6 - JARED PEASLEE - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:34
  109. 180.6 - 16:23.7 - LEO YOUNG - NEWBURY PARK - 9:35
  110. 180.5 - 16:24.2 - BEN DASTRUP - DRAPER - 9:35
  111. 180.0 - 16:25.5 - SHUAYB HUSSEIN - HEARTLAND - 9:36
  112. 179.7 - 16:26.5 - MAX MURPHY - HEARTLAND - 9:36
  113. 179.6 - 16:26.7 - WILL BONNER - CROZET - 9:36
  114. 179.5 - 16:27.2 - DECLAN O'SCANNLAIN - PORTLAND - 9:37
  115. 179.4 - 16:27.3 - KYLE BOE - DENVER - 9:37
  116. 179.4 - 16:27.3 - MICKEY VREELAND - ELMHURST - 9:37
  117. 179.0 - 16:28.6 - CHRISTOPHER MIDDLETON-PEARSON - CALIFORNIA - 9:37
  118. 178.9 - 16:29.1 - MICHAEL MORIARTY - ELMHURST - 9:38
  119. 178.5 - 16:30.1 - OMAR GARCIA LOPEZ - DANA POINT - 9:38
  120. 178.4 - 16:30.6 - BEN SHEARER - SOUTH - 9:39
  121. 178.3 - 16:30.7 - ELLIOTT MCARTHUR - MOUNDS VIEW - 9:39
  122. 178.2 - 16:31.1 - CHRIS DESOUSA - LINCROFT - 9:39
  123. 178.2 - 16:31.2 - MATT SMITH - PURCELLVILLE - 9:39
  124. 177.7 - 16:32.8 - BRIAN PRATT - ELMHURST - 9:40
  125. 177.5 - 16:33.2 - COLE SAWIRES YAGER - TEMECULA - 9:40
  126. 177.2 - 16:34.2 - RYAN BROADHEAD - DANA POINT - 9:41
  127. 177.2 - 16:34.3 - JOSEPH TAYLOR - CROZET - 9:41
  128. 177.1 - 16:34.5 - ETHAN STRAUB - LITTLETON - 9:41
  129. 177.0 - 16:34.9 - BEN SANTOS - LINCROFT - 9:41
  130. 176.9 - 16:35.3 - BEN PIEGAT - LITTLETON - 9:41
  131. 176.8 - 16:35.6 - WILL MARCHANT - BURNT HILLS - 9:41
  132. 176.6 - 16:36.0 - THOMAS KALLEN - CROZET - 9:42
  133. 176.3 - 16:36.9 - JACK O'SULLIVAN - DENVER - 9:42
  134. 176.3 - 16:37.1 - AARON SOLTMANN - THE WOODLANDS - 9:42
  135. 176.2 - 16:37.2 - MICHAEL MCCABE - CARROLL - 9:42
  136. 176.1 - 16:37.5 - WILL YASDICK - ELMHURST - 9:43
  137. 175.8 - 16:38.5 - ARIK MANWARING - DRAPER - 9:43
  138. 175.6 - 16:39.1 - GRAYSON WILCOTT - WEST KENNEWICK - 9:44
  139. 175.5 - 16:39.6 - CHRIS VERDUGO - TEMECULA - 9:44
  140. 175.2 - 16:40.4 - CONNOR MURPHY - ST CHARLES - 9:44
  141. 175.1 - 16:40.6 - MATTHEW ROUNDS - BURNT HILLS - 9:44
  142. 174.9 - 16:41.3 - ETHAN SENG - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:45
  143. 174.4 - 16:42.7 - KEVIN BOARD - BURNT HILLS - 9:46
  144. 174.3 - 16:43.2 - STANFORD SMITH - WEST KENNEWICK - 9:46
  145. 174.3 - 16:43.3 - TYLER CHAMBERS - RHODE ISLAND - 9:46
  146. 174.2 - 16:43.5 - TRISTAN SERNAU - STEVENS POINT - 9:46
  147. 174.1 - 16:43.7 - ADAM THIBODEAU - RHODE ISLAND - 9:46
  148. 174.0 - 16:44.2 - JAKE LEPAK - STEVENS POINT - 9:46
  149. 173.8 - 16:44.8 - MATIAS MONONEN - THE WOODLANDS - 9:47
  150. 173.7 - 16:44.9 - SOLOMON CHAVEZ - CARROLL - 9:47
  151. 173.6 - 16:45.2 - SAM CURRAN - PORTLAND - 9:47
  152. 173.6 - 16:45.3 - KYLE EASTON - THE WOODLANDS - 9:47
  153. 173.4 - 16:45.9 - JACK MORAN - LINCROFT - 9:47
  154. 173.3 - 16:46.1 - MICHAEL ATKINS - WHEATON SOUTH - 9:48
  155. 173.2 - 16:46.4 - JAMES PEDEN - MANLIUS - 9:48
  156. 173.2 - 16:46.6 - ANDREW LARSON - WEST KENNEWICK - 9:48
  157. 172.9 - 16:47.5 - ELIAS PEREZ - EASTWOOD - 9:48
  158. 172.4 - 16:49.1 - JOE GARDNER - CARROLL - 9:49
  159. 172.4 - 16:49.1 - JOHN SCHULER - PORTLAND - 9:49
  160. 171.8 - 16:50.8 - JEREMIAH MUSSMON - PURCELLVILLE - 9:50
  161. 171.6 - 16:51.4 - ZACH SCHARBARTH - STEVENS POINT - 9:51
  162. 171.5 - 16:51.8 - WILL SACAY - MOUNDS VIEW - 9:51
  163. 171.4 - 16:52.2 - BRIAN SEWELL - THE WOODLANDS - 9:51
  164. 171.4 - 16:52.2 - DANIEL PATRICK - MANLIUS - 9:51
  165. 171.2 - 16:52.7 - NATHAN HERNANDEZ - EASTWOOD - 9:51
  166. 170.8 - 16:54.0 - SERGIO CUARTAS - EASTWOOD - 9:52
  167. 170.4 - 16:55.1 - JONAS LARSON - PORTLAND - 9:53
  168. 169.7 - 16:57.4 - MATT MILLER - MOUNDS VIEW - 9:54
  169. 169.6 - 16:57.5 - JUAN OLMOS - EASTWOOD - 9:54
  170. 169.5 - 16:57.8 - NICHOLAS SULLIVAN - LINCROFT - 9:54
  171. 169.4 - 16:58.1 - DAVID METACARPA - BURNT HILLS - 9:55
  172. 169.4 - 16:58.3 - MATEO BARRETO - PURCELLVILLE - 9:55
  173. 168.7 - 17:00.3 - JAYDEN NATS - DENVER - 9:56
  174. 168.1 - 17:02.3 - ANDREWS GURROLA - EASTWOOD - 9:57
  175. 167.3 - 17:04.6 - CHRISTIAN KIZEWSKI-MANTHEY - STEVENS POINT - 9:58
  176. 167.2 - 17:04.9 - JOSEPH MOERSCH - DANA POINT - 9:59
  177. 166.8 - 17:06.4 - JOSH BOURGET - STEVENS POINT - 9:59
  178. 166.5 - 17:07.3 - TIM CAHILL - LINCROFT - 10:00
  179. 166.2 - 17:08.0 - ETHAN KERN - ELMHURST - 10:00
  180. 166.1 - 17:08.3 - JACK ALTIMONDA - MANLIUS - 10:01
  181. 165.8 - 17:09.2 - JAMES JACOBS - STEVENS POINT - 10:01
  182. 165.8 - 17:09.3 - VICTOR PARRA - EASTWOOD - 10:01
  183. 165.7 - 17:09.5 - JOHNNY OLENEK - ST CHARLES - 10:01
  184. 165.6 - 17:09.9 - TINO PRECIADO - MOUNDS VIEW - 10:02
  185. 165.3 - 17:10.9 - ANDREW HOLLADAY - WEST KENNEWICK - 10:02
  186. 165.2 - 17:11.1 - JACK CASEY - RHODE ISLAND - 10:02
  187. 165.2 - 17:11.2 - AIDAN ALEXANDER - PORTLAND - 10:02
  188. 164.9 - 17:12.2 - BEN AMUNDSON - THE WOODLANDS - 10:03
  189. 164.8 - 17:12.5 - BLAKE OHLSON - LITTLETON - 10:03
  190. 164.7 - 17:12.7 - VICTOR ANCHONDO - EASTWOOD - 10:03
  191. 163.8 - 17:15.5 - NICK GROCK - BURNT HILLS - 10:05
  192. 163.3 - 17:17.0 - OWEN SHIFFLETT - CROZET - 10:06
  193. 162.7 - 17:19.0 - BRETT GILLEY - CARROLL - 10:07
  194. 162.0 - 17:21.1 - CARSON REWISKI - WHEATON SOUTH - 10:08
  195. 161.3 - 17:23.1 - WYATT OGLESBY - LITTLETON - 10:09
  196. 161.2 - 17:23.5 - JAX WEIDE - WEST KENNEWICK - 10:09
  197. 160.6 - 17:25.2 - NATE APOSTOL - MOUNDS VIEW - 10:10
  198. 160.2 - 17:26.6 - TAYLOR NEY - PURCELLVILLE - 10:11
  199. 159.2 - 17:29.6 - GIANNI VIOLA-WILHELMI - DANA POINT - 10:13
  200. 157.1 - 17:36.2 - COLIN MOONEY - DENVER - 10:17
  201. 157.0 - 17:36.5 - TOM MCDONNELL - NEWBURY PARK - 10:17
  202. 154.8 - 17:43.2 - DANTE UBRIACO - BURNT HILLS - 10:21
  203. 150.0 - 17:57.9 - BEN PERRY - MANLIUS - 10:30

Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Fun with numbers - a quick sanity check on NXR Ratings **REVISED**

I thought it might be interesting to post this little tidbit about how accurate my ratings my be this year.

Every year after NXN, I run an analysis to see how the various NXR courses compare based on times ran at NXN (including removing outliers, so this isn't influenced by how well specific individuals ran but rather the groups of individuals ran after discounting outlier performances). This accomplishes two goals: identifying what regions I might have over/undervalued going into NXN, and estimating just how fast the course at NXN should be rated.

The results from last year's NXR and NXN analysis gave the following results:

200.0 mark for NXN Nationals Girls race should be about 15:02
200.0 mark for NXN Nationals Boys race should be about 15:11

(Side note: I feel good about those ratings, I think they are very fitting. For anyone reading these that want to compare to Meylan's speed ratings: they are derived differently, and it's not uncommon that I'm a little more generous in my ratings than Meylan is. That isn't always true, and for many meets we are close, but for whatever reason there are some circumstances where my ratings are consistently higher than his -- I have my theories as to why that difference exists and is as notable as it exists, but it would only be guesses and not worth spending time talking about ... so just realize that Meylan's speed ratings and my own form of ratings, beyond the difference of how they are calculated e.g. Meylan's +/- system vs. my multiplier system, are not identical and can't really be compared directly)

200.0 mark for each regional race:

14:43 NXR Southwest
14:44 California State
14:45 NXR Heartland
14:53 NXR Southeast
14:53 NXR Midwest
15:12 NXR Northwest
15:20 NXR South
15:32 NXR Northeast/New York

Taking those differences in the course, I thought it would be interesting to see how the differences might look BEYOND my usual methods, just as a check to see if I'm significantly over/under estimating any regional race this year.

Milesplit has a pretty neat tool that allows you to compare how the same races compare from year to year. Using that tool, and limiting my scope to the runners that ran at both races and taking the average time, average of the middle 80% of times, average difference for specific runners, and average difference of the middle 80% for specific runners (those are the measurements that seemed most consistent from region to region), I ran some numbers on how much faster/slower the courses seemed to run this year vs. last (if we assume that every region progresses year-to-year at roughly the same rate).

[EDIT - I found the reason why the Northwest runners improved by comparably less ... for some reason, Milesplit didn't bother to log the boys races in 2018! Serves me right for not double-checking Milesplit's data I guess ... as a result, I'll be removing the Northwest from this comparison, and revised the rest of the regions to look at data from the boys races only only ... which didn't change the results too much as would be expected unless a region had significantly more girls returning than boys, but aside from New York things did become slightly more in-line with what I was seeing while rating the different regional races]

For all of those measurements, the median differences throughout the regions were around 35 seconds improvement from last year to this year. I considered that the standard, and any region that improved by less than 35 seconds is an estimate that the course ran that much SLOWER (e.g., the same Midwest athletes average times were 22.9 seconds faster in 2019, so that would suggest the course ran 12.1 seconds slower this year compared to last: 35.0 - 22.9 = 12.1).

This isn't a perfect analysis for several reasons (it relies on the accuracy of milesplit's compiled data which I'm not double checking, different training programs will in general progress at different rates, environmental situation may influence how much a these runners progress from year to year e.g. less likely to train year-round in hot/cold regions or more likely to progress more significantly if living and training at altitude, it goes beyond the championship races for both years which is the focus of the ratings and the racing situation can influence times between different races, etc. etc.), which is why I'm not changing my regional ratings due to the findings, but it provides an idea of if I'm maybe on the right track.

The results, region-by-region:

NXR Heartland was rated at 14:45 last year in the final review. The analysis (702 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 14:41-14:46. I rated it a 14:46, so that's a pretty good fit!

NXR Midwest was rated at 14:53 last year in the final review. The analysis (676 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 15:02-15:05. I rated it at 14:58, so maybe a slight underrating of the region, but 4-7 seconds is within the margin of error IMO especially if it is on that lower end.

NXR Southwest was rated 14:43 last year in the final review. The analysis (683 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 14:55-14:59. I rated it at 14:50, so this could be a notable underrating by 5-9 seconds!

NXR South was rated at 15:20 last year in the final review. The analysis (513 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 15:14-15:15. I rated it at 15:14, so that's a pretty good fit!

NXR Southeast was rated at 14:53 last year in the final review. The analysis (252 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 14:49-14:50. I rated it at 14:53, so that's a pretty good fit!

California State was rated at 14:44 last year in the final review. The analysis (319 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 14:43-14:44. I rated it at 14:40, so that's a very good fit!

I don't rate the Northeast and New York races separately, but rather combine them, UNLESS there is a situation where the course conditions change notably between the races (e.g., a really muddy course that got worse as the day wore on). Unfortunately, Milesplit's tool looks at NXR-NE and NXR-NY separately, but these stay mostly in the same ballpark so it's not too big of a deal.

NXR Northeast was rated at 15:32 last year in the final review. The analysis (218 boys) shows this year it should be rated anywhere from 15:33-15:34. For NXR New York, the analysis (148 boys) shows anywhere from 15:27-15:30. Combined, that suggests anywhere from 15:27-15:34 but probably closer to 15:30-15:33. I rated it at 15:37, so that's a pretty decent fit but maybe slightly overestimating by as 5 seconds or so.

The biggest difference by far, though, was the NXR Northwest analysis.

We will find out on Saturday how much I over/under estimated the regional races. If the Southwest teams and individuals are notably more dominant than I already have them and Northeast/New York less competitive, I guess I need to be more aggressive with my year-to-year adjustments and that the regions are even less balanced that I thought!

BTW, here's a summary table of the analysis for those that might want to dig a little deeper.

2018 Rating - Region - Avg. Time - Middle 80% Time - Avg. Difference - Middle 80% Difference - Region - Averaged from Analysis - 2019 Rating

14:45 - HL - 14:46 - 14:42 - 14:46 - 14:41 - HL - 14:44 - 14:46
14:53 - MW - 15:05 - 15:03 - 15:05 - 15:02 - MW - 15:04 - 14:58
14:43 - SW - 14:59 - 14:55 - 14:59 - 14:55 - SW - 14:57 - 14:50
15:20 - SO - 15:15 - 15:14 - 15:15 - 15:14 - SO - 15:14 - 15:14
14:53 - SE - 14:50 - 14:50 - 14:50 - 14:49 - SE - 14:50 - 14:53
15:32 - NE - 15:34 - 15:34 - 15:34 - 15:33 - NE - 15:34 - 15:37
15:32 - NY - 15:27 - 15:29 - 15:27 - 15:30 - NY - 15:28 - 15:37
14:44 - CA - 14:43 - 14:43 - 14:43 - 14:44 - CA - 14:43 - 14:40


Since I consider 5-10 seconds to be a reasonable margin of error for comparing across different regions and different races (human performance is variable, and a runner being 5-10 seconds off wouldn't be considered an outlier in a statistical comparison), all of the regions would be within at least the larger side of that margin. The Southwest (+7), Midwest (+6) and New York (-9) are beyond 5 seconds but all less than 10, meaning I might be underrating the Southwest and Midwest while overrating New York -- but since New York and the Northeast run on the same course and the Northeast fits, I don't think the idea that New York is potentially being slightly overrated will end up playing out. The other 5 regions (sans Northwest, which Milesplit doesn't have the data for) are within 0-3 seconds of how I had them rated, which is a very good fit.


Post-NXN Nationals EDIT: After the conclusion of the national race, the post-race analysis had these as the suggested regional ratings:

(Boys Nationals = 15:24, Girls Nationals = 15:46)

NXR Heartland: 14:46 vs. the 14:46 I had them at, and 14:44 from the analysis above
NXR Midwest: 15:04 vs. the 14:58 I had them at, and 15:04 from the analysis above
NXR Northwest: 15:10 vs. the 15:10 I had them at (and didn't include above because Milesplit didn't have the right data to use)
NXR Southwest: 14:52 vs. the 14:50 I had them at, and 14:57 from the analysis above
NXR South: 15:16 vs. the 15:14 I had them at, and 15:14 from the analysis above
NXR Southeast: 14:49 vs. the 14:53 I had them at, and 14:50 from the analysis above
NXR Northeast/New York: 15:39 vs. the 15:37 I had them at, and 15:32ish from the analysis above
California State: 14:46 vs. the 14:40 I had them at, and 14:43 from the analysis above

In review, I was slightly underrating the Midwest and California (though not by a large margin, only 6 seconds), to an even lesser degree I slightly overrated Southeast (4 seconds), and every other region was within 2 seconds.

Monday, December 2, 2019

Top Girls Teams/Individuals from NXR Meets

Here's a fun little look in case I don't get around to posting a proper NXN Projection this year. Every year, when looking through the regional races, I rate all of the races and throw them into a large field and parse it down until I get the top few teams so that I can gauge how well potential At-Large teams (and sometimes teams that might have finished fifth or sixth in a really strong region) might fare against the AQ teams already in the field. To that end, here is the scoring I had from NXR results ONLY for the 18 AQ teams + the top 7 non-AQ teams. Again, this does NOT represent who I think was necessarily the most deserving At-Large teams this year, but rather how everyone compared at the NXR meets specifically.

Included are the merged scores, the team time average from their meet, the associated ratings for that average time, the region they competed in and the place they got at the meet. Teams in bold are in the NXN field, teams underlined were eligible for At-Large consideration, and teams in italics were teams that were not eligible for At-Large consideration (were outside the top 4 at their regional meet).

Girls Teams:
  1. 126 - Summit OR - 18:01.40 - 143.5 - NW #1
  2. 209 - Saratoga Springs NY - 18:56.76 - 136.1 - NY #2
  3. 210 - North Central WA - 18:13.22 - 139.6 - NW #2
  4. 215 - Lone Peak UT - 17:58.33 - 136.5 - SW #1
  5. 227 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 18:45.20 - 139.7 - NY #1
  6. 234 - Jesuit OR - 18:26.44 - 135.2 - NW #3
  7. 265 - Valor Christian CO - 18:06.13 - 133.9 - SW #2
  8. 277 - Loudoun Valley VA - 18:10.82 - 133.5 - SE #1
  9. 286 - Niwot CO - 18:12.07 - 131.9 - SW #3
  10. 294 - Lincoln OR - 18:26.34 - 135.3 - NW #4
  11. 315 - Buchanan CA - 17:56.92 - 132.9 - CA #1
  12. 323 - Beavercreek OH - 18:20.52 - 132.3 - MW #2
  13. 326 - Great Oak CA - 18:06.54 - 129.6 - CA #2
  14. 348 - Cherry Creek CO - 18:13.08 - 131.6 - SW #4
  15. 350 - Muskego WI - 18:13.20 - 129.9 - HL #2
  16. 352 - Edina MN - 18:16.52 - 128.7 - HL #1
  17. 367 - Pine Crest FL - 18:29.50 - 127.3 - SE #2
  18. 368 - Sage Creek CA - 18:11.72 - 127.8 - CA #4
  19. 373 - Newbury Park CA - 18:10.38 - 128.3 - CA #3
  20. 395 - Naperville (North) IL - 18:33.34 - 128.1 - MW #1
  21. 412 - Prosper TX - 18:53.37 - 128.0 - SO #1
  22. 431 - Wayzata MN - 18:23.98 - 126.2 - HL #3
  23. 441 - North Hunterdon NJ - 19:27.40 - 126.2 - NE #1
  24. 453 - Southlake Carroll TX - 19:02.84 - 124.9 - SO #2
  25. 641 - Ridgewood NJ - 19:59.78 - 115.8 - NE #2
(note: all of the teams in the final NXN field are listed above; this is a VERY strong year where I feel like any of the 7 potential At-Large teams listed above would have easily made it in any other year, with the top 3 at-large teams potentially being the best At-Large teams ever invited. To go along with an incredible individual field, this year looks like it'll be the best field ever on the girls side and probably boys as well!)

Also, it should be noted that obviously if you take out the 3 teams that didn't make the field, the scores would change as would the order of teams, but in general the groupings would remain intact which is as accurate as you can realistically expect to be in any projection.

Additionally, here are the top individuals from the NXR races; individuals in bold qualified for nationals, individuals underlined and in italics did NOT qualify and did not receive At-Large invites (to my knowledge). 45 of the Top 50 made it into the field, with the top performances not advancing being from #23, #32, #43, #49 and #50.

Girls Top-50 Individuals:
  1. 171.3 - Katelyn Tuohy - Lady Raiders XC - NY #1
  2. 166.8 - Sydney Thorvaldson - Unattached - NW #1
  3. 164.7 - Claire Walters - Manlius XC - NY #2
  4. 162.8 - Zofia Dudek - Purple Track Club (MI)  - MW #1
  5. 162.6 - Katelynne Hart - West Glenbard (IL)  - MW #2
  6. 161.8 - Fiona Max - Storm over Bend - NW #2
  7. 161.1 - Kate Peters - Red Bird Running Club - NW #3
  8. 160.4 - Allie Janke - North Spokane - NW #4
  9. 157.3 - DOROSTKAR, Carlie - Canyon Crest Academy-SDS - CA #1
  10. 156.5 - Sasha NEGLIA - Dobyns-Bennett XC - SE #1
  11. 156.4 - Taylor Ewert - Creek Strong (OH)  - MW #3
  12. 156.0 - Athena YOUNG - Morgantown XC - SE #2
  13. 155.4 - Tatum David - Unattached - MW #4
  14. 154.9 - Riley Stewart - Colorado Bruins - SW #1
  15. 154.2 - Charlotte Bednar - UNA-NJ-Bednar - NE #1
  16. 153.7 - Jenna Schulz - LPXC - NY #3
  17. 152.3 - SMITH, Corie - Buchanan-CS - CA #2
  18. 152.3 - Erin Strzelecki - Unattached - MW #5
  19. 151.1 - Mattalyn Geddes - Unat-Geddes-Mattalyn - NW #5
  20. 150.8 - Annalyssa Crain - Unattached - MW #6
  21. 150.5 - Chloe Foerster - STUMPTOWN XC CLUB - NW #6
  22. 149.9 - Brynn Brown - SOUTHSIDE RC - SO #1
  23. 149.9 - Zoe Duffus - Unattached - MW #7
  24. 149.8 - Eliza Arrington - Lone Peak XC - SW #2
  25. 149.8 - Samantha Blair - UNA CO - SW #3
  26. 149.7 - Colleen Stegmann - Reedy RC - SO #2
  27. 149.7 - Carlee Hansen - UNA UT - SW #4
  28. 149.5 - Hannah Kaercher - Manlius XC - NY #4
  29. 149.2 - Cameron McConnell - Cougar XC - SW #5
  30. 149.1 - Chloe Gonzalez - Hunterdon Lions Track Club - NE #2
  31. 148.8 - Lauren Ping - Thunder Running Club - SW #6
  32. 148.3 - Ava Parekh - Unattached - MW #8
  33. 148.2 - Meghan Ford - Buffalo City Running Club - HL #1
  34. 148.0 - Julia David Smith - Fly Eagles Fly - NW #7
  35. 147.8 - KLOS, Alexandra - Vista Del Lago-SJS - CA #3
  36. 147.7 - MCCLAIN, Harper - St Helena-NCS - CA #4
  37. 147.4 - Eva Jess - Franklin RC - SO #3
  38. 147.2 - Teaghan Knox - Storm over Bend - NW #8
  39. 147.0 - Sage Brooks - HKXC - NW #9
  40. 146.8 - CHAMBERLAIN, Riley - Del Oro-SJS - CA #5
  41. 146.5 - Kylie Hartnett - Helena Novas - NW #10
  42. 146.1 - Jenna Mulhern - West Chester XC Club - NE #3
  43. 146.1 - Lucy Huelskamp - Apollos Cross Country - NW #11
  44. 145.9 - Lea HATCHER - Morgantown XC - SE #3
  45. 145.8 - Ava GORDON - The Jungle TC - SE #4
  46. 145.6 - Brooke Rauber - Black Knights - NY #5
  47. 145.5 - Kate Sperka - Muskego XC Club - HL #2
  48. 145.3 - Marie Hostetler - Unattached - HL #3
  49. 145.3 - Karina James - Unattached - MW #9
  50. 145.3 - Brooke Stromsland - Unattached - MW #10

Top Boys Teams/Individuals from NXR Meets

Here's a fun little look in case I don't get around to posting a proper NXN Projection this year. Every year, when looking through the regional races, I rate all of the races and throw them into a large field and parse it down until I get the top few teams so that I can gauge how well potential At-Large teams (and sometimes teams that might have finished fifth or sixth in a really strong region) might fare against the AQ teams already in the field. To that end, here is the scoring I had from NXR results ONLY for the 18 AQ teams + the top 7 non-AQ teams. Again, this does NOT represent who I think was necessarily the most deserving At-Large teams this year, but rather how everyone compared at the NXR meets specifically.

Included are the merged scores, the team time average from their meet, the associated ratings for that average time, the region they competed in and the place they got at the meet. Teams in bold are in the NXN field, teams underlined were eligible for At-Large consideration, and teams in italics were teams that were not eligible for At-Large consideration (were outside the top 4 at their regional meet).

Boys Teams:
  1. 154 - Newbury Park CA - 15:05.34 - 191.3 - CA #1
  2. 177 - Corner Canyon UT - 15:25.14 - 188.2 - SW #1
  3. 181 - Great Oak CA - 15:16.50 - 187.6 - CA #2
  4. 224 - Loudoun Valley VA - 15:33.18 - 186.5 - SE #1
  5. 243 - Wheaton Warrenville South IL - 15:42.72 - 185.1 - MW #1
  6. 246 - Mountain Vista CO - 15:33.91 - 185.2 - SW #2
  7. 270 - Dakota Ridge CO - 15:33.10 - 185.5 - SW #3
  8. 270 - Southlake Carroll TX - 16:01.63 - 184.4 - SO #1
  9. 293 - Western Albemarle VA - 15:40.88 - 183.9 - SE #2
  10. 295 - Dana Hills CA - 15:26.58 - 184.1 - CA #3
  11. 298 - La Salle Academy RI - 16:26.68 - 184.1 - NE #1
  12. 316 - Kamiakin WA - 15:58.90 - 183.9 - NW #1
  13. 318 - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - 16:26.44 - 184.2 - NY #1
  14. 342 - Elmhurst (York) IL - 15:51.80 - 182.0 - MW #2
  15. 356 - Severna Park MD - 15:48.52 - 181.3 - SE #3
  16. 363 - El Paso Eastwood TX - 16:09.72 - 181.7 - SO #3
  17. 366 - The Woodlands TX - 16:10.89 - 181.3 - SO #2
  18. 374 - Flower Mound TX - 16:12.15 - 180.9 - SO #4
  19. 375 - Franklin OR - 16:03.32 - 182.4 - NW #3
  20. 388 - Jesuit CA - 15:33.60 - 181.7 - CA #4
  21. 394 - Christian Brothers Academy NJ - 16:36.80 - 180.9 - NE #2
  22. 397 - Jesuit OR - 16:10.52 - 180.1 - NW #2
  23. 480 - Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake NY - 16:48.80 - 177.0 - NY #2
  24. 542 - Mounds View MN - 15:57.88 - 175.7 - HL #1
  25. 610 - Stevens Point WI - 16:04.76 - 173.3 - HL #2

(note: St. Charles East IL was invited as an At-Large team this year but didn't make the cut for the list above; I feel they were a good selection, not based on their NXR race, but on the body of their season. At NXR, their #1 was well off his usual, and while that alone wouldn't have put them clearly ahead of teams like Severna Park or El Paso Eastwood, they would have been in the same range as Franklin and Flower Mound, and with multiple wins over Wheaton-Warrenville South and York during the season that's good enough in my eyes)

Also, it should be noted that obviously if you take out the 4 teams that didn't make the field (and add in St. Charles East), the scores would change as would the order of teams, but in general the groupings would remain intact which is as accurate as you can realistically expect to be in any projection.

Additionally, here are the top individuals from the NXR races; individuals in bold qualified for nationals, individuals underlined and in italics did NOT qualify and did not receive At-Large invites (to my knowledge). Not as many of the top performers made it into the field compared to the girls with only 43 of the Top 50 advancing. Not making it were #22, #27, #29, #32, #44, #49 and #50.

Boys Top-50 Individuals:
  1. 203.9 - YOUNG, Nico - Newbury Park-SS - CA #1
  2. 202.9 - Cole Sprout - UNA CO - SW #1
  3. 202.7 - Carson Belnap - Stansbury XC - SW #2
  4. 202.6 - Ryan Schoppe - La Porte XC Club - SO #1
  5. 202.3 - Evan Holland - Lithia Distance Project - NW #1
  6. 200.1 - Josh Methner - Arlington XC (IL)  - MW #1
  7. 198.9 - Nathan Green - Lions XC - NW #2
  8. 198.8 - STRANGIO, Matt - Jesuit-SJS - CA #2
  9. 198.5 - Caleb Brown - Unattached - MW #2
  10. 198.5 - Cruz Culpepper - REAL Training - SW #3
  11. 198.4 - Graham BLANKS - Unattached - SE #1
  12. 198.3 - Connor Ohlson - Hogback XC - SW #4
  13. 198.0 - Aidan Palmer - Mount Tabor TC - NW #3
  14. 198.0 - Wil Smith - SOUTH CENTRAL - NW #4
  15. 197.8 - Judson Greer - Unattached - SO #2
  16. 197.7 - Isaac Teeples - Braves Soul - NW #5
  17. 197.4 - Mhalicki Bronson - Unattached - MW #3
  18. 197.4 - Evan Bishop - Unattached - MW #4
  19. 197.3 - Dylan Schubert - UNA CO - SW #5
  20. 197.2 - Yasin Sado - UNA CO - SW #6
  21. 197.1 - Tristian Merchant - Unat-Merchant-Tristian - NW #6
  22. 197.0 - Parker Wolfe - UNA CO - SW #7
  23. 196.8 - Peyton Geehrer - Manlius XC - NY #1
  24. 196.8 - Sean STUCK - West Springfield XC - SE #2
  25. 196.8 - Anthony Monte - Venom XC - SO #3
  26. 196.6 - Sully SHELTON - Hoya TC - SE #3
  27. 196.2 - Ahmed Ibrahim - Broncos - NW #7
  28. 196.1 - Jack Spamer - Unattached - MW #5
  29. 196.1 - Creed Thompson - Falcons XC - SW #8
  30. 196.0 - William Chaffin - Patriot Athletics Club - NE #1
  31. 196.0 - Brendan Favazza - Unattached - MW #6
  32. 195.9 - Dalton Mortensen - Bountiful XC - SW #9
  33. 195.7 - Ian HARRISON - Catamount XC - SE #4
  34. 195.6 - Abraham Avila-Martinez - Saints - SO #4
  35. 195.5 - Jack McLoughlin - La Salle Academy - NE #2
  36. 195.5 - Lisandro Berry-Gavi - UNA-ME-Berry-Gaviria - NE #3
  37. 195.3 - ASCHBRENNER, Jace - Newbury Park-SS - CA #3
  38. 195.1 - Ben Shearer - Warriors - SO #5
  39. 195.0 - Carlos SHULTZ - The Jungle TC - SE #5
  40. 194.1 - Sam Lawler - Vikings XC - NY #2
  41. 194.1 - Shaw Powell - Brothers TC - NE #4
  42. 193.7 - Justin WILSON - Wickham Park DP - SE #6
  43. 193.7 - Mark Boyle - Draper XC - SW #10
  44. 193.6 - Gus McIntyre - UNA CO - SW #11
  45. 193.4 - Jackson Braddock - UNA-NJ-Braddock - NE #5
  46. 193.2 - DENKER, CARRICK - Dana Hills-SS - CA #4
  47. 193.1 - Jack ELIASON - Crozet Crew - SE #7
  48. 193.0 - GALINDO, Isaiah - Clovis North-CS - CA #5
  49. 192.9 - Nicklaus Brawner - Park - SO #6
  50. 192.8 - Peter Visser - SVXC - NW #8

Sunday, December 1, 2019

Boys NXR Southeast Results/Ratings

Ratings Estimate: 200.0 = 14:50

Teams/Individuals in bold qualified for NXN Nationals.

Boys Teams:
  1. 80 - Loudoun Valley VA - 77:45.90 - Virginia Class 4 Champion - 186.5
  2. 116 - Western Albemarle VA - 78:24.40 - Virginia Class 3 Champion - 183.9
  3. 146 - Severna Park MD - 79:02.60 - Maryland 4A Champion - 181.3
  4. 238 - West Springfield VA - 79:31.30 - Virginia Class 6 Champion - 179.4
  5. 239 - Satellite FL - 79:45.60 - Florida 2A Champion - 178.5
  6. 265 - Belen Jesuit Prep FL - 80:24.10 - Florida 3A Champion - 175.9
  7. 281 - Weddington NC - 80:32.80 - North Carolina 3A Runner-up - 175.3
  8. 282 - North Lincoln NC - 80:13.00 - North Carolina 2A Champion - 176.6
  9. 291 - Albemarle VA - 80:36.60 - Virginia Class 5 Champion - 175.0
  10. 311 - Northwood MD - 80:52.50 - Maryland 4A Runner-up - 174.0
  11. 322 - Needham Broughton NC - 80:51.90 - North Carolina 4A Champion - 174.0
  12. 333 - Huntsville AL - 81:02.90 - Alabama 7A Champion - 173.3
  13. 345 - Grafton VA - 81:17.20 - Virginia Class 4 Runner-up - 172.3
  14. 350 - Providence Day School NC - 80:51.00 - North Carolina 4A-Ind. Champion - 174.1
  15. 435 - Harrison GA - 81:54.90 - Georgia 6A Champion - 169.8
  16. 436 - Scottsboro AL - 81:47.60 - Alabama 5A Champion - 170.3
  17. 443 - The Bolles School FL - 82:09.80 - Florida 2A Runner-up - 168.8
  18. 452 - Pace Academy GA - 82:14.50 - Georgia 3A Runner-up - 168.5
  19. 491 - Green Hope NC - 82:27.90 - North Carolina 4A Fourth Place - 167.6
  20. 497 - Leesville Road NC - 82:59.30 - North Carolina 4A Seventh Place - 165.4
  21. 508 - Chapel Hill NC - 82:49.10 - North Carolina 3A Champion - 166.1
  22. 531 - Archbishop Spalding MD - 84:13.10 - Maryland Independent A Champion - 160.5
  23. 538 - Blacksburg VA - 83:31.40 - Virginia Class 4 Fourth Place - 163.3
  24. 549 - Panther Creek NC - 83:11.30 - North Carolina 4A Fifth Place - 164.6
  25. 555 - Conner KY - 83:20.40 - Kentucky 3A Third Place - 164.0
  26. 567 - Freedom (LC) VA - 83:57.00 - Virginia Class 5 Third Place - 161.6
  27. 571 - Salesianum DE - 83:56.20 - Delaware D1 Runner-up - 161.6
  28. 650 - Millbrook NC - 84:39.50 - North Carolina 4A Tenth Place - 158.7
  29. 745 - Ponte Vedra FL - 85:55.40 - Florida 3A Fourth Place - 153.6
  30. 791 - Fleming Island FL - 86:33.00 - Florida 4A #11 - 151.1

Boys Top-100 Individuals:
  1. 198.4 - 14:57.7 - Graham BLANKS, 12 - Unattached
  2. 196.8 - 15:02.4 - Sean STUCK, 12 - West Springfield XC
  3. 196.6 - 15:03.1 - Sully SHELTON, 11 - Hoya TC
  4. 195.7 - 15:05.9 - Ian HARRISON, 12 - Catamount XC
  5. 195.0 - 15:08.0 - Carlos SHULTZ, 12 - The Jungle TC
  6. 193.7 - 15:11.7 - Justin WILSON, 10 - Wickham Park DP
  7. 193.1 - 15:13.5 - Jack ELIASON, 12 - Crozet Crew
  8. 191.8 - 15:17.4 - Bryce LENTZ, 11 - Unattached
  9. 191.2 - 15:19.3 - Jason THOMSON, 12 - North Lincoln TC
  10. 190.4 - 15:21.6 - Tanner PIOTROWSKI, 12 - Unattached
  11. 190.2 - 15:22.3 - Cooper ATKINS, 11 - The Boro TC
  12. 190.0 - 15:22.9 - Christian LANDIS, 11 - Murdock Racing
  13. 189.8 - 15:23.4 - Maddon MUHAMMAD, 11 - Unattached
  14. 188.8 - 15:26.3 - Kellen HASLE, 12 - The Jungle TC
  15. 187.8 - 15:29.4 - Andrew HAMMEL, 12 - Unattached
  16. 187.3 - 15:30.7 - Zander JEFFCOAT, 10 - Unattached
  17. 187.1 - 15:31.3 - Joe HAWKES, 12 - Crozet Crew
  18. 186.5 - 15:33.1 - Colby BURCHAM, 12 - Unattached
  19. 186.4 - 15:33.4 - Daniel HOPKINS, 12 - Unattached
  20. 186.0 - 15:34.6 - Carson SLOAT, 11 - Severna Park XC
  21. 185.8 - 15:35.2 - Kevin CARLSON, 12 - The Jungle TC
  22. 185.0 - 15:37.6 - Garrett SUHR, 12 - Unattached
  23. 184.9 - 15:38.0 - Jason KRELL, 12 - Murdock Racing
  24. 184.8 - 15:38.3 - Murphy SMITH, 11 - Unattached
  25. 184.4 - 15:39.5 - Bradley BALL, 11 - Unattached
  26. 184.2 - 15:40.0 - Jackson CORE, 12 - Morgantown XC
  27. 184.2 - 15:40.1 - Will MACKENZIE, 12 - Panorama Farms Project
  28. 184.1 - 15:40.2 - Sam PRITCHARD, 12 - West Springfield XC
  29. 184.1 - 15:40.2 - Jake GELFAND, 11 - Severna Park XC
  30. 184.0 - 15:40.5 - Jack ROONEY, 12 - Capital XC
  31. 183.4 - 15:42.3 - Chris WEEKS, 12 - West Springfield XC
  32. 183.3 - 15:42.7 - Jake TOOMEY, 12 - Warrior Project
  33. 183.0 - 15:43.5 - Stuart TERRILL, 12 - Crozet Crew
  34. 182.7 - 15:44.6 - Nick ENGLEMAN, 12 - Severna Park XC
  35. 182.5 - 15:45.1 - Jake TURNER, 12 - Unattached
  36. 182.5 - 15:45.2 - Ryan MILLER, 12 - Spalding Cavaliers
  37. 182.5 - 15:45.2 - Thomas VO, 12 - Western Cary
  38. 182.3 - 15:45.8 - Jeremiah MUSSMON, 12 - The Jungle TC
  39. 182.2 - 15:45.9 - Surafel MENGIST, 12 - Unattached
  40. 181.9 - 15:46.8 - Alistair BUSHEY, 12 - Blacksburg XC
  41. 181.5 - 15:48.0 - Tristan BRODIE, 12 - SB Elite
  42. 181.1 - 15:49.4 - Aaron ROVNAK, 11 - Unattached
  43. 180.8 - 15:50.1 - Diego GOMEZ, 11 - Miami XI
  44. 180.6 - 15:50.6 - Mateo BARRETO, 12 - The Jungle TC
  45. 180.5 - 15:51.0 - Will BONNER, 12 - Crozet Crew
  46. 180.4 - 15:51.2 - Anish NANJAPPA, 12 - Unattached
  47. 180.4 - 15:51.3 - James DENNISON, 12 - Severna Park XC
  48. 180.2 - 15:51.9 - Adam MAGOULAS, 10 - Miami XI
  49. 180.0 - 15:52.6 - Cullen CAPUANO, 12 - DC XC Club
  50. 179.9 - 15:52.8 - Athanasius TESFAYE, 12 - Unattached
  51. 179.7 - 15:53.5 - Nathanael FERRANTE, 12 - W&OD Lions
  52. 179.6 - 15:53.6 - Ben MADRIGAL, 10 - Barber Shop
  53. 179.5 - 15:53.9 - Jackson DANNER, 11 - Rocket City Running
  54. 179.4 - 15:54.4 - Timothy BOYCE, 11 - Project Creek - MD
  55. 178.9 - 15:55.7 - Henok ESHETU, 12 - Project Creek - MD
  56. 178.8 - 15:56.0 - John MALACH, 12 - Capital XC
  57. 178.7 - 15:56.3 - Daniel FERRANTE, 12 - W&OD Lions
  58. 178.6 - 15:56.7 - Conner WINGFIELD, 10 - Unattached
  59. 178.5 - 15:57.0 - Henry HARDART, 12 - Spalding Cavaliers
  60. 178.3 - 15:57.7 - Gabe MONTAGUE, 11 - Wickham Park DP
  61. 178.2 - 15:57.9 - Patrick DONNELLY, 11 - DC XC Club
  62. 178.0 - 15:58.4 - Jacob COBB, 12 - Rocket City Running
  63. 178.0 - 15:58.6 - Khari JOHNSON, 12 - North Lincoln TC
  64. 177.7 - 15:59.3 - Kevin VANDERKOLK, 11 - Bruins TC
  65. 177.5 - 16:00.0 - Kendall PHILLIPS, 11 - Running Lions XC
  66. 177.5 - 16:00.0 - Michael TULL, 10 - Unattached
  67. 177.5 - 16:00.1 - Noah CONNELLY, 11 - Hoya TC
  68. 177.5 - 16:00.1 - Daniel GITTELMAN, 12 - The Storm TC
  69. 177.3 - 16:00.6 - Ryan BANKO, 10 - Ramsey Farm
  70. 177.2 - 16:00.8 - Cole RUTKOWSKI, 11 - Duval
  71. 177.0 - 16:01.4 - Jackson MEGARY, 10 - Whitman Harriers
  72. 176.8 - 16:02.2 - Aidan NATHAN, 11 - Unattached
  73. 176.7 - 16:02.5 - Alex MURPHY, 11 - Barber Shop
  74. 176.5 - 16:03.1 - Michael TOPPI, 10 - Unattached
  75. 176.3 - 16:03.6 - Andrew MACEMORE, 12 - SE-XC Ville
  76. 176.2 - 16:03.8 - Zachary STURM, 12 - Barber Shop
  77. 175.9 - 16:04.8 - Joe YUNG, 11 - Panorama Farms Project
  78. 175.8 - 16:05.1 - Joseph TAYLOR, 11 - Crozet Crew
  79. 175.6 - 16:05.5 - George ADAMS, 12 - House TC
  80. 175.4 - 16:06.1 - Wesley LARSON, 11 - Warrior Project
  81. 175.4 - 16:06.3 - Nicolas HIDALGO, 11 - Miami XI
  82. 175.3 - 16:06.4 - Connor HAYES, 11 - Unattached
  83. 175.3 - 16:06.5 - Sam SANNEMAN, 11 - Warrior Project
  84. 175.2 - 16:06.7 - Taylor NEY, 12 - The Jungle TC
  85. 174.9 - 16:07.7 - Elias APPLEBAUM, 11 - Unattached
  86. 174.8 - 16:07.9 - Clark SMITH, 12 - The Storm TC
  87. 174.8 - 16:07.9 - Colin DUHNOSKI, 10 - Duval
  88. 174.8 - 16:08.0 - Aidan HIGLEY, 12 - Ramsey Farm
  89. 174.7 - 16:08.3 - Josh KRAVER, 12 - Wickham Park DP
  90. 174.6 - 16:08.6 - Gavin MCELHENNON, 12 - DC XC Club
  91. 174.4 - 16:09.2 - Ben HAGERICH, 10 - Glen Allen TC
  92. 174.2 - 16:09.7 - Edward BLAHA, 10 - House TC
  93. 173.9 - 16:10.6 - James BLIZZARD, 11 - SE-XC Ville
  94. 173.9 - 16:10.7 - Spencer TATE, 12 - Unattached
  95. 173.9 - 16:10.7 - Peyton FAIRCHILD, 12 - Hebron Elite
  96. 173.8 - 16:11.0 - Colby STEGER, 12 - Wickham Park DP
  97. 173.8 - 16:11.1 - Jacob SCOTT, 11 - North Lincoln TC
  98. 173.6 - 16:11.5 - J.D. MACKNIGHT, 12 - Panorama Farms Project
  99. 173.5 - 16:11.9 - James GLEBOCKI, 10 - Severna Park XC
  100. 173.4 - 16:12.1 - Landon DINKEL, 11 - Blacksburg XC

Girls NXR Southeast Results/Ratings

Ratings Estimate: 200.0 = 14:53

Teams/Individuals in bold qualified for NXN Nationals.

Girls Teams:
  1. 71 - Loudoun Valley VA - 90:54.10 - Virginia Class 4 Champion - 133.5
  2. 137 - Pine Crest FL - 92:27.50 - Florida 2A Champion - 127.3
  3. 142 - Chapel Hill NC - 93:29.90 - North Carolina 3A Runner-up - 123.1
  4. 162 - Dobyns-Bennett TN - 92:55.10 - Tennessee D1-Large Champion - 125.4
  5. 164 - Weddington NC - 93:57.00 - North Carolina 3A Third Place - 121.3
  6. 194 - Marist GA - 94:43.10 - Georgia 4A Third Place - 118.2
  7. 194 - Morgantown WV - 92:37.60 - West Virginia 3A Champion - 126.6
  8. 195 - The Bolles School FL - 94:32.20 - Florida 2A Runner-up - 118.9
  9. 223 - Blacksburg VA - 95:03.60 - Virginia Class 4 Runner-up - 116.8
  10. 225 - Midlothian VA - 95:12.90 - Virginia Class 5 Runner-up - 116.2
  11. 314 - Severna Park MD - 97:20.10 - Maryland 4A Runner-up - 107.6
  12. 324 - St. Pius X Catholic GA - 97:39.20 - Georgia 4A Champion - 106.3
  13. 330 - Brentwood TN - 97:38.80 - Tennessee D1-Large Runner-up - 106.4
  14. 353 - Ursuline Academy DE - 98:10.30 - Delaware D2 Champion - 104.2
  15. 377 - West Forsyth NC - 98:49.20 - North Carolina 4A Runner-up - 101.6
  16. 413 - Albemarle VA - 99:24.80 - Virginia Class 5 Third Place - 99.2
  17. 468 - DuPont Manual KY - 100:19.10 - Kentucky 3A Runner-up - 95.6
  18. 471 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 100:31.50 - North Carolina 4A Sixth Place - 94.7
  19. 477 - Tuscarora VA - 100:25.00 - Virginia Region 4C Fourth Place - 95.2
  20. 498 - Apex Friendship NC - 101:08.00 - North Carolina 4A #11 - 92.3
  21. 508 - Brentwood Academy TN - 102:11.70 - Tennessee D2-Large Champion - 88.0
  22. 573 - Middletown MD - 103:22.90 - Maryland 2A Runner-up - 83.2
  23. 584 - Daviess County KY - 103:39.60 - Kentucky 3A Fourth Place - 82.1
  24. 744 - Panther Creek NC - 108:52.10 - North Carolina 4A Third Place - 61.1
  25. 763 - Rockbridge Academy MD - 111:20.90 - Maryland Private Small School Champion - 51.1

Girls Top-100 Individuals:
  1. 156.5 - 17:02.5 - Sasha NEGLIA, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett XC
  2. 156.0 - 17:04.0 - Athena YOUNG, 12 - Morgantown XC
  3. 145.9 - 17:34.0 - Lea HATCHER, 10 - Morgantown XC
  4. 145.8 - 17:34.3 - Ava GORDON, 10 - The Jungle TC
  5. 144.9 - 17:37.0 - Tsion YARED, 12 - Panther Nation
  6. 141.6 - 17:46.7 - Hannah MINIUTTI, 11 - The Pain Trains
  7. 139.7 - 17:52.5 - Kaitlynn WOLFE, 12 - Blacksburg XC
  8. 139.1 - 17:54.2 - Ricky FETTEROLF, 11 - The Jungle TC
  9. 138.9 - 17:55.0 - Irene RIGGS, 9 - Morgantown XC
  10. 137.1 - 18:00.2 - Kaitlyn OBREMSKI, 9 - Without Limits
  11. 135.7 - 18:04.5 - Emily FAULHABER, 12 - Panther Nation
  12. 135.2 - 18:05.9 - Jessica SECOR, 9 - Louisville Rams
  13. 134.6 - 18:07.8 - Angie ALLEN, 11 - North Lincoln TC
  14. 134.0 - 18:09.5 - Elise ABBE, 12 - The Jungle TC
  15. 133.3 - 18:11.4 - Emily LITTLE, 12 - Ave Maria
  16. 133.0 - 18:12.3 - Amelia MAUGHAN, 10 - Chapel Hill
  17. 132.0 - 18:15.3 - Ryann AYCOCK, 9 - Running Knights
  18. 131.8 - 18:16.1 - Oakley OLSON, 11 - Patriot RC
  19. 131.4 - 18:17.3 - Gabriella GARCIA, 10 - Midlothian TC
  20. 131.4 - 18:17.3 - Maxine MONTOYA, 11 - Duval
  21. 130.6 - 18:19.5 - Kaitlyn VANDERKOLK, 11 - Bruins TC
  22. 129.7 - 18:22.4 - Meredith GOTZMAN, 9 - Cadets (SJC)
  23. 129.7 - 18:22.4 - Abby WEBER, 10 - Chapel Hill
  24. 129.2 - 18:23.7 - Anna RITTER, 11 - Warrior Project
  25. 129.2 - 18:23.8 - Presley MILES, 11 - Unattached
  26. 129.0 - 18:24.4 - Ella MICKLER, 9 - Duval
  27. 128.6 - 18:25.5 - Allison HALL, 8 - Cavalier XC
  28. 127.7 - 18:28.2 - Maya BELEZNAY, 12 - Panther Nation
  29. 127.2 - 18:29.7 - Amy HERREMA, 12 - West Springfield XC
  30. 127.0 - 18:30.3 - Emma RUSSUM, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett XC
  31. 126.4 - 18:32.1 - Lillian HOLTERY, 11 - Unattached
  32. 126.4 - 18:32.2 - Kathleen SCHELLMAN, 12 - Ave Maria
  33. 126.2 - 18:32.7 - Katie ORCHARD, 12 - West Springfield XC
  34. 126.0 - 18:33.2 - Mahdere YARED, 11 - Panther Nation
  35. 125.4 - 18:35.1 - Sierra COLLINS, 11 - HCXC
  36. 125.2 - 18:35.7 - Frances WHITWORTH, 12 - Unattached
  37. 124.6 - 18:37.3 - Kyra HOLLAND, 12 - The Jungle TC
  38. 124.1 - 18:38.8 - Scarlet FETTEROLF, 9 - The Jungle TC
  39. 124.0 - 18:39.1 - Mary BRADY, 11 - Dresden Elite
  40. 124.0 - 18:39.2 - Lili GRANT, 10 - DC Wolfpack
  41. 123.7 - 18:40.0 - Anna IVANISEVIC, 9 - Unattached
  42. 123.7 - 18:40.1 - Caroline BOWE, 11 - Midlothian TC
  43. 123.2 - 18:41.6 - Sidney RUNKLE, 11 - Chapel Hill
  44. 123.0 - 18:42.2 - Cooper BROTHERTON, 10 - Unattached
  45. 122.9 - 18:42.6 - Julianna MCREYNOLDS, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett XC
  46. 122.7 - 18:43.1 - Emma JONES, 10 - Warrior Project
  47. 122.5 - 18:43.6 - Ally TALLEY, 12 - The Jungle TC
  48. 122.0 - 18:45.3 - Kylie WITTMAN, 12 - Talon XC
  49. 121.8 - 18:45.8 - Claire MIDDLETON, 12 - Cavalier XC
  50. 121.6 - 18:46.5 - Vanessa ALDER, 9 - Unattached
  51. 121.3 - 18:47.4 - Paige STARKIE, 9 - Warrior Project
  52. 121.1 - 18:48.0 - Katherine HAMFELDT, 10 - The Pain Trains
  53. 120.7 - 18:49.1 - Grace SIEHLER, 11 - Unattached
  54. 120.6 - 18:49.3 - Anna DAVIS, 12 - Warrior Project
  55. 120.6 - 18:49.3 - Alyssa GALVIN, 12 - North Lincoln TC
  56. 120.0 - 18:51.0 - Audrey LINK, 10 - Blacksburg XC
  57. 119.3 - 18:53.3 - Kylie BONSER, 9 - Midlothian TC
  58. 118.9 - 18:54.5 - Hayley WHOOLERY, 12 - Unattached
  59. 117.9 - 18:57.5 - Morgan WERNER, 12 - Unattached
  60. 117.7 - 18:58.1 - Elizabeth CSIKAI, 9 - Duval
  61. 117.6 - 18:58.2 - Caroline WELLS, 10 - Unattached
  62. 117.6 - 18:58.4 - Katie HIBBARD, 11 - Wickham Park DP
  63. 117.6 - 18:58.4 - Lauren WIMBERLY, 9 - Unattached
  64. 117.2 - 18:59.5 - Grace ELLSWORTH, 12 - Unattached
  65. 116.1 - 19:02.8 - Niya TORRES, 12 - Unattached
  66. 115.7 - 19:03.9 - Makayla OBREMSKI, 11 - Without Limits
  67. 115.5 - 19:04.4 - Gracie ALLEN, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett XC
  68. 115.5 - 19:04.5 - Nora DALEY, 9 - Chapel Hill
  69. 115.3 - 19:05.1 - Sophia ZELL, 12 - Severna Park XC
  70. 115.3 - 19:05.2 - Madelynne CADEAU, 12 - Unattached
  71. 115.2 - 19:05.4 - Arianna DEBOER, 11 - Panorama Farms Project
  72. 114.8 - 19:06.7 - Zoe EDELMAN, 11 - Lions
  73. 114.5 - 19:07.5 - Hannah SCHEMMEL, 9 - Dresden Elite
  74. 114.4 - 19:07.9 - Allysa COMBS, 12 - Severna Park XC
  75. 114.2 - 19:08.5 - Tiffany HERRERA, 10 - Pike Creek XC
  76. 114.1 - 19:08.8 - Brooke TYLL, 9 - Bruins TC
  77. 114.0 - 19:09.1 - Megan MARVIN, 12 - Chapel Hill
  78. 113.4 - 19:10.8 - Bailey REUTINGER, 11 - Clemmons TC
  79. 113.0 - 19:11.9 - Jillian CANDELINO, 9 - Duval
  80. 112.7 - 19:12.9 - Nicole PIZZO, 10 - Ave Maria
  81. 112.6 - 19:13.2 - Hannah MACK, 11 - Patriot RC
  82. 112.5 - 19:13.5 - Audrey WRIGHT, 9 - Warrior Project
  83. 112.2 - 19:14.5 - Nora SOLOMON, 12 - Ave Maria
  84. 112.1 - 19:14.7 - Anna PRYOR, 10 - 302 XC
  85. 111.5 - 19:16.4 - Claire MCDONNELL, 12 - Unattached
  86. 111.3 - 19:17.1 - Isabella FREY, 10 - Unattached
  87. 111.1 - 19:17.5 - Cecelia PUGSLEY, 9 - Unattached
  88. 111.1 - 19:17.6 - Erin MCQUITTY, 9 - Spice Girls XC
  89. 111.0 - 19:17.9 - Kayla BASINGER, 10 - Unattached
  90. 110.6 - 19:19.0 - Kristen PRINCE, 10 - Unattached
  91. 110.4 - 19:19.6 - Emily RZUCIDLO, 11 - 302 XC
  92. 109.9 - 19:21.3 - Eden MITTELSDORF, 11 - Bruins TC
  93. 109.7 - 19:21.9 - Kendall PHILLIPS, 11 - Clemmons TC
  94. 109.6 - 19:22.0 - Mari GARZA, 11 - Blacksburg XC
  95. 109.1 - 19:23.7 - Morgan VADEN, 12 - Dresden Elite
  96. 108.9 - 19:24.1 - Annika GRIGGS, 11 - Blacksburg XC
  97. 108.6 - 19:25.0 - Claire BOEHM, 12 - Episcopal
  98. 108.5 - 19:25.5 - Clare KORNACKI, 9 - 302 XC
  99. 107.7 - 19:27.7 - Suzie MULLER, 12 - SB Elite
  100. 107.6 - 19:28.0 - Elizabeth STARKIE, 11 - Warrior Project

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Girls SE State Meet Power Merge

This will be updated once Virginia and South Carolina's state meets are in the books. Until then, here are the top state meet performances so far.

Ratings estimates (200.0): 14:45 Alabama ~ 15:30 Georgia ~ 14:50 Florida ~ 15:05 North Carolina ~ 15:05 Tennessee ~ 15:25 Kentucky ~ 14:50 West Virginia ~ 15:10 Maryland ~ 15:15 Delaware ~ 14:55 North Carolina Independent Schools

All times are set to the 'good conditions' NXR Southeast standard (200.0 = 14:40).

The Southeast doesn't often have a plethora of potential NXN At-Large teams, but it is constantly among the deeper regions when looking at the second level of teams. Several of the teams that wouldn't be able to get into the Championship field (if everyone were to go to the meet for once) could finish in or near the top half of the Championship field in the Heartland, South and possibly even the Northeast. Part of the problem with the (commonly held on the internet) perception that the Southeast is weak is due to the Footlocker South and NXR Southeast regional meets are on the same day, as that dilutes both fields; the other part of the equation is that it's a pretty spread out region geographically and a lot of teams that could do well on the regional level simply decide to not attend. Some of that perception has started to dissipate due to the top-end teams running well at NXN Nationals in the last several years, and hopefully that trend continues and the region begins to garner the respect it deserves.

Top-22 Girls Teams:
  1. 148 - Cuthbertson NC - 91:08 - North Carolina 3A Champion
  2. 164 - Pine Crest FL - 91:12 - Florida 2A Champion
  3. 185 - Chapel Hill NC - 91:59 - North Carolina 3A Runner-up
  4. 204 - Weddington NC - 92:17 - North Carolina 3A Third Place
  5. 237 - St Pius X Catholic GA - 92:51 - Georgia 4A Champion
  6. 269 - The Bolles School FL - 93:07 - Florida 2A Runner-up
  7. 277 - Auburn AL - 93:12 - Alabama 7A Champion
  8. 278 - Mountain Brook AL - 93:13 - Alabama 7A Runner-up
  9. 282 - Marist GA - 93:12 - Georgia 4A Third Place
  10. 283 - Morgantown WV - 92:53 - West Virginia 3A Champion
  11. 297 - Blessed Trinity GA - 93:56 - Georgia 4A Runner-up
  12. 298 - Oldham County KY - 93:23 - Kentucky 3A Champion
  13. 312 - Dobyns-Bennett TN - 93:03 - Tennessee D1-Large Champion
  14. 314 - Durham Academy NC - 93:54 - North Carolina Ind. 4A Champion
  15. 332 - St. Mark's DE - 94:31 - Delaware D2 Runner-up
  16. 350 - Newsome FL - 94:22 - Florida 4A Champion
  17. 353 - South Forsyth GA - 94:28 - Georgia 7A Runner-up
  18. 362 - Hillgrove (Cobb) GA - 94:40 - Georgia 7A Champion
  19. 363 - West Forsyth NC - 94:45 - North Carolina 4A Runner-up
  20. 363 - Lawton Chiles FL - 94:33 - Florida 4A Runner-up
  21. 367 - John T Hoggard NC - 94:29 - North Carolina 4A Champion
  22. 383 - Padua DE - 94:48 - Delaware D1 Champion
Honorable Mention:
Alabama: Homewood
Delaware: Ursuline Academy
Florida: Oak Hall, St. Augustine, Winter Springs
Georgia: George Walton Comp, McIntosh, West Forsyth
Kentucky: DuPont Manual, Sacred Heart Academy, Scott
Maryland: Howard, Severna Park, Walter Johnson
North Carolina: Carrboro, Laney, Marvin Ridge, North Lincoln, Northern Guilford, Panther Creek, Pinecrest
Tennessee: Brentwood

Girls Top-100 Individuals:
  1. 154.3 - 16:54 - Sasha Neglia, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett TN
  2. 149.6 - 17:08 - Alyssa Hendrix, 12 - Riverview FL
  3. 147.9 - 17:13 - Lea Hatcher, 10 - Morgantown WV
  4. 147.1 - 17:15 - Jenna Goldberg, 12 - Walter Johnson MD
  5. 146.3 - 17:18 - Valerie Lastra, 12 - Mater Academy FL
  6. 146.0 - 17:18 - Parker Valby, 12 - East Lake FL
  7. 144.7 - 17:22 - Leigh Walters, 11 - Fred J. Page TN
  8. 144.5 - 17:23 - Athena Young, 12 - Morgantown WV
  9. 143.7 - 17:25 - Jenna Hutchins, 10 - Science Hill TN
  10. 142.7 - 17:28 - Jonna Strange, 12 - North Iredell NC
  11. 142.7 - 17:28 - Mckenna Trapheagen, 12 - Woodland (Cartersville) GA
  12. 142.7 - 17:28 - Kayla Gholar, 12 - Richmond Hill GA
  13. 142.4 - 17:29 - Carmen Alder, 11 - Pinecrest NC
  14. 141.6 - 17:31 - Gabriella Castro, 12 - Cuthbertson NC
  15. 141.4 - 17:32 - Tsion Yared, 12 - Pine Crest FL
  16. 140.7 - 17:34 - Caitlin Wilkey, 12 - Lawton Chiles FL
  17. 140.5 - 17:34 - Hayley Whoolery, 12 - West Johnston NC
  18. 140.3 - 17:35 - Ellie Tymorek, 11 - St Andrews FL
  19. 140.2 - 17:35 - Ciara O'Shea, 9 - Madison Central KY
  20. 139.6 - 17:37 - Landri Wilcox, 11 - Cookeville TN
  21. 139.3 - 17:38 - Margaret Sept, 9 - East Chapel Hill NC
  22. 137.8 - 17:43 - Presley Miles, 11 - St James AL
  23. 137.6 - 17:43 - Kaitlyn Obremski, 9 - Topsail Senior NC
  24. 137.1 - 17:45 - Amber Schulz, 10 - Timber Creek FL
  25. 136.7 - 17:46 - Frances Whitworth, 12 - Mount Tabor NC
  26. 136.7 - 17:46 - Madelynne Cadeau, 12 - South Forsyth GA
  27. 136.5 - 17:46 - Jenna Reiter, 12 - West Carteret NC
  28. 136.2 - 17:47 - Caroline Wells, 10 - Winter Springs FL
  29. 136.2 - 17:47 - Andie-Marie Jones, 10 - Maryville TN
  30. 136.2 - 17:47 - Charlotte Turesson, 11 - Richard Montgomery MD
  31. 135.6 - 17:49 - Stephanie Ormsby, 12 - Fort Myers FL
  32. 135.5 - 17:49 - Makena Gates, 11 - Creekview GA
  33. 135.0 - 17:51 - Hannah Miniutti, 11 - Blessed Trinity GA
  34. 134.1 - 17:53 - Alyson Churchill, 12 - Lawton Chiles FL
  35. 133.7 - 17:55 - Lilly Walters, 10 - Hough NC
  36. 133.6 - 17:55 - Mackenzie Walls, 12 - Veterans GA
  37. 132.9 - 17:57 - Kelly Ann Sutterfield, 10 - Blessed Trinity GA
  38. 132.9 - 17:57 - Emily Faulhaber, 12 - Pine Crest FL
  39. 132.3 - 17:59 - Amelia Maughan, 10 - Chapel Hill NC
  40. 132.2 - 17:59 - Liina Winborn, 12 - Sunlake FL
  41. 132.2 - 17:59 - Vanessia Alder, 9 - Pinecrest NC
  42. 131.2 - 18:02 - Crawford West, 10 - Vestavia Hills AL
  43. 131.2 - 18:02 - Caroline Lehman, 10 - Manatee FL
  44. 131.2 - 18:02 - Irene Riggs, 9 - Morgantown WV
  45. 131.0 - 18:02 - Jenna Champers, 9 - Oconee County GA
  46. 130.8 - 18:03 - Krystal Rodriguez, 11 - Coral Reef Senior FL
  47. 130.8 - 18:03 - Anna Rupp, 10 - Lexington Christian Academy KY
  48. 130.6 - 18:03 - Kambry Smith, 11 - Fort Walton Beach FL
  49. 130.2 - 18:05 - McKenna Croft, 12 - Douglas County GA
  50. 130.1 - 18:05 - Morgan Vaden, 12 - St Pius X Catholic GA
  51. 130.1 - 18:05 - Samantha Rogers, 12 - Auburn AL
  52. 129.9 - 18:06 - Lydia Colasante, 9 - Tatnall DE
  53. 129.7 - 18:06 - Maya Beleznay, 12 - Pine Crest FL
  54. 129.4 - 18:07 - Anna Ritter, 11 - Weddington NC
  55. 129.3 - 18:07 - Emma Solis, 12 - Newsome FL
  56. 129.2 - 18:08 - Isabella Frey, 10 - Wake Forest NC
  57. 129.1 - 18:08 - Marilyn McCarthy, 11 - Siegel TN
  58. 129.1 - 18:08 - Katy Earwood, 12 - Evans GA
  59. 128.9 - 18:09 - Lainey Phelps, 12 - Homewood AL
  60. 128.9 - 18:09 - Elizabeth Iliff, 11 - Creekside FL
  61. 128.8 - 18:09 - Emma Russum, 12 - Dobyns-Bennett TN
  62. 128.7 - 18:09 - Gwen Parks, 11 - Ronald W. Reagan NC
  63. 128.6 - 18:10 - Lillian Nasta, 9 - Cuthbertson NC
  64. 128.5 - 18:10 - Ashley Klingenberg, 12 - Lake Brantley FL
  65. 128.4 - 18:10 - Erin Fegans, 12 - Landmark Christian GA
  66. 128.4 - 18:10 - Tiffany Herrera, 10 - St. Mark's DE
  67. 128.0 - 18:11 - Angie Allen, 11 - North Lincoln NC
  68. 127.9 - 18:11 - Samantha Ouellette, 10 - Central Magnet TN
  69. 127.7 - 18:12 - Oakley Olson, 11 - Northern MD
  70. 127.5 - 18:13 - Christiana Coleman, 8 - Dillard FL
  71. 127.5 - 18:13 - Abby Weber, 10 - Chapel Hill NC
  72. 127.5 - 18:13 - Sierra Collins, 11 - Harnett Central NC
  73. 127.4 - 18:13 - Catherine Breault, 11 - St Pius X Catholic GA
  74. 127.3 - 18:13 - Maxine Montoya, 11 - The Bolles School FL
  75. 127.3 - 18:13 - June Mwaniki, 12 - Marietta GA
  76. 127.2 - 18:13 - Kathleen Schellman, 12 - Marist GA
  77. 127.2 - 18:13 - Ryann Aycock, 9 - Cary Christian NC
  78. 127.2 - 18:14 - Annabel Veltcheva, 10 - Gainesville FL
  79. 127.2 - 18:14 - Jessica Secor, 9 - DuPont Manual KY
  80. 127.1 - 18:14 - Mary Brady, 11 - St Pius X Catholic GA
  81. 126.8 - 18:15 - Alyssa Hernandez, 11 - Northern Guilford NC
  82. 126.5 - 18:16 - Megan Hughes, 12 - Academy Of The Holy Names FL
  83. 126.5 - 18:16 - Makayla Obremski, 11 - Topsail Senior NC
  84. 126.4 - 18:16 - Reagan Riley, 9 - Mountain Brook AL
  85. 126.1 - 18:17 - Paxton Chitty, 11 - Ashley NC
  86. 126.0 - 18:17 - Addi Dewey, 10 - Christian Academy KY
  87. 125.9 - 18:17 - Natalie Donaldson, 9 - St. Mark's DE
  88. 125.8 - 18:18 - Anna Ivanisevic, 9 - East Chapel Hill NC
  89. 125.5 - 18:19 - Rylee Pustilnik, 12 - Spanish River FL
  90. 125.5 - 18:19 - Megan Marvin, 12 - Chapel Hill NC
  91. 125.4 - 18:19 - Sophie Spada, 12 - Charlotte Country Day NC
  92. 125.3 - 18:19 - Alyx Beausoleil, 10 - Weddington NC
  93. 125.0 - 18:20 - Sinkenesh Parker, 11 - Circle Christian FL
  94. 124.8 - 18:21 - Judith McLaughlin, 11 - Padua DE
  95. 124.6 - 18:21 - Avery Fronrath, 8 - The King's Academy FL
  96. 124.5 - 18:21 - Allison Newman, 11 - St George's Independent TN
  97. 124.4 - 18:22 - Harper McGowan, 12 - Auburn AL
  98. 124.1 - 18:23 - Alyssa Galvin, 12 - North Lincoln NC
  99. 123.9 - 18:23 - Maisie Donohue, 10 - Brandywine DE
  100. 123.8 - 18:24 - Chloe Boa, 11 - Oldham County KY

Team Time Course Record: 90:18.7 (Tatnall DE 2011)
Individual Course Record: 16:22.8 (Katelyn Tuohy, North Rockland NY 2019)

Individual Top-50 Cut-Off (roughly a potential At-Large individual): 17:33.0

Boys SE State Meet Power Merge

This will be updated once Virginia and South Carolina's state meets are in the books. Until then, here are the top state meet performances so far.

Ratings estimates (200.0): 14:45 Alabama ~ 15:30 Georgia ~ 14:50 Florida ~ 15:05 North Carolina ~ 15:05 Tennessee ~ 15:25 Kentucky ~ 14:50 West Virginia ~ 15:10 Maryland ~ 15:15 Delaware ~ 14:55 North Carolina Independent Schools

All times are set to the 'good conditions' NXR Southeast standard (200.0 = 14:40).

The Southeast doesn't often have a plethora of potential NXN At-Large teams, but it is constantly among the deeper regions when looking at the second level of teams. Several of the teams that wouldn't be able to get into the Championship field (if everyone were to go to the meet for once) could finish in or near the top half of the Championship field in the Heartland, South and possibly even the Northeast. Part of the problem with the (commonly held on the internet) perception that the Southeast is weak is due to the Footlocker South and NXR Southeast regional meets are on the same day, as that dilutes both fields; the other part of the equation is that it's a pretty spread out region geographically and a lot of teams that could do well on the regional level simply decide to not attend. Some of that perception has started to dissipate due to the top-end teams running well at NXN Nationals in the last several years, and hopefully that trend continues and the region begins to garner the respect it deserves.

Top-22 Boys Teams:
  1. 175 - Huntsville AL - 78:17 - Alabama 7A Champion
  2. 188 - Severna Park MD - 78:19 - Maryland 4A Champion
  3. 240 - Satellite FL - 78:55 - Florida 2A Champion
  4. 249 - Needham Broughton NC - 78:59 - North Carolina 4A Champion
  5. 253 - Trinity For Boys KY - 79:05 - Kentucky 3A Champion
  6. 254 - Vestavia Hills AL - 79:11 - Alabama 7A Runner-up
  7. 257 - North Lincoln NC - 79:11 - North Carolina 2A Champion
  8. 282 - George Walton Comp GA - 79:20 - Georgia 7A Champion
  9. 288 - Charter School of Wilmington DE - 79:27 - Delaware D1 Champion
  10. 291 - Chapel Hill NC - 79:40 - North Carolina 3A Champion
  11. 292 - Nease FL - 79:21 - Florida 4A Runner-up
  12. 295 - Cardinal Gibbons NC - 79:11 - North Carolina 4A Runner-up
  13. 295 - Salesianum DE - 79:24 - Delaware D1 Runner-up
  14. 299 - Belen Jesuit Prep FL - 79:44 - Florida 3A Champion
  15. 303 - St Xavier KY - 79:43 - Kentucky 3A Runner-up
  16. 306 - Providence Day NC - 79:49 - North Carolina Ind. 4A Champion
  17. 320 - Weddington NC - 79:50 - North Carolina 3A Runner-up
  18. 338 - West Forsyth GA - 80:08 - Georgia 7A Third Place
  19. 340 - Harrison GA - 80:05 - Georgia 6A Champion
  20. 340 - Madison Central KY - 79:47 - Kentucky 3A Fourth Place
  21. 346 - Marietta GA - 80:04 - Georgia 7A Fourth Place
  22. 349 - Lambert GA - 80:07 - Georgia 7A Runner-up
Honorable Mention (by state):
Alabama: Auburn, Homewood, Scottsboro
Florida: George Steinbrenner, H.B. Plant, Robinson
Georgia: Archer, Brookwood, Norcross, Pope, South Forsyth, St. Pius X Catholic
Kentucky: Conner
Maryland: Northwood, Oakdale, River Hill
North Carolina: Ardrey Kell, Cuthbertson, First Flight, Green Hope, Leesville Road, Panther Creek, Pinecrest, Watauga
Tennessee: Siegel

Boys Top-100 Individuals:
  1. 198.9 - 14:43 - Graham Blanks, 12 - Athens Academy GA
  2. 194.6 - 14:56 - Myles Collins, 12 - Archer GA
  3. 193.2 - 15:00 - Ian Harrison, 12 - Panther Creek NC
  4. 192.2 - 15:03 - Carson Williams, 12 - Cardinal Gibbons NC
  5. 192.1 - 15:03 - Silas Winders, 12 - Henry County TN
  6. 191.8 - 15:04 - Sam Keeny, 12 - South River MD
  7. 191.7 - 15:04 - Connor O'Shea, 12 - Madison Central KY
  8. 190.8 - 15:07 - Evan Allen, 12 - Chester County TN
  9. 189.9 - 15:10 - Maddon Muhammad, 11 - Myers Park NC
  10. 189.3 - 15:11 - Tanner Piotrowski, 12 - Arundel MD
  11. 188.7 - 15:13 - Avery Cannon, 12 - Watauga NC
  12. 188.7 - 15:13 - Aidan Higley, 12 - Salesianum DE
  13. 188.6 - 15:13 - Ethan Strand, 11 - Vestavia Hills AL
  14. 188.5 - 15:14 - Justin Wachtel, 11 - Mary Persons GA
  15. 188.4 - 15:14 - Zackary Truitt, 11 - Landmark Christian GA
  16. 188.3 - 15:14 - Miles Ally, 11 - Martin Luther King TN
  17. 188.3 - 15:14 - Rheinhardt Harrison, 10 - Nease FL
  18. 188.3 - 15:14 - Anish Nanjappa, 12 - River Hill MD
  19. 188.2 - 15:15 - Jason Thomson, 12 - North Lincoln NC
  20. 188.1 - 15:15 - Noah Hayes, 12 - Hillgrove (Cobb) GA
  21. 187.8 - 15:16 - Brady Masters, 10 - Madison Central KY
  22. 187.7 - 15:16 - Ethan Geiger, 12 - Robinson FL
  23. 187.6 - 15:17 - Kyle Lund, 12 - Oakdale MD
  24. 187.5 - 15:17 - Andrew Avila, 12 - Charter School of Wilmington DE
  25. 187.4 - 15:17 - Murphy Smith, 11 - Ardrey Kell NC
  26. 187.3 - 15:17 - Kamari Miller, 11 - Marietta GA
  27. 187.3 - 15:17 - DK Schnieders, 11 - Lou. Holy Cross KY
  28. 187.2 - 15:17 - Ryan O'Dea, 11 - Trinity For Boys KY
  29. 187.2 - 15:17 - Finn Walsh, 11 - Kent Island MD
  30. 186.8 - 15:19 - Jackson Watts, 11 - Madisonville North Hopkins KY
  31. 186.7 - 15:19 - Walker Cole, 11 - Oak Mountain AL
  32. 186.6 - 15:19 - Sully Shelton, 11 - Harrison GA
  33. 186.1 - 15:21 - Brady Terry, 11 - Daviess County KY
  34. 186.1 - 15:21 - Levi Streeval, 10 - Frederick Douglass KY
  35. 186.0 - 15:21 - Kevin Baranoski, 11 - Harford Tech MD
  36. 185.9 - 15:21 - Andrew Hammel, 12 - Christ School NC
  37. 185.9 - 15:21 - Gabe Montague, 11 - Satellite FL
  38. 185.7 - 15:22 - Jake Gelfand, 11 - Severna Park MD
  39. 185.5 - 15:22 - John Malach, 12 - Needham Broughton NC
  40. 185.5 - 15:23 - Baidy Ba, 11 - Oakland Mills MD
  41. 185.3 - 15:23 - Kyle Harkabus, 12 - East Coweta GA
  42. 185.3 - 15:23 - Austin Montini, 11 - Oak Hall FL
  43. 185.2 - 15:23 - Carson Sloat, 11 - Severna Park MD
  44. 185.2 - 15:23 - Thomas Vo, 12 - Green Hope NC
  45. 185.2 - 15:24 - Garrett Suhr, 12 - Richard Montgomery MD
  46. 185.1 - 15:24 - Jackson Williams, 12 - Arlington TN
  47. 185.0 - 15:24 - Zack Gilbertson, 9 - Pinecrest NC
  48. 185.0 - 15:24 - Bradley Ball, 11 - Nease FL
  49. 184.8 - 15:24 - Justin Wilson, 10 - Satellite FL
  50. 184.8 - 15:25 - Chase Atkins, 11 - Hopkinsville KY
  51. 184.6 - 15:25 - Aiden Britt, 11 - Lebanon TN
  52. 184.4 - 15:26 - Connor Old, 12 - George Walton Comp GA
  53. 184.4 - 15:26 - Jake Toomey, 12 - Weddington NC
  54. 184.4 - 15:26 - Jake Turner, 12 - Armwood FL
  55. 184.3 - 15:26 - Andrew Jones, 11 - North Hall GA
  56. 184.3 - 15:26 - Jackson Danner, 11 - Huntsville AL
  57. 184.1 - 15:27 - Athanasius Tesfaye, 12 - Loganville GA
  58. 184.0 - 15:27 - Ryan Maynard, 12 - Taylor County KY
  59. 184.0 - 15:27 - Nolan Hester, 11 - St Xavier KY
  60. 184.0 - 15:27 - Brennan Bower, 12 - South Forsyth GA
  61. 184.0 - 15:27 - Surafel Mengist, 12 - Springbrook MD
  62. 184.0 - 15:27 - Domonic Macias, 12 - Union Grove GA
  63. 184.0 - 15:27 - Declan Mcdonnell, 11 - Tatnall DE
  64. 183.6 - 15:28 - Nick Lewis, 12 - Trinity For Boys KY
  65. 183.5 - 15:28 - Justin Tackling, 12 - Nease FL
  66. 183.5 - 15:28 - Zac Shaffer, 12 - George Walton Comp GA
  67. 183.4 - 15:29 - Anderson Denton, 12 - Lake Wales FL
  68. 183.4 - 15:29 - Ben Armentrout, 12 - Atkins NC
  69. 183.4 - 15:29 - Connor Hayes, 11 - Lexington Christian Academy KY
  70. 183.4 - 15:29 - Zane Chalker, 12 - Williamsport MD
  71. 183.3 - 15:29 - Wesley Haws, 11 - Cardinal Gibbons NC
  72. 183.3 - 15:29 - Matthew Stratton, 10 - St Johns Country Day FL
  73. 183.1 - 15:29 - Will Mitchell, 11 - Millbrook NC
  74. 183.1 - 15:30 - Ryan Banko, 10 - Salesianum DE
  75. 182.9 - 15:30 - Jack Rooney, 12 - Needham Broughton NC
  76. 182.7 - 15:31 - Canaan Anderson, 12 - Siegel TN
  77. 182.5 - 15:31 - Adrian Archer, 10 - Pinecrest NC
  78. 182.5 - 15:31 - Christian Gonzalez, 10 - Decatur GA
  79. 182.4 - 15:32 - Peter Sorensen, 11 - Towson MD
  80. 182.4 - 15:32 - Dustyn Lewis, 12 - Virgil I Grissom AL
  81. 182.4 - 15:32 - Blaise Moyer, 11 - Caesar Rodney DE
  82. 182.4 - 15:32 - Jace Jones, 12 - Thompson AL
  83. 182.3 - 15:32 - Sam Rich, 10 - Lakeside Evans GA
  84. 182.1 - 15:32 - Will Cahill, 11 - Lafayette KY
  85. 182.0 - 15:33 - Cooper Bocko, 11 - Lambert GA
  86. 181.7 - 15:34 - Will Pinson, 10 - Huntsville AL
  87. 181.4 - 15:34 - Devin Wade, 12 - Whitefield Academy GA
  88. 181.3 - 15:35 - Caden Miracle, 9 - Bell County KY
  89. 181.0 - 15:36 - Elliott Kleckner, 10 - Croatan NC
  90. 180.7 - 15:36 - Lane Hoyes, 10 - Thomas Nelson KY
  91. 180.7 - 15:37 - Christian Landis, 11 - Providence Day NC
  92. 180.7 - 15:37 - Jimmy Mullarkey, 10 - Fern Creek Traditional KY
  93. 180.7 - 15:37 - Zachary Wedding, 11 - Chopticon MD
  94. 180.7 - 15:37 - Aaron Jones, 12 - Science Hill TN
  95. 180.5 - 15:37 - Avery Jaynes, 11 - Southeast Bulloch GA
  96. 180.5 - 15:37 - Zach Hughes, 12 - First Flight NC
  97. 180.5 - 15:37 - Nick Engleman, 12 - Severna Park MD
  98. 180.4 - 15:37 - Keaton Watts, 12 - Huntsville AL
  99. 180.4 - 15:37 - Junious Brown IV, 12 - Maclay FL
  100. 180.4 - 15:38 - Jacob Gallant, 12 - Mount Tabor NC


Team Time Course Record: 76:29.80 (Great Oak CA 2019)
Individual Course Record: 14:32.20 (Brodey Hasty, Brentwood TN 2016)

Team Time Top-25 Cut-Off (roughly a potential At-Large team): 78:35.6
Individual Top-50 Cut-Off (roughly a potential At-Large individual): 15:06.8