Monday, November 9, 2015

Washington State Meet Boys Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Washington State meet!

Looks like the Washington teams showed up better than expected this weekend. Great to see!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49


Boys Top 45 Overall:

15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:18.80 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 189.9
15:20.20 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 189.5
15:22.50 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 188.7
15:25.00 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 187.9
15:25.90 - Graeme Schroeder - 12 - Tahoma - 187.5
15:28.80 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 186.6
15:29.20 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 186.4
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:32.10 - Tibebu Proctor - 11 - Northwest - 185.5
15:32.30 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 185.4
15:33.80 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 184.9
15:36.20 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 184.1
15:36.50 - Ryan Gregory - 12 - Gig Harbor - 184.0
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
15:38.00 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 183.5
15:38.80 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 183.2
15:39.20 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 183.1
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:39.50 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 183.0
15:40.50 - Keegan Fitzpatrick - 12 - Tahoma - 182.6
15:40.90 - Riley Moore - 9 - Richland - 182.5
15:41.10 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 182.4
15:41.30 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 182.4
15:41.40 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 182.3
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:44.10 - Andrew Cooper - 12 - Liberty (Issaquah) - 181.4
15:44.10 - Silas Griffith - 11 - Ridgefield - 181.4
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
15:44.30 - Owen Buck - 12 - Ballard - 181.3
15:44.40 - Tamire Proctor - 10 - Northwest - 181.3
15:44.60 - Kenneth Rooks - 10 - College Place - 181.2
15:45.40 - Joe Waskom - 9 - Mt Si - 181.0
15:45.80 - Marques Chacon - 12 - Evergreen (Seattle) - 180.8
15:45.90 - Turlan Morlan - 10 - Gonzaga Prep - 180.8
15:46.00 - Luke Beauchamp - 12 - Interlake - 180.8
15:46.10 - Tom Mikkelson - 12 - Juanita - 180.7
15:46.10 - Dawson Besst - 10 - Tahoma - 180.7
15:46.80 - Ryan Cox - 12 - Bainbridge - 180.5
15:48.80 - Travis Crumpler - 12 - Kamiakin - 179.8
15:49.10 - Jonah Franco - 10 - Kamiakin - 179.7


15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:57.70 - Jacob Christner - 11 - North Central - 176.8
16:10.10 - Gabriel Meek - 12 - North Central - 172.6
16:21.00 - Markus Taylor - 10 - North Central - 169.0
16:24.30 - Mica Jones - 12 - North Central - 167.8
16:33.20 - Ryan Frostad - 11 - North Central - 164.8

15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:57.80 - Luke Ostrander - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 176.8
16:07.70 - Spencer Fischer - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 173.4
16:19.30 - Deven Patel - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 169.5
16:30.40 - Ben Sherman - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 165.8
16:53.90 - Will James - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 157.9

15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:56.80 - Miguel Vargas - 12 - Eisenhower - 177.1
16:17.90 - Angel Cuevas-Verduzco - 10 - Eisenhower - 170.0
16:25.40 - Alfonso Cuevas - 9 - Eisenhower - 167.5
16:46.90 - Moise Cook - 10 - Eisenhower - 160.2
16:56.70 - Rogelio Mares - 10 - Eisenhower - 156.9

15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
16:02.60 - Todd Bloom - 10 - Joel Ferris - 175.2
16:20.30 - Kellen Bulger - 12 - Joel Ferris - 169.2
16:24.60 - Gerard Gaimari - 12 - Joel Ferris - 167.7
16:31.70 - Andrew Potyk - 12 - Joel Ferris - 165.3
16:34.20 - Wilson Ladd - 10 - Joel Ferris - 164.5

15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
16:17.20 - Bryce Johnson - 11 - Sehome - 170.2
16:21.10 - Sam Gillman - 12 - Sehome - 168.9
16:25.40 - Logan Franey - 11 - Sehome - 167.5
16:52.00 - Jackson Slesk - 11 - Sehome - 158.5
16:59.30 - Kyler Cruz - 11 - Sehome - 156.0

Friday, November 6, 2015

Northwest Girls Rankings - Pre WA State

Here's a preliminary look at a Northwest Top 25 girls rankings going into the final State Meet weekend in the region. A note, I didn't include Wyoming teams yet (I haven't rated all of the major races in the state, including the state meet), though I will make a very quick assessment for the Lone Star teams at the bottom of the post


Top 25 Girls Teams:

 1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
 2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
 3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
 4. Camas WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
 5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place
 6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
 7. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
 8. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
 9. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place
12. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
15. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
16. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
17. Ballard WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
18. Bellevue WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
19. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place
20. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
21. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional third place
22. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place
23. Holy Names Academy WA - Washington 3A District II third place
24. Sandpoint ID - Idaho 4A State Runner-up
25. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place

Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Glacier Peak WA, Kamiak WA, Olympia WA, Skyline WA, Tualatin OR


For the Wyoming teams, I feel less sure about than the guys, but I'd guess that:
3A Champion Jackson Hole should probably be Top 20
4A Champion Cheyenne Central and Runner-up Campbell County should probably be Honorable Mention

And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Northwest Boys Rankings - Pre WA State

Here's a preliminary look at a Northwest Top 25 boys rankings going into the final State Meet weekend in the region. A note, I didn't include Wyoming teams yet (I haven't rated all of the major races in the state, including the state meet), though I will make a very quick assessment for the Lone Star teams at the bottom of the post. I'll see about finishing and posting the girls in the next day or so.


Top 25 Boys Teams:

 1. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
 2. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
 3. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
 4. North Central WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Champion
 5. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
 6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
 7. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
 8. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place
 9. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
10. Arlington WA - Washington 3A District I Champion
11. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
12. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
13. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A Southwest Regional Champion
14. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A District VI Champion
15. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place
16. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
17. University WA - Washington 4A Eastern Regional Champion
18. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
19. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Marist OR - Oregon 5A State third place
21. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State sixth place
22. Pocatello ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
23. West Linn OR - Oregon 6A State seventh place
24. Missoula Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
25. Interlake WA - Washington 3A District II Champion

Honorable Mention: Aloha OR, Bellarmine Prep WA, Boise ID, Camas WA, Central ValleyWA, Gig Harbor WA, Gonzaga Prep WA, Joel Ferris WA, Lakeridge OR, Lewis & Clark WA, Mead WA, Seaside OR, Sehome WA, Sheldon OR, Skyview WA


Plus a couple of Wyoming teams:
4A Champion Laramie should be Top 10
3A Champion Star Valley should probably be among the Honorable Mention teams

And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Montana State Meet ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Montana State meet! Put an emphasis on "prelminiary" for this one, as it feels like this is a little low, but as my process is a mathematical system based on previous resutls, this is just how the numbers came out. As a result, the Montana teams and individuals might be a little underrated in the coming Regional Preview than they deserve - my apologies.

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:06


Boys Top 10 Overall:

1 - Jake Perrin, 12 - 14:47.90 - Flathead - 185.1
2 - Aidan Reed, 12 - 14:57.05 - Helena - 181.9
3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
5 - Marshall Beatty, 11 - 15:22.24 - Sentinel - 173.0
1 - Cameron Miekle, 12 - 15:26.31 - Hamilton - 171.5
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
7 - Logan Harmon, 12 - 15:30.98 - Glacier - 169.9
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
9 - Preston Novak, 12 - 15:32.50 - Hellgate - 169.3


3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
12 - Duncan Hamilton, 10 - 15:33.69 - Bozeman - 168.9
39 - Dylan Humberger, 10 - 16:30.43 - Bozeman - 148.8
57 - Seth Vinger, 10 - 16:57.13 - Bozeman - 139.3



Girls Top 10 Overall:

1 - Annie Hill, 10 - 16:30.71 - Glacier - 148.7
2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
1 - Bryn Morley, 10 - 17:26.15 - Bigfork - 129.0
4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
6 - Kaitlin Wride, 10 - 17:29.74 - Flathead - 127.8
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
1 - Bailee Parker, 12 - 17:46.09 - West Yellowstone - 122.0


4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
10 - Camila Noe, 10 - 17:59.66 - Bozeman - 117.1
14 - Phoebe Jacques, 10 - 18:17.97 - Bozeman - 110.6
16 - Laina Hall, 10 - 18:29.00 - Bozeman - 106.7
30 - Zoe Eberspecher, 10 - 19:10.49 - Bozeman - 92.0
31 - Elsa Sveen, 11 - 19:10.74 - Bozeman - 91.9

2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
19 - Jade Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:41.55 - Billings Senior - 102.3
21 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:47.73 - Billings Senior - 100.1
23 - Courtney Hutton, 12 - 18:52.66 - Billings Senior - 98.3
24 - Elena Borges, 11 - 18:57.25 - Billings Senior - 96.7
44 - Paloma Whitworth, 10 - 19:42.22 - Billings Senior - 80.8

5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
11 - Madeline Hamilton, 11 - 18:07.78 - Sentinel - 114.3
12 - Madison Liechty, 12 - 18:15.82 - Sentinel - 111.4
34 - Kelsey Mueller, 10 - 19:19.78 - Sentinel - 88.7
84 - Bonnie Wolgamot, 12 - 22:05.39 - Sentinel - 30.0
86 - Lindsey Roosa, 10 - 22:22.45 - Sentinel - 24.0

Monday, November 2, 2015

Idaho State Meet Girls Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Idaho State meet!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11


Girls Top 15 Overall:

1 - Katherine Ruck, 11 - 18:26.80 - Moscow - 135.5
1 - Rachel Morrin, 10 - 18:27.20 - Madison - 135.4
2 - Eve Jensen, 9 - 18:41.30 - Boise - 130.7
3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
2 - Michelle Pratt, 11 - 18:52.90 - Blackfoot - 126.9
5 - Ashlyn Dyer, 12 - 18:57.80 - Idaho Falls - 125.3
6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
3 - Billie Hatch, 11 - 19:12.10 - Preston - 120.6
7 - Breanna Stauter, 9 - 19:16.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 119.1
8 - Caitlin Conway, 11 - 19:18.50 - Coeur D'Alene - 118.5
1 - LeAnn Larkin, 12 - 19:18.80 - Shelley - 118.4
9 - Audrey Rustad, 12 - 19:21.00 - Boise - 117.7
4 - Molly Vitale-Sullivan, 12 - 19:22.70 - Pocatello - 117.1
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9


3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
12 - Julia LaMar, 9 - 19:35.30 - Eagle - 113.0
24 - Heidi Kofoed, 10 - 20:04.00 - Eagle - 103.5
35 - Ella Whitfield, 11 - 20:21.20 - Eagle - 97.8
44 - Ashley Walker, 12 - 20:34.20 - Eagle - 93.6
49 - Kate Koster, 12 - 20:40.90 - Eagle - 91.4

6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9
13 - McKenzie Refaey, 12 - 19:35.30 - Meridian - 113.0
18 - Briannah Ramirez, 12 - 19:45.50 - Meridian - 109.6
47 - Kimmy Streck, 10 - 20:38.70 - Meridian - 92.1
68 - Sydney Plum, 9 - 21:16.20 - Meridian - 79.7
71 - Kori Quick, 12 - 21:32.50 - Meridian - 74.4


(stay tuned tomorrow as I'll probably finish up Montana and hopefully Wyoming, after which I can finally put together a decently filled out Northwest Rankings!)

Idaho State Meet Boys Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Idaho State meet!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11


Boys Top 15 Overall:

1 - Caleb Armstrong, 9 - 16:05.70 - Pocatello - 182.0
1 - Austin Stewart, 12 - 16:05.90 - Shelley - 181.9
1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
2 - Josh Corgatelli, 11 - 16:13.60 - Moscow - 179.4
2 - Austin Byrer, 11 - 16:18.90 - Lewiston - 177.6
3 - Nicholas Russell, 9 - 16:21.50 - Bishop Kelly - 176.8
3 - Coen Haroldsen, 11 - 16:23.10 - Bonneville - 176.3
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
5 - Siyad Matan, 10 - 16:26.20 - Borah - 175.2
6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
7 - Jacob Davis, 12 - 16:28.00 - Capital - 174.6
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
9 - Isaac Kunz, 12 - 16:29.00 - Idaho Falls - 174.3
4 - Caden Armstrong, 11 - 16:31.20 - Pocatello - 173.6
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5


6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5
19 - Charles Paul, 11 - 16:47.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 168.2
20 - Brandon Walker, 10 - 16:48.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 167.9
24 - Ryan McKinnon, 12 - 16:52.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 166.6
27 - Joe Petty, 12 - 16:54.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 165.9
47 - Conner Oswald, 12 - 17:17.00 - Mountain View (ID) - 158.5

1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
42 - Jackson Thieme, 12 - 17:10.90 - Rocky Mountain - 160.5
43 - Ashton Siwek, 10 - 17:12.50 - Rocky Mountain - 160.0
53 - Spencer Crane, 12 - 17:27.10 - Rocky Mountain - 155.2
57 - Tanner Pollock, 11 - 17:29.70 - Rocky Mountain - 154.3

Oregon State Meet Girls Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Oregon State meet!

Some pretty strong performances, just as we saw on the boys side. Should make for a competitive meet in Boise in a couple of weeks!

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06


Girls Top-25 Overall:

1 - Ella Donaghu, 12 - 17:26 - Grant - 153.6
2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
4 - Anna Chau, 9 - 18:35 - South Salem - 130.8
4 - Jordan Monroe, 12 - 18:37 - Crater - 130.1
1 - Marissa Dobry, 12 - 18:39 - St Mary's - 129.5
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
1 - Celie Mans, 11 - 18:45 - Siuslaw - 127.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
7 - Kate Intile, 11 - 18:52 - Tualatin - 125.2
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
5 - Maddie Fuhrman, 12 - 18:54 - Silverton - 124.5
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
2 - Sailor Hutton, 10 - 18:58 - Bandon - 123.2
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
13 - Alyssa Foote, 12 - 18:58 - Aloha - 123.2
14 - Ginger Murnieks, 9 - 19:03 - Sprague - 121.5
15 - Brooke Chuhlantseff, 12 - 19:05 - West Salem - 120.9
2 - Lexi Healy, 12 - 19:06 - Henley - 120.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5


2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
27 - Kelly Makin, 10 - 19:30 - Sunset - 112.6
50 - Na'ama Nevo, 9 - 20:09 - Sunset - 99.7
76 - Grace Beal, 9 - 20:38 - Sunset - 90.1

3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5
18 - Kim Sanders, 11 - 19:12 - Jesuit - 118.5
24 - Aimee Piercy, 12 - 19:27 - Jesuit - 113.6
35 - Greta Anderson, 9 - 19:52 - Jesuit - 105.3

1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
9 - Emma Stevenson, 11 - 19:27 - Summit - 113.6
14 - Autumn Layden, 11 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
15 - Kelsey Washenberger, 10 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
20 - Liv Downing, 9 - 20:25 - Summit - 94.4

10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
20 - Caramia Mestler, 10 - 19:20 - Sheldon - 115.9
22 - Jennifer Shelton, 9 - 19:23 - Sheldon - 114.9
33 - Lauren Hamilton, 12 - 19:42 - Sheldon - 108.6
70 - Kaylin Sheley, 9 - 20:30 - Sheldon - 92.7
108 - Dana Hamilton, 10 - 21:30 - Sheldon - 72.8

Oregon State Meet Boys Ratings

Here are my preliminary ratings for the Oregon State meet!

Some pretty strong performances - is this the year that Oregon overtakes Washington (at least teamwise)?

Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06


Boys Top 25 Overall:

1 - Ahmed Muhumed, 11 - 15:38 - West Salem - 189.4
1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
2 - Roman Ollar, 12 - 15:40 - West Linn - 188.7
2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
3 - Murimi Nyamu, 12 - 15:44 - Forest Grove - 187.4
1 - Fabian Cardenas, 12 - 15:50 - Umatilla - 185.4
4 - Luis Torres, 12 - 15:50 - Aloha - 185.4
5 - Jackson Mestler, 12 - 15:50 - Sheldon - 185.4
6 - Grayson Ollar, 12 - 15:50 - West Linn - 185.4
4 - Caleb Hoffmann, 12 - 15:52 - Bend - 184.8
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
7 - Joshua Schumacher, 10 - 15:55 - Jesuit - 183.8
8 - Alex Slenning, 10 - 16:00 - Wilson - 182.1
9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
10 - Noah Belcik, 12 - 16:03 - Lakeridge - 181.1
11 - Michael Martin, 12 - 16:04 - South Eugene - 180.8
12 - Mark French, 12 - 16:04 - Tualatin - 180.8
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
13 - Jacob Shelton, 12 - 16:05 - Sheldon - 180.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
1 - Bradley Rzewnicki, 11 - 16:13 - Seaside - 177.8
16 - Zane Fodge, 9 - 16:14 - McMinnville - 177.5
2 - Hassan Ibrahim, 10 - 16:15 - Jefferson - 177.2


2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
7 - Benjamin Wasserman, 12 - 16:16 - Summit - 176.8
8 - Scott Kinkade, 11 - 16:24 - Summit - 174.2
9 - Jett Ballantyne, 10 - 16:26 - Summit - 173.5
15 - Eric Fykerud, 12 - 16:37 - Summit - 169.9
34 - Niklas Sjogren, 11 - 17:09 - Summit - 159.3

1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
13 - Erik Olsen, 10 - 16:32 - Crater - 171.5
14 - Jantz Tostenson, 9 - 16:33 - Crater - 171.2
22 - Tanner Shipley, 12 - 16:52 - Crater - 164.9
32 - Griff Hokanson, 11 - 17:07 - Crater - 159.9

9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
23 - Zack Lavier, 12 - 16:24 - Central Catholic - 174.2
33 - Jackson Frank, 12 - 16:36 - Central Catholic - 170.2
69 - Gavin Macpherson, 11 - 17:09 - Central Catholic - 159.3
96 - Eric Brecht, 10 - 17:36 - Central Catholic - 150.3

20 - Ransom Gravatt, 12 - 16:20 - Lincoln - 175.5
21 - Pierce Miller, 12 - 16:23 - Lincoln - 174.5
22 - Dominic Arce, 11 - 16:24 - Lincoln - 174.2
26 - Avi Meyer, 12 - 16:26 - Lincoln - 173.5
34 - Adin Becker, 12 - 16:36 - Lincoln - 170.2
52 - Carson Cohn, 11 - 16:50 - Lincoln - 165.6
65 - Joe Kortenhof, 12 - 17:06 - Lincoln - 160.3

Top 25 Performances @ WA Qualifier meets

With most of the state meets in the Northwest already concluded, and Washington's state meet coming up this weekend, it's time to start reviewing some races from around the region!

First up, here's my preliminary look at how the marks from around the Washington state meet qualifying meets compare. To keep this post short, I'll only post the Top 25 overall here, though I may very well get deeper and separate classifications at some point this week. Enjoy!

(times set to be equivalent to the Sun Willows 2014 state races)



Top 25 Boys Performances at State Qualifying Meet:

15:06.53 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 3A Eastern Regional #1
15:11.27 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 3A Westside Classic #1
15:26.11 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 3A Eastern Regional #2
15:31.11 - Peter Allegre - 12 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #2
15:31.86 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #3
15:35.00 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #1
15:35.01 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #1
15:35.91 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
15:36.32 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #2
15:37.71 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #3
15:40.39 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 3A District I #1
15:40.85 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #4
15:41.78 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 3A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.04 - Christian Rotter - 12 - Auburn Mountainview - 3A Westside Classic #4
15:47.10 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 4A District VI #1
15:47.66 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 4A Eastern Regional #2
15:47.66 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 4A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.80 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 3A District II #2
15:48.07 - Jason Gordon - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #5
15:48.12 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 2A District I #1
15:49.88 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 3A District II #3
15:50.48 - Matthew Watkins - 11 - Henry Jackson - 4A District I/II #5
15:50.59 - Johnny Cooney - 12 - Gonzaga Prep - 4A Eastern Regional #4
15:52.04 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
15:53.75 - Thomas Johnson - 11 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #6


Top 25 Girls Performances at State Qualifying Meet:

17:48.69 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #1
18:00.54 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #1
18:08.40 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #1
18:09.64 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #2
18:10.15 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #3
18:10.33 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 4A Westside Classic #2
18:18.04 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 3A District II #2
18:18.05 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 4A District I/II #4
18:18.65 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #3
18:22.02 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #3
18:22.57 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 3A District II #4
18:24.12 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 4A District I/II #5
18:28.48 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 4A Westside Classic #4
18:32.75 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
18:37.84 - Emily Donnelly - 12 - Monroe - 4A District I/II #7
18:39.96 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
18:42.52 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #8
18:43.50 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 4A District I/II #9
18:44.51 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #5
18:46.55 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #5
18:47.79 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 4A Eastern Regional #2
18:48.73 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 4A Westside Classic #6
18:48.77 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #3
18:49.17 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 2A Eastern Regional #1
18:50.68 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 3A District I #1


Side notes:

I only looked at classifications 2A and above... the reasons being that there isn't as much competition at the B/1A level for the top athletes/teams, and because this was generated while I was researching the top teams in the NW, which would very very rarely include schools that are 1A or smaller (among the top 30 there are usually only 1-2 that are 2A sized in the entire NW)

Camas girls are looking STRONG! They definitely have progressed well since earlier this season

North Central boys look like the top team in the state, but only 1 under 16:00 for a 15:55 average...

Janke would be #13 All-Time for 5k at Sun Willows if he matches that estimate, while the wunderkind Taylor Roe would break the Freshman record

Sunday, October 11, 2015

Reviewing the weekend and the national team picture

Quick notes about results from the past weekend:

If there was any doubt that might have been lingering after the VVS Invitational results came out a few weeks ago, this weekend should have eliminated any question about who the #1 girls team in the nation is. Fayetteville-Manlius NY destroyed the field at the Manhattan Invitational, averaging 14:36.86 over the 4k course. "How good is that?" you might ask... well, that is an average of 2 seconds per runner faster than the 2004 Saratoga Springs NY squad (14:38.8 average) that some claim is the best team ever, and only 1.5 seconds slower than the 2009 Fayetteville-Manlius NY girls (14:35.44). Manhattan is a race that is extremely well tested, with all but one NTN/NXN Champion team having run on the course and many other NTN/NXN qualifiers to test it as well. Only seven other teams have averaged under 14:50 per runner on the course, and every single one of them won the NTN/NXN title that year.


The #2 girls team in the nation, Great Oak CA, also ran well last weekend as they scored 34 points to beat Arcadia CA (100) and Southlake Carroll TX (132) among others at the Clovis Invitational. Their time at the meet stacks up well, putting them at #5 on the All-Time Woodward Park list and only about half a minute (total team time, not team average) behind where they were when they set the course record at this meet last year.


The question still remains: who is the third best girls team in the nation? We've seen a very strong duo up front, but what about the rest of the nation?

Sunset OR still seems to be somewhere up there, having lost only to Great Oak CA while beating multiple US Top-25 caliber teams at Woodbridge and Nike Pre-Nationals already this year. They scorched the course at an always-fast (and probably short?) 5k at the Sandelie Golf Course, but is notable that they averaged within a minute of one of the best individual athletes in the nation in Ella Donaghu (17:55.0 vs. 16:59.6) and their #5 keeping within 80.4 seconds of a runner of that caliber is very impressive (for example, 80 seconds behind the #10 finisher at last year's NXN race, Ella Donaghu, was the 41st team scorer). I'm not sure they are US#3, but they definitely seem to be in the running for US Top-5.


The picture on the guys side is a bit more wide open, as many of the top teams haven't really faced off against eachother yet. What we do know is that:

-Sandburg IL is tearing it up in Illinois
-Lafayette MO is tearing it up in Missouri/Arkansas/Tennessee
-American Fork UT hasn't been healthy enough to continue their annual course record setting efforts in Utah
-Timpanogos UT came out on top of the biggest meet of the season to date, the Bob Firman Invitational, over Great Oak CA and several of the best from California and the Northwest
-Hopkins MN looks like the top team in the Heartland
-St. Ignatius OH has looked mighty impressive in Ohio
-and Downingtown West PA might be the best team in the Northeast after their win at Manhattan, though don't look like a potential US Top 5 team quite yet

What that all means, I have no idea.