Saturday, December 3, 2016

NXN: Quick post-race thoughts

Just a couple quick post-race thoughts as I look through the results...

Seems I overestimated the South, Heartland and California races to various degrees. Also, Summit OR continues to run poorly at Nationals after stepping up big time at NXR, as they seemingly do every year...

First guess is that the girls NXN race is probably going to end up around 200.0 = 15:35. Boys probably around 15:45-15:48.

Brie Oakley: WOW. What an incredible performance by her. Probably looking at a 169 or 170 rating from me.

Casey Clinger: First multiple time boys champion. Took control of the race, looks like about a 205 or 206 rating from me.

Girls (Team) MVP: Sophie Ryan (FM). Had a huge day, going from #5 at NXR to their #2, and rating-wise going from about a 135 to a 147. If there is any single reason as to how FM turned what could have been a decently competitive race into a blowout, it was her.

Boys (Team) MVP: Orrin Clark (Bozeman). Bozeman's #3-5 pack all ran better at nationals than they did at NXR, and that was the real story of the meet (for boys teams). In particular, though, was Orrin Clark (#5 at NXR, #4 at NXN), who was slowed late in the season due to a hip injury, but seemed to be at 100% at nationals. The best point of comparison is how Bozeman's pack did vs. Summit's #1 at Nationals, Scott Kinkade: at NXR, Kinkade ran 15:58.1 while Bozeman's #3-5 pack ran between 16:02.6-16:16.5; Kinkade ran a similar race at Nationals (one of only 2 boys to do so for Summit, along with their #6) by finishing in 16:31.0, but Bozeman's #3-5 pack all caught up to him, ranging from 16:28.5 to 16:36.6.

At a race like NXN, the teams that win are generally the teams that place the bulk of their runners ahead of the bigger packs. FM's Sophie Ryan moved from a projected #78 all the way up to #29, and Bozeman's Orrin Clark moved up from #109 up to #58. Nearly 50 spots improvement, most of which were team runners, means they were the biggest keys to the two winning teams performances today.


Quick note regarding American Fork: Some might view this as a disappointing performance for them (going into the race favored by 20-25 points over Bozeman, according to my ratings and assuming their #5 was back to normal). However, I think the Bozeman pack made far more difference than anyone from AF being a little off. AF's #4 might have been about 15 places behind where he should have been, but that was about it. With the final point difference being 36 points, it was clearly just Bozeman's day.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

NXN Projections - a compilation

I'm not going to do my usual in-depth look at projecting NXN, because as I said in my other post I already have a rough idea of the groupings and I am not going to take the time to refine it as much as usual this year. However, what I will do is post a quick comparison of my (VERY ROUGH) projections along with some other notable projections: Bill Meylan's over at Tullyrunners, Paul Schmitz/Adam Kopet at DyeStat (Boys/Girls), and whoever is doing the rankings these days at Milesplit.

I'll also include a little math to show the general trends/consensus, or how varying the different projections have each team finishing.

My apologies in advance for for any poor formatting. I will put in bold the teams that we all seemed to roughly agree on (teams with sample variability of < 6).

tl;dr summary:

My girls projections appear to be a bit more favorable towards the Southwest and South while slightly less optimistic for the Midwest and Southeast; Milesplit seems to be significantly higher on the Southeast and slightly lower on the Northwest than the rest of us; Meylan and DyeStat typically were closer to the median rankings.

My boys projections appear to be a bit more favorable towards the South while less optimistic towards the Northeast/New York and the Southeast; Milesplit seems to be higher on the Heartland, while DyeStat seems to be a slightly lower on the Southwest. Meylan was all over the place compared to the rest of us (probably because he looked deeper into what the teams have done the rest of the year) with regards to California.

Full breakdown:

Boys =

(Variability) | Median | Average | Team | Watchout | Meylan | DyeStat | Milesplit

(0.25)  |  1.0 |  1.25 | American Fork UT         = 1 | 2 | 1 | 1
(1.58)  |  2.0 |  2.25 | Neuqua Valley IL         = 4 | 1 | 2 | 2
(1.58)  |  4.0 |  3.75 | Bozeman MT               = 2 | 5 | 4 | 4
(4.67)  |  4.5 |  5.00 | Brentwood TN             = 5 | 4 | 3 | 8
(2.92)  |  5.5 |  5.25 | Great Oak CA             = 6 | 3 | 5 | 7
(2.92)  |  5.5 |  5.25 | The Woodlands TX         = 3 | 6 | 7 | 5
(36.92) |  6.5 |  8.25 | Christian Brothers NJ    = 17 | 7 | 6 | 3
(2.00)  |  8.5 |  8.00 | Wayzata MN               = 8 | 9 | 9 | 6
(3.58)  |  8.5 |  9.25 | Downers Grove North IL   = 9 | 8 | 8 | 12
(4.00)  | 11.0 | 10.00 | Summit OR                = 7 | 11 | 11 | 11
(19.00) | 12.5 | 13.50 | Davis UT                 = 10 | 15 | 19 | 10
(7.58)  | 13.5 | 13.25 | Dana Hills CA            = 16 | 10 | 12 | 15
(17.67) | 14.0 | 14.50 | Liverpool NY             = 15 | 13 | 10 | 20
(21.67) | 14.5 | 14.50 | St. Xavier KY            = 20 | 16 | 13 | 9
(7.58)  | 14.5 | 14.75 | Mahomet-Seymour IL       = 18 | 12 | 16 | 13
(3.00)  | 15.5 | 15.50 | Springville UT           = 14 | 17 | 17 | 14
(4.92)  | 16.0 | 16.25 | Staples CT               = 19 | 14 | 15 | 17
(13.67) | 16.0 | 16.50 | Cathedral Catholic CA    = 13 | 21 | 14 | 18
(18.00) | 18.0 | 17.00 | Southlake Carroll TX     = 11 | 18 | 18 | 21
(0.92)  | 19.5 | 19.75 | Fayetteville-Manlius NY  = 21 | 19 | 20 | 19
(6.92)  | 20.5 | 19.75 | Edina MN                 = 22 | 20 | 21 | 16
(25.00) | 22.0 | 19.50 | College Park TX          = 12 | 22 | 22 | 22



Notes: My projections are only off of the NXR races (except The Woodlands' missing runner), while Meylan's uses a synthesis of ratings but I believe weighs most heavily on NXR and State, while the others I'm not sure. Milesplit is actual rankings rather than an NXN-only projection (I don't think they post actual NXN projections?).

CBA, Davis, Liverpool, St. Xavier, Cathedral Catholic, Southlake Carroll and College Park seem to be pretty variable depending on which projection you look at.

CBA is the most severe and is because I have them rated significantly worse than others, it seems, while Milesplit is a bit more favorable than the rest.
College Park and St. Xavier are the next most extreme; CP because I have them rated significantly higher, and St. Xavier because of a combination between Milesplit has them much higher and I have them a bit lower.

Davis, Southlake Carroll and Liverpool are also notable differences: Davis is no one seems to agree on them except Milesplit and my projections, which have them higher than the rest. Southlake Carroll looks like it is due to my rating them higher... I guess I valued the NXN South race more than others (or they are penalizing them, as well as College Park, for their poor races at State - which is very understandable). Liverpool is a slightly less extreme version of Davis, where this time Milesplit has them rated lower than everyone else and DyeStat only slightly higher than Meylan and I.

A modest difference on our views of Cathedral Catholic, with DyeStat and I having them around #13/14 while Meylan (21) and Milesplit (18) are a little lower.

Seems to be very good agreement in general beyond those teams, although Dana Hills (two around 10-12 and two at 15/16), Mahomet-Seymour (two around 12/13, two around 16-18), and Edina (three between 20-22, but Milesplit at 16) are slightly different.


General consensus notes:

The projections all pretty much agree on who is included in the top tier of (6-8) teams, with the only questions being whether or not CBA or Wayzata belong with that group. We also pretty much agree that MW#2 (DGN) and NW#2 (Summit) are mid-pack teams. It does get a bit muddy beyond those two points of agreement, though.



Girls =

(Variability) | Median | Average | Team | Watchout | Meylan | DyeStat | Milesplit

(0.00)  |  1.0 |  1.00 | Fayetteville-Manlius NY  = 1 | 1 | 1 | 1
(0.00)  |  2.0 |  2.00 | Great Oak CA             = 2 | 2 | 2 | 2
(0.25)  |  3.0 |  3.25 | Davis CA                 = 4 | 3 | 3 | 3
(8.25)  |  4.5 |  5.75 | Carmel IN                = 10 | 4 | 5 | 4
(1.67)  |  6.5 |  6.50 | Edina MN                 = 6 | 8 | 7 | 5
(14.92) |  7.0 |  7.75 | Bozeman MT               = 8 | 6 | 4 | 13
(3.33)  |  8.0 |  8.00 | Willmar MN               = 7 | 10 | 9 | 6
(8.25)  |  8.5 |  7.25 | Southlake Carroll TX     = 3 | 9 | 8 | 9
(8.67)  |  9.0 |  9.00 | Minooka IL               = 11 | 7 | 6 | 12
(8.25)  | 10.5 |  9.25 | Keller TX                = 5 | 11 | 11 | 10
(20.92) | 12.0 | 11.25 | Desert Vista AZ          = 12 | 5 | 12 | 16
(3.33)  | 13.0 | 13.00 | Naperville North IL      = 15 | 12 | 14 | 11
(3.58)  | 13.5 | 12.75 | Shenendehowa NY          = 14 | 13 | 10 | 14
(5.58)  | 14.0 | 14.75 | Sunset OR                = 13 | 15 | 13 | 18
(28.67) | 14.5 | 14.00 | Blacksburg VA            = 20 | 14 | 15 | 7
(23.33) | 16.5 | 15.00 | Lake Braddock VA         = 19 | 16 | 17 | 8
(18.00) | 16.5 | 15.00 | Mountain Vista CO        = 9 | 18 | 18 | 15
(2.00)  | 16.5 | 17.00 | Palos Verdes CA          = 16 | 17 | 16 | 19
(1.33)  | 18.0 | 18.00 | Summit OR                = 17 | 19 | 19 | 17
(1.58)  | 20.0 | 19.75 | North Hunterdon NJ       = 18 | 21 | 20 | 20
(0.67)  | 21.0 | 21.00 | Broomfield CO            = 21 | 20 | 21 | 22
(0.25)  | 22.0 | 21.75 | Souhegan NH              = 22 | 22 | 22 | 21



Notes: My projections are only off of the NXR races, while Meylan's uses a synthesis of ratings but I believe weighs most heavily on NXR and State, while the others I'm not sure. Milesplit is actual rankings rather than an NXN-only projection (I don't think they post actual NXN projections?).

Blacksburg, Lake Braddock, Desert Vista, and to a lesser extent Mountain Vista and Bozeman are pretty variable. Minooka, Southlake Carroll, Keller, Carmel, and to an extent Sunset are somewhat variable but relatively stable. Lots of agreement beyond that.

Blacksburg is due to vast differences between Milesplit (#7) and myself (20), with both Meylan and DyeStat about halfway between (#14 and 15).

Lake Braddock is due to Milesplit (#8) significantly ahead of the rest of us: myself at #19, though Meylan (16) and DyeStat (17) not much different.

Desert Vista is mostly due to Meylan being notably higher on them (#5), and to be honest if I was looking at more than just their NXR race I would probably agree with him. However, as it is I have them at #12, which is similar to DyeStat (12) and Milesplit (16).

Mountain Vista looks to be down to me being higher on them (#9) than the rest (#15, 18 and 18).

Bozeman got a pretty wide variety, although if the others have a similar tier of teams as I do (Meylan pretty much does: for example, I have Bozeman at roughly 255 points and he has them at 246, so pretty slight difference on them but a bigger difference on the Heartland and especially South teams) then the only "notable" outlier is Milesplit at #13.

The other somewhat notable differences is mainly the two South teams (I have them finishing higher than the rest) and Minooka (Milesplit and I have them around #11/12, while Meylan/DyeStat have them at #6/7). Carmel is also a big difference, though that is just my ranking - I'm assuming the difference is due to whether or not we include Sarah Leinheiser (who has been dealing with an apparent foot injury). I didn't include her in the projections, and Meylan included her as their #5


General consensus notes:

The projections all pretty much agree on who is included in the top tier of (3-4) teams, with the only questions being whether or not Southlake Carroll belong with that group (FWIW, I am the outlier as I have them scoring in the 180s to being neck and neck with Davis). There also seems to be a general agreement on the rest of the field as well: even most of the highly variable teams mentioned above look to be roughly in the same tiers, with the only exceptions beyond the Southeast (milesplit is higher), Southwest (mixed bag) and South (I'm higher) teams. Very good agreement on the lower tier of teams. Much better consensus overall this year than in the boys race.

Sunday, November 27, 2016

VERY ROUGH preliminary NXN outlook

Figured I might as well post a ROUGH outlook for NXN. I'm not including scores, because this is based on ROUGH estimates for most of the regional courses. While good enough to put them in their proper tiers, their placement within their tiers is very suspect. Also, I would like to include more than just their regional races (the below only used regional races except the Woodlands TX boys, where I added their missing #1 from his State Meet race). I will see about being more specific, and include rough scoring, if I have time later this week. EDIT: I'll just leave these as is... they aren't as well refined as my usual projections, and they aren't specific enough as to show exactly how close I think the teams are, but they give the general idea of roughly what group each team seems to belongs to (according to their races at NXR).


Boys:
1 American Fork UT
2 Bozeman MT
3 The Woodlands TX (assuming their #1 is back in their lineup)
4 Neuqua Valley IL
5 Brentwood TN
6 Great Oak CA
------------
7 Summit OR
8 Wayzata MN
9 Downers Grove North IL
10 Davis UT
11 Southlake Carroll TX
------------
12 College Park TX
13 Cathedral Catholic CA
14 Springville UT
15 Liverpool NY
16 Dana Hills CA
17 Christian Brothers Academy NJ
18 Mahomet-Seymour IL
------------
19 Staples CT
20 St. Xavier KY
------------
21 Fayetteville-Manlius NY
22 Edina MN


Notes: American Fork's trio is just too good. Going just by their regional race, it should actually be a close race (about 30-35 points separating #1 from #5), but if their #5 runs as well as they did at the Utah State meet, they should be a 20-25 point favorite over Bozeman. Great Oak is slightly closer to Summit than they are to Brentwood, but included them in the top tier because they were closer to the rest of that tier than most of the teams in the second tier. Edina and Fayetteville-Manlius are both teams that tend to run well at NXN, and normally that would mean I'd be giving them a bump within their own tier... but they are kind of sitting in a tier of their own, which makes that a bit more difficult. Would not be surprised if they both beat St. Xavier and possibly Staples based on that alone, though I think CBA and probably Mahomet-Seymour are just a little too far ahead to make up that ground in the national field. However, if they have a good race and CBA/MS don't run well, it is definitely still a possibility. The Woodlands has their best team yet, and it has been dominant throughout the year, however their NXR meet shows just how fragile a US Top-5 team can be if just a couple athletes are off (their #1 was missing, and their #4/5 finishers were a little off, but the rest of their usual Top 4 ran well and yet they still finished a bit behind mid-pack NXN teams).



Girls:
1 Fayetteville-Manlius NY
2 Great Oak CA
------------
3 Southlake Carroll TX
4 Davis CA
5 Keller TX
6 Edina MN
7 Willmar MN
8 Bozeman MT
------------
9 Mountain Vista CO
10 Carmel IN
11 Minooka IL
------------
12 Desert Vista AZ
13 Sunset OR
14 Shenendehowa NY
15 Naperville North IL
16 Palos Verdes CA
------------
17 Summit OR
18 North Hunterdon NJ
19 Lake Braddock VA
20 Blacksburg VA
21 Broomfield CO
------------
22 Souhegan NH


Notes: Yes, once again, the usual suspects at the top. Fayetteville-Manlius has the edge here even before you consider how well they typically run at NXN, but Great Oak is close enough to make things very interesting. The battle for the other podium finish, if the top two teams run well, is also looking to be very close: Davis was second last year, Southlake Carroll has had a few teams do very well in the past, Keller won the Texas 6A State title over SLC, and Edina looks very much in contention with all of those teams. Willmar and Bozeman look to be slightly behind the rest of that tier, but are closer to Edina and Keller than they are the trio in the next group, and aren't so far behind that a good day for them could make up all that difference. The two most interesting teams to me that seem to be "mid pack" teams are Desert Vista and Sunset, both for different reasons. Desert Vista is a team that looked incredible during most of the season, but came up flat at their NXR meet. They ran well at NXN a few years ago, placing a very strong fifth in their lone appearance in 2014 (and, much like this year, was a team that ran well throughout the season, had a bit of an off race at NXR, but then they came through with a great race at nationals). Similarly, Sunset is a team that exceeded expectations last time they were at NXN, when they finished seventh but within shouting distance of fifth place last year. However, their journey as well as their strengths and weaknesses this year are vastly different than Desert Vista. Sunset, who started the season slower than the other nationally elite teams, has come on very strong to close out their season. They have a trio of runners that have gone 17:40 or faster, including an NXN Top-10 returner in Ember Stratton. Desert Vista, on the other hand, has a pack that has been within 40 seconds of eachother and starts about where Sunset's trio ends. In a dual meet, Sunset would win just on the strength of their front runners, but in an invitational meet Desert Vista begins to have a stronger advantage. Due to their front running prowess and a fast improving #4, Sunset has the potential to challenge for a Top-10 finish, although just as easily could finish just outside the top 15. Desert Vista is a team that, if all their athletes run well, could destroy any projections based on their NXR race and be a strong threat to finish with the #3-8 group.




Also, as a bonus, here are the top individual ratings from NXR that I am currently using. Again, these are very rough (outside of NW, and to a lesser extent MW and SO) so take them as GENERAL ratings.... should be within 1-2 points though, and obviously some of the individuals probably weren't pushed as significantly as others at their regional races (case in point, SE Champs Brodey Hastey and Kate Murphy). One thing to note: this year's individual field was MUCH stronger at their NXR races than previous years. In advance of NXN last year, I mentioned that there were 13 girls at 150+ and 16 boys at 194+ while this year there are 24 girls at 150+ and 41 at 194+ ... of course, I assumed that all individuals who qualified for NXN chose to accept the invite instead of opt for Footlocker, which may be more true than usual considering how many of the top athletes were choosing NXN this year, but there is always the possibility that someone turned down their invite to either run FLW or focus on Footlocker Nationals instead.

Also, as an added bonus, since there are plenty out there who don't know how good a rating XXX.XX is, I'll include the 3200m/3k equivalents to provide a greater perspective on the caliber of performance they had (according to my ratings). However, keep in mind, this might not always reflect what the athletes have/will run for 3200m: some are bound to be better at longer distances or are stronger on varying surfaces (e.g. they might be considered to be "better hill runners"), or visa versa.


Team runners are in bold.

Boys Top 35 Individuals - NXR Ratings only


  1. 205.64 - Casey Clinger - American Fork UT - (SW #1) - 8:47.21 / 8:11.07
  2. 203.87 - David Principe - Unattached RI - (NE #1) - 8:50.38 / 8:14.02
  3. 203.57 - Finn Gessner - Unattached WI - (HL #1) - 8:50.92 / 8:14.52
  4. 203.57 - Seth Hirsch - Unattached NE - (HL #2) - 8:50.92 / 8:14.52
  5. 200.86 - McKay Johns - American Fork UT - (SW #2) - 8:55.77 / 8:19.04
  6. 200.33 - James Mwaura - Unattached WA - (NW #1) - 8:56.72 / 8:19.93
  7. 200.18 - Sam Worley - Unattached TX - (SO #1) - 8:56.99 / 8:20.18
  8. 199.97 - Luis Grijalva - Unattached CA - (CA #1) - 8:57.37 / 8:20.53
  9. 199.85 - Reed Brown - Southlake Carroll TX - (SO #2) - 8:57.58 / 8:20.73
  10. 199.82 - Daniel Bernal - Unattached TX - (SO #3) - 8:57.63 / 8:20.78
  11. 199.68 - Alex Maier - Unattached TX - (SO #4) - 8:57.89 / 8:21.01
  12. 199.46 - Milo Greder - Unattached NE - (HL #3) - 8:58.28 / 8:21.38
  13. 199.31 - Patrick Parker - American Fork UT - (SW #3) - 8:58.55 / 8:21.63
  14. 199.22 - Daniel Viegra - Unattached TX - (SO #5) - 8:58.71 / 8:21.78
  15. 198.62 - Seth Eliason - Unattached MN - (HL #4) - 8:59.78 / 8:22.78
  16. 198.58 - Brodey Hasty - Brentwood TN - (SE #1) - 8:59.86 / 8:22.85
  17. 198.58 - Alex Miley - Unattached MN - (HL #5) - 8:59.86 / 8:22.85
  18. 198.53 - Chase Equall - Bozeman MT - (NW #2) - 8:59.94 / 8:22.93
  19. 198.51 - Danny Kilrea - Unattached IL - (MW #1) - 8:59.98 / 8:22.96
  20. 198.48 - Joe Benson - Unattached UT - (SW #4) - 9:00.03 / 8:23.01
  21. 197.84 - Micahel Vernau - Unattached CA - (CA #2) - 9:01.18 / 8:24.08
  22. 197.56 - Isaac Green - Unattached CO - (SW #5) - 9:01.68 / 8:24.55
  23. 197.51 - Callum Bolger - Unattached CA - (CA #3) - 9:01.77 / 8:24.63
  24. 197.32 - Dylan Jacobs - Unattached IL - (MW #2) - 9:02.11 / 8:24.95
  25. 197.32 - Jack Aho - Unattached IL - (MW #3) - 9:02.11 / 8:24.95
  26. 197.13 - Cooper Teare - Unattached CA - (CA #4) - 9:02.45 / 8:25.26
  27. 196.26 - Connor O'Neill - Unattached TX - (SO #6) - 9:04.01 / 8:26.72
  28. 196.14 - Jordan Lesansee - Unattached NM - (SW #6) - 9:04.23 / 8:26.92
  29. 196.06 - Ty Brownlow - Liverpool NY - (NY #1) - 9:04.37 / 8:27.05
  30. 195.78 - Tanner Norman - Unattached CO - (SW #7) - 9:04.87 / 8:27.52
  31. 195.70 - Dustin Horter - Unattached OH - (MW #4) - 9:05.01 / 8:27.65
  32. *195.69 - William Hunsdale - The Woodlands TX - (SO #7) - 9:05.03 / 8:27.67
  33. 195.52 - Erik Gonzalez - Unattached CA - (CA #5) - 9:05.34 / 8:27.95
  34. 195.42 - Ben Varghese - Unattached TN - (SE #2) - 9:05.51 / 8:28.12
  35. 195.35 - Nathan Lawler - Unattached NY - (NY #2) - 9:05.64 / 8:28.23

*Hunsdale's mark is actually from the Texas State meet, as he did not run at NXN-South.



Girls Top 35 Individuals - NXR Ratings only


  1. 164.96 - Brie Oakley - Unattached CO - (SW #1) - 10:00.07 / 9:18.93
  2. 161.24 - Claudia Lane - Unattached CA - (CA #1) - 10:06.73 / 9:25.14
  3. 159.79 - Molly Born - Unattached KS - (HL #1) - 10:09.33 / 9:27.56
  4. 158.03 - Allie Schadler - Unattached AZ - (SW #2) - 10:12.48 / 9:30.49
  5. 158.00 - Annie Hill - Unattached MT - (NW #1) - 10:12.54 / 9:30.54
  6. 157.53 - Emily Venters - Unattached KS - (HL #2) - 10:13.38 / 9:31.33
  7. 157.18 - Lauren Gregory - Unattached CO - (SW #3) - 10:14.00 / 9:31.91
  8. 156.76 - Lexy Halladay - Unattached ID - (NW #2) - 10:14.76 / 9:32.61
  9. 156.62 - Grace Ping - Unattached UT - (SW #4) - 10:15.01 / 9:32.85
  10. 156.52 - Katherine Lee - Unattached NY - (NY #1) - 10:15.19 / 9:33.01
  11. 156.04 - Anna Fenske - Unattached MN - (HL #3) - 10:16.05 / 9:33.81
  12. 155.51 - Ember Stratton - Sunset OR - (NW #3) - 10:17.00 / 9:34.70
  13. 153.87 - Anna Gibson - Unattached WY - (NW #4) - 10:19.93 / 9:37.43
  14. 153.40 - Katelynne Hart - Unattached IL - (MW #1) - 10:20.77 / 9:38.22
  15. 152.84 - London Culbreath - Unattached TX - (SO #1) - 10:21.78 / 9:39.15
  16. 152.65 - Kelsey Chmiel - Unattached NY - (NY #2) - 10:22.12 / 9:39.47
  17. 152.55 - India Johnson - Unattached OH - (MW #2) - 10:22.30 / 9:39.64
  18. 152.01 - Anne Forsyth - Unattached MI - (MW #3) - 10:23.26 / 9:40.54
  19. 152.00 - Claire Walters - Fayetteville-Manlius NY - (NY #3) - 10:23.28 / 9:40.55
  20. 151.90 - Tiahna Vladic - Unattached MT - (NW #5) - 10:23.46 / 9:40.72
  21. 151.80 - Katherine Murphy - Lake Braddock VA - (SE #1) - 10:23.64 / 9:40.89
  22. 151.53 - Karly Ackley - Unattached ND - (HL #4) - 10:24.12 / 9:41.34
  23. 151.47 - Anna Sophia Keller - Unattached IL - (MW #4) - 10:24.23 / 9:41.44
  24. 150.04 - Ashton Endsley - Unattached TX - (SO #2) - 10:26.79 / 9:43.82
  25. 149.63 - Quinn McConnell - Unattached CO - (SW #5) - 10:27.53 / 9:44.51
  26. 149.16 - Jessica Lawson - Unattached NY - (NY #4) - 10:28.37 / 9:45.29
  27. 148.68 - Aislinn Devlin - Unattached PA - (NE #1) - 10:29.23 / 9:46.09
  28. 148.66 - Lauren Peterson - Unattached MN - (HL #5) - 10:29.26 / 9:46.13
  29. 148.19 - Taylor Roe - Unattached WA - (NW #6) - 10:30.11 / 9:46.91
  30. 148.06 - Annika Sleenhof - Unattached TN - (SE #2) - 10:30.34 / 9:47.13
  31. 148.02 - Abbey Santoro - Keller TX - (SO #3) - 10:30.41 / 9:47.19
  32. 147.83 - Elizabeth Reneau - Unattached TX - (SO #4) - 10:30.75 / 9:47.51
  33. 147.55 - Elizabeth Chittenden - Unattached CA - (CA #2) - 10:31.25 / 9:47.98
  34. 147.38 - Erika Adler - Unattached CA - (CA #3) - 10:31.56 / 9:48.26
  35. 147.18 - Sara Leonard - Unattached CA - (CA #4) - 10:31.91 / 9:48.59

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Quick Analysis: NXR Regions (complete)

Updated quick analysis of the NXN regional races.

Here is a ROUGH estimate of the groupings I would put each team in, to give an idea of the potential national rankings. This is ONLY considering what each team ran at their NXR Championship race, and my roughly estimated ratings (SW = 15:10, SO =15:10, NW = 15:15, HL = 14:50, MW = 14:45, CA = 14:50, SE = 14:50, NE/NY = 15:30) as well as the team scores vs. the top pack of teams in the field. Asterisk next to the regional #3/4 finishers (potential At-Large candidates).


Boys =

Tier 1.0 (4): American Fork UT, Bozeman MT, Neuqua Valley IL, Brentwood TN
Tier 1.5 (6): Great Oak CA, Summit OR, Wayzata MN, Davis UT, Southlake Carroll TX, Downers Grove North IL
Tier 2.0 (10): Cathedral Catholic CA, College Park TX, Dana Hills CA*, Claremont CA*, Springville UT*, Christian Brothers NJ, Timpanogos UT*, North Central WA*, Mahomet-Seymour IL*, The Woodlands TX*
Tier 2.5 (22): Loyola CA, Olympus UT, Lyons Township IL*, St. Xavier KY, Staples CT, El Paso Eastwood TX*, Roosevelt CA, Solon OH, Lake Zurich IL, Mountain Vista CO, Loudon Valley VA*, West Torrance CA, West Ranch CA, Dublin CA, Skyline ID*, Fayetteville-Manlius NY, Liverpool NY, Edina MN, Millard West NE*, Campolindo CA, Palmer Ridge CO, Lone Peak UT
Tier 3.0 (10): Bellarmine Prep CA, Monarch CO, Fort Wayne Carroll IN, Carmel IN, Council Rock North PA, Foothill CA, Mira Costa CA, Crater OR, Colts Neck NJ, New Town ND*


Girls =

Tier 0.5 (2): Fayetteville-Manlius NY, Great Oak CA
Tier 1.0 (5): Davis CA, Southlake Carroll TX, Keller TX, Edina MN, Willmar MN
Tier 1.5 (3): Bozeman MT, Mountain Vista CO, Carmel IN
Tier 2.0 (14): Naperville North IL, Minooka IL*, Palos Verdes CA*, Summit OR, Sunset OR*, Wayzata MN*, Desert Vista AZ, The Woodlands TX*, Shenendehowa NY, Claremont CA*, Buchanan CA, Broomfield CO*, American Fork UT*, Blacksburg VA
Tier 2.5 (12): Saugus CA, Lake Braddock VA, North Hunterdon NJ, Jackson Hole WY*, Mountain View ID, Yorkville IL*, Shoreham-Wading River NY*, Arcadia CA, Dana Hills CA, Cardinal Gibbons NC*, Battle Mountain CO, Canyon-Anaheim CA
Tier 3.0 (21): St. Francis (Sacramento) CA, Minnetonka MN*, Johnston IA, Marcus TX*, Jesuit OR, Davis UT, Prosper TX, La Costa Canyon CA, Esperanza CA, Monte Vista CA, Billings Senior MT, Washburn MN, North Rockland NY*, Aptos CA, Ventura CA, San Ramon Valley CA, San Marcos CA, Centerville OH, Saratoga Springs NY, Foothill Tech CA, Cathedral Catholic CA


Regional breakdown to date =

Boys teams (4/10/20/42/52):
CA = 0/1/4/10/13
SW = 1/2/5/8/9
MW = 1/2/4/6/8
NW = 1/2/3/4/5
SO = 0/1/4/4/4
HL = 0/1/1/3/4
SE = 1/1/1/3/3
NE = 0/0/1/2/4
NY = 0/0/0/2/2


Girls teams (2/7/10/24/36/57):
CA = 1/2/2/5/9/19
NW = 0/0/1/3/5/7
SW = 0/0/1/4/5/6
NY = 1/1/1/2/3/5
SO = 0/2/2/3/3/5
HL = 0/2/2/3/3/5
MW = 0/0/1/3/4/4
SE = 0/0/0/1/3/3
NE = 0/0/0/0/1/1


UPDATE: At-Large teams have been announced, so we have our boys and girls fields set.

Boys At-Large Teams Invited: Dana Hills CA, Mahomet-Seymour IL, Springville UT, The Woodlands TX

Assessment: They were all #3 regional teams, and all among the "Tier 2.0" (#11-20) teams. Other T2 teams that might have just missed out: Claremont CA, North Central WA, Timpanogos UT.


Girls At-Large Teams Invited: Broomfield CO, Minooka IL, Palos Verdes CA, Sunset OR

Assessment: Again, all were #3 regional teams, and all among the "Tier 2.0" (#11-24) teams. Other T2 teams that might have just missed out: American Fork UT, Claremont CA, The Woodlands TX, Wayzata MN



Note: At some point, I might try to go back and get more specific ratings on some of these regions to yield a more precise ranking, but probably not until after NXN. I'm confident the tiers should essentially stay the same, with the possibility of some teams on the edges of their tiers moving slightly up/down with a more thorough review.

Sunday, November 13, 2016

NXN Northwest Ratings - Boys (Nov. 12)

NXN Northwest Regional Ratings ID (Nov. 12)
initial Estimate: 200.0 = 15:14.26


Boys Championship Race =
  1. 200.36 - James Mwaura, 11 - 15:13.2 - Lincoln WA ** 
  2. 198.55 - Chase Equall, 12 - 15:18.7 - Bozeman MT
  3. 194.29 - Andrew Monroe, 11 - 15:31.7 - Crater OR **
  4. 193.60 - Zane Fodge, 10 - 15:33.8 - McMinnville OR **
  5. 192.71 - Yacine Guermali, 12 - 15:36.5 - Camas WA **
  6. 191.53 - Duncan Hamilton, 11 - 15:40.1 - Bozeman MT
  7. 191.40 - Nate Pendleton, 11 - 15:40.5 - Eastlake WA **
  8. 190.91 - Charles Paul, 12 - 15:42.0 - Mountain View ID
  9. 190.32 - Daniel Maton, 10 - 15:43.8 - Camas WA
  10. 189.79 - Marshall Beatty, 12 - 15:45.4 - Sentinel MT
  11. 189.04 - R.Coen Haroldsen, 12 - 15:47.7 - Bonneville ID
  12. 188.87 - Silas Griffith, 12 - 15:48.2 - Ridgefield WA
  13. 187.79 - Ahmed Muhumed, 12 - 15:51.5 - West Salem OR
  14. 187.66 - Niklas Sjogren, 12 - 15:51.9 - Summit OR
  15. 187.40 - Jacob Christner, 12 - 15:52.7 - North Central WA
  16. 187.33 - Andy Muha, 12 - 15:52.9 - Sunset OR
  17. 186.74 - Ronan Price, 12 - 15:54.7 - Eisenhower WA
  18. 186.25 - Thomas Schoderbek, 12 - 15:56.2 - Summit OR
  19. 185.69 - Shane Henderson, 11 - 15:57.9 - Star Valley WY
  20. 185.62 - Scott Kinkade, 12 - 15:58.1 - Summit OR
  21. 184.44 - Mike McCAUSLAND, 12 - 16:01.7 - Central Catholic OR
  22. 184.44 - Jerik Embleton, 11 - 16:01.7 - Marist OR
  23. 184.35 - Asefa Wetzel, 10 - 16:02.0 - Star Valley WY
  24. 184.31 - Alex Slenning, 11 - 16:02.1 - Wilson OR
  25. 184.15 - Riley Collins, 12 - 16:02.6 - Bozeman MT
  26. 183.85 - Vincent Groner, 12 - 16:03.5 - Vallivue ID
  27. 183.52 - Jett Ballantyne, 11 - 16:04.5 - Summit OR
  28. 183.46 - Bradley Peloquin, 10 - 16:04.7 - Gig Harbor WA
  29. 183.07 - Hank Knight, 12 - 16:05.9 - North Central WA
  30. 182.77 - Adam Klein, 11 - 16:06.8 - Tualatin OR
  31. 182.51 - Caleb Seely, 12 - 16:07.6 - Wilson OR
  32. 182.34 - Jakob Tew, 12 - 16:08.1 - Sunset OR
  33. 182.11 - Garrett Condelario, 12 - 16:08.8 - Natrona County WY
  34. 181.95 - Derek Tripp, 11 - 16:09.3 - Crater OR
  35. 181.92 - Ryan Barna, 12 - 16:09.4 - Skyline ID
  36. 181.33 - Spencer Fischer, 11 - 16:11.2 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  37. 181.13 - Leonard McComas, 11 - 16:11.8 - Bozeman MT
  38. 180.90 - Cooper West, 11 - 16:12.5 - Charles M Russell(Great Falls) MT
  39. 180.60 - Cullen McEachern, 12 - 16:13.4 - Kamiak WA
  40. 180.51 - Harrison Roberts, 12 - 16:13.7 - Skyline ID
  41. 180.05 - Ben Perrin, 10 - 16:15.1 - Flathead MT
  42. 179.92 - Philip Henry, 11 - 16:15.5 - Laramie WY
  43. 179.78 - Dallin Hart, 10 - 16:15.9 - Skyline ID
  44. 179.69 - William Laird, 12 - 16:16.2 - Garfield WA
  45. 179.62 - Dawson Besst, 11 - 16:16.4 - Tahoma WA
  46. 179.59 - Orrin Clark, 12 - 16:16.5 - Bozeman MT
  47. 179.36 - Abdi Maqtal, 12 - 16:17.2 - Borah ID
  48. 179.29 - Alfonso Cuevas, 10 - 16:17.4 - Eisenhower WA
  49. 179.23 - Ryan Kline, 10 - 16:17.6 - Central Valley WA
  50. 179.00 - Riley McDowell, 10 - 16:18.3 - Glacier Peak WA
  51. 178.64 - Luke Ostrander, 12 - 16:19.4 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  52. 178.47 - Markus Taylor, 11 - 16:19.9 - North Central WA
  53. 178.37 - Dylan Humberger, 11 - 16:20.2 - Bozeman MT
  54. 177.98 - Sean Harren, 12 - 16:21.4 - Borah ID
  55. 177.03 - Shad Galloway, 12 - 16:24.3 - Sunset OR
  56. 176.63 - Stephen Stutz, 12 - 16:25.5 - Madison ID
  57. 176.50 - Jonah Franco, 11 - 16:25.9 - Kamiakin WA
  58. 176.44 - Ash Ruff, 12 - 16:26.1 - North Central WA
  59. 176.40 - Dennis Keith, 11 - 16:26.2 - Curtis WA
  60. 176.34 - Nate Jensvold, 12 - 16:26.4 - Ellensburg WA
  61. 176.27 - Isaac Schmidt, 11 - 16:26.6 - Hellgate MT
  62. 176.21 - Cade Brown, 11 - 16:26.8 - Bellingham WA
  63. 176.08 - Matt McCAUSLAND, 12 - 16:27.2 - Central Catholic OR
  64. 175.95 - Carson Cohn, 12 - 16:27.6 - Lincoln OR
  65. 175.68 - Preston Gromer, 12 - 16:28.4 - Kelly Walsh WY
  66. 175.32 - Erik Olsen, 11 - 16:29.5 - Crater OR
  67. 175.09 - Henry Mong, 12 - 16:30.2 - Franklin OR
  68. 174.73 - Albert Hesse, 11 - 16:31.3 - Ridgeview OR
  69. 174.50 - Albert Steiner, 11 - 16:32.0 - Laramie WY
  70. 174.37 - Peder Rickbeil, 12 - 16:32.4 - Billings Senior MT
  71. 174.21 - Quincy Norman, 9 - 16:32.9 - Forest Grove OR
  72. 174.04 - Jonas Price, 9 - 16:33.4 - Eisenhower WA
  73. 173.94 - Mohamed Ahmed, 11 - 16:33.7 - North Central WA
  74. 173.75 - Ben Jacot, 12 - 16:34.3 - Curtis WA
  75. 173.48 - Sawyer Degen, 12 - 16:35.1 - Belgrade MT
  76. 173.45 - Ethan Reese, 10 - 16:35.2 - Sunset OR
  77. 173.19 - Cameron Thompson, 11 - 16:36.0 - Central Catholic OR
  78. 172.99 - Camden Hammer, 12 - 16:36.6 - Summit OR
  79. 172.76 - McKay Harms, 11 - 16:37.3 - Skyline ID
  80. 172.53 - Gabe Romney, 11 - 16:38.0 - Central Valley WA
  81. 172.43 - William Sheaffer, 10 - 16:38.3 - Jesuit OR
  82. 172.34 - Vincent Huynh-Watk..., 12 - 16:38.6 - South Eugene OR
  83. 172.24 - Ryan Child, 10 - 16:38.9 - Kamiakin WA
  84. 172.14 - Morris Wecker, 12 - 16:39.2 - Hellgate MT
  85. 171.97 - Dominic Arce, 12 - 16:39.7 - Lincoln OR
  86. 171.81 - John Kavulich, 11 - 16:40.2 - Scappoose OR
  87. 171.75 - Nick Barna, 12 - 16:40.4 - Skyline ID
  88. 171.75 - Simon Walsh, 11 - 16:40.4 - Franklin OR
  89. 171.55 - Matthew Roberts, 11 - 16:41.0 - Interlake WA
  90. 171.52 - Spencer Tsai, 12 - 16:41.1 - South Eugene OR
  91. 170.92 - Chris Bianchini, 12 - 16:42.9 - Glacier Peak WA
  92. 170.70 - William McInroy, 11 - 16:43.6 - Laramie WY
  93. 170.30 - Ben Sherman, 10 - 16:44.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  94. 170.24 - Alex Walde, 12 - 16:45.0 - Coeur d'Alene ID
  95. 169.97 - Kyler Lee, 12 - 16:45.8 - Kamiakin WA
  96. 169.71 - Dawson LaRance, 12 - 16:46.6 - Billings Senior MT
  97. 169.65 - Cameron Wyman, 12 - 16:46.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  98. 169.65 - Brady Lance, 12 - 16:46.8 - Central Catholic OR
  99. 169.15 - Luke George, 11 - 16:48.3 - Issaquah WA
  100. 169.12 - Dante Paszkeicz, 11 - 16:48.4 - Interlake WA
  101. 169.02 - Mackenzie Norman, 11 - 16:48.7 - Forest Grove OR
  102. 168.86 - Jude Augustine, 11 - 16:49.2 - Jesuit OR
  103. 168.66 - Ben Miller, 12 - 16:49.8 - North Central WA
  104. 168.27 - Jantz Tostenson, 10 - 16:51.0 - Crater OR
  105. 168.20 - Deven Patel, 11 - 16:51.2 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  106. 167.77 - Connor Lehl, 12 - 16:52.5 - Punahou HI
  107. 167.68 - Eric Brecht, 11 - 16:52.8 - Central Catholic OR
  108. 167.64 - Bryant Edgerton, 12 - 16:52.9 - Broadwater MT
  109. 167.28 - Mark Castaneda, 11 - 16:54.0 - Vallivue ID
  110. 167.22 - Evan Peters, 10 - 16:54.2 - Central Valley WA
  111. 166.72 - Jorgen Lowry, 11 - 16:55.7 - Mountain View ID
  112. 166.66 - Ryan Frostad, 12 - 16:55.9 - North Central WA
  113. 166.63 - Porter Grigg, 10 - 16:56.0 - Kamiakin WA
  114. 166.40 - Fielding Demars, 11 - 16:56.7 - Central Valley WA
  115. 166.33 - Brandon Walker, 11 - 16:56.9 - Mountain View ID
  116. 166.27 - James Parker, 12 - 16:57.1 - Anacortes WA
  117. 166.13 - Lucas Pierson, 11 - 16:57.5 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  118. 166.04 - Chaderic Ford, 11 - 16:57.8 - Summit OR
  119. 165.84 - Logan Phillips, 12 - 16:58.4 - Jesuit OR
  120. 165.68 - Reuben Kosche, 11 - 16:58.9 - Boise ID
  121. 165.54 - Wes Kallgren, 11 - 16:59.3 - Star Valley WY
  122. 165.35 - David Connell, 11 - 16:59.9 - Camas WA
  123. 165.31 - Colton Egberg, 12 - 17:00.0 - Tahoma WA
  124. 165.25 - Griffin Hokanson, 12 - 17:00.2 - Crater OR
  125. 164.92 - Gavin MACPHERSON, 12 - 17:01.2 - Central Catholic OR
  126. 164.56 - Shamus Mahoney, 10 - 17:02.3 - Central Valley WA
  127. 164.46 - Jackson Lyne, 10 - 17:02.6 - Camas WA
  128. 164.43 - Spencer Hutchinson, 12 - 17:02.7 - Lincoln OR
  129. 164.30 - Ulyses Ayala, 12 - 17:03.1 - Eisenhower WA
  130. 164.13 - BJ Sauter, 11 - 17:03.6 - South Eugene OR
  131. 163.94 - Elius Graff, 12 - 17:04.2 - Wilson OR
  132. 163.80 - Devon Walters, 12 - 17:04.6 - Tahoma WA
  133. 163.77 - Jackson Dickison, 12 - 17:04.7 - Logos ID
  134. 163.48 - Tom Secheyron,  - 17:05.6 - Interlake WA
  135. 163.05 - Angel Cuevas, 11 - 17:06.9 - Eisenhower WA
  136. 163.05 - Sebastian Belkin, 10 - 17:06.9 - Bainbridge WA
  137. 162.53 - Peter Shen, 11 - 17:08.5 - South Eugene OR
  138. 162.03 - Nick Stringer, 12 - 17:10.0 - Glacier Peak WA
  139. 161.61 - Deklan Humble, 11 - 17:11.3 - Jesuit OR
  140. 161.57 - Davis Robbins, 11 - 17:11.4 - Franklin OR
  141. 160.95 - Chris Taves, 11 - 17:13.3 - Interlake WA
  142. 160.59 - Simon Rosenzweig, 11 - 17:14.4 - Bozeman MT
  143. 160.49 - Trevor Clark, 11 - 17:14.7 - Star Valley WY
  144. 160.06 - Nathan Tastad, 9 - 17:16.0 - Glacier Peak WA
  145. 159.57 - Shaw Powell, 9 - 17:17.5 - Jesuit OR
  146. 159.51 - Ian Twyman, 10 - 17:17.7 - South Eugene OR
  147. 159.24 - Traven Bills, 12 - 17:18.5 - Kamiakin WA
  148. 158.92 - Tyler Tanta, 10 - 17:19.5 - Glacier Peak WA
  149. 158.72 - Gabe Southmayd, 11 - 17:20.1 - Crater OR
  150. 158.59 - Ryan Hunter, 12 - 17:20.5 - Central Valley WA
  151. 158.46 - Bryce Rosenwald, 11 - 17:20.9 - Interlake WA
  152. 158.46 - Nicholas Mullineux..., 11 - 17:20.9 - Glacier Peak WA
  153. 157.93 - Jacob Simpson, 12 - 17:22.5 - Mountain View ID
  154. 157.73 - Austin Migchelbrink, 12 - 17:23.1 - Sunset OR
  155. 157.70 - Joey Nicholls Nich..., 10 - 17:23.2 - Central Valley WA
  156. 157.57 - Kian Mitchell, 11 - 17:23.6 - Wilson OR
  157. 157.31 - Nicholas Carter, 12 - 17:24.4 - Camas WA
  158. 157.11 - Benjamin Braun, 10 - 17:25.0 - Interlake WA
  159. 157.11 - Brian Martinez, 9 - 17:25.0 - Tahoma WA
  160. 156.55 - Jarod Hulsizer, 12 - 17:26.7 - Kalama WA
  161. 156.39 - Sam Schoderbek, 11 - 17:27.2 - Summit OR
  162. 156.09 - Parker MacMillan, 11 - 17:28.1 - Sunset OR
  163. 156.03 - Finnian Bentler, 9 - 17:28.3 - Billings Senior MT
  164. 155.90 - Ian Lambert, 10 - 17:28.7 - Borah ID
  165. 155.83 - Max Himmelright, 11 - 17:28.9 - Jesuit OR
  166. 155.60 - Liam Monroe, 11 - 17:29.6 - South Eugene OR
  167. 155.01 - Nate Tavakolian, 9 - 17:31.4 - South Eugene OR
  168. 154.75 - Matt Stark, 11 - 17:32.2 - Mountain View ID
  169. 154.55 - Jacob Carlson, 12 - 17:32.8 - Bainbridge WA
  170. 154.32 - Owen Smith, 9 - 17:33.5 - Billings Senior MT
  171. 154.32 - Kobe Shields, 11 - 17:33.5 - Tahoma WA
  172. 154.22 - Chandler Nill, 10 - 17:33.8 - Tahoma WA
  173. 153.96 - Patrick Mugenzie, 10 - 17:34.6 - Borah ID
  174. 153.24 - Raymond Salgado, 12 - 17:36.8 - Interlake WA
  175. 153.14 - Andrew Holladay, 9 - 17:37.1 - Kamiakin WA
  176. 152.91 - Carlo Ruggiero, 10 - 17:37.8 - Bainbridge WA
  177. 152.75 - Mihira Sogal, 10 - 17:38.3 - Sunset OR
  178. 152.22 - Solomon Duke, 10 - 17:39.9 - Franklin OR
  179. 151.66 - Amogh Patki, 12 - 17:41.6 - Jesuit OR
  180. 151.07 - Finn Tyvoll, 10 - 17:43.4 - Wilson OR
  181. 150.71 - Zach Garey, 9 - 17:44.5 - Borah ID
  182. 149.86 - Anthony Florez, 10 - 17:47.1 - Billings Senior MT
  183. 149.40 - Scott Orton, 10 - 17:48.5 - Star Valley WY
  184. 149.27 - Cade Greseth, 12 - 17:48.9 - Camas WA
  185. 148.88 - Jackson Curtin, 12 - 17:50.1 - Wilson OR
  186. 148.45 - Kolby Banister, 11 - 17:51.4 - Borah ID
  187. 148.45 - Spencer Angell, 10 - 17:51.4 - Star Valley WY
  188. 147.96 - Tim Mandzyuk, 11 - 17:52.9 - Glacier Peak WA
  189. 147.40 - Richard Puro, 11 - 17:54.6 - Franklin OR
  190. 147.17 - Jared Meldrum, 12 - 17:55.3 - Skyline ID
  191. 147.04 - Juan Valenzuela, 12 - 17:55.7 - Eisenhower WA
  192. 146.84 - Nathan Edwards, 10 - 17:56.3 - Crater OR
  193. 146.84 - Nick Duffy, 12 - 17:56.3 - Camas WA
  194. 146.74 - Ethan Wilson, 10 - 17:56.6 - Billings Senior MT
  195. 146.25 - Anthony Deleon, 11 - 17:58.1 - Vallivue ID
  196. 146.15 - Connor Turner, 12 - 17:58.4 - Star Valley WY
  197. 145.53 - Nathan McVay, 10 - 18:00.3 - Bainbridge WA
  198. 144.22 - Ben Maupin, 10 - 18:04.3 - Mountain View ID
  199. 143.72 - Aidan Manley, 11 - 18:05.8 - Wilson OR
  200. 142.84 - Will James, 10 - 18:08.5 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  201. 141.39 - Brady Corrigan, 12 - 18:12.9 - Skyline ID
  202. 141.26 - Jackson Hartigan, 10 - 18:13.3 - Franklin OR
  203. 138.57 - Sean Lindsey, 11 - 18:21.5 - Bainbridge WA
  204. 137.75 - Ethan Martin, 9 - 18:24.0 - Tahoma WA
  205. 136.18 - Preston Glade, 11 - 18:28.8 - Kamiakin WA
  206. 132.53 - Ben Simpson, 10 - 18:39.9 - Mountain View ID
  207. 129.65 - Carter Hall, 10 - 18:48.7 - Bainbridge WA
  208. 128.43 - Matthew Carlson, 12 - 18:52.4 - Bainbridge WA


Open Race - Top 25 Individuals =
  1. 187.04 - Nicholas Russell, 10 - 15:53.8 - Bishop Kelly ID
  2. 183.39 - Aaron Leavens, 12 - 16:04.9 - Snohomish WA
  3. 179.69 - Daniel Dixon, 9 - 16:16.2 - Greenleaf Friends ID
  4. 179.42 - Cannon Leavitt, 11 - 16:17.0 - Twin Falls ID
  5. 177.78 - Stetson Moss, 9 - 16:22.0 - Bonneville ID
  6. 177.65 - Zach Erikson, 10 - 16:22.4 - Idaho Falls ID
  7. 177.59 - Jacob Nicholson, 12 - 16:22.6 - West Valley (Spokane) WA
  8. 177.36 - Kris Braunberger, 12 - 16:23.3 - Gonzaga Prep WA
  9. 177.09 - Nic Robinson, 12 - 16:24.1 - Kelly Walsh WY
  10. 176.73 - Cody Bollum, 12 - 16:25.2 - Deer Park WA
  11. 175.62 - Jake Pearson, 12 - 16:28.6 - Kelly Walsh WY
  12. 174.93 - Gabriel Dinnel, 10 - 16:30.7 - Washougal WA
  13. 174.47 - Jacob Grinwis, 12 - 16:32.1 - Belgrade MT
  14. 173.39 - Jacob Bromham, 12 - 16:35.4 - Hood River Valley OR
  15. 173.02 - Jackson McFaul, 12 - 16:36.5 - Lewis and Clark WA
  16. 172.66 - Kevin Mullin, 12 - 16:37.6 - Arlington WA
  17. 172.43 - Patrick Korus, 10 - 16:38.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
  18. 172.40 - Braden Reichl, 12 - 16:38.4 - Green River WY
  19. 172.34 - Matt Williams, 11 - 16:38.6 - Jackson WY
  20. 172.17 - Keaton Holt, 12 - 16:39.1 - Grant OR
  21. 171.61 - Dash Penney, 11 - 16:40.8 - Sumner WA
  22. 170.99 - Nate Robinson, 12 - 16:42.7 - Kelly Walsh WY
  23. 170.83 - Ashton Siwek, 11 - 16:43.2 - Rocky Mountain ID
  24. 170.66 - Henry Raff, 11 - 16:43.7 - Community School ID
  25. 170.50 - Griffin Ganz, 11 - 16:44.2 - Skyline WA


Top Teams =


198.55 - Chase Equall, 12 - 15:18.7 - Bozeman MT
191.53 - Duncan Hamilton, 11 - 15:40.1 - Bozeman MT
184.15 - Riley Collins, 12 - 16:02.6 - Bozeman MT
181.13 - Leonard McComas, 11 - 16:11.8 - Bozeman MT
179.59 - Orrin Clark, 12 - 16:16.5 - Bozeman MT
178.37 - Dylan Humberger, 11 - 16:20.2 - Bozeman MT
160.59 - Simon Rosenzweig, 11 - 17:14.4 - Bozeman MT

187.66 - Niklas Sjogren, 12 - 15:51.9 - Summit OR
186.25 - Thomas Schoderbek, 12 - 15:56.2 - Summit OR
185.62 - Scott Kinkade, 12 - 15:58.1 - Summit OR
183.52 - Jett Ballantyne, 11 - 16:04.5 - Summit OR
172.99 - Camden Hammer, 12 - 16:36.6 - Summit OR
166.04 - Chaderic Ford, 11 - 16:57.8 - Summit OR
156.39 - Sam Schoderbek, 11 - 17:27.2 - Summit OR

187.40 - Jacob Christner, 12 - 15:52.7 - North Central WA
183.07 - Hank Knight, 12 - 16:05.9 - North Central WA
178.47 - Markus Taylor, 11 - 16:19.9 - North Central WA
176.44 - Ash Ruff, 12 - 16:26.1 - North Central WA
173.94 - Mohamed Ahmed, 11 - 16:33.7 - North Central WA
168.66 - Ben Miller, 12 - 16:49.8 - North Central WA
166.66 - Ryan Frostad, 12 - 16:55.9 - North Central WA

181.92 - Ryan Barna, 12 - 16:09.4 - Skyline ID
180.51 - Harrison Roberts, 12 - 16:13.7 - Skyline ID
179.78 - Dallin Hart, 10 - 16:15.9 - Skyline ID
172.76 - McKay Harms, 11 - 16:37.3 - Skyline ID
171.75 - Nick Barna, 12 - 16:40.4 - Skyline ID
147.17 - Jared Meldrum, 12 - 17:55.3 - Skyline ID
141.39 - Brady Corrigan, 12 - 18:12.9 - Skyline ID

194.29 - Andrew Monroe, 11 - 15:31.7 - Crater OR
181.95 - Derek Tripp, 11 - 16:09.3 - Crater OR
175.32 - Erik Olsen, 11 - 16:29.5 - Crater OR
168.27 - Jantz Tostenson, 10 - 16:51.0 - Crater OR
165.25 - Griffin Hokanson, 12 - 17:00.2 - Crater OR
158.72 - Gabe Southmayd, 11 - 17:20.1 - Crater OR
146.84 - Nathan Edwards, 10 - 17:56.3 - Crater OR

187.33 - Andy Muha, 12 - 15:52.9 - Sunset OR
182.34 - Jakob Tew, 12 - 16:08.1 - Sunset OR
177.03 - Shad Galloway, 12 - 16:24.3 - Sunset OR
173.45 - Ethan Reese, 10 - 16:35.2 - Sunset OR
157.73 - Austin Migchelbrink, 12 - 17:23.1 - Sunset OR
156.09 - Parker MacMillan, 11 - 17:28.1 - Sunset OR
152.75 - Mihira Sogal, 10 - 17:38.3 - Sunset OR

184.44 - Mike McCAUSLAND, 12 - 16:01.7 - Central Catholic OR
176.08 - Matt McCAUSLAND, 12 - 16:27.2 - Central Catholic OR
173.19 - Cameron Thompson, 11 - 16:36.0 - Central Catholic OR
169.65 - Brady Lance, 12 - 16:46.8 - Central Catholic OR
167.68 - Eric Brecht, 11 - 16:52.8 - Central Catholic OR
164.92 - Gavin MACPHERSON, 12 - 17:01.2 - Central Catholic OR

181.33 - Spencer Fischer, 11 - 16:11.2 - Bellarmine Prep WA
178.64 - Luke Ostrander, 12 - 16:19.4 - Bellarmine Prep WA
170.30 - Ben Sherman, 10 - 16:44.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA
169.65 - Cameron Wyman, 12 - 16:46.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA
168.20 - Deven Patel, 11 - 16:51.2 - Bellarmine Prep WA
166.13 - Lucas Pierson, 11 - 16:57.5 - Bellarmine Prep WA
142.84 - Will James, 10 - 18:08.5 - Bellarmine Prep WA

186.74 - Ronan Price, 12 - 15:54.7 - Eisenhower WA
179.29 - Alfonso Cuevas, 10 - 16:17.4 - Eisenhower WA
174.04 - Jonas Price, 9 - 16:33.4 - Eisenhower WA
164.30 - Ulyses Ayala, 12 - 17:03.1 - Eisenhower WA
163.05 - Angel Cuevas, 11 - 17:06.9 - Eisenhower WA
147.04 - Juan Valenzuela, 12 - 17:55.7 - Eisenhower WA

192.71 - Yacine Guermali, 12 - 15:36.5 - Camas WA
190.32 - Daniel Maton, 10 - 15:43.8 - Camas WA
165.35 - David Connell, 11 - 16:59.9 - Camas WA
164.46 - Jackson Lyne, 10 - 17:02.6 - Camas WA
157.31 - Nicholas Carter, 12 - 17:24.4 - Camas WA
149.27 - Cade Greseth, 12 - 17:48.9 - Camas WA
146.84 - Nick Duffy, 12 - 17:56.3 - Camas WA

179.23 - Ryan Kline, 10 - 16:17.6 - Central Valley WA
172.53 - Gabe Romney, 11 - 16:38.0 - Central Valley WA
167.22 - Evan Peters, 10 - 16:54.2 - Central Valley WA
166.40 - Fielding Demars, 11 - 16:56.7 - Central Valley WA
164.56 - Shamus Mahoney, 10 - 17:02.3 - Central Valley WA
158.59 - Ryan Hunter, 12 - 17:20.5 - Central Valley WA
157.70 - Joey Nicholls, 10 - 17:23.2 - Central Valley WA

176.50 - Jonah Franco, 11 - 16:25.9 - Kamiakin WA
172.24 - Ryan Child, 10 - 16:38.9 - Kamiakin WA
169.97 - Kyler Lee, 12 - 16:45.8 - Kamiakin WA
166.63 - Porter Grigg, 10 - 16:56.0 - Kamiakin WA
159.24 - Traven Bills, 12 - 17:18.5 - Kamiakin WA
153.14 - Andrew Holladay, 9 - 17:37.1 - Kamiakin WA
136.18 - Preston Glade, 11 - 18:28.8 - Kamiakin WA

185.69 - Shane Henderson, 11 - 15:57.9 - Star Valley WY
184.35 - Asefa Wetzel, 10 - 16:02.0 - Star Valley WY
165.54 - Wes Kallgren, 11 - 16:59.3 - Star Valley WY
160.49 - Trevor Clark, 11 - 17:14.7 - Star Valley WY
149.40 - Scott Orton, 10 - 17:48.5 - Star Valley WY
148.45 - Spencer Angell, 10 - 17:51.4 - Star Valley WY
146.15 - Connor Turner, 12 - 17:58.4 - Star Valley WY

NXN Northwest Ratings - Girls (Nov. 12)

NXN Northwest Regional Ratings ID (Nov. 12)
initial Estimate: 200.0 = 15:14.26


Girls Championship Race =
  1. 158.03 - Annie Hill, 11 - 17:22.2 - Glacier MT **
  2. 156.78 - Lexy Halladay, 9 - 17:26.0 - Mountain View ID **
  3. 155.54 - Ember Stratton, 10 - 17:29.8 - Sunset OR ** (#3 team)
  4. 153.86 - Anna Gibson, 12 - 17:34.9 - Jackson Hole WY **
  5. 151.93 - Tiahna Vladic, 10 - 17:40.8 - Billings Senior MT **
  6. 148.22 - Taylor Roe, 10 - 17:52.1 - Lake Stevens WA ** (advances if Sunset is At-Large team)
  7. 146.28 - Camila Noe, 11 - 17:58.0 - Bozeman MT
  8. 144.84 - Olivia Brooks, 12 - 18:02.4 - Summit OR
  9. 144.48 - Sophia Cantine, 12 - 18:03.5 - Lakeside (Seattle) WA
  10. 143.95 - Erin Mullins, 12 - 18:05.1 - Cascade (Leavenworth) WA
  11. 141.46 - Katherine Ruck, 12 - 18:12.7 - Moscow ID
  12. 141.13 - Piper Meuwissen, 12 - 18:13.7 - Bozeman MT
  13. 140.77 - Eve Jensen, 10 - 18:14.8 - Boise ID
  14. 139.95 - Kristen Garcia, 11 - 18:17.3 - Unattached WA
  15. 139.16 - Olivia Johnson, 12 - 18:19.7 - Barlow OR
  16. 139.13 - Emma Jenkins, 11 - 18:19.8 - Camas WA
  17. 139.03 - Lara Rix, 12 - 18:20.1 - St Mary's Academy OR
  18. 138.70 - Michelle Pratt, 12 - 18:21.1 - Blackfoot ID
  19. 138.34 - Kenenni Wiegand, 12 - 18:22.2 - Bozeman MT
  20. 138.21 - Kelly Makin, 11 - 18:22.6 - Sunset OR
  21. 136.47 - Mattie Geddes, 9 - 18:27.9 - Jackson Hole WY
  22. 136.41 - Abby Brazil, 12 - 18:28.1 - Jackson Hole WY
  23. 136.21 - Libby Michael, 10 - 18:28.7 - Deer Park WA
  24. 135.62 - Mackenzie Marler, 10 - 18:30.5 - Cheyenne East WY
  25. 135.52 - Lucy Huelskamp, 9 - 18:30.8 - Sunset OR
  26. 135.19 - Alexis Kebbe, 9 - 18:31.8 - Jesuit OR
  27. 135.03 - Katie Thronson, 11 - 18:32.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
  28. 134.90 - Aubrey Frentheway, 11 - 18:32.7 - Cheyenne Central WY
  29. 134.70 - Hannah Waskom, 12 - 18:33.3 - Mt Si WA
  30. 133.72 - Malia Pivec, 12 - 18:36.3 - Lynnwood WA
  31. 131.42 - Reagan Badger, 12 - 18:43.3 - Mountain View ID
  32. 130.73 - Camila David-Smith, 12 - 18:45.4 - Interlake WA
  33. 130.57 - Keely McCormick, 11 - 18:45.9 - Jesuit OR
  34. 130.27 - Erinn Hill, 9 - 18:46.8 - North Central WA
  35. 129.48 - Kenna Clawson, 11 - 18:49.2 - Issaquah WA
  36. 128.66 - Pipi Eitel, 12 - 18:51.7 - Belgrade MT
  37. 128.37 - Savanna Craig, 12 - 18:52.6 - Mountain View WA
  38. 128.01 - Madeline Hamilton, 12 - 18:53.7 - Sentinel MT
  39. 127.88 - Uhuru Hashimoto, 11 - 18:54.1 - Ellensburg WA
  40. 127.45 - McKenna Henke, 11 - 18:55.4 - Crescent Valley OR
  41. 126.99 - Molly MacDonald, 12 - 18:56.8 - Sentinel MT
  42. 126.23 - Taylor Vandenborn, 11 - 18:59.1 - Summit OR
  43. 126.14 - Bryn Morley, 11 - 18:59.4 - Bigfork MT
  44. 125.61 - Kortland Lowry, 10 - 19:01.0 - Mountain View ID
  45. 125.41 - Leah Holmgren, 9 - 19:01.6 - Ellensburg WA
  46. 125.09 - Kate Intile, 12 - 19:02.6 - Tualatin OR
  47. 124.43 - Hannah Tobiason, 11 - 19:04.6 - Summit OR
  48. 124.40 - Grace Perkins, 12 - 19:04.7 - Bend OR
  49. 124.27 - Kayla Becker, 10 - 19:05.1 - Lincoln OR
  50. 123.28 - Ella Degrandpre, 10 - 19:08.1 - Hellgate MT
  51. 123.18 - Sami Corman, 11 - 19:08.4 - Issaquah WA
  52. 123.02 - Ellen Burbank, 11 - 19:08.9 - Skyview WA
  53. 122.92 - Hannah Barone, 11 - 19:09.2 - Mead WA
  54. 122.72 - Jenna Rogers, 12 - 19:09.8 - Mead WA
  55. 122.00 - Abby Smith, 11 - 19:12.0 - Lewis and Clark WA
  56. 120.98 - Makenna Schumacher, 10 - 19:15.1 - Jesuit OR
  57. 120.53 - Celie Mans, 12 - 19:16.5 - Siuslaw OR
  58. 120.39 - Ruby Watson, 12 - 19:16.9 - Unattached WA
  59. 119.77 - Sarah Lyell, 10 - 19:18.8 - St Mary's Academy OR
  60. 119.74 - Haley Schaeffer, 12 - 19:18.9 - Twin Falls ID
  61. 118.92 - Melissa Berry, 11 - 19:21.4 - Sheldon OR
  62. 118.85 - Ellie Postma, 11 - 19:21.6 - Camas WA
  63. 118.52 - Hannah Behunin, 12 - 19:22.6 - Mountain View WY
  64. 118.46 - Madeline Walker, 12 - 19:22.8 - Pullman WA
  65. 117.60 - Makenna Schuler, 11 - 19:25.4 - Mountain View ID
  66. 117.57 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 10 - 19:25.5 - Billings Senior MT
  67. 117.24 - Zoe Eberspecher, 11 - 19:26.5 - Bozeman MT
  68. 117.11 - Shannon Gifford, 10 - 19:26.9 - Hazen WA
  69. 116.39 - Emma Stevenson, 12 - 19:29.1 - Summit OR
  70. 115.54 - Jolien Deboutte, 11 - 19:31.7 - Sunset OR
  71. 114.98 - Laina Hall, 11 - 19:33.4 - Bozeman MT
  72. 114.52 - Jade Hallgrimson, 10 - 19:34.8 - Billings Senior MT
  73. 114.29 - Natalie Church, 12 - 19:35.5 - Glacier Peak WA
  74. 114.16 - Emma Sjolund, 11 - 19:35.9 - Sumner WA
  75. 113.73 - Kelsey Washenberger, 11 - 19:37.2 - Summit OR
  76. 113.63 - Katie Riley, 10 - 19:37.5 - Issaquah WA
  77. 113.31 - Elena Borges, 12 - 19:38.5 - Billings Senior MT
  78. 112.72 - Claudia Miller, 10 - 19:40.3 - Cheyenne Central WY
  79. 112.45 - Linnaea Kavulich, 11 - 19:41.1 - Scappoose OR
  80. 112.42 - Phoebe Jacques, 11 - 19:41.2 - Bozeman MT
  81. 111.44 - Lucy Wagner, 11 - 19:44.2 - Bozeman MT
  82. 111.24 - Breanna Glover, 11 - 19:44.8 - Tahoma WA
  83. 111.08 - Brooke Manson, 11 - 19:45.3 - Eastlake WA
  84. 110.91 - Robyn Reeder, 9 - 19:45.8 - Capital ID
  85. 110.12 - Geneva Wolfe, 10 - 19:48.2 - Crescent Valley OR
  86. 109.99 - Kelsey Gripekoven, 9 - 19:48.6 - Jesuit OR
  87. 109.99 - Halle jenkins, 9 - 19:48.6 - Camas WA
  88. 109.80 - Mia Hill, 9 - 19:49.2 - North Central WA
  89. 109.73 - Heidi Smith, 12 - 19:49.4 - Glacier Peak WA
  90. 109.24 - Grace Fahrney, 10 - 19:50.9 - Service AK
  91. 108.88 - Paytin Drollinger, 12 - 19:52.0 - Shelley ID
  92. 108.68 - Andie Cornish, 10 - 19:52.6 - Jackson Hole WY
  93. 108.22 - Aisley Kraske, 9 - 19:54.0 - Billings Senior MT
  94. 108.12 - Ellee Becker, 11 - 19:54.3 - Hellgate MT
  95. 107.86 - Kenzie Gaines, 10 - 19:55.1 - Lewis and Clark WA
  96. 107.66 - Annika Steele, 12 - 19:55.7 - Lincoln OR
  97. 107.27 - Andie Kolasinski, 11 - 19:56.9 - Issaquah WA
  98. 107.10 - Aishanee Wijeratna, 11 - 19:57.4 - Interlake WA
  99. 106.71 - Erin Boyle, 12 - 19:58.6 - Glacier Peak WA
  100. 106.38 - Erin Wallace, 11 - 19:59.6 - Thunder Mountain AK
  101. 106.02 - Liv Downing, 10 - 20:00.7 - Summit OR
  102. 105.76 - Kendall Accetta, 10 - 20:01.5 - Lincoln OR
  103. 105.14 - Kaitlin Wride, 11 - 20:03.4 - Flathead MT
  104. 104.97 - Greta Anderson, 10 - 20:03.9 - Jesuit OR
  105. 104.87 - Brooke Wallace, 10 - 20:04.2 - Glacier Peak WA
  106. 104.51 - Kelsey Takeuchi, 12 - 20:05.3 - Liberty (Issaquah) WA
  107. 104.25 - Madison Child, 11 - 20:06.1 - Camas WA
  108. 103.89 - Lauren Haas, 11 - 20:07.2 - Issaquah WA
  109. 102.02 - Sarah Hanson, 10 - 20:12.9 - Tualatin OR
  110. 101.23 - Elizabeth Rinck, 10 - 20:15.3 - Jesuit OR
  111. 101.00 - Kela Leamy, 11 - 20:16.0 - Crescent Valley OR
  112. 100.77 - Audrey Weaver, 12 - 20:16.7 - Bainbridge WA
  113.  99.98 - Maya Kalach, 10 - 20:19.1 - Interlake WA
  114.  99.36 - Jenna Heesacker, 10 - 20:21.0 - Issaquah WA
  115.  99.10 - Maddy Pincock, 11 - 20:21.8 - Lewis and Clark WA
  116.  99.07 - Megan Pitzman, 12 - 20:21.9 - Homer AK
  117.  98.54 - Emmie Gocke, 12 - 20:23.5 - Jackson Hole WY
  118.  98.25 - Ava Joblonski, 10 - 20:24.4 - St Mary's Academy OR
  119.  98.08 - Aviry Stratton, 9 - 20:24.9 - Glacier Peak WA
  120.  97.82 - Brooke Roy, 11 - 20:25.7 - Camas WA
  121.  97.72 - Na'ama Nevo, 10 - 20:26.0 - Sunset OR
  122.  97.46 - Ellie Erikson, 11 - 20:26.8 - Interlake WA
  123.  97.36 - Kaylee Merritt, 11 - 20:27.1 - Camas WA
  124.  97.20 - Elise Stearns, 10 - 20:27.6 - Hellgate MT
  125.  96.41 - Melinda Day, 10 - 20:30.0 - Tahoma WA
  126.  96.38 - Eireann O'Connor, 12 - 20:30.1 - Jackson Hole WY
  127.  96.21 - Hannah Tomeo, 12 - 20:30.6 - Mead WA
  128.  95.78 - Kenzie Porter, 11 - 20:31.9 - Mountain View ID
  129.  95.69 - Makayla Lewis, 12 - 20:32.2 - Mead WA
  130.  95.19 - Ellie Kobak, 11 - 20:33.7 - Lincoln OR
  131.  95.00 - Naomi von Ruden, 12 - 20:34.3 - Bainbridge WA
  132.  94.96 - Taylor Chiotti, 11 - 20:34.4 - Southridge OR
  133.  94.87 - Kelsey Mueller, 11 - 20:34.7 - Sentinel MT
  134.  94.31 - Katarina Zosel, 11 - 20:36.4 - Tahoma WA
  135.  93.85 - Emma Jordan, 10 - 20:37.8 - Issaquah WA
  136.  93.52 - Madi Lowry, 11 - 20:38.8 - Tualatin OR
  137.  92.34 - Camrynn Pritchard, 10 - 20:42.4 - Mountain View ID
  138.  92.18 - Grace Beal, 10 - 20:42.9 - Sunset OR
  139.  91.29 - Rachel Blair, 10 - 20:45.6 - Camas WA
  140.  90.93 - Madisan Chavez, 12 - 20:46.7 - Hardin MT
  141.  90.93 - Natalie Taylor, 10 - 20:46.7 - Bainbridge WA
  142.  90.67 - Brinlee Garling, 9 - 20:47.5 - Twin Falls ID
  143.  90.44 - Bridget Price, 10 - 20:48.2 - Lincoln OR
  144.  90.40 - Hannah Aguirre, 10 - 20:48.3 - Forest Grove OR
  145.  90.40 - Wren Cilimburg, 10 - 20:48.3 - Hellgate MT
  146.  89.88 - Phoenix Aguilar, 12 - 20:49.9 - Tahoma WA
  147.  88.43 - Emily Armstrong, 11 - 20:54.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
  148.  88.01 - Matti Hohn, 9 - 20:55.6 - Tahoma WA
  149.  87.71 - Olivia Rabin, 12 - 20:56.5 - Lewis and Clark WA
  150.  87.58 - Madeline Swanberg, 10 - 20:56.9 - Hellgate MT
  151.  86.37 - Jackie McVay, 12 - 21:00.6 - Bainbridge WA
  152.  86.04 - Elizabeth Thompson, 12 - 21:01.6 - Sunset OR
  153.  85.61 - Autumn Layden, 12 - 21:02.9 - Summit OR
  154.  83.22 - Kayla Contreras, 12 - 21:10.2 - Tahoma WA
  155.  81.54 - Sarah Bentlage, 12 - 21:15.3 - Jackson Hole WY
  156.  80.86 - Katherine Slack, 12 - 21:17.4 - Kamiak WA
  157.  80.53 - Audrey Rosencrans, 12 - 21:18.4 - Homer AK
  158.  80.36 - Amanda Hegstrom, 12 - 21:18.9 - Tualatin OR
  159.  79.90 - Madi Provo, 10 - 21:20.3 - Hellgate MT
  160.  79.05 - Abby Dalke, 12 - 21:22.9 - Lincoln OR
  161.  77.61 - Emily Phillip, 12 - 21:27.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
  162.  77.48 - Alex Moseley, 11 - 21:27.7 - Homer AK
  163.  76.52 - Moira Woods, 10 - 21:30.6 - Tahoma WA
  164.  75.41 - Grace Becker, 12 - 21:34.0 - Jesuit OR
  165.  75.05 - Luca Lenth, 10 - 21:35.1 - St Mary's Academy OR
  166.  73.24 - Mabel Gardner, 11 - 21:40.6 - Hellgate MT
  167.  73.14 - Jessica DeWitt, 9 - 21:40.9 - Sentinel MT
  168.  70.98 - Lauren Evarts, 12 - 21:47.5 - Homer AK
  169.  66.48 - Mia Yerton, 11 - 22:01.2 - Lincoln OR
  170.  66.32 - Faith Tobiason, 9 - 22:01.7 - Mead WA
  171.  66.02 - Manasi Sridhar, 10 - 22:02.6 - Tualatin OR
  172.  65.70 - Elena Willems, 11 - 22:03.6 - Glacier Peak WA
  173.  62.58 - Sophie Newman, 9 - 22:13.1 - Sentinel MT
  174.  61.79 - Haley Knott, 12 - 22:15.5 - Homer AK
  175.  61.10 - Mariana Diaz, 12 - 22:17.6 - Tualatin OR
  176.  60.81 - Autumn Daigle, 9 - 22:18.5 - Homer AK
  177.  60.28 - Anna Tassia, 12 - 22:20.1 - St Mary's Academy OR
  178.  58.61 - Ambrie Tahbo, 9 - 22:25.2 - Sentinel MT
  179.  51.06 - Anna Scott, 11 - 22:48.2 - Bainbridge WA
  180.  49.85 - Samantha Boyle, 9 - 22:51.9 - Glacier Peak WA
  181.  44.04 - Christina Hollon, 12 - 23:09.6 - Crescent Valley OR
  182.  42.92 - Leela Sarukkai, 11 - 23:13.0 - Interlake WA
  183.  38.92 - Gwen Gray, 9 - 23:25.2 - Crescent Valley OR
  184.  37.64 - Gillian Stephenson, 12 - 23:29.1 - Crescent Valley OR
  185.  34.20 - Nicole Oh, 12 - 23:39.6 - Tualatin OR
  186.  29.44 - Kinlee Brandt, 9 - 23:54.1 - Sentinel MT
  187.  23.40 - Melanie Eng, 9 - 24:12.5 - Interlake WA


Open Race - Top 25 Individuals =
  1. 130.04 - Erica Simison, 11 - 18:47.5 - Eisenhower WA
  2. 126.53 - Maddy Elmore, 9 - 18:58.2 - South Eugene OR
  3. 125.78 - Alex Moore, 9 - 19:00.5 - Bozeman MT
  4. 120.03 - Katie Andrus, 11 - 19:18.0 - Richland WA
  5. 118.52 - Francesca ierulli, 10 - 19:22.6 - Wilson OR
  6. 118.10 - Shaylee Hill, 12 - 19:23.9 - Sugar-Salem ID
  7. 117.34 - Arianna Ghiorso, 11 - 19:26.2 - Rocky Mountain ID
  8. 116.19 - Terra Trom, 9 - 19:29.7 - Bozeman MT
  9. 116.10 - Madison Willhoft, 11 - 19:30.0 - North Salem OR
  10. 115.67 - Breanne Herrmann, 10 - 19:31.3 - Skyline ID
  11. 115.24 - Isabelle Tingelstad, 12 - 19:32.6 - Enterprise OR
  12. 114.49 - Heather Hanson, 11 - 19:34.9 - Anacortes WA
  13. 112.98 - Saville Feist, 10 - 19:39.5 - Anacortes WA
  14. 112.88 - Emily Adams, 12 - 19:39.8 - Waitsburg-Prescott WA
  15. 112.78 - Payton Fratusco, 11 - 19:40.1 - Rocky Mountain ID
  16. 112.68 - Nathalia Campos, 11 - 19:40.4 - Rocky Mountain ID
  17. 112.32 - Daisy Dolan, 12 - 19:41.5 - Hood River Valley OR
  18. 111.73 - Geneva Schlepp, 11 - 19:43.3 - Skyline WA
  19. 111.57 - Chloe Cosgrove, 11 - 19:43.8 - Mt Si WA
  20. 111.40 - Katy Burkhartzmeyer, 10 - 19:44.3 - West Linn OR
  21. 110.91 - Karlie Callahan, 10 - 19:45.8 - Shelley ID
  22. 110.42 - Hannah Tallerico, 11 - 19:47.3 - Star Valley WY
  23. 110.29 - Lottie Bromham, 9 - 19:47.7 - Hood River Valley OR
  24. 107.53 - Faith Dilmore, 12 - 19:56.1 - Rocky Mountain ID
  25. 107.27 - Mary Andrews, 11 - 19:56.9 - Arlington WA


Top Teams =


146.28 - Camila Noe, 11 - 17:58.0 - Bozeman MT
141.13 - Piper Meuwissen, 12 - 18:13.7 - Bozeman MT
138.34 - Kenenni Wiegand, 12 - 18:22.2 - Bozeman MT
117.24 - Zoe Eberspecher, 11 - 19:26.5 - Bozeman MT
114.98 - Laina Hall, 11 - 19:33.4 - Bozeman MT
112.42 - Phoebe Jacques, 11 - 19:41.2 - Bozeman MT
111.44 - Lucy Wagner, 11 - 19:44.2 - Bozeman MT

144.84 - Olivia Brooks, 12 - 18:02.4 - Summit OR
126.23 - Taylor Vandenborn, 11 - 18:59.1 - Summit OR
124.43 - Hannah Tobiason, 11 - 19:04.6 - Summit OR
116.39 - Emma Stevenson, 12 - 19:29.1 - Summit OR
113.73 - Kelsey Washenberger, 11 - 19:37.2 - Summit OR
106.02 - Liv Downing, 10 - 20:00.7 - Summit OR
 85.61 - Autumn Layden, 12 - 21:02.9 - Summit OR

155.54 - Ember Stratton, 10 - 17:29.8 - Sunset OR
138.21 - Kelly Makin, 11 - 18:22.6 - Sunset OR
135.52 - Lucy Huelskamp, 9 - 18:30.8 - Sunset OR
115.54 - Jolien Deboutte, 11 - 19:31.7 - Sunset OR
 97.72 - Na'ama Nevo, 10 - 20:26.0 - Sunset OR
 92.18 - Grace Beal, 10 - 20:42.9 - Sunset OR
 86.04 - Elizabeth Thompson, 12 - 21:01.6 - Sunset OR

153.86 - Anna Gibson, 12 - 17:34.9 - Jackson Hole WY
136.47 - Mattie Geddes, 9 - 18:27.9 - Jackson Hole WY
136.41 - Abby Brazil, 12 - 18:28.1 - Jackson Hole WY
108.68 - Andie Cornish, 10 - 19:52.6 - Jackson Hole WY
 98.54 - Emmie Gocke, 12 - 20:23.5 - Jackson Hole WY
 96.38 - Eireann O'Connor, 12 - 20:30.1 - Jackson Hole WY
 81.54 - Sarah Bentlage, 12 - 21:15.3 - Jackson Hole WY

156.78 - Lexy Halladay, 9 - 17:26.0 - Mountain View ID
131.42 - Reagan Badger, 12 - 18:43.3 - Mountain View ID
125.61 - Kortland Lowry, 10 - 19:01.0 - Mountain View ID
117.60 - Makenna Schuler, 11 - 19:25.4 - Mountain View ID
 95.78 - Kenzie Porter, 11 - 20:31.9 - Mountain View ID
 92.34 - Camrynn Pritchard, 10 - 20:42.4 - Mountain View ID

135.19 - Alexis Kebbe, 9 - 18:31.8 - Jesuit OR
130.57 - Keely McCormick, 11 - 18:45.9 - Jesuit OR
120.98 - Makenna Schumacher, 10 - 19:15.1 - Jesuit OR
109.99 - Kelsey Gripekoven, 9 - 19:48.6 - Jesuit OR
104.97 - Greta Anderson, 10 - 20:03.9 - Jesuit OR
101.23 - Elizabeth Rinck, 10 - 20:15.3 - Jesuit OR
 75.41 - Grace Becker, 12 - 21:34.0 - Jesuit OR

151.93 - Tiahna Vladic, 10 - 17:40.8 - Billings Senior MT
117.57 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 10 - 19:25.5 - Billings Senior MT
114.52 - Jade Hallgrimson, 10 - 19:34.8 - Billings Senior MT
113.31 - Elena Borges, 12 - 19:38.5 - Billings Senior MT
108.22 - Aisley Kraske, 9 - 19:54.0 - Billings Senior MT

129.48 - Kenna Clawson, 11 - 18:49.2 - Issaquah WA
123.18 - Sami Corman, 11 - 19:08.4 - Issaquah WA
113.63 - Katie Riley, 10 - 19:37.5 - Issaquah WA
107.27 - Andie Kolasinski, 11 - 19:56.9 - Issaquah WA
103.89 - Lauren Haas, 11 - 20:07.2 - Issaquah WA
 99.36 - Jenna Heesacker, 10 - 20:21.0 - Issaquah WA
 93.85 - Emma Jordan, 10 - 20:37.8 - Issaquah WA

139.13 - Emma Jenkins, 11 - 18:19.8 - Camas WA
118.85 - Ellie Postma, 11 - 19:21.6 - Camas WA
109.99 - Halle Jenkins, 9 - 19:48.6 - Camas WA
104.25 - Madison Child, 11 - 20:06.1 - Camas WA
 97.82 - Brooke Roy, 11 - 20:25.7 - Camas WA
 97.36 - Kaylee Merritt, 11 - 20:27.1 - Camas WA
 91.29 - Rachel Blair, 10 - 20:45.6 - Camas WA

135.03 - Katie Thronson, 11 - 18:32.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
122.00 - Abby Smith, 11 - 19:12.0 - Lewis and Clark WA
107.86 - Kenzie Gaines, 10 - 19:55.1 - Lewis and Clark WA
 99.10 - Maddy Pincock, 11 - 20:21.8 - Lewis and Clark WA
 88.43 - Emily Armstrong, 11 - 20:54.3 - Lewis and Clark WA
 87.71 - Olivia Rabin, 12 - 20:56.5 - Lewis and Clark WA
 77.61 - Emily Phillip, 12 - 21:27.3 - Lewis and Clark WA

114.29 - Natalie Church, 12 - 19:35.5 - Glacier Peak WA
109.73 - Heidi Smith, 12 - 19:49.4 - Glacier Peak WA
106.71 - Erin Boyle, 12 - 19:58.6 - Glacier Peak WA
104.87 - Brooke Wallace, 10 - 20:04.2 - Glacier Peak WA
 98.08 - Aviry Stratton, 9 - 20:24.9 - Glacier Peak WA
 65.70 - Elena Willems, 11 - 22:03.6 - Glacier Peak WA
 49.85 - Samantha Boyle, 9 - 22:51.9 - Glacier Peak WA

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Regional Entries Posted

Regional Entries have been posted on DyeStat and Milesplit. Not sure why they aren't on each region's site, or why it took so long, but at least they are there for all to see now.

NXN Midwest Regional Entries

NXN Northwest Regional Entries

NXN Heartland Regional Entries



After a quick look at the Northwest entries, these are the teams:

Girls:
Apollos XC (Sunset OR)
Billings XC (Billings Senior MT)
Bozeman XC (Bozeman MT)
Central Oregon Track Club (Summit OR)
Crescent Valley Running Club (Crescent Valley OR)
Crusader Harriers (Jesuit OR)
Eagles Nest XC (Issaquah WA)
Griak XC (Mountain View ID)
Hkxc (Hellgate MT)
Interlake High School (Interlake WA)
Jackson Hole Running Club (Jackson Hole WY)
Kachemak Bay Running Club (Homer AK)
Mill Town Project (Camas WA)
Red Bird XC (Lincoln OR)
Rose City XC Club (St. Mary's Academy OR)
South Central Spokane (Lewis & Clark WA)
Spartan Running Club (Sentinel MT)
Spokane Spikes (Mead WA)
Tahoma (Tahoma WA)
The Peak (Glacier Peak WA)
Timberwolf Track Club (Tualatin OR)

Boys:
Apollos XC (Sunset OR)
Axemen Running Club (South Eugene OR)
Bellarmine XC (Bellarmine Prep WA)
Billings XC (Billings Senior MT)
Bozeman XC (Bozeman MT)
Brave Souls Track Club (Kamiakin WA)
Camas Express (Camas WA)
Cdp (Crater OR)
Central Oregon Track Club (Summit OR)
Crusader Harriers (Jesuit OR)
Griak XC (Mountain View ID)
Hillsdale Harriers (Wilson OR)
Interlake High School (Interlake WA)
Lions XC (Borah ID)
Loyal Sons of Ireland (Central Valley WA)
North Spokane XC Club (North Central WA)
SE Pdx Racers (Franklin OR)
Stark Street Athletics Club (Central Catholic OR)
SVXC (Star Valley WY)
Tahoma (Tahoma WA)
The Hungry Krew (Skyline ID)
The Peak (Glacier Peak WA)
Yakima Harriers (Eisenhower WA)

... that is 18 of the top 25 teams on the boys side entered, and 18 of the top 35 teams on the girls side entered. Eight of the top 10 girls and nine of the top 10 boys. That is definitely better turnout than usual, especially on the girls side, which means there should be some great races this weekend!

Individuals were a different story, though. Surprisingly, unless something changes, Idaho's top finisher at State, Bishop Kelly ID's Nicholas Russell, is set to run in the Open race (with his team) rather than the championship race for the potential trip to Portland. Henry Jackson's Matthew Watkins is also missing from the field, though that isn't as much of a surprise (long trip to Boise from Everett). Same story for Tibebu Proctor (Northwest WA), and surprisingly for Austin Byrer as well (Lewiston ID - not as inaccessible a meet for him). West Salem's Ahmed Muhumed is in the field once again, although Mount Si WA's Joe Waskom is not. That means that only half of the Top 10 individuals on the boys side are set to race, and it is likely that at least some of those will qualify as teams to Portland, leaving the door open for someone outside the Northwest Top 10 to crack their ranks and earn a trip to Nationals.

Girls Individual field, however, is absolutely loaded. The only Top 18 runners not in the field are Washington's Taylor Roe (Lake Stevens) and Jordan Oakes (Holy Names Academy). Virtually every other runner in the Top 25, as well as some that should be Top 25 but had bad races at the state meet, are in the field.

EDIT: Taylor Roe is now in the field... not sure if I just didn't see her initially, or if she was a late addition. I'll assume the former; mea culpa.

Sunday, November 6, 2016

Northwest Rankings - Girls Individuals (Pre NXR)

Since I did rankings for the teams, I figured I might as well list out the individuals as well. For simplicity's sake, I only included the mainland states (sorry, Alaska and Hawai'i), and only included the State Meet and State Qualifier races.


Top 100 Girls Individuals =
  1. 152.4 - Anna Gibson, 12 - Jackson WY
  2. 145.4 - Lexy Halladay, 9 - Mountain View ID
  3. 145.1 - Ember Stratton, 10 - Sunset OR
  4. 144.9 - Tiahna Vladic, 10 - Billings Senior MT
  5. 143.4 - Eve Jensen, 10 - Boise ID
  6. 143.3 - Aubrey Frentheway, 11 - Cheyenne Central WY
  7. 142.8 - Taylor Roe, 10 - Lake Stevens WA
  8. 142.0 - Jordan Oakes, 12 - Holy Names Academy WA
  9. 141.6 - Mackenzie Marler, 10 - Cheyenne East WY
  10. 141.1 - Camila Noe, 11 - Bozeman MT
  11. 138.7 - Kearan Nelson, 12 - Central Valley WA
  12. 138.6 - Olivia Brooks, 12 - Summit OR
  13. 138.1 - Katie Thronson, 11 - Lewis and Clark WA
  14. 136.9 - Kelly Makin, 11 - Sunset OR
  15. 135.6 - Lara Rix, 12 - St Mary's Academy OR
  16. 135.5 - Michelle Pratt, 12 - Blackfoot ID
  17. 135.1 - Mattie Geddes, 9 - Jackson WY
  18. 133.2 - Olivia Johnson, 12 - Barlow OR
  19. 132.9 - Dania Holmberg, 12 - Eagle ID
  20. 132.5 - Claudia Miller, 10 - Cheyenne Central WY
  21. 132.4 - Lucy Huelskamp, 9 - Sunset OR
  22. 132.3 - Erin Mullins, 12 - Cascade (Leavenworth) WA
  23. 132.2 - Abigail Whitman, 9 - Laramie WY
  24. 132.0 - Sophia Cantine, 12 - Lakeside (Seattle) WA
  25. 131.7 - Camila David-Smith, 12 - Interlake WA
  26. 131.5 - Trisha Carlson, 12 - Charles M Russell (Great Falls) MT
  27. 130.2 - Julia LaMar, 10 - Eagle ID
  28. 130.1 - Adelynn Rosin, 10 - Mountain View ID
  29. 130.0 - Kenenni Wiegand, 12 - Bozeman MT
  30. 129.6 - McKenna Emerson, 11 - Eagle ID
  31. 129.1 - Haley Schaeffer, 12 - Twin Falls ID
  32. 129.1 - Savanna Craig, 12 - Mountain View WA
  33. 129.0 - Alexis Kebbe, 9 - Jesuit OR
  34. 129.0 - Emma Jenkins, 11 - Camas WA
  35. 128.9 - Reagan Badger, 12 - Mountain View ID
  36. 128.7 - Emmy Johnson, 9 - Laramie WY
  37. 128.3 - Mia Klopfenstein, 12 - Meridian ID
  38. 128.3 - Hannah Waskom, 12 - Mt Si WA
  39. 128.2 - Sydney Wendt, 12 - Campbell County WY
  40. 128.1 - Brittney Hansen, 10 - Meridian ID
  41. 127.4 - Hannah Behunin, 12 - Mountain View WY
  42. 126.5 - Breanna Glover, 11 - Tahoma WA
  43. 126.5 - Molly MacDonald, 12 - Sentinel MT
  44. 126.1 - Erinn Hill, 9 - North Central WA
  45. 125.7 - Makenna Schumacher, 10 - Jesuit OR
  46. 125.6 - Ella Degrandpre, 10 - Hellgate MT
  47. 125.1 - Annie Hill, 11 - Glacier MT
  48. 124.8 - Paytin Drollinger, 12 - Shelley ID
  49. 124.7 - Rachel Kastama, 12 - Puyallup WA
  50. 124.4 - Stephanie Finley, 10 - Oregon Episcopal OR
  51. 124.0 - Taylor Vandenborn, 11 - Summit OR
  52. 123.9 - Malia Pivec, 12 - Lynnwood WA
  53. 123.9 - Ellen Burbank, 11 - Skyview WA
  54. 123.7 - Melissa Berry, 11 - Sheldon OR
  55. 123.6 - Libby Michael, 10 - Deer Park WA
  56. 123.1 - Kenna Clawson, 11 - Issaquah WA
  57. 123.0 - Keely McCormick, 11 - Jesuit OR
  58. 123.0 - Erica Simison, 11 - Eisenhower WA
  59. 122.7 - Shaylee Hill, 12 - Sugar-Salem ID
  60. 122.7 - Ginger Murnieks, 10 - Sprague OR
  61. 122.7 - Sailor Hutton, 11 - Bandon OR
  62. 122.7 - Hannah Tobiason, 11 - Summit OR
  63. 122.1 - Katherine Ruck, 12 - Moscow ID
  64. 121.8 - Shannon Gifford, 10 - Hazen WA
  65. 121.6 - McKenna Henke, 11 - Crescent Valley OR
  66. 121.4 - Isa Meyers, 11 - Northwest WA
  67. 121.3 - Kate Intile, 12 - Tualatin OR
  68. 121.2 - Yukino Parle, 11 - Edmonds-Woodway WA
  69. 120.9 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 10 - Billings Senior MT
  70. 120.6 - Elizabeth Rinck, 10 - Jesuit OR
  71. 120.4 - Jade Hallgrimson, 10 - Billings Senior MT
  72. 120.3 - Grace Perkins, 12 - Bend OR
  73. 120.1 - Abby Brazil, 12 - Jackson WY
  74. 120.1 - Elyria Kabasenche, 11 - Pullman WA
  75. 119.9 - Macenna Hansen, 10 - Northwest WA
  76. 119.9 - Olivia Meader-Yetter, 10 - Edmonds-Woodway WA
  77. 119.9 - Mia Hill, 9 - North Central WA
  78. 119.7 - Brinn Crandall, 11 - Shelley ID
  79. 119.6 - Abby Johnson, 12 - Sehome WA
  80. 119.6 - Jane Barr, 12 - Roosevelt WA
  81. 119.5 - Kate Jendrezak, 9 - Eastside Catholic WA
  82. 119.4 - Katie Andrus, 11 - Richland WA
  83. 119.1 - Bryn Morley, 11 - Bigfork MT
  84. 118.6 - Jules Ward, 12 - Thermopolis WY
  85. 118.2 - Robyn Reeder, 9 - Capital ID
  86. 118.0 - Annika Reiss, 10 - Bellingham WA
  87. 118.0 - Maria Smith-Lopez, 12 - Laramie WY
  88. 117.6 - Uhuru Hashimoto, 11 - Ellensburg WA
  89. 117.2 - Virginia Nielsen, 12 - Idaho Falls ID
  90. 117.1 - Gemma LaVergne, 9 - Emmett ID
  91. 117.0 - Madeline Hamilton, 12 - Sentinel MT
  92. 117.0 - Kaylee Mitchell, 11 - Sprague OR
  93. 116.8 - Abby Smith, 11 - Lewis and Clark WA
  94. 116.5 - Novie McCabe, 9 - Liberty Bell WA
  95. 116.5 - Leah Holmgren, 9 - Ellensburg WA
  96. 116.5 - Hannah Barone, 11 - Mead WA
  97. 115.9 - Sami Corman, 11 - Issaquah WA
  98. 115.9 - Erin Ripple, 12 - Holy Names Academy WA
  99. 115.8 - Katie Riley, 10 - Issaquah WA
  100. 115.6 - Taylor Chiotti, 11 - Southridge OR

Observation: I feel like these ratings as a whole are lower than they should be. A quick analysis of the Washington State boys race suggests it should be rated about 9-10 seconds slower than it is (and it is rated roughly equal to last year). I'm not sold that this is a problem with the Washington ratings as much as all of my ratings being a bit low this year, meaning that I'm fine with the state-to-state and race-to-race comparisons but more concerned with the described quality of the entire fields. That's an issue I will work on tackling over the coming weeks.

Northwest Rankings - Boys Individuals (Pre NXR)

Since I did rankings for the teams, I figured I might as well list out the individuals as well. For simplicity's sake, I only included the mainland states (sorry, Alaska and Hawai'i), and only included the State Meet and State Qualifier races.


Top 100 Boys Individuals =
  1. 190.9 - Nicholas Russell, 10 - Bishop Kelly ID
  2. 190.8 - Yacine Guermali, 12 - Camas WA
  3. 190.3 - Ryan Barna, 12 - Skyline ID
  4. 188.6 - Matthew Watkins, 12 - Henry Jackson WA
  5. 188.2 - Austin Byrer, 12 - Lewiston ID
  6. 187.5 - Tibebu Proctor, 12 - Northwest WA
  7. 187.5 - Chase Equall, 12 - Bozeman MT
  8. 187.5 - Andy Monroe, 11 - Crater OR
  9. 187.5 - Ahmed Muhumed, 12 - West Salem OR
  10. 187.2 - Joe Waskom, 10 - Mt Si WA
  11. 186.4 - Philip Henry, 11 - Laramie WY
  12. 185.8 - Joshua Schumacher, 11 - Jesuit OR
  13. 185.4 - Garrett Condelario, 12 - Natrona County WY
  14. 185.0 - R. Coen Haroldsen, 12 - Bonneville ID
  15. 184.9 - Vincent Groner, 12 - Vallivue ID
  16. 184.8 - Amir Ado, 12 - Joel Ferris WA
  17. 184.8 - Andy Muha, 12 - Sunset OR
  18. 184.8 - Alex Slenning, 11 - Wilson OR
  19. 184.6 - Nate Pendleton, 11 - Eastlake WA
  20. 184.3 - Zach Erikson, 10 - Idaho Falls ID
  21. 183.9 - James Mwaura, 11 - Lincoln WA
  22. 183.6 - Shane Henderson, 11 - Star Valley WY
  23. 183.4 - Nick Barna, 12 - Skyline ID
  24. 183.4 - Zane Fodge, 10 - McMinnville OR
  25. 183.2 - Siyad Matan, 11 - Borah ID
  26. 183.1 - Charles Paul, 12 - Mountain View ID
  27. 182.4 - Michael McCausland, 12 - Central Catholic OR
  28. 182.2 - Josh Corgatelli, 12 - Moscow ID
  29. 181.8 - Alfonso Cuevas, 10 - Eisenhower WA
  30. 181.4 - Albert Steiner, 11 - Laramie WY
  31. 181.2 - Dawson Besst, 11 - Tahoma WA
  32. 181.1 - Harrison Roberts, 12 - Skyline ID
  33. 180.9 - Jackson Pratt, 11 - Bear Lake ID
  34. 180.7 - Graf Kirk, 12 - Boise ID
  35. 180.7 - Duncan Hamilton, 11 - Bozeman MT
  36. 180.5 - Daniel Maton, 10 - Camas WA
  37. 180.4 - Cullen McEachern, 12 - Kamiak WA
  38. 180.4 - Hayden Dressel, 12 - Mt Spokane WA
  39. 180.0 - Ryan Kline, 10 - Central Valley WA
  40. 179.9 - Abdi Maqtal, 12 - Borah ID
  41. 179.9 - Ronan Price, 12 - Eisenhower WA
  42. 179.7 - Luke Houser, 10 - Woodinville WA
  43. 179.3 - Turlan Morlan, 11 - Gonzaga Prep WA
  44. 179.3 - Jacob Christner, 12 - North Central WA
  45. 179.0 - Cameron Wyman, 12 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  46. 179.0 - Niklas Sjogren, 12 - Summit OR
  47. 179.0 - Silas Griffith, 12 - Ridgefield WA
  48. 179.0 - Sean Harren, 12 - Borah ID
  49. 178.8 - Jerik Embleton, 11 - Marist OR
  50. 178.8 - Riley Moore, 10 - Richland WA
  51. 178.8 - Marshall Beatty, 12 - Sentinel MT
  52. 178.7 - Caleb Seely, 12 - Wilson OR
  53. 178.7 - Adam Klein, 11 - Tualatin OR
  54. 178.6 - Jonah Franco, 11 - Kamiakin WA
  55. 178.0 - Ben Shaw, 11 - Riverside WA
  56. 177.8 - Matthew Park, 12 - Edmonds-Woodway WA
  57. 177.3 - Derek Tripp, 11 - Crater OR
  58. 177.2 - Ben Jacot, 12 - Curtis WA
  59. 176.8 - Stephen Stutz, 12 - Madison ID
  60. 176.8 - Riley Collins, 12 - Bozeman MT
  61. 176.3 - Josh Rauvola, 11 - Archbishop Murphy WA
  62. 176.2 - Preston Gromer, 12 - Kelly Walsh WY
  63. 176.1 - Mereck Palazzo, 12 - Chelan WA
  64. 176.0 - Chanse Gilbert, 12 - Skyview WA
  65. 176.0 - Luke Schilter, 12 - NW Christian (Lacey) WA
  66. 175.8 - Taylor Phillips, 12 - Rocky Mountain ID
  67. 175.7 - Gabe Romney, 11 - Central Valley WA
  68. 175.6 - Spencer Tsai, 12 - South Eugene OR
  69. 175.5 - Bradley Peloquin, 10 - Gig Harbor WA
  70. 175.5 - Dallin Hart, 10 - Skyline ID
  71. 175.3 - EJ Holland, 9 - Ashland OR
  72. 175.2 - Joey Perez, 11 - Lewiston ID
  73. 175.2 - Hank Knight, 12 - North Central WA
  74. 175.1 - Asefa Wetzel, 10 - Star Valley WY
  75. 175.1 - Dawson LaRance, 12 - Billings Senior MT
  76. 175.1 - William Laird, 12 - Garfield WA
  77. 175.0 - Tristan Knottnerus, 12 - Campbell County WY
  78. 174.9 - Parker Jones, 11 - Rock Springs WY
  79. 174.9 - Kenneth Rooks, 11 - College Place WA
  80. 174.8 - James Parker, 12 - Anacortes WA
  81. 174.8 - Landon Chang, 12 - Coeur d'Alene Charter ID
  82. 174.7 - Johan Correa, 10 - Kennewick WA
  83. 174.7 - James Konugres, 12 - Ballard WA
  84. 174.6 - Kalen McNatt, 12 - Eagle ID
  85. 174.6 - Cameron Thompson, 11 - Central Catholic OR
  86. 174.3 - Luke Ostrander, 12 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  87. 174.3 - Jett Ballantyne, 11 - Summit OR
  88. 174.3 - Griff Hokanson, 12 - Crater OR
  89. 174.1 - Spencer Fischer, 11 - Bellarmine Prep WA
  90. 174.0 - Leonard McComas, 11 - Bozeman MT
  91. 173.9 - Thomas Schoderbek, 12 - Summit OR
  92. 173.9 - Matthew McCausland, 12 - Central Catholic OR
  93. 173.8 - Ethan Green, 12 - Ephrata WA
  94. 173.7 - Anthony Stone, 11 - Richland WA
  95. 173.7 - Aaron Leavens, 12 - Snohomish WA
  96. 173.6 - Liam McInroy, 11 - Laramie WY
  97. 173.5 - Morris Wecker, 12 - Hellgate MT
  98. 173.3 - Peder Rickbeil, 12 - Billings Senior MT
  99. 173.3 - Cole Olsen, 12 - Clearwater Valley ID
  100. 173.2 - Scott Kinkade, 12 - Summit OR


Observation: I feel like these ratings as a whole are lower than they should be. A quick analysis of the Washington State boys race suggests it should be rated about 9-10 seconds slower than it is (and it is rated roughly equal to last year). I'm not sold that this is a problem with the Washington ratings as much as all of my ratings being a bit low this year, meaning that I'm fine with the state-to-state and race-to-race comparisons but more concerned with the described quality of the entire fields. That's an issue I will work on tackling over the coming weeks.

Northwest Rankings - Girls Teams (Pre NXR)

As some have asked for, here are my post-state rankings. For simplicity's sake, I only included the mainland states (sorry, Alaska and Hawai'i), and only included the State Meet and State Qualifier races. I took each athlete's best from those meets, and included ALL teams that were at any of those meets. Ended up being 517 boys teams and 459 girls teams. A note, if a team didn't qualify for their state qualifying meet (e.g. any WA 3A MCC/GSL team outside of North Central and Kamiakin), they aren't included, although I don't think any of those teams would have made the cut here anyways.

The process: I scored all the teams, and then the top 150 of those teams, and then the top 100 teams, top 70 teams, top 50 teams, top 35 teams, and finally top 25 teams to come up with these rankings. I will include the scores and average ratings for the 25 team comparison, and list the next 25 teams in the order they were ranked.

Please note that West Valley AK might have made the Top-25 cut, and Seabury Hall HI girls might have been close as well. Additionally, Kenai Central AK and Punahou HI might also have been close to or in the Top 50. I don't think any other Hawai'i or Alaska team would be up there.

Also, you will see below that the ratings are a little different than you would expect. This is because these rankings are using a more finalized version of the ratings for the State and State Qualifier races. Differences in relevant previously posted ratings vs. these are: ID State Meet = 15:22.40, WY State Meet = 15:10.73, Oregon 6A-2 = 14:25.30, Oregon 6A-3 = 14:39.64, Oregon 6A-4 = 14:40.53, Oregon 6A-5 = 14:38.26, Idaho 5A-1 = 14:47.97, and Idaho 4A-3 = 14:35.45.

Disclaimer: As usual, I think Montana is a little undervalued here, although not too significantly ... and please keep in mind, these rankings are ONLY considering what the athletes ran at State or their State Qualifier races, and if I were ranking teams based on their best races the order would be different - likely, the Top 5 would have been Jesuit, Bozeman, Mountain View, Jackson Hole, and Summit.

Without further ado, the Pre-NXR Northwest Girls Team Rankings:

State Champions are in bold, State Non-Qualifiers in italics.


  1. 161 - Mountain View ID - 126.5 = Idaho 5A State Champion
  2. 177 - Jesuit OR - 122.7 = Oregon 6A State Champion
  3. 207 - Bozeman MT - 122.1 = Montana 2A State Champion
  4. 218 - Jackson Hole WY - 124.6 = Wyoming 4A State Champion
  5. 223 - Summit OR - 120.9 = Oregon 5A State Champion
  6. 236 - Laramie WY - 119.4 = Wyoming 4A State Runner-up
  7. 259 - Sunset OR - 122.2 = Oregon 6A State Runner-up
  8. 261 - Eagle ID - 119.1 = Idaho 5A State Runner-up
  9. 301 - Billings Senior MT - 116.7 = Montana 2A State Runner-up
  10. 318 - Issaquah WA - 112.4 = Washington 4A State Champion
  11. 323 - Cheyenne Central WY - 116.5 = Wyoming 4A State Third place
  12. 336 - Camas WA - 112.2 = Washington 4A State Runner-up
  13. 339 - Holy Names Academy WA - 113.3 = Washington 3A State Champion
  14. 353 - Edmonds-Woodway WA - 107.9 = Washington 3A State Runner-up
  15. 369 - Twin Falls ID - 110.8 = Idaho 4A State Champion
  16. 377 - St. Mary's Academy OR - 110.9 = Oregon 6A State Third place
  17. 384 - Central Valley WA - 110.2 = Washington 4A State Fourth place
  18. 404 - Lewis & Clark WA - 109.4 = Washington 4A State Fifth place
  19. 407 - Glacier Peak WA - 107.2 = Washington 4A State Third place
  20. 413 - Hellgate MT - 107.4 = Montana 2A State Third place
  21. 448 - Sheldon OR - 105.5 = Oregon 6A State Fourth place
  22. 468 - Shelley ID - 99.9 = Idaho 3A State Champion
  23. 473 - Rocky Mountain ID - 103.8 = Idaho 5A State Third place
  24. 488 - Mount Si WA - 103.1 = Washington 4A State Ninth place
  25. 491 - Soda Springs ID - 102.4 = Idaho 2A State Champion

    Best of the Rest:
  26. Crescent Valley OR = Oregon 5A State Runner-up
  27. Sprague OR = Oregon 6A State Sixth place
  28. Mead WA = Washington 4A Eastern Regional #3
  29. Meridian ID = Idaho 5A State Sixth place
  30. Boise ID = Idaho 5A State Fifth place
  31. Preston ID = Idaho 4A State Runner-up
  32. Kamiak WA = Washington 4A State #12
  33. Lincoln OR = Oregon 6A State Fifth place
  34. Tahoma WA = Washington 4A State Sixth place
  35. Madison ID = Idaho 5A State Fourth place
  36. Tualatin OR = Oregon 6A State Eighth place
  37. Pullman WA = Washington 2A State Fourth place
  38. Liberty-Issaquah WA = Washington 2A State Runner-up
  39. Lake Stevens WA = Washington 4A District I #3
  40. Northwest WA = Washington 1A State Champion
  41. Shorecrest WA = Washington 3A State Third place
  42. Sehome WA = Washington 2A State Third place
  43. Natrona County WY = Wyoming 4A State Fourth place
  44. Redmond WA = Washington 3A State Fourth place
  45. Selah WA = Washington 2A State Champion
  46. Skyview WA = Washington 4A State Seventh place
  47. Deer Park WA = Washington 1A State Runner-up
  48. Hazen WA = Washington 4A State #11
  49. Ballard WA = Washington 3A State Eighth place
  50. Bellarmine Prep WA = Washington 4A State Eighth place


Observation: I feel like these ratings as a whole are lower than they should be. A quick analysis of the Washington State boys race suggests it should be rated about 9-10 seconds slower than it is (and it is rated roughly equal to last year). I'm not sold that this is a problem with the Washington ratings as much as all of my ratings being a bit low this year, meaning that I'm fine with the state-to-state and race-to-race comparisons but more concerned with the described quality of the entire fields. That's an issue I will work on tackling over the coming weeks.