So, if you hadn't noticed, I didn't end up posting the All-Time individual performance lists from the regionals after the first week. The Southwest was already probably not going to happen, because it was only the second year at the course, but the South being so muddy prevented me from doing that region either. I may at some point go back and review it for the races during the last weekend, but for now I'm just going to skip it since we would be missing a quarter of the regions anyways.
Instead, here is a post about how the NXN Nationals fields might be looking. Normally, these projections include many races for all the teams (most importantly NXR and each of their State meets, but also including some small weighting for season bests from invitationals if applicable), however as I haven't had time to do that for many teams this year this is almost strictly based on NXR (with a pair of slight exceptions on both sides as noted below).
Boys Teams:
120 Great Oak CA
191 Dana Hills CA
214 The Woodlands TX
226 Hopkins MN
247 Sandburg IL
262 American Fork UT
267 Timpanogos UT
272 Lone Peak UT
275 Mountain Vista CO
276 Liverpool NY
281 Fayetteville-Manlius NY
285 Downingtown West PA
288 Southlake Carroll TX
296 Edina MN
301 Wayzata MN
301 Neuqua Valley IL
301 Lyons Township IL
337 Bozeman MT
344 Summit OR
380 Christian Brothers NJ
393 Marietta GA
420 Trinity Prep FL
Notes:
It is worth noting that the South ratings are a wild guess, so I could very well be way off. Also, I took into account additional factors for two boys and two girls teams:
For the Fayetteville-Manlius NY boys, I added in Peter Ryan with a wild guess that he could run with their #3 from their regional race (he was their #1 all year, and his coach seems to have tried to be careful with him over the last few weeks, so without having any real good idea of the situation this seemed like an okay guess). I have no idea if he is even going to run, let alone run well, so he could still change things quite a bit (this puts him as the #88 scorer in the field, with their #1 at 19 and #6 at 128).
For the Christian Brothers NJ boys, I know that my scores for them are quite a bit different than others seem to have them at, so just like I did with the Davis girls I also averaged in their state meet (MOC) races to see how that changed things. Surprisingly, just like with the Davis girls, it didn't push the needle hardly at all.
Top Individuals (194+ ratings):
Ben Petrella, Liverpool NY (team runner)
Casey Clinger, American Fork UT (team runner)
Phillip Rocha, Arcadia CA
Jonathan Davis, Oakwood IL
Alek Parsons, Ogden UT
Paul Roberts, Lyons CO
Brody Smith, Cody WY
Jaret Carpenter, Wayzata MN (team runner)
Austin Tamagno, Brea Olinda CA
Benjamin Veatch, Carmel IN
Micah Mather, Highland Park MN
Jack Yearian, Bellarmine Prep WA
Eduardo Herrera, Madera South CA
Seth Hirsch, Millard West NE
Brodey Hasty, Brentwood TN
Andy Monroe, Crater OR
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
NXN Girls Projections
So, if you hadn't noticed, I didn't end up posting the All-Time individual performance lists from the regionals after the first week. The Southwest was already probably not going to happen, because it was only the second year at the course, but the South being so muddy prevented me from doing that region either. I may at some point go back and review it for the races during the last weekend, but for now I'm just going to skip it since we would be missing a quarter of the regions anyways.
Instead, here is a post about how the NXN Nationals fields might be looking. Normally, these projections include many races for all the teams (most importantly NXR and each of their State meets, but also including some small weighting for season bests from invitationals if applicable), however as I haven't had time to do that for many teams this year this is almost strictly based on NXR (with a pair of slight exceptions on both sides as noted below).
Girls Teams:
61 Fayetteville-Manlius NY
146 Great Oak CA
192 Pennsbury PA
199 Saratoga Springs NY
258 American Fork UT
271 Davis CA
278 Carmel IN
282 Willmar MN
284 Edina MN
285 Sunset OR
306 Lake Braddock VA
307 Naperville North IL
311 Bozeman MT
326 North Rockland NY
329 Northville MI
329 Kingwood TX
344 Centerville OH
352 Southlake Carroll TX
382 Blacksburg VA
385 La Salle Academy RI
397 Davis UT
441 Xavier Prep AZ
Notes:
It is worth noting that the South ratings are a wild guess, so I could very well be way off. Also, I took into account additional factors for two boys and two girls teams:
For the Sunset OR girls, I thought it would be a safe bet that their usual #4 Kelly Makin would be a little closer to where she was mid-season, as she her injury is now 2 months behind her and hopefully she has been healthy enough to start getting back into it. She wasn't placed where she was mid-season, but MUCH closer to where their #4 was at the regional meet (I placed her at 19:37.6 for NXN-Northwest).
For the Davis UT girls, I thought they ran decently far behind where they were at previous races, and since I have a somewhat decent idea of how their state meet course runs, I took a weighted average of those two performances (weighted 3x towards NXR, 2x towards state). Surprisingly, it ended up not making much difference at all.
Davis CA #1, Fiona O'Keeffe, has been injured for a while now. She barely made it through the state meet in once piece. I'm going to take a wild guess that she isn't running at NXN, and the scores above reflect that. Were she to run what she did at state, Davis would be about 15 points behind Great Oak at #3.
Top Individuals (150+ ratings):
Katie Rainsberger, Air Force Academy CO
Kaitlyn Neal, Fayetteville-Manlius NY (team runner)
Judy Pendergast, Naperville North IL (team runner)
Stephanie Jenks, Unattached IA
Christian Aragon, Billings Senior MT
Kelsey Chmiel, Saratoga Springs NY (team runner)
Cailie Logue, Girard KS
Kate Murphy, Lake Braddock VA (team runner)
Aislinn Devlin, Downingtown West PA
Ella Donaghu, Grant OR
Grace Ping, Cotter MN
Bethany Hasz, Alexandria MN
Emma Benner, Forest Lake MN
Instead, here is a post about how the NXN Nationals fields might be looking. Normally, these projections include many races for all the teams (most importantly NXR and each of their State meets, but also including some small weighting for season bests from invitationals if applicable), however as I haven't had time to do that for many teams this year this is almost strictly based on NXR (with a pair of slight exceptions on both sides as noted below).
Girls Teams:
61 Fayetteville-Manlius NY
146 Great Oak CA
192 Pennsbury PA
199 Saratoga Springs NY
258 American Fork UT
271 Davis CA
278 Carmel IN
282 Willmar MN
284 Edina MN
285 Sunset OR
306 Lake Braddock VA
307 Naperville North IL
311 Bozeman MT
326 North Rockland NY
329 Northville MI
329 Kingwood TX
344 Centerville OH
352 Southlake Carroll TX
382 Blacksburg VA
385 La Salle Academy RI
397 Davis UT
441 Xavier Prep AZ
Notes:
It is worth noting that the South ratings are a wild guess, so I could very well be way off. Also, I took into account additional factors for two boys and two girls teams:
For the Sunset OR girls, I thought it would be a safe bet that their usual #4 Kelly Makin would be a little closer to where she was mid-season, as she her injury is now 2 months behind her and hopefully she has been healthy enough to start getting back into it. She wasn't placed where she was mid-season, but MUCH closer to where their #4 was at the regional meet (I placed her at 19:37.6 for NXN-Northwest).
For the Davis UT girls, I thought they ran decently far behind where they were at previous races, and since I have a somewhat decent idea of how their state meet course runs, I took a weighted average of those two performances (weighted 3x towards NXR, 2x towards state). Surprisingly, it ended up not making much difference at all.
Davis CA #1, Fiona O'Keeffe, has been injured for a while now. She barely made it through the state meet in once piece. I'm going to take a wild guess that she isn't running at NXN, and the scores above reflect that. Were she to run what she did at state, Davis would be about 15 points behind Great Oak at #3.
Top Individuals (150+ ratings):
Katie Rainsberger, Air Force Academy CO
Kaitlyn Neal, Fayetteville-Manlius NY (team runner)
Judy Pendergast, Naperville North IL (team runner)
Stephanie Jenks, Unattached IA
Christian Aragon, Billings Senior MT
Kelsey Chmiel, Saratoga Springs NY (team runner)
Cailie Logue, Girard KS
Kate Murphy, Lake Braddock VA (team runner)
Aislinn Devlin, Downingtown West PA
Ella Donaghu, Grant OR
Grace Ping, Cotter MN
Bethany Hasz, Alexandria MN
Emma Benner, Forest Lake MN
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Nov. 14 Weekend Review
Using the adjustments posted on the All-Time Regional posts, it might be interesting to see how the competition is stacking up.
Here are the Top 10 Individuals, and a note on the teams.
Top Ten Boys Individuals:
15:06.0 - Jaret Carpenter - Wayzata MN
15:07.9 - Brody Smith - Cody WY
15:09.8 - Jonathan Davis - Oakwood IL
15:10.2 - Micah Mather - Highland Park MN
15:11.3 - Benjamin Veatch - Carmel IN
15:12.5 - Seth Hirsch - Millard West NE
15:13.1 - Jack Yearian - Bellarmine Prep WA
15:16.4 - Andy Monroe - Crater OR
15:18.5 - Isaac Harding - Rockford MI
15:18.7 - Jack Aho - Grayslake Central IL
Top Ten Girls Individuals:
17:09.5 - Judy Pendergast - Naperville North IL
17:12.0 - Annie Hill - Glacier MT
17:12.8 - Stephanie Jenks - Unattached IA
17:14.8 - Christina Aragon - Billings Senior MT
17:23.7 - Cailie Logue - Girard KS
17:23.9 - Ella Donaghu - Grant OR
17:28.9 - Grace Ping - Cotter MN
17:29.3 - Bethany Hasz - Jefferson - Alexandria MN
17:29.3 - Emma Benner - Forest Lake MN
17:34.1 - Tiahna Vladic - Billings Senior MT
Boys Team Notes:
Hopkins MN looked very strong, clearly the best of last weekend. I know Sandburg is highly ranked, but I haven't looked to see if it was an off race for them or if Hopkins is simply better.
The Northwest #3 and #4 teams, unfortunately, look like the weakest of the Top 4 finishers. Wayzata MN looked a bit stronger than Lyons Township, but but looked solid and are probably going to be in the conversation for an At-Large bid (I would think).
Girls Team Notes:
None of the teams really separated themselves at the top. In fact, in a smaller field, the fourth place team from the Midwest (Carmel IN) looks like the best of the bunch (scoring the 12 teams against eachother, they come out on top over Willmar MN 129-137 with Edina next with 138)... but that's the way it goes sometimes. Pretty much all the teams are bunched together, aside from HL#4 Wayzata and NW#4 Jesuit. HL#3 St. Thomas Aquinas is probably not sitting in very good position, not because they aren't good enough (they are among that bunch), but because the scoring at their regional just had them so far behind. Kind of like some of the Southwest boys teams a few years ago. It's going to be interesting to see who comes out with the At-Large bids on the girls side, though I'm guessing that the #3 teams from NY and SW will get in ahead of any of these teams.
Here are the Top 10 Individuals, and a note on the teams.
Top Ten Boys Individuals:
15:06.0 - Jaret Carpenter - Wayzata MN
15:07.9 - Brody Smith - Cody WY
15:09.8 - Jonathan Davis - Oakwood IL
15:10.2 - Micah Mather - Highland Park MN
15:11.3 - Benjamin Veatch - Carmel IN
15:12.5 - Seth Hirsch - Millard West NE
15:13.1 - Jack Yearian - Bellarmine Prep WA
15:16.4 - Andy Monroe - Crater OR
15:18.5 - Isaac Harding - Rockford MI
15:18.7 - Jack Aho - Grayslake Central IL
Top Ten Girls Individuals:
17:09.5 - Judy Pendergast - Naperville North IL
17:12.0 - Annie Hill - Glacier MT
17:12.8 - Stephanie Jenks - Unattached IA
17:14.8 - Christina Aragon - Billings Senior MT
17:23.7 - Cailie Logue - Girard KS
17:23.9 - Ella Donaghu - Grant OR
17:28.9 - Grace Ping - Cotter MN
17:29.3 - Bethany Hasz - Jefferson - Alexandria MN
17:29.3 - Emma Benner - Forest Lake MN
17:34.1 - Tiahna Vladic - Billings Senior MT
Boys Team Notes:
Hopkins MN looked very strong, clearly the best of last weekend. I know Sandburg is highly ranked, but I haven't looked to see if it was an off race for them or if Hopkins is simply better.
The Northwest #3 and #4 teams, unfortunately, look like the weakest of the Top 4 finishers. Wayzata MN looked a bit stronger than Lyons Township, but but looked solid and are probably going to be in the conversation for an At-Large bid (I would think).
Girls Team Notes:
None of the teams really separated themselves at the top. In fact, in a smaller field, the fourth place team from the Midwest (Carmel IN) looks like the best of the bunch (scoring the 12 teams against eachother, they come out on top over Willmar MN 129-137 with Edina next with 138)... but that's the way it goes sometimes. Pretty much all the teams are bunched together, aside from HL#4 Wayzata and NW#4 Jesuit. HL#3 St. Thomas Aquinas is probably not sitting in very good position, not because they aren't good enough (they are among that bunch), but because the scoring at their regional just had them so far behind. Kind of like some of the Southwest boys teams a few years ago. It's going to be interesting to see who comes out with the At-Large bids on the girls side, though I'm guessing that the #3 teams from NY and SW will get in ahead of any of these teams.
NXN Midwest Individuals History
Continuing our look at the Fastest Regional Times:
Top 20 Times in NXN Midwest Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
14:53.1 - Lukas Verzbicas - IL - 2010
14:54.3 - Chris Derrick - IL - 2007
14:59.9 - Jonathan Davis - IL - 2015
15:01.3 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2015
15:01.9 - Jesse Reiser - IL - 2014
15:03.1 - Ryan Robinson - MI - 2014
15:05.2 - Jack Driggs - IL - 2010
15:05.9 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2014
15:06.2 - Zach Wills - OH - 2010
15:06.2 - Matt Pereira - IL - 2014
15:07.1 - Zach Wills - OH - 2009
15:07.5 - Chris Walden - IN - 2010
15:08.5 - Isaac Harding - MI - 2015
15:08.7 - Jack Aho - IL - 2015
15:09.1 - Charlie Kern - IL - 2015
15:09.5 - Ryan Clevenger - IL - 2014
15:11.3 - Sean Torpy - IL - 2015
15:12.3 - Kevin Havel - IL - 2007
15:13.0 - Zack Snider - IN - 2014
15:13.4 - Zach Dale - IL - 2014
Girls:
17:00.6 - Judy Pendergast - IL - 2015
17:28.2 - Anna West - MO - 2015
17:28.6 - Sarah Leinheiser - IN - 2015
17:28.8 - Sarah Kettel - MI - 2014
17:29.1 - Madison Troy - MI - 2015
17:30.6 - Audrey Belf - MI - 2014
17:31.3 - Anna Sophia Keller - IL - 2014
17:33.5 - Alex Buck - IN - 2015
17:34.3 - Hannah Neczypor - OH - 2009
17:35.5 - Madeline Chambers - OH - 2009
17:38.1 - Ashley Erba - IN - 2012
17:38.1 - Rachel Bonner - MI - 2014
17:38.8 - Lindsey Payne - IL - 2015
17:39.7 - Dominique Clairmonte - OH - 2014
17:45.3 - Jocelyn Long - IL - 2015
17:45.7 - Kayla Beattie - IL - 2010
17:46.6 - Madeline Perez - IL - 2012
17:48.8 - Sophia Racette - MO - 2014
17:48.9 - Morgan Gigandet - OH - 2015
17:49.9 - Brooke Wilson - IL - 2015
Regional Comparison Notes:
12 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:04.4 and their National times being an average of 1.04% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
9 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:36.7 and their National times being an average of 1.30% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:13.9, Girls = 17:50.6 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
Top 20 Times in NXN Midwest Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
14:53.1 - Lukas Verzbicas - IL - 2010
14:54.3 - Chris Derrick - IL - 2007
14:59.9 - Jonathan Davis - IL - 2015
15:01.3 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2015
15:01.9 - Jesse Reiser - IL - 2014
15:03.1 - Ryan Robinson - MI - 2014
15:05.2 - Jack Driggs - IL - 2010
15:05.9 - Benjamin Veatch - IN - 2014
15:06.2 - Zach Wills - OH - 2010
15:06.2 - Matt Pereira - IL - 2014
15:07.1 - Zach Wills - OH - 2009
15:07.5 - Chris Walden - IN - 2010
15:08.5 - Isaac Harding - MI - 2015
15:08.7 - Jack Aho - IL - 2015
15:09.1 - Charlie Kern - IL - 2015
15:09.5 - Ryan Clevenger - IL - 2014
15:11.3 - Sean Torpy - IL - 2015
15:12.3 - Kevin Havel - IL - 2007
15:13.0 - Zack Snider - IN - 2014
15:13.4 - Zach Dale - IL - 2014
Girls:
17:00.6 - Judy Pendergast - IL - 2015
17:28.2 - Anna West - MO - 2015
17:28.6 - Sarah Leinheiser - IN - 2015
17:28.8 - Sarah Kettel - MI - 2014
17:29.1 - Madison Troy - MI - 2015
17:30.6 - Audrey Belf - MI - 2014
17:31.3 - Anna Sophia Keller - IL - 2014
17:33.5 - Alex Buck - IN - 2015
17:34.3 - Hannah Neczypor - OH - 2009
17:35.5 - Madeline Chambers - OH - 2009
17:38.1 - Ashley Erba - IN - 2012
17:38.1 - Rachel Bonner - MI - 2014
17:38.8 - Lindsey Payne - IL - 2015
17:39.7 - Dominique Clairmonte - OH - 2014
17:45.3 - Jocelyn Long - IL - 2015
17:45.7 - Kayla Beattie - IL - 2010
17:46.6 - Madeline Perez - IL - 2012
17:48.8 - Sophia Racette - MO - 2014
17:48.9 - Morgan Gigandet - OH - 2015
17:49.9 - Brooke Wilson - IL - 2015
Regional Comparison Notes:
12 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:04.4 and their National times being an average of 1.04% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
9 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:36.7 and their National times being an average of 1.30% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:13.9, Girls = 17:50.6 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
NXN Heartland Individuals History
Continuing our look at the Fastest Regional Times:
Top 20 Times in NXN Heartland Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
14:58.8 - Jaret Carpenter - MN - 2015
15:03.0 - Micah Mather - MN - 2015
15:05.3 - Seth Hirsch - NE - 2015
15:05.4 - Olin Hacker - WI - 2014
15:07.5 - Will Lauer - SD - 2014
15:08.9 - Addison DeHaven - SD - 2013
15:11.6 - Obsa Ali - MN - 2013
15:12.5 - Joe Klecker - MN - 2014
15:13.8 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2013
15:14.2 - Finn Gessner - WI - 2015
15:14.7 - Chandler Austin - IA - 2013
15:14.7 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2014
15:16.1 - Jake Leingang - ND - 2012
15:16.1 - Ryan Nameth - WI - 2014
15:16.8 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2010
15:17.8 - Nick Wareham - MN - 2014
15:18.2 - Connor Olson - MN - 2014
15:18.6 - Albert Meier - IA - 2013
15:19.6 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2011
15:20.5 - Sam Clausnitzer - ND - 2015
Girls:
17:01.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2015
17:06.0 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2014
17:12.1 - Cailie Logue - KS - 2015
17:12.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2014
17:17.2 - Grace Ping - MN - 2015
17:17.5 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2013
17:17.6 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2015
17:17.6 - Emma Benner - MN - 2015
17:17.9 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2014
17:19.1 - Katie Flood - IA - 2009
17:21.5 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2013
17:21.8 - Ashlie Decker - IA - 2009
17:28.4 - Molly Born - KS - 2015
17:30.0 - Mattie Shirley-Fair - ND - 2015
17:33.6 - Maria Hauger - MN - 2012
17:35.2 - Katie Flood - IA - 2007
17:35.4 - Allison Woodward - WI - 2010
17:35.4 - Annie Frisbie - MN - 2014
17:36.7 - Anna Fenske - MN - 2015
17:38.0 - Anna French - MN - 2014
Regional Comparison Notes:
15 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:14.2 and their National times being an average of 0.28% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:24.5 and their National times being an average of 2.20% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:16.7, Girls = 17:48.0 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
Top 20 Times in NXN Heartland Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
14:58.8 - Jaret Carpenter - MN - 2015
15:03.0 - Micah Mather - MN - 2015
15:05.3 - Seth Hirsch - NE - 2015
15:05.4 - Olin Hacker - WI - 2014
15:07.5 - Will Lauer - SD - 2014
15:08.9 - Addison DeHaven - SD - 2013
15:11.6 - Obsa Ali - MN - 2013
15:12.5 - Joe Klecker - MN - 2014
15:13.8 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2013
15:14.2 - Finn Gessner - WI - 2015
15:14.7 - Chandler Austin - IA - 2013
15:14.7 - Stuart McNutt - KS - 2014
15:16.1 - Jake Leingang - ND - 2012
15:16.1 - Ryan Nameth - WI - 2014
15:16.8 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2010
15:17.8 - Nick Wareham - MN - 2014
15:18.2 - Connor Olson - MN - 2014
15:18.6 - Albert Meier - IA - 2013
15:19.6 - Tony Smoragiewicz - SD - 2011
15:20.5 - Sam Clausnitzer - ND - 2015
Girls:
17:01.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2015
17:06.0 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2014
17:12.1 - Cailie Logue - KS - 2015
17:12.3 - Stephanie Jenks - IA - 2014
17:17.2 - Grace Ping - MN - 2015
17:17.5 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2013
17:17.6 - Bethany Hasz - MN - 2015
17:17.6 - Emma Benner - MN - 2015
17:17.9 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2014
17:19.1 - Katie Flood - IA - 2009
17:21.5 - Megan Hasz - MN - 2013
17:21.8 - Ashlie Decker - IA - 2009
17:28.4 - Molly Born - KS - 2015
17:30.0 - Mattie Shirley-Fair - ND - 2015
17:33.6 - Maria Hauger - MN - 2012
17:35.2 - Katie Flood - IA - 2007
17:35.4 - Allison Woodward - WI - 2010
17:35.4 - Annie Frisbie - MN - 2014
17:36.7 - Anna Fenske - MN - 2015
17:38.0 - Anna French - MN - 2014
Regional Comparison Notes:
15 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:14.2 and their National times being an average of 0.28% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:24.5 and their National times being an average of 2.20% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:16.7, Girls = 17:48.0 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
NXN Northwest Individuals History
Here is a little bit of a treat for you guys:
Top 20 Times in NXN Northwest Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
15:19.4 - Tanner Anderson - WA - 2013
15:23.6 - Brody Smith - WY - 2015
15:24.1 - Elijah Armstrong - ID - 2013
15:27.0 - Jeff Howard - WA - 2008
15:27.2 - Barak Watson - ID - 2008
15:28.8 - Jack Yearian - WA - 2015
15:29.6 - Ben Johnston - WA - 2009
15:30.1 - Joe Hardy - WA - 2012
15:31.3 - Kevin Rosaaen - WA - 2008
15:31.5 - Jonathan Lafler - WA - 2007
15:32.2 - Andrew Rafla - ID - 2013
15:32.2 - Andy Monroe - OR - 2015
15:33.1 - Andrew Kimpel - WA - 2008
15:33.4 - Adam Peterman - MT - 2012
15:34.1 - Kenji Bierig - WA - 2010
15:34.4 - Cody Helbling - ID - 2008
15:35.0 - Kai Wilmot - WA - 2013
15:35.9 - Vince Hamilton - WA - 2010
15:36.8 - Ahmed Muhumed - OR - 2015
15:36.9 - Anthony Armstrong - WA - 2011
Girls:
17:27.1 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2013
17:29.3 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2012
17:31.1 - Annie Hill - MT - 2015
17:33.9 - Christina Aragon - MT - 2015
17:34.0 - Katie Knight - WA - 2010
17:36.0 - Makena Morley - MT - 2013
17:40.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2012
17:42.9 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2012
17:43.2 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2015
17:44.2 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2010
17:45.9 - Paige Gilchrist - MT - 2012
17:49.0 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2011
17:52.1 - AnnaMarie Maag - OR - 2010
17:53.6 - Tiahna Vladic - MT - 2015
17:57.4 - Emily Nist - ID - 2009
17:58.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2011
17:58.3 - Kristen Garcia - WA - 2015
17:58.6 - Alyssa Andrews - WA - 2008
17:59.1 - Sara Tsai - OR - 2012
17:59.7 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2013
Regional Comparison Notes:
11 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:30.9 and their National times being an average of 0.96% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:46.1 and their National times being an average of 3.08% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:39.9, Girls = 18:19.9 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
Top 20 Times in NXN Northwest Regional History.
I'll be doing this for almost every regional this year (because I haven't been doing ratings all year long for the entire nation, and this gives an idea of how the regional courses compare - and it is good info to put out there). The only ones I might not be doing it for are regionals that haven't been mostly the same course over the last nine years, although maybe I will (we will see).
I will also include a quick note about how these Top 20 athletes have done at NXN compard to a set standard for cross-region comparison (the #11 scoring runner at NXN - picked because I figured the median #1 runner on teams is more or less going to be fairly consistent, and because I needed something quick and easy to calcuate for). This will give an example of how the courses generally compare to eachother (in good weather years) beyond my ratings system or Meylan's speed ratings over at Tullyrunners.com. Consider the comparisons ROUGH, but good enough to give an idea of the differences.
Boys:
15:19.4 - Tanner Anderson - WA - 2013
15:23.6 - Brody Smith - WY - 2015
15:24.1 - Elijah Armstrong - ID - 2013
15:27.0 - Jeff Howard - WA - 2008
15:27.2 - Barak Watson - ID - 2008
15:28.8 - Jack Yearian - WA - 2015
15:29.6 - Ben Johnston - WA - 2009
15:30.1 - Joe Hardy - WA - 2012
15:31.3 - Kevin Rosaaen - WA - 2008
15:31.5 - Jonathan Lafler - WA - 2007
15:32.2 - Andrew Rafla - ID - 2013
15:32.2 - Andy Monroe - OR - 2015
15:33.1 - Andrew Kimpel - WA - 2008
15:33.4 - Adam Peterman - MT - 2012
15:34.1 - Kenji Bierig - WA - 2010
15:34.4 - Cody Helbling - ID - 2008
15:35.0 - Kai Wilmot - WA - 2013
15:35.9 - Vince Hamilton - WA - 2010
15:36.8 - Ahmed Muhumed - OR - 2015
15:36.9 - Anthony Armstrong - WA - 2011
Girls:
17:27.1 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2013
17:29.3 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2012
17:31.1 - Annie Hill - MT - 2015
17:33.9 - Christina Aragon - MT - 2015
17:34.0 - Katie Knight - WA - 2010
17:36.0 - Makena Morley - MT - 2013
17:40.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2012
17:42.9 - Alexa Efraimson - WA - 2012
17:43.2 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2015
17:44.2 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2010
17:45.9 - Paige Gilchrist - MT - 2012
17:49.0 - Amy-Eloise Neale - WA - 2011
17:52.1 - AnnaMarie Maag - OR - 2010
17:53.6 - Tiahna Vladic - MT - 2015
17:57.4 - Emily Nist - ID - 2009
17:58.1 - Katie Knight - WA - 2011
17:58.3 - Kristen Garcia - WA - 2015
17:58.6 - Alyssa Andrews - WA - 2008
17:59.1 - Sara Tsai - OR - 2012
17:59.7 - Ella Donaghu - OR - 2013
Regional Comparison Notes:
11 boys competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 15:30.9 and their National times being an average of 0.96% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
12 girls competed at NXN, with their regional times averaging 17:46.1 and their National times being an average of 3.08% faster than the #11 scoring runner.
Adjustment: Boys = 15:39.9, Girls = 18:19.9 (rating equivalents for these marks would roughly be 192 and 140)
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
NXN-NW Girls Ratings
An interesting day last Saturday in Boise at the NXN Northwest Regional.
As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!
The girls team battle was looking to be pretty close between the top six teams. Would it be the undefeated (against NW teams) Bozeman MT squad, the reigning champions from Camas WA, the Sunset OR team led by a fantastic freshman, the Jesuit OR squad led by a trio of freshmen, the Billings Senior MT squad led by an incredible duo, or Summit OR? Unlike the guys side, it turned out those teams remained the top, although they were joined by a Mountain View ID squad the rebounded well from a disappointing third at their state meet. In the end, Bozeman MT came away with their second NXN Northwest title in three years while Sunset OR hung on for second despite their usual #4 still seemingly recovering from a concussion a month ago.
Annie Hill of Montana spread the field out early on as she raced away with it from the start. As it ended up, three Montana standouts ended up in the top four with Oregon's Ella Donaghu the only one able to break them up. Interestingly, the fifth place finisher is a runner who has decided to go the club route rather than compete for her high school (something that a few other athletes on her Whatcom Tesseract club does as well). For those who weren't sure who she was, Kristen Garcia was the Washington 2A Runner-up finisher last year for Sedro-Woolley, and I had no idea what she was up to since. Apparently, she has been racing quite well in Open races, including a fifth place finish in the Open 6k division at the PNTF Championships on November 1 against quite a few relatively recent College graduates and Club NW mainstays who are all very talented.
Anyways, on to the ratings:
(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:18.7)
Top 25 Individuals -
1 - Annie Hill - 17:31.1 - Glacier MT - 156.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Ella Donaghu - 17:43.2 - Grant OR - 152.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Kristen Garcia - 17:58.3 - Sedro-Woolley WA - 147.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
12 - Rachel Morrin - 18:37.4 - Madison ID - 135.1
13 - Pia Richards - 18:39.9 - Eastlake WA - 134.3
14 - Sami Corman - 18:40.1 - Issaquah WA - 134.2
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
16 - Katherine Ruck - 18:46.7 - Moscow ID - 132.1
17 - Kaitlin Wride - 18:47.9 - Flathead MT - 131.7
18 - Mackenzie Marler - 18:48.0 - Cheyenne East WY - 131.7
19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
20 - Kenna Clawson - 18:51.3 - Issaquah WA - 130.6
21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
22 - Bailee Parker - 18:58.7 - West Yellowstone MT - 128.2
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
24 - Libby Michael - 19:02.4 - Deer Park WA - 127.0
25 - Celie Mans - 19:03.4 - Siuslaw OR - 126.6
Top Teams -
9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
60 - Laina Hall - 19:46.5 - Bozeman MT - 112.6
63 - Phoebe Jacques - 19:48.1 - Bozeman MT - 112.0
104 - Zoe Eberspecher - 20:23.7 - Bozeman MT - 100.4
132 - Elsa Sven - 20:59.7 - Bozeman MT - 88.6
6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
30 - Nicole Griffiths - 19:07.8 - Sunset OR - 125.2
40 - Isabel Huelskamp - 19:25.8 - Sunset OR - 119.3
94 - Kelly Makin - 20:10.1 - Sunset OR - 104.8
138 - Elizabeth Thompson - 21:11.5 - Sunset OR - 84.8
7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
87 - Emma Stevenson - 20:06.2 - Summit OR - 106.1
100 - Kelsey Washenberger - 20:15.7 - Summit OR - 103.0
116 - Autumn Layden - 20:39.8 - Summit OR - 95.1
126 - Liv Downing - 20:55.7 - Summit OR - 90.0
21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
34 - Keely Mccormick - 19:18.3 - Jesuit OR - 121.8
49 - Hallie Devore - 19:37.3 - Jesuit OR - 115.6
55 - Kim Sanders - 19:45.6 - Jesuit OR - 112.8
80 - Makenna Schumacher - 19:59.3 - Jesuit OR - 108.4
99 - Aimee Piercy - 20:15.3 - Jesuit OR - 103.1
118 - Greta Anderson - 20:43.5 - Jesuit OR - 93.9
2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4
75 - Jade Hallgrimson - 19:56.5 - Billings Senior MT - 109.3
78 - Courtney Hutton - 19:57.4 - Billings Senior MT - 109.0
85 - Elena Borges - 20:04.9 - Billings Senior MT - 106.5
96 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson - 20:11.9 - Billings Senior MT - 104.3
129 - Jessica Raty - 20:57.1 - Billings Senior MT - 89.5
19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
32 - Rachel Blair - 19:09.9 - Camas WA - 124.5
61 - Emily Wilson - 19:47.7 - Camas WA - 112.2
74 - Ellie Postma - 19:56.3 - Camas WA - 109.4
83 - Maddie Woodson - 20:00.8 - Camas WA - 107.9
86 - Kaylee Merritt - 20:06.0 - Camas WA - 106.2
117 - Madison Child - 20:41.6 - Camas WA - 94.6
44 - Makenna Shuler - 19:29.3 - Mountain View ID - 118.2
45 - Breanna Stauter - 19:32.1 - Mountain View ID - 117.3
48 - Reagan Badger - 19:36.7 - Mountain View ID - 115.8
56 - Adelynn Rosin - 19:46.1 - Mountain View ID - 112.7
76 - Camryn Pritchard - 19:56.5 - Mountain View ID - 109.3
130 - Kenzie Porter - 20:58.1 - Mountain View ID - 89.2
155 - Abby Packer - 21:51.2 - Mountain View ID - 71.8
27 - Ella Degrandpre - 19:03.6 - Hellgate MT - 126.6
51 - Wren Cilimburg - 19:40.4 - Hellgate MT - 114.5
58 - Ellee Becker - 19:46.2 - Hellgate MT - 112.6
69 - Miranda Foster - 19:52.3 - Hellgate MT - 110.7
84 - Allie Monahan - 20:01.9 - Hellgate MT - 107.5
135 - Keilan Sayer - 21:04.4 - Hellgate MT - 87.1
As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!
The girls team battle was looking to be pretty close between the top six teams. Would it be the undefeated (against NW teams) Bozeman MT squad, the reigning champions from Camas WA, the Sunset OR team led by a fantastic freshman, the Jesuit OR squad led by a trio of freshmen, the Billings Senior MT squad led by an incredible duo, or Summit OR? Unlike the guys side, it turned out those teams remained the top, although they were joined by a Mountain View ID squad the rebounded well from a disappointing third at their state meet. In the end, Bozeman MT came away with their second NXN Northwest title in three years while Sunset OR hung on for second despite their usual #4 still seemingly recovering from a concussion a month ago.
Annie Hill of Montana spread the field out early on as she raced away with it from the start. As it ended up, three Montana standouts ended up in the top four with Oregon's Ella Donaghu the only one able to break them up. Interestingly, the fifth place finisher is a runner who has decided to go the club route rather than compete for her high school (something that a few other athletes on her Whatcom Tesseract club does as well). For those who weren't sure who she was, Kristen Garcia was the Washington 2A Runner-up finisher last year for Sedro-Woolley, and I had no idea what she was up to since. Apparently, she has been racing quite well in Open races, including a fifth place finish in the Open 6k division at the PNTF Championships on November 1 against quite a few relatively recent College graduates and Club NW mainstays who are all very talented.
Anyways, on to the ratings:
(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:18.7)
Top 25 Individuals -
1 - Annie Hill - 17:31.1 - Glacier MT - 156.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Ella Donaghu - 17:43.2 - Grant OR - 152.8 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Kristen Garcia - 17:58.3 - Sedro-Woolley WA - 147.9 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
12 - Rachel Morrin - 18:37.4 - Madison ID - 135.1
13 - Pia Richards - 18:39.9 - Eastlake WA - 134.3
14 - Sami Corman - 18:40.1 - Issaquah WA - 134.2
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
16 - Katherine Ruck - 18:46.7 - Moscow ID - 132.1
17 - Kaitlin Wride - 18:47.9 - Flathead MT - 131.7
18 - Mackenzie Marler - 18:48.0 - Cheyenne East WY - 131.7
19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
20 - Kenna Clawson - 18:51.3 - Issaquah WA - 130.6
21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
22 - Bailee Parker - 18:58.7 - West Yellowstone MT - 128.2
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
24 - Libby Michael - 19:02.4 - Deer Park WA - 127.0
25 - Celie Mans - 19:03.4 - Siuslaw OR - 126.6
Top Teams -
9 - Kenenni Wiegand - 18:27.2 - Bozeman MT - 138.4
11 - Piper Meuwissen - 18:34.3 - Bozeman MT - 136.1
23 - Camila Noe - 19:01.4 - Bozeman MT - 127.3
60 - Laina Hall - 19:46.5 - Bozeman MT - 112.6
63 - Phoebe Jacques - 19:48.1 - Bozeman MT - 112.0
104 - Zoe Eberspecher - 20:23.7 - Bozeman MT - 100.4
132 - Elsa Sven - 20:59.7 - Bozeman MT - 88.6
6 - Ember Stratton - 18:00.6 - Sunset OR - 147.1
15 - Audrey Huelskamp - 18:44.6 - Sunset OR - 132.8
30 - Nicole Griffiths - 19:07.8 - Sunset OR - 125.2
40 - Isabel Huelskamp - 19:25.8 - Sunset OR - 119.3
94 - Kelly Makin - 20:10.1 - Sunset OR - 104.8
138 - Elizabeth Thompson - 21:11.5 - Sunset OR - 84.8
7 - Olivia Brooks - 18:09.2 - Summit OR - 144.3
8 - Hannah Tobiason - 18:14.6 - Summit OR - 142.6
10 - Taylor Vandenborn - 18:32.4 - Summit OR - 136.7
87 - Emma Stevenson - 20:06.2 - Summit OR - 106.1
100 - Kelsey Washenberger - 20:15.7 - Summit OR - 103.0
116 - Autumn Layden - 20:39.8 - Summit OR - 95.1
126 - Liv Downing - 20:55.7 - Summit OR - 90.0
21 - Elizabeth Rinck - 18:55.8 - Jesuit OR - 129.1
34 - Keely Mccormick - 19:18.3 - Jesuit OR - 121.8
49 - Hallie Devore - 19:37.3 - Jesuit OR - 115.6
55 - Kim Sanders - 19:45.6 - Jesuit OR - 112.8
80 - Makenna Schumacher - 19:59.3 - Jesuit OR - 108.4
99 - Aimee Piercy - 20:15.3 - Jesuit OR - 103.1
118 - Greta Anderson - 20:43.5 - Jesuit OR - 93.9
2 - Christina Aragon - 17:33.9 - Billings Senior MT - 155.9
4 - Tiahna Vladic - 17:53.6 - Billings Senior MT - 149.4
75 - Jade Hallgrimson - 19:56.5 - Billings Senior MT - 109.3
78 - Courtney Hutton - 19:57.4 - Billings Senior MT - 109.0
85 - Elena Borges - 20:04.9 - Billings Senior MT - 106.5
96 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson - 20:11.9 - Billings Senior MT - 104.3
129 - Jessica Raty - 20:57.1 - Billings Senior MT - 89.5
19 - Emma Jenkins - 18:49.8 - Camas WA - 131.1
32 - Rachel Blair - 19:09.9 - Camas WA - 124.5
61 - Emily Wilson - 19:47.7 - Camas WA - 112.2
74 - Ellie Postma - 19:56.3 - Camas WA - 109.4
83 - Maddie Woodson - 20:00.8 - Camas WA - 107.9
86 - Kaylee Merritt - 20:06.0 - Camas WA - 106.2
117 - Madison Child - 20:41.6 - Camas WA - 94.6
44 - Makenna Shuler - 19:29.3 - Mountain View ID - 118.2
45 - Breanna Stauter - 19:32.1 - Mountain View ID - 117.3
48 - Reagan Badger - 19:36.7 - Mountain View ID - 115.8
56 - Adelynn Rosin - 19:46.1 - Mountain View ID - 112.7
76 - Camryn Pritchard - 19:56.5 - Mountain View ID - 109.3
130 - Kenzie Porter - 20:58.1 - Mountain View ID - 89.2
155 - Abby Packer - 21:51.2 - Mountain View ID - 71.8
27 - Ella Degrandpre - 19:03.6 - Hellgate MT - 126.6
51 - Wren Cilimburg - 19:40.4 - Hellgate MT - 114.5
58 - Ellee Becker - 19:46.2 - Hellgate MT - 112.6
69 - Miranda Foster - 19:52.3 - Hellgate MT - 110.7
84 - Allie Monahan - 20:01.9 - Hellgate MT - 107.5
135 - Keilan Sayer - 21:04.4 - Hellgate MT - 87.1
NXN-NW Boys Ratings
An interesting day last Saturday in Boise at the NXN Northwest Regional.
As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!
Several of the top projected teams didn't necessarily fare so well. Crater's #1 ended up as their #4 but their #2 had a HUGE day to finish third overall, North Central's strong #2 at state was a bit further back as their #3, Tahoma's team was sick and their top athletes struggled... but Summit OR and Bozeman MT came out as the top two teams in the region even if they weren't perfect either.
The highlight for me (watching the race) was the showdown with Brody Smith and Jack Yearian, as both went after it and put on a great show. And I just have to say again, huge day for Andy Monroe from Crater - going from third place in Oregon 5A and consistently #2 on his team to third place in the entire Northwest. Awesome!
(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:23.7)
Top 25 Individuals -
1 - Brody Smith - 15:23.6 - Cody WY - 200.0 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Jack Yearian - 15:28.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA - 198.3 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Andy Monroe - 15:32.2 - Crater OR - 197.2 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Ahmed Muhumed - 15:36.8 - West Salem OR - 195.7 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Chris Henry - 15:37.5 - Laramie WY - 195.5 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Justin Janke - 15:44.7 - North Central WA - 193.2
7 - Phillip Fishburn - 15:44.9 - Kamiakin WA - 193.1
8 - Kaeo Kruse - 15:45.8 - Kamehameha HI - 192.8
9 - Aidan Reed - 15:49.3 - Helena MT - 191.7
10 - Alex Martin - 15:53.6 - Summit OR - 190.3
11 - Nathan Pixler - 15:55.3 - Eastlake WA - 189.7
12 - Riley Collins - 15:56.5 - Bozeman MT - 189.3
13 - Ryan Gregory - 15:58.6 - Gig Harbor WA - 188.7
14 - Michael Martin - 15:59.6 - South Eugene OR - 188.3
15 - Chase Equall - 16:02.5 - Bozeman MT - 187.4
16 - Erik Holm - 16:06.7 - Joel Ferris WA - 186.0
17 - Nathan Beamer - 16:07.7 - Arlington WA - 185.7
18 - Henry Hayes - 16:08.0 - Garfield WA - 185.6
19 - Noah Horsburgh - 16:08.2 - Mountain View ID - 185.5
20 - Amir Ado - 16:09.2 - Joel Ferris WA - 185.2
21 - Kennan Schrag - 16:09.4 - Issaquah WA - 185.2
22 - Caleb Hoffmann - 16:13.3 - Bend OR - 183.9
23 - Luis Torres - 16:13.6 - Aloha OR - 183.8
24 - Dylan Holland - 16:14.7 - Anacortes WA - 183.4
25 - Peder Rickbeil - 16:15.8 - Billings Senior MT - 183.1
As I said on here before, I thought my rankings were underrating the Montana State meet... but I didn't think it was nearly that drastic. Great racing by the Montanans!
Several of the top projected teams didn't necessarily fare so well. Crater's #1 ended up as their #4 but their #2 had a HUGE day to finish third overall, North Central's strong #2 at state was a bit further back as their #3, Tahoma's team was sick and their top athletes struggled... but Summit OR and Bozeman MT came out as the top two teams in the region even if they weren't perfect either.
The highlight for me (watching the race) was the showdown with Brody Smith and Jack Yearian, as both went after it and put on a great show. And I just have to say again, huge day for Andy Monroe from Crater - going from third place in Oregon 5A and consistently #2 on his team to third place in the entire Northwest. Awesome!
(Estimate = 200.0 ~ 15:23.7)
Top 25 Individuals -
1 - Brody Smith - 15:23.6 - Cody WY - 200.0 ** Individual Qualifier **
2 - Jack Yearian - 15:28.8 - Bellarmine Prep WA - 198.3 ** Individual Qualifier **
3 - Andy Monroe - 15:32.2 - Crater OR - 197.2 ** Individual Qualifier **
4 - Ahmed Muhumed - 15:36.8 - West Salem OR - 195.7 ** Individual Qualifier **
5 - Chris Henry - 15:37.5 - Laramie WY - 195.5 ** Individual Qualifier **
6 - Justin Janke - 15:44.7 - North Central WA - 193.2
7 - Phillip Fishburn - 15:44.9 - Kamiakin WA - 193.1
8 - Kaeo Kruse - 15:45.8 - Kamehameha HI - 192.8
9 - Aidan Reed - 15:49.3 - Helena MT - 191.7
10 - Alex Martin - 15:53.6 - Summit OR - 190.3
11 - Nathan Pixler - 15:55.3 - Eastlake WA - 189.7
12 - Riley Collins - 15:56.5 - Bozeman MT - 189.3
13 - Ryan Gregory - 15:58.6 - Gig Harbor WA - 188.7
14 - Michael Martin - 15:59.6 - South Eugene OR - 188.3
15 - Chase Equall - 16:02.5 - Bozeman MT - 187.4
16 - Erik Holm - 16:06.7 - Joel Ferris WA - 186.0
17 - Nathan Beamer - 16:07.7 - Arlington WA - 185.7
18 - Henry Hayes - 16:08.0 - Garfield WA - 185.6
19 - Noah Horsburgh - 16:08.2 - Mountain View ID - 185.5
20 - Amir Ado - 16:09.2 - Joel Ferris WA - 185.2
21 - Kennan Schrag - 16:09.4 - Issaquah WA - 185.2
22 - Caleb Hoffmann - 16:13.3 - Bend OR - 183.9
23 - Luis Torres - 16:13.6 - Aloha OR - 183.8
24 - Dylan Holland - 16:14.7 - Anacortes WA - 183.4
25 - Peder Rickbeil - 16:15.8 - Billings Senior MT - 183.1
Top Teams -
10 - Alex Martin - 15:53.6 - Summit OR - 190.3
33 - Thomas Schoderbek - 16:20.9 - Summit OR - 181.4
39 - Ben Wasserman - 16:25.8 - Summit OR - 179.8
52 - Eric Fykerud - 16:36.8 - Summit OR - 176.3
56 - Scott Kincaid - 16:39.1 - Summit OR - 175.5
94 - Jett Ballantyne - 16:59.8 - Summit OR - 168.8
172 - Niklas Sjogren - 17:56.8 - Summit OR - 150.3
12 - Riley Collins - 15:56.5 - Bozeman MT - 189.3
15 - Chase Equall - 16:02.5 - Bozeman MT - 187.4
41 - Caleb Allen - 16:26.4 - Bozeman MT - 179.6
46 - Orrin Clark - 16:30.9 - Bozeman MT - 178.2
86 - Duncan Hamilton - 16:55.9 - Bozeman MT - 170.1
146 - Dylan Humberger - 17:24.9 - Bozeman MT - 160.6
182 - Seth Vinger - 18:14.1 - Bozeman MT - 144.7
6 - Justin Janke - 15:44.7 - North Central WA - 193.2
37 - Jacob Christner - 16:25.1 - North Central WA - 180.1
42 - Sam Sjoberg - 16:27.2 - North Central WA - 179.4
77 - Markus Taylor - 16:49.8 - North Central WA - 172.0
78 - Gabriel Meek - 16:52.3 - North Central WA - 171.2
109 - Ryan Frostad - 17:09.6 - North Central WA - 165.6
123 - Mica Jones - 17:12.8 - North Central WA - 164.6
3 - Andy Monroe - 15:32.2 - Crater OR - 197.2
29 - Derek Tripp - 16:17.0 - Crater OR - 182.7
59 - Erik Olsen - 16:39.8 - Crater OR - 175.3
69 - Walter Vail - 16:43.4 - Crater OR - 174.1
105 - Tanner Shipley - 17:07.1 - Crater OR - 166.4
145 - Jantz Tostentson - 17:24.7 - Crater OR - 160.7
167 - Griff Hokanson - 17:47.0 - Crater OR - 153.5
19 - Noah Horsburgh - 16:08.2 - Mountain View ID - 185.5
35 - Charles Paul - 16:23.1 - Mountain View ID - 180.7
67 - Adrian Jones - 16:42.3 - Mountain View ID - 174.5
79 - Conner Oswald - 16:53.0 - Mountain View ID - 171.0
96 - Ryan Mckinnon - 17:00.3 - Mountain View ID - 168.6
106 - Brandon Walker - 17:08.0 - Mountain View ID - 166.1
137 - Joe Petty - 17:21.8 - Mountain View ID - 161.6
30 - Peter Kirgis - 16:18.0 - Hellgate MT - 182.4
47 - Isaac Schmidt - 16:31.8 - Hellgate MT - 177.9
80 - Preston Novak - 16:53.4 - Hellgate MT - 170.9
81 - Morris Wecker - 16:53.5 - Hellgate MT - 170.8
89 - Danny Provo - 16:56.7 - Hellgate MT - 169.8
152 - Jack Puckett - 17:29.0 - Hellgate MT - 159.3
179 - Kyle Gottman - 18:07.8 - Hellgate MT - 146.7
Monday, November 9, 2015
Pre-NXR Northwest Girls Team Rankings
Here are my pre-regional Northwest Top 25 Girls rankings:
1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-2 Metro Champion
2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-2 Metro Runner-up
3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
4. Camas WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
8. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
9. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place, 5A District III Champion
12. Lewis & Clark WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
15. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-4 Intermountain Runner-up
16. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
17. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
18. Kamiak WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional fourth place
19. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Glacier Peak WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A District I Champion
21. Edmonds-Woodway WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A District I Runner-up
22. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place, 5A District V Champion
23. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion, 4A District V Champion
24. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place, 5A District III sixth place
25. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District II Champion
Honorable Mention: Bellevue WA, Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Holy Names Academy WA, Liberty-Issaquah WA, Lincoln OR, Mead WA, Mountlake Terrace WA, Olympia WA, Sandpoint ID, Skyline WA, Tahoma WA, Tualatin OR, Union WA
Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Jackson Hole should still be Top 20-25, while Cheyenne Central and Campbell County might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.
1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-2 Metro Champion
2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-2 Metro Runner-up
3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
4. Camas WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
8. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
9. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place, 5A District III Champion
12. Lewis & Clark WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
15. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-4 Intermountain Runner-up
16. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
17. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
18. Kamiak WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional fourth place
19. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Glacier Peak WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A District I Champion
21. Edmonds-Woodway WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A District I Runner-up
22. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place, 5A District V Champion
23. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion, 4A District V Champion
24. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place, 5A District III sixth place
25. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District II Champion
Honorable Mention: Bellevue WA, Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Holy Names Academy WA, Liberty-Issaquah WA, Lincoln OR, Mead WA, Mountlake Terrace WA, Olympia WA, Sandpoint ID, Skyline WA, Tahoma WA, Tualatin OR, Union WA
Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Jackson Hole should still be Top 20-25, while Cheyenne Central and Campbell County might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.
Pre-NXR Northwest Boys Team Rankings
Here are my pre-regional Northwest Top 25 Boys rankings:
1. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
2. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
3. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-3 Midwestern Champion
4. North Central WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A Eastern Regional Champion
5. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-3 Mt. Hood Champion
6. Bellarmine Prep WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Southwest Regional third place
7. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A District VI Champion
8. Joel Ferris WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Eastern Regional third place
9. Sehome WA - Washington 2A State Champion, 2A District I Champion
10. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Runner-up
11. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
12. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Arlington WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District I Champion
14. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
15. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III Champion
16. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
17. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-2 Metro Champion
18. Interlake WA - Washington 3A State fourth place, 3A District II Champion
19. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A State fifth place, 3A Southwest Regional Champion
20. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
21. Camas WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Southwest Regional Runner-up
22. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State sixth place, 3A District II third place
23. University WA - Washington 4A State seventh place, 4A Eastern Regional Champion
24. Lake Stevens WA - Washington 4A State eighth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
25. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion
Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Eastlake WA, Hellgate MT, Marist OR, Mead WA, Pocatello ID, Sheldon OR, Sunset OR, West Linn OR
Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Laramie should still be Top 10, and Star Valley might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.
1. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A State Champion, 4A Southwest Regional Champion
2. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion, 5A-4 Intermountain Champion
3. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up, 5A-3 Midwestern Champion
4. North Central WA - Washington 3A State Champion, 3A Eastern Regional Champion
5. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion, 6A-3 Mt. Hood Champion
6. Bellarmine Prep WA - Washington 4A State Runner-up, 4A Southwest Regional third place
7. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A State third place, 4A District VI Champion
8. Joel Ferris WA - Washington 4A State fourth place, 4A Eastern Regional third place
9. Sehome WA - Washington 2A State Champion, 2A District I Champion
10. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Runner-up
11. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A State fifth place, 4A Northwest Regional Champion
12. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A State Runner-up, 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
13. Arlington WA - Washington 3A State third place, 3A District I Champion
14. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
15. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion, 5A District III Champion
16. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place, 6A-1 Portland Interscholastic Champion
17. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place, 6A-2 Metro Champion
18. Interlake WA - Washington 3A State fourth place, 3A District II Champion
19. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A State fifth place, 3A Southwest Regional Champion
20. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up, 5A District III Runner-up
21. Camas WA - Washington 4A State sixth place, 4A Southwest Regional Runner-up
22. Ballard WA - Washington 3A State sixth place, 3A District II third place
23. University WA - Washington 4A State seventh place, 4A Eastern Regional Champion
24. Lake Stevens WA - Washington 4A State eighth place, 4A Northwest Regional third place
25. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place, 6A-6 Southwest Champion
Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Eastlake WA, Hellgate MT, Marist OR, Mead WA, Pocatello ID, Sheldon OR, Sunset OR, West Linn OR
Also, as last week, the above does not include Wyoming teams because it is harder to get a read on them. Laramie should still be Top 10, and Star Valley might still be among the Honorable Mention teams.
Washington State Meet Girls Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Washington State meet!
The big question: can Camas come out on top next week and return to NXN Nationals for a chance at a Top 10 finish? Those Oregon teams (and Bozeman, and perhaps other Idaho/Montana teams) are not going to be easy to beat. Could be a competitive regional!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49
Girls Top 45 Overall:
17:53.50 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 137.7
17:56.10 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 136.9
18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:06.60 - Alexis Redfield - 12 - Zillah - 133.3
18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:09.70 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 132.3
18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:15.30 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 130.4
18:15.80 - Erin Mullins - 11 - Cascade (Leavenworth) - 130.2
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
18:19.60 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 128.9
18:19.90 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 128.8
18:23.00 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 127.8
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
18:28.90 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 125.8
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
18:31.70 - Annika Reiss - 9 - Bellingham - 124.8
18:32.30 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 124.6
18:32.30 - Kaili Keefe - 12 - West Valley (Yakima) - 124.6
18:33.50 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 124.2
18:34.30 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 124.0
18:36.70 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 123.2
18:37.20 - Isa Meyers - 10 - Northwest - 123.0
18:37.60 - Erica Simison - 10 - Eisenhower - 122.9
18:40.30 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 121.9
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:40.80 - Malia Pivec - 11 - Lynnwood - 121.8
18:42.90 - Amy Jo Murphy - 12 - Nooksack Valley - 121.1
18:43.10 - Brooke Manson - 10 - Eastlake - 121.0
18:43.80 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 120.8
18:44.80 - Claire Dingus - 10 - University - 120.4
18:45.40 - Kearan Nelson - 11 - Central Valley - 120.2
18:46.40 - Mikayla Pivec - 12 - Lynnwood - 119.9
18:47.30 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 119.6
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
18:53.80 - McKinzi Teeples - 9 - Kamiakin - 117.4
18:56.60 - Emma Sjolund - 10 - Sumner - 116.4
18:56.70 - Jamie Smith - 12 - Ballard - 116.4
18:56.80 - Camila David-Smith - 11 - Interlake - 116.4
18:56.90 - Katherine Walter - 12 - Mountlake Terrace - 116.3
18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
19:07.10 - Maddie Woodson - 12 - Camas - 112.9
19:38.40 - Kaylee Merritt - 10 - Camas - 102.3
19:48.30 - Ellie Postma - 10 - Camas - 99.0
20:04.20 - Madison Child - 10 - Camas - 93.6
18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
19:31.10 - Abby Goff - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 104.8
19:43.70 - Emily Armstrong - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 100.6
20:27.50 - Allegra VanderWilde - 12 - Lewis and Clark - 85.8
20:33.50 - Madeline Pincock - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 83.7
20:34.00 - Emily Phillip - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 83.6
18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
20:10.20 - Julene McDonald - 10 - Mt Si - 91.6
20:16.60 - Chloe Cosgrove - 10 - Mt Si - 89.4
21:40.70 - Ellie Bruce - 11 - Mt Si - 61.1
21:51.00 - Lexi Winter - 10 - Mt Si - 57.6
18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
19:37.80 - Sydney Boland - 11 - Edmonds-Woodway - 102.5
19:56.60 - Susan Kim - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 96.2
20:05.00 - Stephanie Wroblewski - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 93.4
20:51.30 - Kaitlynn Rust - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 77.7
21:10.00 - Megan Kelly - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 71.4
18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
19:11.30 - Brooke Wallace - 9 - Glacier Peak - 111.5
19:17.00 - Natalie Church - 11 - Glacier Peak - 109.6
19:38.30 - Erin Boyle - 11 - Glacier Peak - 102.4
20:19.30 - Elena Willems - 10 - Glacier Peak - 88.5
20:44.20 - Katie Gaffney - 11 - Glacier Peak - 80.1
21:15.80 - Maiti Hunter - 12 - Glacier Peak - 69.5
18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
19:32.70 - Katie Riley - 9 - Issaquah - 104.3
19:42.70 - Andie Kolasinski - 10 - Issaquah - 100.9
20:32.90 - Emma Jordan - 9 - Issaquah - 83.9
20:41.40 - Lauren Haas - 10 - Issaquah - 81.1
21:38.00 - Mackenzie Crandall - 10 - Issaquah - 62.0
The big question: can Camas come out on top next week and return to NXN Nationals for a chance at a Top 10 finish? Those Oregon teams (and Bozeman, and perhaps other Idaho/Montana teams) are not going to be easy to beat. Could be a competitive regional!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49
Girls Top 45 Overall:
17:53.50 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 137.7
17:56.10 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 136.9
18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:06.60 - Alexis Redfield - 12 - Zillah - 133.3
18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:09.70 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 132.3
18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:15.30 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 130.4
18:15.80 - Erin Mullins - 11 - Cascade (Leavenworth) - 130.2
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
18:19.60 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 128.9
18:19.90 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 128.8
18:23.00 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 127.8
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
18:28.90 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 125.8
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
18:31.70 - Annika Reiss - 9 - Bellingham - 124.8
18:32.30 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 124.6
18:32.30 - Kaili Keefe - 12 - West Valley (Yakima) - 124.6
18:33.50 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 124.2
18:34.30 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 124.0
18:36.70 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 123.2
18:37.20 - Isa Meyers - 10 - Northwest - 123.0
18:37.60 - Erica Simison - 10 - Eisenhower - 122.9
18:40.30 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 121.9
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:40.80 - Malia Pivec - 11 - Lynnwood - 121.8
18:42.90 - Amy Jo Murphy - 12 - Nooksack Valley - 121.1
18:43.10 - Brooke Manson - 10 - Eastlake - 121.0
18:43.80 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 120.8
18:44.80 - Claire Dingus - 10 - University - 120.4
18:45.40 - Kearan Nelson - 11 - Central Valley - 120.2
18:46.40 - Mikayla Pivec - 12 - Lynnwood - 119.9
18:47.30 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 119.6
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
18:53.80 - McKinzi Teeples - 9 - Kamiakin - 117.4
18:56.60 - Emma Sjolund - 10 - Sumner - 116.4
18:56.70 - Jamie Smith - 12 - Ballard - 116.4
18:56.80 - Camila David-Smith - 11 - Interlake - 116.4
18:56.90 - Katherine Walter - 12 - Mountlake Terrace - 116.3
18:10.20 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 132.1
18:15.10 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 130.4
18:30.10 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 125.4
19:07.10 - Maddie Woodson - 12 - Camas - 112.9
19:38.40 - Kaylee Merritt - 10 - Camas - 102.3
19:48.30 - Ellie Postma - 10 - Camas - 99.0
20:04.20 - Madison Child - 10 - Camas - 93.6
18:05.70 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 133.6
18:12.20 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 131.4
19:31.10 - Abby Goff - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 104.8
19:43.70 - Emily Armstrong - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 100.6
20:27.50 - Allegra VanderWilde - 12 - Lewis and Clark - 85.8
20:33.50 - Madeline Pincock - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 83.7
20:34.00 - Emily Phillip - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 83.6
18:04.20 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 134.1
18:40.50 - Melissa Hruska - 12 - Mt Si - 121.9
18:50.50 - Lindsey Sydnor - 11 - Mt Si - 118.5
20:10.20 - Julene McDonald - 10 - Mt Si - 91.6
20:16.60 - Chloe Cosgrove - 10 - Mt Si - 89.4
21:40.70 - Ellie Bruce - 11 - Mt Si - 61.1
21:51.00 - Lexi Winter - 10 - Mt Si - 57.6
18:08.80 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 132.6
18:26.90 - Olivia Meader-Yetter - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 126.5
19:37.80 - Sydney Boland - 11 - Edmonds-Woodway - 102.5
19:56.60 - Susan Kim - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 96.2
20:05.00 - Stephanie Wroblewski - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 93.4
20:51.30 - Kaitlynn Rust - 9 - Edmonds-Woodway - 77.7
21:10.00 - Megan Kelly - 12 - Edmonds-Woodway - 71.4
18:53.50 - Heidi Smith - 11 - Glacier Peak - 117.5
19:11.30 - Brooke Wallace - 9 - Glacier Peak - 111.5
19:17.00 - Natalie Church - 11 - Glacier Peak - 109.6
19:38.30 - Erin Boyle - 11 - Glacier Peak - 102.4
20:19.30 - Elena Willems - 10 - Glacier Peak - 88.5
20:44.20 - Katie Gaffney - 11 - Glacier Peak - 80.1
21:15.80 - Maiti Hunter - 12 - Glacier Peak - 69.5
18:14.10 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 130.8
18:16.60 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 129.9
19:32.70 - Katie Riley - 9 - Issaquah - 104.3
19:42.70 - Andie Kolasinski - 10 - Issaquah - 100.9
20:32.90 - Emma Jordan - 9 - Issaquah - 83.9
20:41.40 - Lauren Haas - 10 - Issaquah - 81.1
21:38.00 - Mackenzie Crandall - 10 - Issaquah - 62.0
Washington State Meet Boys Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Washington State meet!
Looks like the Washington teams showed up better than expected this weekend. Great to see!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49
Boys Top 45 Overall:
15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:18.80 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 189.9
15:20.20 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 189.5
15:22.50 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 188.7
15:25.00 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 187.9
15:25.90 - Graeme Schroeder - 12 - Tahoma - 187.5
15:28.80 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 186.6
15:29.20 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 186.4
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:32.10 - Tibebu Proctor - 11 - Northwest - 185.5
15:32.30 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 185.4
15:33.80 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 184.9
15:36.20 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 184.1
15:36.50 - Ryan Gregory - 12 - Gig Harbor - 184.0
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
15:38.00 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 183.5
15:38.80 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 183.2
15:39.20 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 183.1
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:39.50 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 183.0
15:40.50 - Keegan Fitzpatrick - 12 - Tahoma - 182.6
15:40.90 - Riley Moore - 9 - Richland - 182.5
15:41.10 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 182.4
15:41.30 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 182.4
15:41.40 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 182.3
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:44.10 - Andrew Cooper - 12 - Liberty (Issaquah) - 181.4
15:44.10 - Silas Griffith - 11 - Ridgefield - 181.4
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
15:44.30 - Owen Buck - 12 - Ballard - 181.3
15:44.40 - Tamire Proctor - 10 - Northwest - 181.3
15:44.60 - Kenneth Rooks - 10 - College Place - 181.2
15:45.40 - Joe Waskom - 9 - Mt Si - 181.0
15:45.80 - Marques Chacon - 12 - Evergreen (Seattle) - 180.8
15:45.90 - Turlan Morlan - 10 - Gonzaga Prep - 180.8
15:46.00 - Luke Beauchamp - 12 - Interlake - 180.8
15:46.10 - Tom Mikkelson - 12 - Juanita - 180.7
15:46.10 - Dawson Besst - 10 - Tahoma - 180.7
15:46.80 - Ryan Cox - 12 - Bainbridge - 180.5
15:48.80 - Travis Crumpler - 12 - Kamiakin - 179.8
15:49.10 - Jonah Franco - 10 - Kamiakin - 179.7
15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:57.70 - Jacob Christner - 11 - North Central - 176.8
16:10.10 - Gabriel Meek - 12 - North Central - 172.6
16:21.00 - Markus Taylor - 10 - North Central - 169.0
16:24.30 - Mica Jones - 12 - North Central - 167.8
16:33.20 - Ryan Frostad - 11 - North Central - 164.8
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:57.80 - Luke Ostrander - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 176.8
16:07.70 - Spencer Fischer - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 173.4
16:19.30 - Deven Patel - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 169.5
16:30.40 - Ben Sherman - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 165.8
16:53.90 - Will James - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 157.9
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:56.80 - Miguel Vargas - 12 - Eisenhower - 177.1
16:17.90 - Angel Cuevas-Verduzco - 10 - Eisenhower - 170.0
16:25.40 - Alfonso Cuevas - 9 - Eisenhower - 167.5
16:46.90 - Moise Cook - 10 - Eisenhower - 160.2
16:56.70 - Rogelio Mares - 10 - Eisenhower - 156.9
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
16:02.60 - Todd Bloom - 10 - Joel Ferris - 175.2
16:20.30 - Kellen Bulger - 12 - Joel Ferris - 169.2
16:24.60 - Gerard Gaimari - 12 - Joel Ferris - 167.7
16:31.70 - Andrew Potyk - 12 - Joel Ferris - 165.3
16:34.20 - Wilson Ladd - 10 - Joel Ferris - 164.5
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
16:17.20 - Bryce Johnson - 11 - Sehome - 170.2
16:21.10 - Sam Gillman - 12 - Sehome - 168.9
16:25.40 - Logan Franey - 11 - Sehome - 167.5
16:52.00 - Jackson Slesk - 11 - Sehome - 158.5
16:59.30 - Kyler Cruz - 11 - Sehome - 156.0
Looks like the Washington teams showed up better than expected this weekend. Great to see!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:49
Boys Top 45 Overall:
15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:18.80 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 189.9
15:20.20 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 189.5
15:22.50 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 188.7
15:25.00 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 187.9
15:25.90 - Graeme Schroeder - 12 - Tahoma - 187.5
15:28.80 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 186.6
15:29.20 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 186.4
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:32.10 - Tibebu Proctor - 11 - Northwest - 185.5
15:32.30 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 185.4
15:33.80 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 184.9
15:36.20 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 184.1
15:36.50 - Ryan Gregory - 12 - Gig Harbor - 184.0
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
15:38.00 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 183.5
15:38.80 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 183.2
15:39.20 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 183.1
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:39.50 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 183.0
15:40.50 - Keegan Fitzpatrick - 12 - Tahoma - 182.6
15:40.90 - Riley Moore - 9 - Richland - 182.5
15:41.10 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 182.4
15:41.30 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 182.4
15:41.40 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 182.3
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:44.10 - Andrew Cooper - 12 - Liberty (Issaquah) - 181.4
15:44.10 - Silas Griffith - 11 - Ridgefield - 181.4
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
15:44.30 - Owen Buck - 12 - Ballard - 181.3
15:44.40 - Tamire Proctor - 10 - Northwest - 181.3
15:44.60 - Kenneth Rooks - 10 - College Place - 181.2
15:45.40 - Joe Waskom - 9 - Mt Si - 181.0
15:45.80 - Marques Chacon - 12 - Evergreen (Seattle) - 180.8
15:45.90 - Turlan Morlan - 10 - Gonzaga Prep - 180.8
15:46.00 - Luke Beauchamp - 12 - Interlake - 180.8
15:46.10 - Tom Mikkelson - 12 - Juanita - 180.7
15:46.10 - Dawson Besst - 10 - Tahoma - 180.7
15:46.80 - Ryan Cox - 12 - Bainbridge - 180.5
15:48.80 - Travis Crumpler - 12 - Kamiakin - 179.8
15:49.10 - Jonah Franco - 10 - Kamiakin - 179.7
15:02.00 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 195.6
15:31.70 - Sam Sjoberg - 12 - North Central - 185.6
15:57.70 - Jacob Christner - 11 - North Central - 176.8
16:10.10 - Gabriel Meek - 12 - North Central - 172.6
16:21.00 - Markus Taylor - 10 - North Central - 169.0
16:24.30 - Mica Jones - 12 - North Central - 167.8
16:33.20 - Ryan Frostad - 11 - North Central - 164.8
15:14.90 - Jack Yearian - 12 - Bellarmine Prep - 191.3
15:41.70 - Cameron Wyman - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 182.2
15:57.80 - Luke Ostrander - 11 - Bellarmine Prep - 176.8
16:07.70 - Spencer Fischer - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 173.4
16:19.30 - Deven Patel - 10 - Bellarmine Prep - 169.5
16:30.40 - Ben Sherman - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 165.8
16:53.90 - Will James - 9 - Bellarmine Prep - 157.9
15:39.40 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 183.0
15:43.40 - Ronan Price - 11 - Eisenhower - 181.6
15:56.80 - Miguel Vargas - 12 - Eisenhower - 177.1
16:17.90 - Angel Cuevas-Verduzco - 10 - Eisenhower - 170.0
16:25.40 - Alfonso Cuevas - 9 - Eisenhower - 167.5
16:46.90 - Moise Cook - 10 - Eisenhower - 160.2
16:56.70 - Rogelio Mares - 10 - Eisenhower - 156.9
15:41.60 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 182.2
15:44.10 - Amir Ado - 11 - Joel Ferris - 181.4
16:02.60 - Todd Bloom - 10 - Joel Ferris - 175.2
16:20.30 - Kellen Bulger - 12 - Joel Ferris - 169.2
16:24.60 - Gerard Gaimari - 12 - Joel Ferris - 167.7
16:31.70 - Andrew Potyk - 12 - Joel Ferris - 165.3
16:34.20 - Wilson Ladd - 10 - Joel Ferris - 164.5
15:36.80 - Colton Johnsen - 12 - Sehome - 183.9
15:37.70 - Riley Allsop - 12 - Sehome - 183.6
16:17.20 - Bryce Johnson - 11 - Sehome - 170.2
16:21.10 - Sam Gillman - 12 - Sehome - 168.9
16:25.40 - Logan Franey - 11 - Sehome - 167.5
16:52.00 - Jackson Slesk - 11 - Sehome - 158.5
16:59.30 - Kyler Cruz - 11 - Sehome - 156.0
Friday, November 6, 2015
Northwest Girls Rankings - Pre WA State
Here's a preliminary look at a Northwest Top 25 girls rankings going
into the final State Meet weekend in the region. A note, I didn't
include Wyoming teams yet (I haven't rated all of the major races in the
state, including the state meet), though I will make a very quick
assessment for the Lone Star teams at the bottom of the post
Top 25 Girls Teams:
1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
4. Camas WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
8. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
9. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place
12. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
15. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
16. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
17. Ballard WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
18. Bellevue WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
19. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place
20. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
21. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional third place
22. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place
23. Holy Names Academy WA - Washington 3A District II third place
24. Sandpoint ID - Idaho 4A State Runner-up
25. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place
Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Glacier Peak WA, Kamiak WA, Olympia WA, Skyline WA, Tualatin OR
For the Wyoming teams, I feel less sure about than the guys, but I'd guess that:
3A Champion Jackson Hole should probably be Top 20
4A Champion Cheyenne Central and Runner-up Campbell County should probably be Honorable Mention
And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.
Top 25 Girls Teams:
1. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
2. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
3. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
4. Camas WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
5. Sheldon OR - Oregon 6A State third place
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Eagle ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
8. Billings Senior MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
9. Sentinel MT - Montana 2A State third place
10. Meridian ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
11. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State third place
12. Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State fourth place
13. Mount Si WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
14. Mountain View OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
15. Grant OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
16. Century ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
17. Ballard WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
18. Bellevue WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
19. Madison ID - Idaho 5A State fourth place
20. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
21. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional third place
22. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State fifth place
23. Holy Names Academy WA - Washington 3A District II third place
24. Sandpoint ID - Idaho 4A State Runner-up
25. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place
Honorable Mention: Central Valley WA, Flathead MT, Garfield WA, Glacier Peak WA, Kamiak WA, Olympia WA, Skyline WA, Tualatin OR
For the Wyoming teams, I feel less sure about than the guys, but I'd guess that:
3A Champion Jackson Hole should probably be Top 20
4A Champion Cheyenne Central and Runner-up Campbell County should probably be Honorable Mention
And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.
Wednesday, November 4, 2015
Northwest Boys Rankings - Pre WA State
Here's a preliminary look at a Northwest Top 25 boys rankings going into the final State Meet weekend in the region. A note, I didn't include Wyoming teams yet (I haven't rated all of the major races in the state, including the state meet), though I will make a very quick assessment for the Lone Star teams at the bottom of the post. I'll see about finishing and posting the girls in the next day or so.
Top 25 Boys Teams:
1. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
2. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
3. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
4. North Central WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Champion
5. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
8. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place
9. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
10. Arlington WA - Washington 3A District I Champion
11. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
12. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
13. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A Southwest Regional Champion
14. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A District VI Champion
15. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place
16. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
17. University WA - Washington 4A Eastern Regional Champion
18. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
19. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Marist OR - Oregon 5A State third place
21. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State sixth place
22. Pocatello ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
23. West Linn OR - Oregon 6A State seventh place
24. Missoula Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
25. Interlake WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
Honorable Mention: Aloha OR, Bellarmine Prep WA, Boise ID, Camas WA, Central ValleyWA, Gig Harbor WA, Gonzaga Prep WA, Joel Ferris WA, Lakeridge OR, Lewis & Clark WA, Mead WA, Seaside OR, Sehome WA, Sheldon OR, Skyview WA
Plus a couple of Wyoming teams:
4A Champion Laramie should be Top 10
3A Champion Star Valley should probably be among the Honorable Mention teams
And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.
Top 25 Boys Teams:
1. Summit OR - Oregon 5A State Champion
2. Crater OR - Oregon 5A State Runner-up
3. Central Catholic OR - Oregon 6A State Champion
4. North Central WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Champion
5. Lincoln OR - Oregon 6A State Runner-up
6. Bozeman MT - Montana 2A State Champion
7. Mountain View ID - Idaho 5A State Champion
8. Wilson OR - Oregon 6A State third place
9. Jesuit OR - Oregon 6A State fourth place
10. Arlington WA - Washington 3A District I Champion
11. Rocky Mountain ID - Idaho 5A State Runner-up
12. Tahoma WA - Washington 4A Southwest Regional Champion
13. Central Kitsap WA - Washington 3A Southwest Regional Champion
14. Eisenhower WA - Washington 4A District VI Champion
15. South Eugene OR - Oregon 6A State fifth place
16. Kamiakin WA - Washington 3A Eastern Regional Runner-up
17. University WA - Washington 4A Eastern Regional Champion
18. Eastlake WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Champion
19. Issaquah WA - Washington 4A Northwest Regional Runner-up
20. Marist OR - Oregon 5A State third place
21. Sunset OR - Oregon 6A State sixth place
22. Pocatello ID - Idaho 4A State Champion
23. West Linn OR - Oregon 6A State seventh place
24. Missoula Hellgate MT - Montana 2A State Runner-up
25. Interlake WA - Washington 3A District II Champion
Honorable Mention: Aloha OR, Bellarmine Prep WA, Boise ID, Camas WA, Central ValleyWA, Gig Harbor WA, Gonzaga Prep WA, Joel Ferris WA, Lakeridge OR, Lewis & Clark WA, Mead WA, Seaside OR, Sehome WA, Sheldon OR, Skyview WA
Plus a couple of Wyoming teams:
4A Champion Laramie should be Top 10
3A Champion Star Valley should probably be among the Honorable Mention teams
And a final note: Washington teams are at a disadvantage in this comparison as they haven't run state yet (and with extra weight given to state meet results, the Washington teams are currently using their State Qualifying meets as that extra weighted race despite some athletes/teams seemingly not going all out), and could very well move up after this weekend.
Tuesday, November 3, 2015
Montana State Meet ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Montana State meet! Put an emphasis on "prelminiary" for this one, as it feels like this is a little low, but as my process is a mathematical system based on previous resutls, this is just how the numbers came out. As a result, the Montana teams and individuals might be a little underrated in the coming Regional Preview than they deserve - my apologies.
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:06
Boys Top 10 Overall:
1 - Jake Perrin, 12 - 14:47.90 - Flathead - 185.1
2 - Aidan Reed, 12 - 14:57.05 - Helena - 181.9
3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
5 - Marshall Beatty, 11 - 15:22.24 - Sentinel - 173.0
1 - Cameron Miekle, 12 - 15:26.31 - Hamilton - 171.5
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
7 - Logan Harmon, 12 - 15:30.98 - Glacier - 169.9
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
9 - Preston Novak, 12 - 15:32.50 - Hellgate - 169.3
3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
12 - Duncan Hamilton, 10 - 15:33.69 - Bozeman - 168.9
39 - Dylan Humberger, 10 - 16:30.43 - Bozeman - 148.8
57 - Seth Vinger, 10 - 16:57.13 - Bozeman - 139.3
Girls Top 10 Overall:
1 - Annie Hill, 10 - 16:30.71 - Glacier - 148.7
2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
1 - Bryn Morley, 10 - 17:26.15 - Bigfork - 129.0
4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
6 - Kaitlin Wride, 10 - 17:29.74 - Flathead - 127.8
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
1 - Bailee Parker, 12 - 17:46.09 - West Yellowstone - 122.0
4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
10 - Camila Noe, 10 - 17:59.66 - Bozeman - 117.1
14 - Phoebe Jacques, 10 - 18:17.97 - Bozeman - 110.6
16 - Laina Hall, 10 - 18:29.00 - Bozeman - 106.7
30 - Zoe Eberspecher, 10 - 19:10.49 - Bozeman - 92.0
31 - Elsa Sveen, 11 - 19:10.74 - Bozeman - 91.9
2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
19 - Jade Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:41.55 - Billings Senior - 102.3
21 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:47.73 - Billings Senior - 100.1
23 - Courtney Hutton, 12 - 18:52.66 - Billings Senior - 98.3
24 - Elena Borges, 11 - 18:57.25 - Billings Senior - 96.7
44 - Paloma Whitworth, 10 - 19:42.22 - Billings Senior - 80.8
5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
11 - Madeline Hamilton, 11 - 18:07.78 - Sentinel - 114.3
12 - Madison Liechty, 12 - 18:15.82 - Sentinel - 111.4
34 - Kelsey Mueller, 10 - 19:19.78 - Sentinel - 88.7
84 - Bonnie Wolgamot, 12 - 22:05.39 - Sentinel - 30.0
86 - Lindsey Roosa, 10 - 22:22.45 - Sentinel - 24.0
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 14:06
Boys Top 10 Overall:
1 - Jake Perrin, 12 - 14:47.90 - Flathead - 185.1
2 - Aidan Reed, 12 - 14:57.05 - Helena - 181.9
3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
5 - Marshall Beatty, 11 - 15:22.24 - Sentinel - 173.0
1 - Cameron Miekle, 12 - 15:26.31 - Hamilton - 171.5
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
7 - Logan Harmon, 12 - 15:30.98 - Glacier - 169.9
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
9 - Preston Novak, 12 - 15:32.50 - Hellgate - 169.3
3 - Riley Collins, 11 - 15:03.76 - Bozeman - 179.5
4 - Chase Equall, 11 - 15:15.82 - Bozeman - 175.2
6 - Caleb Allen, 12 - 15:27.07 - Bozeman - 171.3
8 - Orrin Clark, 11 - 15:31.03 - Bozeman - 169.8
12 - Duncan Hamilton, 10 - 15:33.69 - Bozeman - 168.9
39 - Dylan Humberger, 10 - 16:30.43 - Bozeman - 148.8
57 - Seth Vinger, 10 - 16:57.13 - Bozeman - 139.3
Girls Top 10 Overall:
1 - Annie Hill, 10 - 16:30.71 - Glacier - 148.7
2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
1 - Bryn Morley, 10 - 17:26.15 - Bigfork - 129.0
4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
6 - Kaitlin Wride, 10 - 17:29.74 - Flathead - 127.8
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
1 - Bailee Parker, 12 - 17:46.09 - West Yellowstone - 122.0
4 - Piper Meuwissen, 11 - 17:26.26 - Bozeman - 129.0
8 - Kenenni Wiegand, 11 - 17:41.41 - Bozeman - 123.6
10 - Camila Noe, 10 - 17:59.66 - Bozeman - 117.1
14 - Phoebe Jacques, 10 - 18:17.97 - Bozeman - 110.6
16 - Laina Hall, 10 - 18:29.00 - Bozeman - 106.7
30 - Zoe Eberspecher, 10 - 19:10.49 - Bozeman - 92.0
31 - Elsa Sveen, 11 - 19:10.74 - Bozeman - 91.9
2 - Christina Aragon, 12 - 16:47.51 - Billings Senior - 142.7
3 - Tiahna Vladic, 9 - 17:08.34 - Billings Senior - 135.3
19 - Jade Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:41.55 - Billings Senior - 102.3
21 - Jaylyn Hallgrimson, 9 - 18:47.73 - Billings Senior - 100.1
23 - Courtney Hutton, 12 - 18:52.66 - Billings Senior - 98.3
24 - Elena Borges, 11 - 18:57.25 - Billings Senior - 96.7
44 - Paloma Whitworth, 10 - 19:42.22 - Billings Senior - 80.8
5 - Ellen Brooks, 12 - 17:27.90 - Sentinel - 128.4
7 - Molly MacDonald, 11 - 17:34.12 - Sentinel - 126.2
11 - Madeline Hamilton, 11 - 18:07.78 - Sentinel - 114.3
12 - Madison Liechty, 12 - 18:15.82 - Sentinel - 111.4
34 - Kelsey Mueller, 10 - 19:19.78 - Sentinel - 88.7
84 - Bonnie Wolgamot, 12 - 22:05.39 - Sentinel - 30.0
86 - Lindsey Roosa, 10 - 22:22.45 - Sentinel - 24.0
Monday, November 2, 2015
Idaho State Meet Girls Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Idaho State meet!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11
Girls Top 15 Overall:
1 - Katherine Ruck, 11 - 18:26.80 - Moscow - 135.5
1 - Rachel Morrin, 10 - 18:27.20 - Madison - 135.4
2 - Eve Jensen, 9 - 18:41.30 - Boise - 130.7
3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
2 - Michelle Pratt, 11 - 18:52.90 - Blackfoot - 126.9
5 - Ashlyn Dyer, 12 - 18:57.80 - Idaho Falls - 125.3
6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
3 - Billie Hatch, 11 - 19:12.10 - Preston - 120.6
7 - Breanna Stauter, 9 - 19:16.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 119.1
8 - Caitlin Conway, 11 - 19:18.50 - Coeur D'Alene - 118.5
1 - LeAnn Larkin, 12 - 19:18.80 - Shelley - 118.4
9 - Audrey Rustad, 12 - 19:21.00 - Boise - 117.7
4 - Molly Vitale-Sullivan, 12 - 19:22.70 - Pocatello - 117.1
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9
3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
12 - Julia LaMar, 9 - 19:35.30 - Eagle - 113.0
24 - Heidi Kofoed, 10 - 20:04.00 - Eagle - 103.5
35 - Ella Whitfield, 11 - 20:21.20 - Eagle - 97.8
44 - Ashley Walker, 12 - 20:34.20 - Eagle - 93.6
49 - Kate Koster, 12 - 20:40.90 - Eagle - 91.4
6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9
13 - McKenzie Refaey, 12 - 19:35.30 - Meridian - 113.0
18 - Briannah Ramirez, 12 - 19:45.50 - Meridian - 109.6
47 - Kimmy Streck, 10 - 20:38.70 - Meridian - 92.1
68 - Sydney Plum, 9 - 21:16.20 - Meridian - 79.7
71 - Kori Quick, 12 - 21:32.50 - Meridian - 74.4
(stay tuned tomorrow as I'll probably finish up Montana and hopefully Wyoming, after which I can finally put together a decently filled out Northwest Rankings!)
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11
Girls Top 15 Overall:
1 - Katherine Ruck, 11 - 18:26.80 - Moscow - 135.5
1 - Rachel Morrin, 10 - 18:27.20 - Madison - 135.4
2 - Eve Jensen, 9 - 18:41.30 - Boise - 130.7
3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
2 - Michelle Pratt, 11 - 18:52.90 - Blackfoot - 126.9
5 - Ashlyn Dyer, 12 - 18:57.80 - Idaho Falls - 125.3
6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
3 - Billie Hatch, 11 - 19:12.10 - Preston - 120.6
7 - Breanna Stauter, 9 - 19:16.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 119.1
8 - Caitlin Conway, 11 - 19:18.50 - Coeur D'Alene - 118.5
1 - LeAnn Larkin, 12 - 19:18.80 - Shelley - 118.4
9 - Audrey Rustad, 12 - 19:21.00 - Boise - 117.7
4 - Molly Vitale-Sullivan, 12 - 19:22.70 - Pocatello - 117.1
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9
3 - McKenna Emerson, 10 - 18:47.90 - Eagle - 128.6
4 - Dania Holmberg, 11 - 18:48.00 - Eagle - 128.5
12 - Julia LaMar, 9 - 19:35.30 - Eagle - 113.0
24 - Heidi Kofoed, 10 - 20:04.00 - Eagle - 103.5
35 - Ella Whitfield, 11 - 20:21.20 - Eagle - 97.8
44 - Ashley Walker, 12 - 20:34.20 - Eagle - 93.6
49 - Kate Koster, 12 - 20:40.90 - Eagle - 91.4
6 - Brittney Hansen, 9 - 19:01.80 - Meridian - 124.0
10 - Mia Klopfenstein, 11 - 19:23.30 - Meridian - 116.9
13 - McKenzie Refaey, 12 - 19:35.30 - Meridian - 113.0
18 - Briannah Ramirez, 12 - 19:45.50 - Meridian - 109.6
47 - Kimmy Streck, 10 - 20:38.70 - Meridian - 92.1
68 - Sydney Plum, 9 - 21:16.20 - Meridian - 79.7
71 - Kori Quick, 12 - 21:32.50 - Meridian - 74.4
(stay tuned tomorrow as I'll probably finish up Montana and hopefully Wyoming, after which I can finally put together a decently filled out Northwest Rankings!)
Idaho State Meet Boys Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Idaho State meet!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11
Boys Top 15 Overall:
1 - Caleb Armstrong, 9 - 16:05.70 - Pocatello - 182.0
1 - Austin Stewart, 12 - 16:05.90 - Shelley - 181.9
1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
2 - Josh Corgatelli, 11 - 16:13.60 - Moscow - 179.4
2 - Austin Byrer, 11 - 16:18.90 - Lewiston - 177.6
3 - Nicholas Russell, 9 - 16:21.50 - Bishop Kelly - 176.8
3 - Coen Haroldsen, 11 - 16:23.10 - Bonneville - 176.3
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
5 - Siyad Matan, 10 - 16:26.20 - Borah - 175.2
6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
7 - Jacob Davis, 12 - 16:28.00 - Capital - 174.6
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
9 - Isaac Kunz, 12 - 16:29.00 - Idaho Falls - 174.3
4 - Caden Armstrong, 11 - 16:31.20 - Pocatello - 173.6
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5
6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5
19 - Charles Paul, 11 - 16:47.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 168.2
20 - Brandon Walker, 10 - 16:48.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 167.9
24 - Ryan McKinnon, 12 - 16:52.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 166.6
27 - Joe Petty, 12 - 16:54.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 165.9
47 - Conner Oswald, 12 - 17:17.00 - Mountain View (ID) - 158.5
1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
42 - Jackson Thieme, 12 - 17:10.90 - Rocky Mountain - 160.5
43 - Ashton Siwek, 10 - 17:12.50 - Rocky Mountain - 160.0
53 - Spencer Crane, 12 - 17:27.10 - Rocky Mountain - 155.2
57 - Tanner Pollock, 11 - 17:29.70 - Rocky Mountain - 154.3
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:11
Boys Top 15 Overall:
1 - Caleb Armstrong, 9 - 16:05.70 - Pocatello - 182.0
1 - Austin Stewart, 12 - 16:05.90 - Shelley - 181.9
1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
2 - Josh Corgatelli, 11 - 16:13.60 - Moscow - 179.4
2 - Austin Byrer, 11 - 16:18.90 - Lewiston - 177.6
3 - Nicholas Russell, 9 - 16:21.50 - Bishop Kelly - 176.8
3 - Coen Haroldsen, 11 - 16:23.10 - Bonneville - 176.3
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
5 - Siyad Matan, 10 - 16:26.20 - Borah - 175.2
6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
7 - Jacob Davis, 12 - 16:28.00 - Capital - 174.6
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
9 - Isaac Kunz, 12 - 16:29.00 - Idaho Falls - 174.3
4 - Caden Armstrong, 11 - 16:31.20 - Pocatello - 173.6
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5
6 - Noah Horsburgh, 12 - 16:26.80 - Mountain View (ID) - 175.0
10 - Adrian Jones, 12 - 16:34.60 - Mountain View (ID) - 172.5
19 - Charles Paul, 11 - 16:47.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 168.2
20 - Brandon Walker, 10 - 16:48.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 167.9
24 - Ryan McKinnon, 12 - 16:52.40 - Mountain View (ID) - 166.6
27 - Joe Petty, 12 - 16:54.70 - Mountain View (ID) - 165.9
47 - Conner Oswald, 12 - 17:17.00 - Mountain View (ID) - 158.5
1 - Michael Slagowski, 12 - 16:12.80 - Rocky Mountain - 179.6
4 - Taylor Phillips, 11 - 16:23.80 - Rocky Mountain - 176.0
8 - Evan Thieme, 11 - 16:28.90 - Rocky Mountain - 174.3
42 - Jackson Thieme, 12 - 17:10.90 - Rocky Mountain - 160.5
43 - Ashton Siwek, 10 - 17:12.50 - Rocky Mountain - 160.0
53 - Spencer Crane, 12 - 17:27.10 - Rocky Mountain - 155.2
57 - Tanner Pollock, 11 - 17:29.70 - Rocky Mountain - 154.3
Oregon State Meet Girls Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Oregon State meet!
Some pretty strong performances, just as we saw on the boys side. Should make for a competitive meet in Boise in a couple of weeks!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06
Girls Top-25 Overall:
1 - Ella Donaghu, 12 - 17:26 - Grant - 153.6
2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
4 - Anna Chau, 9 - 18:35 - South Salem - 130.8
4 - Jordan Monroe, 12 - 18:37 - Crater - 130.1
1 - Marissa Dobry, 12 - 18:39 - St Mary's - 129.5
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
1 - Celie Mans, 11 - 18:45 - Siuslaw - 127.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
7 - Kate Intile, 11 - 18:52 - Tualatin - 125.2
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
5 - Maddie Fuhrman, 12 - 18:54 - Silverton - 124.5
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
2 - Sailor Hutton, 10 - 18:58 - Bandon - 123.2
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
13 - Alyssa Foote, 12 - 18:58 - Aloha - 123.2
14 - Ginger Murnieks, 9 - 19:03 - Sprague - 121.5
15 - Brooke Chuhlantseff, 12 - 19:05 - West Salem - 120.9
2 - Lexi Healy, 12 - 19:06 - Henley - 120.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5
2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
27 - Kelly Makin, 10 - 19:30 - Sunset - 112.6
50 - Na'ama Nevo, 9 - 20:09 - Sunset - 99.7
76 - Grace Beal, 9 - 20:38 - Sunset - 90.1
3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5
18 - Kim Sanders, 11 - 19:12 - Jesuit - 118.5
24 - Aimee Piercy, 12 - 19:27 - Jesuit - 113.6
35 - Greta Anderson, 9 - 19:52 - Jesuit - 105.3
1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
9 - Emma Stevenson, 11 - 19:27 - Summit - 113.6
14 - Autumn Layden, 11 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
15 - Kelsey Washenberger, 10 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
20 - Liv Downing, 9 - 20:25 - Summit - 94.4
10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
20 - Caramia Mestler, 10 - 19:20 - Sheldon - 115.9
22 - Jennifer Shelton, 9 - 19:23 - Sheldon - 114.9
33 - Lauren Hamilton, 12 - 19:42 - Sheldon - 108.6
70 - Kaylin Sheley, 9 - 20:30 - Sheldon - 92.7
108 - Dana Hamilton, 10 - 21:30 - Sheldon - 72.8
Some pretty strong performances, just as we saw on the boys side. Should make for a competitive meet in Boise in a couple of weeks!
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06
Girls Top-25 Overall:
1 - Ella Donaghu, 12 - 17:26 - Grant - 153.6
2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
4 - Anna Chau, 9 - 18:35 - South Salem - 130.8
4 - Jordan Monroe, 12 - 18:37 - Crater - 130.1
1 - Marissa Dobry, 12 - 18:39 - St Mary's - 129.5
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
1 - Celie Mans, 11 - 18:45 - Siuslaw - 127.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
7 - Kate Intile, 11 - 18:52 - Tualatin - 125.2
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
5 - Maddie Fuhrman, 12 - 18:54 - Silverton - 124.5
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
2 - Sailor Hutton, 10 - 18:58 - Bandon - 123.2
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
13 - Alyssa Foote, 12 - 18:58 - Aloha - 123.2
14 - Ginger Murnieks, 9 - 19:03 - Sprague - 121.5
15 - Brooke Chuhlantseff, 12 - 19:05 - West Salem - 120.9
2 - Lexi Healy, 12 - 19:06 - Henley - 120.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5
2 - Ember Stratton, 9 - 17:42 - Sunset - 148.3
5 - Audrey Huelskamp, 12 - 18:39 - Sunset - 129.5
6 - Nicole Griffiths, 12 - 18:45 - Sunset - 127.5
8 - Isabel Huelskamp, 12 - 18:53 - Sunset - 124.8
27 - Kelly Makin, 10 - 19:30 - Sunset - 112.6
50 - Na'ama Nevo, 9 - 20:09 - Sunset - 99.7
76 - Grace Beal, 9 - 20:38 - Sunset - 90.1
3 - Elizabeth Rinck, 9 - 18:16 - Jesuit - 137.1
9 - Hallie DeVore, 9 - 18:55 - Jesuit - 124.2
11 - Makenna Schumacher, 9 - 18:57 - Jesuit - 123.5
16 - Keely McCormick, 10 - 19:06 - Jesuit - 120.5
18 - Kim Sanders, 11 - 19:12 - Jesuit - 118.5
24 - Aimee Piercy, 12 - 19:27 - Jesuit - 113.6
35 - Greta Anderson, 9 - 19:52 - Jesuit - 105.3
1 - Olivia Brooks, 11 - 17:46 - Summit - 147.0
2 - Hannah Tobiason, 10 - 18:23 - Summit - 134.8
3 - Taylor Vandenborn, 10 - 18:25 - Summit - 134.1
9 - Emma Stevenson, 11 - 19:27 - Summit - 113.6
14 - Autumn Layden, 11 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
15 - Kelsey Washenberger, 10 - 19:53 - Summit - 105.0
20 - Liv Downing, 9 - 20:25 - Summit - 94.4
10 - Melissa Berry, 10 - 18:57 - Sheldon - 123.5
12 - Jantzen Mazziotti, 11 - 18:58 - Sheldon - 123.2
20 - Caramia Mestler, 10 - 19:20 - Sheldon - 115.9
22 - Jennifer Shelton, 9 - 19:23 - Sheldon - 114.9
33 - Lauren Hamilton, 12 - 19:42 - Sheldon - 108.6
70 - Kaylin Sheley, 9 - 20:30 - Sheldon - 92.7
108 - Dana Hamilton, 10 - 21:30 - Sheldon - 72.8
Oregon State Meet Boys Ratings
Here are my preliminary ratings for the Oregon State meet!
Some pretty strong performances - is this the year that Oregon overtakes Washington (at least teamwise)?
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06
Boys Top 25 Overall:
1 - Ahmed Muhumed, 11 - 15:38 - West Salem - 189.4
1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
2 - Roman Ollar, 12 - 15:40 - West Linn - 188.7
2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
3 - Murimi Nyamu, 12 - 15:44 - Forest Grove - 187.4
1 - Fabian Cardenas, 12 - 15:50 - Umatilla - 185.4
4 - Luis Torres, 12 - 15:50 - Aloha - 185.4
5 - Jackson Mestler, 12 - 15:50 - Sheldon - 185.4
6 - Grayson Ollar, 12 - 15:50 - West Linn - 185.4
4 - Caleb Hoffmann, 12 - 15:52 - Bend - 184.8
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
7 - Joshua Schumacher, 10 - 15:55 - Jesuit - 183.8
8 - Alex Slenning, 10 - 16:00 - Wilson - 182.1
9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
10 - Noah Belcik, 12 - 16:03 - Lakeridge - 181.1
11 - Michael Martin, 12 - 16:04 - South Eugene - 180.8
12 - Mark French, 12 - 16:04 - Tualatin - 180.8
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
13 - Jacob Shelton, 12 - 16:05 - Sheldon - 180.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
1 - Bradley Rzewnicki, 11 - 16:13 - Seaside - 177.8
16 - Zane Fodge, 9 - 16:14 - McMinnville - 177.5
2 - Hassan Ibrahim, 10 - 16:15 - Jefferson - 177.2
2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
7 - Benjamin Wasserman, 12 - 16:16 - Summit - 176.8
8 - Scott Kinkade, 11 - 16:24 - Summit - 174.2
9 - Jett Ballantyne, 10 - 16:26 - Summit - 173.5
15 - Eric Fykerud, 12 - 16:37 - Summit - 169.9
34 - Niklas Sjogren, 11 - 17:09 - Summit - 159.3
1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
13 - Erik Olsen, 10 - 16:32 - Crater - 171.5
14 - Jantz Tostenson, 9 - 16:33 - Crater - 171.2
22 - Tanner Shipley, 12 - 16:52 - Crater - 164.9
32 - Griff Hokanson, 11 - 17:07 - Crater - 159.9
9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
23 - Zack Lavier, 12 - 16:24 - Central Catholic - 174.2
33 - Jackson Frank, 12 - 16:36 - Central Catholic - 170.2
69 - Gavin Macpherson, 11 - 17:09 - Central Catholic - 159.3
96 - Eric Brecht, 10 - 17:36 - Central Catholic - 150.3
20 - Ransom Gravatt, 12 - 16:20 - Lincoln - 175.5
21 - Pierce Miller, 12 - 16:23 - Lincoln - 174.5
22 - Dominic Arce, 11 - 16:24 - Lincoln - 174.2
26 - Avi Meyer, 12 - 16:26 - Lincoln - 173.5
34 - Adin Becker, 12 - 16:36 - Lincoln - 170.2
52 - Carson Cohn, 11 - 16:50 - Lincoln - 165.6
65 - Joe Kortenhof, 12 - 17:06 - Lincoln - 160.3
Some pretty strong performances - is this the year that Oregon overtakes Washington (at least teamwise)?
Estimate: 200.0 ~ 15:06
Boys Top 25 Overall:
1 - Ahmed Muhumed, 11 - 15:38 - West Salem - 189.4
1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
2 - Roman Ollar, 12 - 15:40 - West Linn - 188.7
2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
3 - Murimi Nyamu, 12 - 15:44 - Forest Grove - 187.4
1 - Fabian Cardenas, 12 - 15:50 - Umatilla - 185.4
4 - Luis Torres, 12 - 15:50 - Aloha - 185.4
5 - Jackson Mestler, 12 - 15:50 - Sheldon - 185.4
6 - Grayson Ollar, 12 - 15:50 - West Linn - 185.4
4 - Caleb Hoffmann, 12 - 15:52 - Bend - 184.8
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
7 - Joshua Schumacher, 10 - 15:55 - Jesuit - 183.8
8 - Alex Slenning, 10 - 16:00 - Wilson - 182.1
9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
10 - Noah Belcik, 12 - 16:03 - Lakeridge - 181.1
11 - Michael Martin, 12 - 16:04 - South Eugene - 180.8
12 - Mark French, 12 - 16:04 - Tualatin - 180.8
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
13 - Jacob Shelton, 12 - 16:05 - Sheldon - 180.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
1 - Bradley Rzewnicki, 11 - 16:13 - Seaside - 177.8
16 - Zane Fodge, 9 - 16:14 - McMinnville - 177.5
2 - Hassan Ibrahim, 10 - 16:15 - Jefferson - 177.2
2 - Alex Martin, 12 - 15:41 - Summit - 188.4
6 - Thomas Schoderbek, 11 - 16:05 - Summit - 180.5
7 - Benjamin Wasserman, 12 - 16:16 - Summit - 176.8
8 - Scott Kinkade, 11 - 16:24 - Summit - 174.2
9 - Jett Ballantyne, 10 - 16:26 - Summit - 173.5
15 - Eric Fykerud, 12 - 16:37 - Summit - 169.9
34 - Niklas Sjogren, 11 - 17:09 - Summit - 159.3
1 - Walter Vail, 12 - 15:39 - Crater - 189.1
3 - Andy Monroe, 10 - 15:42 - Crater - 188.1
5 - Derek Tripp, 10 - 15:53 - Crater - 184.4
13 - Erik Olsen, 10 - 16:32 - Crater - 171.5
14 - Jantz Tostenson, 9 - 16:33 - Crater - 171.2
22 - Tanner Shipley, 12 - 16:52 - Crater - 164.9
32 - Griff Hokanson, 11 - 17:07 - Crater - 159.9
9 - Michael McCausland, 11 - 16:02 - Central Catholic - 181.5
14 - Cameron Thompson, 10 - 16:09 - Central Catholic - 179.1
15 - Daniel Thompson, 12 - 16:11 - Central Catholic - 178.5
23 - Zack Lavier, 12 - 16:24 - Central Catholic - 174.2
33 - Jackson Frank, 12 - 16:36 - Central Catholic - 170.2
69 - Gavin Macpherson, 11 - 17:09 - Central Catholic - 159.3
96 - Eric Brecht, 10 - 17:36 - Central Catholic - 150.3
20 - Ransom Gravatt, 12 - 16:20 - Lincoln - 175.5
21 - Pierce Miller, 12 - 16:23 - Lincoln - 174.5
22 - Dominic Arce, 11 - 16:24 - Lincoln - 174.2
26 - Avi Meyer, 12 - 16:26 - Lincoln - 173.5
34 - Adin Becker, 12 - 16:36 - Lincoln - 170.2
52 - Carson Cohn, 11 - 16:50 - Lincoln - 165.6
65 - Joe Kortenhof, 12 - 17:06 - Lincoln - 160.3
Top 25 Performances @ WA Qualifier meets
With most of the state meets in the Northwest already concluded, and Washington's state meet coming up this weekend, it's time to start reviewing some races from around the region!
First up, here's my preliminary look at how the marks from around the Washington state meet qualifying meets compare. To keep this post short, I'll only post the Top 25 overall here, though I may very well get deeper and separate classifications at some point this week. Enjoy!
(times set to be equivalent to the Sun Willows 2014 state races)
Top 25 Boys Performances at State Qualifying Meet:
15:06.53 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 3A Eastern Regional #1
15:11.27 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 3A Westside Classic #1
15:26.11 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 3A Eastern Regional #2
15:31.11 - Peter Allegre - 12 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #2
15:31.86 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #3
15:35.00 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #1
15:35.01 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #1
15:35.91 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
15:36.32 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #2
15:37.71 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #3
15:40.39 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 3A District I #1
15:40.85 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #4
15:41.78 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 3A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.04 - Christian Rotter - 12 - Auburn Mountainview - 3A Westside Classic #4
15:47.10 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 4A District VI #1
15:47.66 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 4A Eastern Regional #2
15:47.66 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 4A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.80 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 3A District II #2
15:48.07 - Jason Gordon - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #5
15:48.12 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 2A District I #1
15:49.88 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 3A District II #3
15:50.48 - Matthew Watkins - 11 - Henry Jackson - 4A District I/II #5
15:50.59 - Johnny Cooney - 12 - Gonzaga Prep - 4A Eastern Regional #4
15:52.04 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
15:53.75 - Thomas Johnson - 11 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #6
Top 25 Girls Performances at State Qualifying Meet:
17:48.69 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #1
18:00.54 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #1
18:08.40 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #1
18:09.64 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #2
18:10.15 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #3
18:10.33 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 4A Westside Classic #2
18:18.04 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 3A District II #2
18:18.05 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 4A District I/II #4
18:18.65 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #3
18:22.02 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #3
18:22.57 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 3A District II #4
18:24.12 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 4A District I/II #5
18:28.48 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 4A Westside Classic #4
18:32.75 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
18:37.84 - Emily Donnelly - 12 - Monroe - 4A District I/II #7
18:39.96 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
18:42.52 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #8
18:43.50 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 4A District I/II #9
18:44.51 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #5
18:46.55 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #5
18:47.79 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 4A Eastern Regional #2
18:48.73 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 4A Westside Classic #6
18:48.77 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #3
18:49.17 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 2A Eastern Regional #1
18:50.68 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 3A District I #1
Side notes:
I only looked at classifications 2A and above... the reasons being that there isn't as much competition at the B/1A level for the top athletes/teams, and because this was generated while I was researching the top teams in the NW, which would very very rarely include schools that are 1A or smaller (among the top 30 there are usually only 1-2 that are 2A sized in the entire NW)
Camas girls are looking STRONG! They definitely have progressed well since earlier this season
North Central boys look like the top team in the state, but only 1 under 16:00 for a 15:55 average...
Janke would be #13 All-Time for 5k at Sun Willows if he matches that estimate, while the wunderkind Taylor Roe would break the Freshman record
First up, here's my preliminary look at how the marks from around the Washington state meet qualifying meets compare. To keep this post short, I'll only post the Top 25 overall here, though I may very well get deeper and separate classifications at some point this week. Enjoy!
(times set to be equivalent to the Sun Willows 2014 state races)
Top 25 Boys Performances at State Qualifying Meet:
15:06.53 - Justin Janke - 12 - North Central - 3A Eastern Regional #1
15:11.27 - James Mwaura - 10 - Lincoln - 3A Westside Classic #1
15:26.11 - Phillip Fishburn - 12 - Kamiakin - 3A Eastern Regional #2
15:31.11 - Peter Allegre - 12 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #2
15:31.86 - Cameron Carroll - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #3
15:35.00 - Nathan Pixler - 12 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #1
15:35.01 - Henry Hayes - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #1
15:35.91 - Zak Kindl - 11 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
15:36.32 - Cullen McEachern - 11 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #2
15:37.71 - Nate Pendleton - 10 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #3
15:40.39 - Nathan Beamer - 12 - Arlington - 3A District I #1
15:40.85 - Nick Laccinole - 12 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #4
15:41.78 - Hayden Dressel - 11 - Mt Spokane - 3A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.04 - Christian Rotter - 12 - Auburn Mountainview - 3A Westside Classic #4
15:47.10 - Spencer Stewart - 12 - Eisenhower - 4A District VI #1
15:47.66 - Hunter Simpson - 12 - University - 4A Eastern Regional #2
15:47.66 - Erik Holm - 12 - Joel Ferris - 4A Eastern Regional #3
15:47.80 - Peter Hogan - 12 - Bishop Blanchet - 3A District II #2
15:48.07 - Jason Gordon - 12 - Central Kitsap - 3A Westside Classic #5
15:48.12 - Dylan Holland - 12 - Anacortes - 2A District I #1
15:49.88 - James Konugres - 11 - Ballard - 3A District II #3
15:50.48 - Matthew Watkins - 11 - Henry Jackson - 4A District I/II #5
15:50.59 - Johnny Cooney - 12 - Gonzaga Prep - 4A Eastern Regional #4
15:52.04 - Kennan Schrag - 12 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
15:53.75 - Thomas Johnson - 11 - North Thurston - 3A Westside Classic #6
Top 25 Girls Performances at State Qualifying Meet:
17:48.69 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - 4A District I/II #1
18:00.54 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #1
18:08.40 - Jordan Oakes - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #1
18:09.64 - Pia Richards - 11 - Eastlake - 4A District I/II #2
18:10.15 - Sami Corman - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #3
18:10.33 - Savanna Craig - 11 - Mountain View - 4A Westside Classic #2
18:18.04 - Katherine Penner - 12 - Bellevue - 3A District II #2
18:18.05 - Hannah Waskom - 11 - Mt Si - 4A District I/II #4
18:18.65 - Isabelle Olive - 12 - Garfield - 3A District II #3
18:22.02 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #3
18:22.57 - Sophie Cantine - 11 - Lakeside (Seattle) - 3A District II #4
18:24.12 - Maizy Brewer - 12 - Skyline - 4A District I/II #5
18:28.48 - Rachel Kastama - 11 - Puyallup - 4A Westside Classic #4
18:32.75 - Kenna Clawson - 10 - Issaquah - 4A District I/II #6
18:37.84 - Emily Donnelly - 12 - Monroe - 4A District I/II #7
18:39.96 - Abby Smith - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #1
18:42.52 - Rebecca Ledsham - 11 - Inglemoor - 4A District I/II #8
18:43.50 - Abbie Steinhauer - 11 - Mariner - 4A District I/II #9
18:44.51 - Erin Ripple - 11 - Holy Names Academy - 3A District II #5
18:46.55 - Emily Wilson - 10 - Camas - 4A Westside Classic #5
18:47.79 - Briegan Bester - 12 - Central Valley - 4A Eastern Regional #2
18:48.73 - Cassie McKinney - 12 - Union - 4A Westside Classic #6
18:48.77 - Katie Thronson - 10 - Lewis and Clark - 4A Eastern Regional #3
18:49.17 - Brittany Aquino - 12 - East Valley (Spokane) - 2A Eastern Regional #1
18:50.68 - Yukino Parle - 10 - Edmonds-Woodway - 3A District I #1
Side notes:
I only looked at classifications 2A and above... the reasons being that there isn't as much competition at the B/1A level for the top athletes/teams, and because this was generated while I was researching the top teams in the NW, which would very very rarely include schools that are 1A or smaller (among the top 30 there are usually only 1-2 that are 2A sized in the entire NW)
Camas girls are looking STRONG! They definitely have progressed well since earlier this season
North Central boys look like the top team in the state, but only 1 under 16:00 for a 15:55 average...
Janke would be #13 All-Time for 5k at Sun Willows if he matches that estimate, while the wunderkind Taylor Roe would break the Freshman record
Sunday, October 11, 2015
Reviewing the weekend and the national team picture
Quick notes about results from the past weekend:
If there was any doubt that might have been lingering after the VVS Invitational results came out a few weeks ago, this weekend should have eliminated any question about who the #1 girls team in the nation is. Fayetteville-Manlius NY destroyed the field at the Manhattan Invitational, averaging 14:36.86 over the 4k course. "How good is that?" you might ask... well, that is an average of 2 seconds per runner faster than the 2004 Saratoga Springs NY squad (14:38.8 average) that some claim is the best team ever, and only 1.5 seconds slower than the 2009 Fayetteville-Manlius NY girls (14:35.44). Manhattan is a race that is extremely well tested, with all but one NTN/NXN Champion team having run on the course and many other NTN/NXN qualifiers to test it as well. Only seven other teams have averaged under 14:50 per runner on the course, and every single one of them won the NTN/NXN title that year.
The #2 girls team in the nation, Great Oak CA, also ran well last weekend as they scored 34 points to beat Arcadia CA (100) and Southlake Carroll TX (132) among others at the Clovis Invitational. Their time at the meet stacks up well, putting them at #5 on the All-Time Woodward Park list and only about half a minute (total team time, not team average) behind where they were when they set the course record at this meet last year.
The question still remains: who is the third best girls team in the nation? We've seen a very strong duo up front, but what about the rest of the nation?
Sunset OR still seems to be somewhere up there, having lost only to Great Oak CA while beating multiple US Top-25 caliber teams at Woodbridge and Nike Pre-Nationals already this year. They scorched the course at an always-fast (and probably short?) 5k at the Sandelie Golf Course, but is notable that they averaged within a minute of one of the best individual athletes in the nation in Ella Donaghu (17:55.0 vs. 16:59.6) and their #5 keeping within 80.4 seconds of a runner of that caliber is very impressive (for example, 80 seconds behind the #10 finisher at last year's NXN race, Ella Donaghu, was the 41st team scorer). I'm not sure they are US#3, but they definitely seem to be in the running for US Top-5.
The picture on the guys side is a bit more wide open, as many of the top teams haven't really faced off against eachother yet. What we do know is that:
-Sandburg IL is tearing it up in Illinois
-Lafayette MO is tearing it up in Missouri/Arkansas/Tennessee
-American Fork UT hasn't been healthy enough to continue their annual course record setting efforts in Utah
-Timpanogos UT came out on top of the biggest meet of the season to date, the Bob Firman Invitational, over Great Oak CA and several of the best from California and the Northwest
-Hopkins MN looks like the top team in the Heartland
-St. Ignatius OH has looked mighty impressive in Ohio
-and Downingtown West PA might be the best team in the Northeast after their win at Manhattan, though don't look like a potential US Top 5 team quite yet
What that all means, I have no idea.
If there was any doubt that might have been lingering after the VVS Invitational results came out a few weeks ago, this weekend should have eliminated any question about who the #1 girls team in the nation is. Fayetteville-Manlius NY destroyed the field at the Manhattan Invitational, averaging 14:36.86 over the 4k course. "How good is that?" you might ask... well, that is an average of 2 seconds per runner faster than the 2004 Saratoga Springs NY squad (14:38.8 average) that some claim is the best team ever, and only 1.5 seconds slower than the 2009 Fayetteville-Manlius NY girls (14:35.44). Manhattan is a race that is extremely well tested, with all but one NTN/NXN Champion team having run on the course and many other NTN/NXN qualifiers to test it as well. Only seven other teams have averaged under 14:50 per runner on the course, and every single one of them won the NTN/NXN title that year.
The #2 girls team in the nation, Great Oak CA, also ran well last weekend as they scored 34 points to beat Arcadia CA (100) and Southlake Carroll TX (132) among others at the Clovis Invitational. Their time at the meet stacks up well, putting them at #5 on the All-Time Woodward Park list and only about half a minute (total team time, not team average) behind where they were when they set the course record at this meet last year.
The question still remains: who is the third best girls team in the nation? We've seen a very strong duo up front, but what about the rest of the nation?
Sunset OR still seems to be somewhere up there, having lost only to Great Oak CA while beating multiple US Top-25 caliber teams at Woodbridge and Nike Pre-Nationals already this year. They scorched the course at an always-fast (and probably short?) 5k at the Sandelie Golf Course, but is notable that they averaged within a minute of one of the best individual athletes in the nation in Ella Donaghu (17:55.0 vs. 16:59.6) and their #5 keeping within 80.4 seconds of a runner of that caliber is very impressive (for example, 80 seconds behind the #10 finisher at last year's NXN race, Ella Donaghu, was the 41st team scorer). I'm not sure they are US#3, but they definitely seem to be in the running for US Top-5.
The picture on the guys side is a bit more wide open, as many of the top teams haven't really faced off against eachother yet. What we do know is that:
-Sandburg IL is tearing it up in Illinois
-Lafayette MO is tearing it up in Missouri/Arkansas/Tennessee
-American Fork UT hasn't been healthy enough to continue their annual course record setting efforts in Utah
-Timpanogos UT came out on top of the biggest meet of the season to date, the Bob Firman Invitational, over Great Oak CA and several of the best from California and the Northwest
-Hopkins MN looks like the top team in the Heartland
-St. Ignatius OH has looked mighty impressive in Ohio
-and Downingtown West PA might be the best team in the Northeast after their win at Manhattan, though don't look like a potential US Top 5 team quite yet
What that all means, I have no idea.
Monday, October 5, 2015
Quick/Rough NW Team Rankings
Here's a quick take on what the Northwest Team rankings might be. This is not nearly as in-depth as my usual rankings, so it's just a quick look at (essentially) the best team performances from each team over the last few weeks. Also included is the results for each team from the last three weeks.
I expect these rankings would be different after results from the next couple week are tallied, but it seems that Washington is off to a slow start compared to the rest of the region (which is fine, as what happens in November is the real test for teams of this caliber).
Honorable Mention: Arlington WA, Eastlake WA, Inglemoor WA, Interlake WA, Issaquah WA, Laramie WY, Sehome WA, Shelley ID
I expect these rankings would be different after results from the next couple week are tallied, but it seems that Washington is off to a slow start compared to the rest of the region (which is fine, as what happens in November is the real test for teams of this caliber).
| Northwest Boys | 19-Sep | 26-Sep | 3-Oct |
| 1. Mountain View ID | 1st Mountain Home ID | 2nd Nike Portland OR | OFF |
| 2. Summit OR | 1st Oregon City OR | 3rd Nike Portland OR | 1st Oxford OR |
| 3. Crater OR | OFF | 7th Bob Firman ID | 1st State of Jefferson OR |
| 4. Bozeman MT | 1st Mountain West MT | 8th Bob Firman ID | OFF |
| 5. North Central WA | OFF | 9th Bob Firman ID | OFF |
| 6. Tahoma WA | 1st Ft. Steilacoom WA | 10th Bob Firman ID | 1st Sunfair WA |
| 7. Jesuit OR | OFF | 5th Nike Portland OR | OFF |
| 8. Eisenhower WA | 3rd Ft. Steilacoom WA | 1st Bellevue WA | 5th Sunfair WA |
| 9. Rocky Mountain ID | OFF | 6th Nike Portland OR | 1st Gary Ward ID |
| 10. Lincoln OR | OFF | 7th Nike Portland OR | 2nd Sunfair WA |
Honorable Mention: Arlington WA, Eastlake WA, Inglemoor WA, Interlake WA, Issaquah WA, Laramie WY, Sehome WA, Shelley ID
| Northwest Girls | 19-Sep | 26-Sep | 3-Oct |
| 1. Sunset OR | 2nd Woodbridge CA | 1st Nike Portland OR | OFF |
| 2. Camas WA | 1st Seaside OR | 3rd Nike Portland OR | 1st Harrier Classic OR |
| 3. Bozeman MT | 1st Mountain West MT | 4th Bob Firman ID | OFF |
| 4. Mountain View ID | 1st Mountain Home ID | 4th Nike Portland OR | OFF |
| 5. Jesuit OR | OFF | 5th Nike Portland OR | OFF |
| 6. Billings Senior MT | 2nd Mountain West MT | 1st Great Falls MT | 1st Butte MT |
| 7. Sheldon OR | OFF | 1st Northwest Classic OR | 1st Oxford OR |
| 8. Summit OR | 1st Oregon City OR | 8th Nike Portland OR | 2nd Oxford OR |
| 9. Hellgate MT | 3rd Mountain West MT | 2nd Great Falls MT | OFF |
| 10. Ballard WA | OFF | 1st Bellevue WA | 1st Curtis WA |
Honorable Mention: Boise ID, Eagle ID, Grant OR, Kenai Central AK, Mount Si WA, Mount Spokane WA, Rocky Mountain ID
Note: Alaska's 4A Boys Champion, West Anchorage, might belong on the Honorable Mention list as well... hard to say, but my initial guess is they are close but not quite there. We will get a better read this weekend as they travel down to the George Fox Classic in Oregon.
Note: Alaska's 4A Boys Champion, West Anchorage, might belong on the Honorable Mention list as well... hard to say, but my initial guess is they are close but not quite there. We will get a better read this weekend as they travel down to the George Fox Classic in Oregon.
Thursday, September 24, 2015
Top Girls Ratings from NW Meets through Sep. 19
Here’s a list of the Top 25 Girls Ratings from Northwest
meets so far. Note that all ratings are preliminary.
143.4 - Ella Donaghu - 12 - Grant
- Sundodger WA #1
143.1 - Annie Hill - 10 - Glacier - Mountain West MT #1
137.7 - Christina Aragon - 12 - Billings Senior - Mountain
West MT #2
135.9 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak - Sehome WA #1
133.8 - Ember Stratton - 9 -
Sunset - Night Meet OR #1
133.1 - Piper Meuwissen - 11 -
Bozeman - Mountain West MT #3
132.8 - Malia Pivec - 11 -
Lynnwood - South Whidbey WA #1
129.6 - Christina Sevsek - 11 -
South Fraser (BC) - Sundodger WA #2
129.5 - Olivia Brooks - 11 - Summit - Ash Creek OR #1
128.8 - Marissa Dobry - 12 - St
Mary's - Ash Creek OR #2
127.7 - Tiahna Vladic
- 9 - Billings Senior - Mountain West MT #4
127.4 - Marissa Dobry - 12 - St
Mary's - Prefontaine OR #1
126.9 - Mariah Castillo - 10 - Saugus - Sundodger
WA #3
126.4 - Eve Jensen - 9 - Boise - Sundodger
WA #4
126.0 - Julie Sevsek - 11 - South
Fraser (BC) - Sundodger WA #5
123.9 - Bryn Morley - 10 - Bigfork - Mountain West MT #5
123.6 - Elizabeth Rinck - 9 - Jesuit
- Tracy Walters WA #1
123.2 - Anna Chau - 9 - South Salem - Night Meet OR #2
122.6 - Taylor Roe - 9 - Kamiak -
Ft. Steilacoom WA #1
121.8 - Erin Mullins - 11 - Cascade-Leavenworth - Ellensburg
WA #1
121.1 - Anna Chau - 9 - South Salem - Saxon OR #1
120.8 - Ella Degrandpre - 9 - Hellgate - Mountain West MT #6
120.6 - Emma Jenkins - 10 - Camas - Ash Creek OR #3
120.4 - Audrey Rustad - 12 - Boise
- Sundodger WA #6
119.3 - Rachel Blair - 9 - Camas - Ash Creek OR #4
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